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olivLaw · US equity research

AGNT, Inc. AGNT

Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) · SIC 6531 · Vertical: Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531)

4.27USD+8.93% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

AGNT, Inc., formerly eXp World Holdings, is the holding company for the eXp Realty brokerage, which runs a cloud model with agents across several countries, expanded in 2026 by the NextHome acquisition. With the residential market still constrained by high mortgage rates and low inventory, the company reported a record revenue quarter and more transactions, with revenue of billion USD in Q2 2026, up 11%.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, AGNT, Inc. (AGNT) stock was 4.27 USD (+8.93% on the day), with market capitalisation 713.6 m USD, dividend yield 4.68%, beta 1.11, 52-week range 3.51–11.80 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.4 bn USD (+10.7% YoY), net income of -2.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.02 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
713.6 m USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.11 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-2.60%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
4.68%
DPS 12m 0.20
Beta (2y)
1.11
Volatility (1y) 56%
52-week range
3.5111.80

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.58 – 4.29
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.97 · band width 18.1%
SMA 50 / 200
3.89 / 5.36
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.06 / 0.04
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+10.3%−1.1%+11.4 pp—
3 months+5.4%−0.5%+5.9 pp—
6 months−34.5%+4.4%−38.9 pp—
Year to date−52.8%+12.3%−65.1 pp—
1 year−56.8%+13.5%−70.4 pp−16.3%
3 years−69.8%+76.4%−146.2 pp−12.1%
5 years−90.1%+63.7%−153.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−70.3%
25 Nov 2025 → 28 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−92.3%
09 Nov 2021 → 28 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−37.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.4 bn USD
+10.7% YoY
Net income
-2.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.02
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-0.2% / 0.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.2 bn1.1 bn954.9 m1.3 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.0 bn1.4 bn
Cost of revenue911.0 k———————
Gross profit——76.1 m92.7 m——75.3 m98.8 m
Research & development13.8 m14.8 m16.8 m18.1 m17.3 m17.4 m17.6 m18.4 m
Operating income-8.3 m-11.0 m-10.4 m-2.4 m4.0 m-12.7 m-8.8 m1.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation2.4 m93.0 k1.9 m1.6 m1.7 m1.6 m1.7 m1.6 m
Pre-tax income-7.8 m-10.7 m-9.4 m-1.8 m4.4 m-13.5 m-8.7 m2.3 m
Income tax-1.3 m-2.4 m1.7 m468.0 k932.0 k-591.0 k-3.6 m5.0 m
Net income-8.5 m-9.5 m-11.0 m-2.3 m3.5 m-12.9 m-5.1 m-2.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.06-0.06 ≈-0.07-0.010.02-0.08 ≈-0.03-0.02
Operating cash flow46.0 m ≈13.7 m39.8 m36.1 m ≈28.9 m ≈13.8 m20.6 m38.8 m ≈
Capex1.6 m ≈2.1 m2.6 m2.8 m ≈2.3 m ≈1.9 m2.5 m2.4 m ≈
Dividends paid7.5 m ≈7.5 m7.6 m7.7 m ≈7.7 m ≈7.8 m8.0 m8.2 m
Share repurchases35.0 m ≈24.8 m5.0 m24.9 m ≈16.4 m ≈10.0 m——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2018⚠ 2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue500.1 m979.9 m1.8 bn3.8 bn4.6 bn4.3 bn4.6 bn4.8 bn
Revenue YoY+220.4%—+83.5%+109.7%+21.7%−6.9%+6.9%+4.5%
Net income-22.4 m-9.5 m31.1 m81.2 m15.4 m-9.0 m-21.3 m-22.7 m
Net income YoYunavailable—unavailable+160.9%−81.0%−158.1%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.19-0.080.210.510.10-0.06-0.14-0.14
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable—unavailable+142.9%−80.4%−160.0%unavailableunavailable
net %-4.5%-1.0%1.7%2.2%0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.5%
Free cash flow22.2 m50.2 m113.2 m233.5 m198.5 m203.8 m185.0 m109.0 m

The series breaks before 2019: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
124.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
242.8 m USD
Total assets
442.5 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.53x
ROE
-10.1%
ROA
-5.5%
FCF margin
2.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
319.9 m
2024
342.4 m
2025
333.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
59.5 m
2024
58.2 m
2025
69.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
522.0 k
2024
-19.0 m
2025
-21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
10.9 m
2024
7.8 m
2025
6.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
11.4 m ≈
2024
-11.2 m ≈
2025
-14.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
3.5 m
2024
-15.7 m
2025
-20.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-16.0 k
2024
1.1 m
2025
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-9.0 m
2024
-21.3 m
2025
-22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.06
2024
-0.14
2025
-0.14

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
156.8 m
2024
153.7 m
2025
156.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.05
2024
0.05
2025
0.05

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
125.9 m
2024
113.6 m
2025
124.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
85.3 m
2024
87.7 m
2025
108.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
266.5 m
2024
268.0 m
2025
304.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
12.0 m
2024
11.0 m
2025
13.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
17.0 m
2024
17.2 m
2025
17.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
7.0 m
2024
6.5 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
385.7 m
2024
390.7 m
2025
442.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
8.8 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2021verified

Long-term debt
2023
20.0 k
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2024verified

Current liabilities
2023
141.7 m
2024
185.9 m
2025
199.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
141.7 m
2024
185.9 m
2025
199.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
244.0 m
2024
204.9 m
2025
242.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
154.7 m
2024
154.1 m
2025
161.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
209.1 m
2024
191.5 m
2025
118.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
5.4 m
2024
6.5 m
2025
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
203.8 m ≈
2024
185.0 m ≈
2025
109.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-13.5 m
2024
-19.5 m
2025
-23.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-184.1 m
2024
-170.4 m
2025
-86.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
28.5 m
2024
30.1 m
2025
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
160.6 m
2024
141.1 m
2025
56.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
21.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-41.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
34.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
102.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
9.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
92.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
713.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 58.7% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.27 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 713.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
713.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 1970derived 147

Score by group

59% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
0.78
USD per share
Mid
1.97
USD per share
High
2.21
USD per share
Price: 4.27 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -53.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -116.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.66 – 3.53 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.66 – 0.88 (Mid 0.75)
  • Peers: P/B0.91 – 3.53 (Mid 3.19)
    10 companies used · median multiple 1.9x · quartiles 0.5x – 2.1x
    COMP, DOUG, FTHM, JLL, LHAI, MMI, OPAD, OPEN, PETZ, VAC
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 58.7% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality-6.9%38 (vs peers)11%
EBITDA margin · Quality-0.2%0 (on a fixed band)15%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.3%13 (on a fixed band)15%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation2.5x18 (vs peers)33%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Dividend yield · Returns4.7%100 (vs peers)26%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth13/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality16/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial18/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AGNT, INC. (AGNT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.5%; net margin -0.3%; ROE -6.9%.

The estimated value range is 0.78–2.21 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.97 USD, the price of 4.27 USD leaves a potential of -53.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -116.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 58.7% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Dividend yield: 4.7%

What contradicts it

  • EBITDA margin: -0.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.3%
  • P/B: 2.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (EPS).

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 17.5x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−78.7%)
P/B
2.5x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+31.4%)
ROE
-6.9%
vertical median 2.4%
below median (−384.6%)
Net margin
-0.3%
vertical median -0.4%
at median
EBIT margin
-0.3%
vertical median -2.6%
above median
Revenue YoY
4.5%
vertical median 14.1%
below median (−68.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.3x
Dividend yield
4.7%
vertical median 1.8%
above median (+157.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JLLJones Lang LaSalle Incorporated17.8 bn16.914.7%3.9%+11.4%+20% / +151%
COMPCompass, Inc.7.6 bn180.83.6%0.6%+23.7%−4% / +352%
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp3.9 bn—-10.9%-4.7%+1.3%+110% / +57%
OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.1.9 bn—-196.9%-46.7%−15.2%−74% / −34%
MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.1.1 bn79.32.4%1.8%+8.5%+1% / −14%
AGNTAgnt, Inc.713.6 m—-6.9%-0.3%+4.5%−57% / −70%
OMHOhmyhome Limited346.1 m—-164.6%-75.2%+19.5%−63% / −83%
DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.151.8 m5.616.3%2.5%+3.8%−37% / −14%
LHAILinkhome Holdings Inc.15.8 m—-5.6%-1.4%+175.7%−92% / unavailable
PETZTDH Holdings, Inc.12.8 m7.36.2%143.8%+122.0%+25% / −10%
OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc.11.8 m—-116.9%-11.3%−38.2%+19% / −78%
FTHMFathom Holdings Inc.6.1 m—-79.0%-6.3%+25.4%−86% / −94%
LRHCStratum Holdings Corp.1.4 m——-46.4%+16.7%−100% / unavailable
NMRKNewmark Group, Inc.—17.510.9%4.1%+20.3%−29% / +50%
BEKEKE Holdings Inc.—154.84.4%3.2%+5.6%+8% / +17%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AGNT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    AGNT, Inc., formerly eXp World Holdings, is the holding company for the eXp Realty brokerage, which runs a cloud model with agents across several countries, expanded in 2026 by the NextHome acquisition. With the residential market still constrained by high mortgage rates and low inventory, the company reported a record revenue quarter and more transactions, with revenue of 1 billion USD in Q2 2026, up 11%3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A cloud platform with low fixed costs and a large agent network gives operational flexibility. The company reported a record revenue and transaction quarter in 2026 3.
    • A debt-free balance sheet, even after the NextHome acquisition paid from cash on hand, provides a solid financial cushion. The company also paid quarterly dividends 3.
    • Diversification into several brokerage models, including the NextHome franchise and the SUCCESS brand, widens the affiliation options for agents 2.

    Weaknesses

    • The company posted net losses in 2025 and in Q2 2026, and technology and legal costs have risen considerably 13.
    • A lower agent satisfaction score, measured by aNPS, points to pressure on long-term retention 3.
    • The international segment and Other Affiliated Services reported operating losses, which limits their contribution to profit 1.

    Opportunities

    • If mortgage rates ease, housing demand could recover and transaction volumes could rise on the existing platform 2.
    • Expansion into new countries and the integration of NextHome could open new revenue sources for the cloud brokerage 13.
    • The LYVVE platform and AI tools could raise agent productivity if adoption remains effective 1.

    Threats

    • Commission rules and antitrust litigation could raise costs or change the compensation structure across the sector 1.
    • Commission pressure from non-traditional platforms and low-fee brokers could compress margins 1.
    • Changes in economic and trade policy and geopolitical risks could affect housing demand and international operations 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on the U.S. residential markethigh

      Results depend heavily on transaction volumes and home prices, which are shaped by interest rates, inflation and affordability 1.

    • Antitrust litigation and commission ruleshigh

      The company is a party to antitrust class actions in the U.S. and Canada, and sector settlements could require changes to its compensation model 1.

    • Agent retentionmedium

      Success depends on attracting and keeping agents, and competition for talent and changes in the profession could shrink the agent base 1.

    • Artificial intelligence risksmedium

      Using AI tools may produce errors, privacy problems and compliance issues that affect reputation 1.

    • Seasonality and climate factorslow

      Revenue is concentrated in spring and summer quarters, and extreme weather can disrupt transactions and quarterly results 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the recovery in transaction volumes holds and operating costs keep falling, margins could rise meaningfully from recent levels. The NextHome acquisition and the cloud platform could support durable growth 23.
    • The company has a debt-free balance sheet and cash, which could allow investment in technology and expansion without outside financing. High retention among top producers suggests a stable revenue base 3.
    • Diversification across several brokerage models and new international markets could reduce dependence on a single affiliation model and a single market 13.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company keeps reporting net losses, and technology and legal costs have risen. If rates stay high and sector reforms reduce commissions, margins could stay under pressure 13.
    • Lower agent satisfaction could lead to the loss of productive agents, which would weigh on the long-term revenue base 3.
    • The 2026 guidance includes a wide range of results, and if the market does not improve, the company could land at the lower end of its forecasts 3.

    What to watch

    • Third-quarter results and guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDAQ3 2026
    • Trend in agent satisfaction (aNPS) and agent retention after the NextHome acquisition2026
    • Integration of NextHome and its contribution to revenue and profitabilityQ4 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    AGNT, Inc. (Nasdaq: AGNT) owns a portfolio of integrated service businesses run on a proprietary technology platform, centred on expanding its eXp Realty brokerage. Its cloud model offers agents low entry fees, ownership opportunities and a revenue-sharing plan. The company operates in the United States, Canada and 27 countries, and in May 2026 acquired NextHome, a franchised brokerage network 2.

    Commissions on residential transactions are the main revenue source, shared with affiliated agents and brokers. Beyond brokerage, the company offers CRM tools, the LYVVE property search platform, the FrameVR.io virtual environment, and specialised divisions for land and ranch and for sports and entertainment properties 1.

    The Other Affiliated Services division, which includes SUCCESS magazine and brand, is a small part of revenue and declined in 2025. For 2025 the company reported an operating loss, affected by legal and technology expenses, although revenue grew 4% 1.

    Segments

    North American Realty

    The segment that dominates revenue, active in the United States and Canada, includes residential and commercial brokerage, lead generation and the FrameVR.io platform. In 2025 it represented 96.9% of revenue, and its revenue rose 3% 1.

    Market context

    High mortgage rates, weak affordability and limited inventory could keep transaction volumes below the market's potential. Changes to commission rules and antitrust litigation remain a source of uncertainty for the whole sector 1.

    Trends

    • High mortgage ratesheadwind

      The cost of mortgage credit reduces buying power and delays purchases, especially for first-time buyers. If rates stay high, transaction volume could remain below expectations 1.

    • Recovery in transaction volumestailwind

      The number of transactions and sales volume rose in 2026, supported by agent productivity and higher prices. This signal could support revenue if the market keeps improving 2.

    • Changes to commission rulesmixed

      Sector regulations and settlements on commission transparency could reduce pressure on commission rates or change competitive dynamics. The long-term effect remains uncertain 1.

    • Artificial intelligence and digital platformsmixed

      Adopting AI tools can raise agent efficiency and productivity, but brings reliability, privacy and compliance risks. Changing regulation may limit how quickly they are deployed 1.

    Competitive position

    Residential brokerage competes with local, regional, national and international firms, both for home sales and for attracting agents. The company differentiates itself through its cloud model, low agent costs and an ownership programme, but competitive pressure could reduce commissions 1.

    Non-traditional platforms, listing aggregators and low-commission brokers could change the market structure. The company believes its affiliation alternatives, such as NextHome, extend its competitive position 3.

    • CompassCOMP

      large U.S. residential brokerage with a big agent network; cited as a general type of competitor in the sources reviewed

    • Local and regional independent brokerages

      regional networks competing for sellers, buyers and agents

    • Listing aggregation platforms

      non-traditional platforms that could put pressure on commissions

    • Low-commission brokers

      brokerage models with lower fees that can attract price-sensitive clients

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report08 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 Sept 2026
      Other events
    • Current report08 Sept 2026
      Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
    • Current report04 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report11 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Item 3.03 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report29 May 2026
      Other events
    • Current report12 May 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Quarterly report11 May 2026
    • Current report11 May 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / AGNT, Inc. · 24 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / AGNT, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / AGNT, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.