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olivLaw · US equity research

Compass, Inc. COMP

Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) · SIC 6531 · Vertical: Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531)

10.04USD+7.73% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Compass is a global real estate services firm combining an owned brokerage, a franchise network and integrated title, mortgage and relocation services. After closing its merger with Anywhere in January 2026, the company grew considerably in scale, and quarterly revenue reached 4.31 billion USD in Q2 2026. Results still depend on residential transaction volumes in the U.S., which are sensitive to mortgage rates.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Compass, Inc. (COMP) stock was 10.04 USD (+7.73% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.6 bn USD, P/E 180.8 on diluted EPS of 0.06 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.49, 52-week range 6.68–13.58 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 4.3 bn USD (+109.0% YoY), net income of 92.0 m USD (+135.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.6 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
180.8
Diluted EPS TTM 0.06 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.55%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.49
Volatility (1y) 65%
52-week range
6.6813.58

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
56.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.65 – 10.13
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.94 · band width 15.8%
SMA 50 / 200
9.79 / 9.86
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.05 / -0.12
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.1%−1.1%+9.2 pp—
3 months−21.7%−0.5%−21.3 pp—
6 months+8.7%+4.4%+4.3 pp—
Year to date−5.0%+12.3%−17.3 pp—
1 year+20.1%+13.5%+6.6 pp−32.9%
3 years+358.4%+76.4%+282.0 pp−14.2%
5 years−19.0%+63.7%−82.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.8%
26 Jan 2026 → 07 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−85.3%
09 Nov 2021 → 09 Nov 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.3 bn USD
+109.0% YoY
Net income
92.0 m USD
+135.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.11
+57.1% YoY
net / operating
2.1% / 2.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.5 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn2.1 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn2.7 bn4.3 bn
Research & development47.5 m46.9 m49.9 m63.4 m67.4 m65.1 m——
Operating income-3.4 m-40.6 m-54.0 m39.0 m-7.2 m-41.9 m-351.0 m124.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation20.5 m19.7 m29.0 m29.0 m27.6 m26.9 m163.0 m153.0 m
Interest expense1.5 m1.8 m2.0 m3.0 m2.1 m1.9 m37.0 m41.0 m
Pre-tax income-2.7 m-40.8 m-55.0 m37.0 m-7.8 m-34.6 m-384.0 m87.0 m
Income tax-300.0 k200.0 k-3.0 m0-200.0 k2.2 m-401.0 m5.0 m
Net income-1.7 m-40.5 m-51.0 m39.0 m-4.6 m-42.6 m22.0 m92.0 m
Diluted EPS0.00-0.08 ≈-0.090.07-0.01-0.07 ≈0.030.11
Operating cash flow37.4 m ≈30.5 m23.0 m73.0 m ≈75.4 m ≈45.3 m-157.0 m191.0 m ≈
Capex4.6 m ≈3.8 m4.0 m5.0 m ≈1.3 m ≈3.1 m11.0 m11.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 2-quarter history (min 222.1, median 346.5, max 470.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.4 bn3.7 bn6.4 bn6.0 bn4.9 bn5.6 bn7.0 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+55.9%+72.6%−6.3%−18.8%+15.2%+23.7%
Net income-388.0 m-270.2 m-494.1 m-601.5 m-321.3 m-154.4 m-58.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-2.46-1.51-1.40-0.69-0.31-0.10
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-16.3%-7.3%-7.7%-10.0%-6.6%-2.7%-0.8%
Free cash flow-451.1 m-101.4 m-78.7 m-361.8 m-37.1 m105.8 m203.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
199.0 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-199.0 m USD
Equity
787.0 m USD
Total assets
1.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
0.86x
ROE
-9.8%
ROA
-4.3%
FCF margin
2.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.9 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
7.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
184.5 m
2024
188.8 m
2025
245.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-314.9 m
2024
-154.8 m
2025
-63.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
90.0 m
2024
82.4 m
2025
112.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-224.9 m ≈
2024
-72.4 m ≈
2025
49.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
10.8 m
2024
6.4 m
2025
9.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-321.7 m
2024
-154.9 m
2025
-59.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-400.0 k
2024
-500.0 k
2025
-1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-321.3 m
2024
-154.4 m
2025
-58.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.69
2024
-0.31
2025
-0.10

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
466.5 m
2024
501.5 m
2025
562.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
166.9 m
2024
223.8 m
2025
199.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
36.6 m
2024
48.6 m
2025
57.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
282.0 m
2024
330.0 m
2025
317.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
151.7 m
2024
125.5 m
2025
113.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
209.8 m
2024
233.6 m
2025
479.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
77.6 m
2024
73.8 m
2025
193.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
18.4 m
2024
13.0 m
2025
12.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
292.5 m
2024
353.2 m
2025
367.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
728.3 m
2024
765.6 m
2025
753.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Equity
2023
432.0 m
2024
413.0 m
2025
787.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-25.9 m
2024
121.5 m
2025
216.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
11.2 m
2024
15.7 m
2025
13.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-37.1 m ≈
2024
105.8 m ≈
2025
203.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-11.7 m
2024
-36.6 m
2025
-191.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-157.4 m
2024
-28.0 m
2025
-50.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
23.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
92.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
25.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
154.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
26.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
128.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
163.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
10.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
113.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
180.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
106.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 13 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

10.04 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
180.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
106.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 881derived 72

Score by group

  • Balance sheet0
  • Growth50
  • Valuation6
  • Quality26

Estimated value range

Low
2.13
USD per share
Mid
7.46
USD per share
High
8.26
USD per share
Price: 10.04 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -25.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -34.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.13 – 8.26 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
  • Peers: P/B2.13 – 8.26 (Mid 7.46)
    10 companies used · median multiple 1.9x · quartiles 0.5x – 2.1x
    AGNT, DOUG, FTHM, JLL, LHAI, MMI, OPAD, OPEN, PETZ, VAC
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 13/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality3.6%62 (vs peers)8%
EBITDA margin · Quality0.9%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.0%50 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet25.9x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-3.4x0 (on a fixed band)16%
P/B · Valuation2.6x9 (vs peers)24%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation180.8x0 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality26/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation6/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

COMPASS, INC. (COMP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 23.7%; net margin 0.6%; ROE 3.6%; net debt/EBITDA 25.9x.

The estimated value range is 2.13–8.26 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 7.46 USD, the price of 10.04 USD leaves a potential of -25.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -34.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 13/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • EBITDA margin: 0.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 25.9x
  • Interest coverage: -3.4x
  • P/B: 2.6x
  • P/E (TTM): 180.8x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Dividend yield, Payout ratio (EPS).

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
180.8x
vertical median 17.2x
above median (+952.4%)
EV/EBITDA
106.5x
vertical median —
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+17.8%)
P/B
2.6x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+32.1%)
ROE
3.6%
vertical median -5.6%
above median
Net margin
0.6%
vertical median -0.9%
above median
EBIT margin
-2.6%
vertical median -2.3%
below median
Revenue YoY
23.7%
vertical median 10.0%
above median (+137.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
25.9x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JLLJones Lang LaSalle Incorporated17.8 bn16.914.7%3.9%+11.4%+20% / +151%
COMPCompass, Inc.7.6 bn180.83.6%0.6%+23.7%+20% / +358%
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp3.9 bn—-10.9%-4.7%+1.3%+110% / +57%
OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.1.9 bn—-196.9%-46.7%−15.2%−74% / −34%
MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.1.1 bn79.32.4%1.8%+8.5%+1% / −14%
AGNTAgnt, Inc.713.6 m—-6.9%-0.3%+4.5%−62% / −65%
OMHOhmyhome Limited346.1 m—-164.6%-75.2%+19.5%−63% / −83%
DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.151.8 m5.616.3%2.5%+3.8%−37% / −14%
LHAILinkhome Holdings Inc.15.8 m—-5.6%-1.4%+175.7%−92% / unavailable
PETZTDH Holdings, Inc.12.8 m7.36.2%143.8%+122.0%+25% / −10%
OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc.11.8 m—-116.9%-11.3%−38.2%+19% / −78%
FTHMFathom Holdings Inc.6.1 m—-79.0%-6.3%+25.4%−86% / −94%
LRHCStratum Holdings Corp.1.4 m——-46.4%+16.7%−100% / unavailable
BEKEKE Holdings Inc.—154.84.4%3.2%+5.6%+8% / +17%
NMRKNewmark Group, Inc.—17.510.9%4.1%+20.3%−29% / +50%

1- and 3-year price returns: for COMP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
9.47
Total return -6% · Per year -6%
16.74
Total return 67% · Per year 67%
25.21
Total return 151% · Per year 151%
3 years
9.28
Total return -8% · Per year -3%
18.45
Total return 84% · Per year 22%
30.49
Total return 204% · Per year 45%
5 years
9.09
Total return -9% · Per year -2%
20.33
Total return 102% · Per year 15%
36.87
Total return 267% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.61
  • Net margin± 3.23
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.64
  • Annual dilution± 0.27

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Compass is a global real estate services firm combining an owned brokerage, a franchise network and integrated title, mortgage and relocation services. After closing its merger with Anywhere in January 2026, the company grew considerably in scale, and quarterly revenue reached 4.31 billion USD in Q2 2026 3. Results still depend on residential transaction volumes in the U.S., which are sensitive to mortgage rates.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an integrated technology platform and high agent retention in its owned brokerage 23. The scale gained through the merger gives it a broad portfolio of brands and services.
  • GTV growth ahead of the market over several consecutive quarters points to solid commercial performance 3.
  • The company has shown it can realize cost savings faster than it initially estimated, supporting profitability 3.

Weaknesses

  • Total debt rose considerably after the merger, and interest costs rose with it 1.
  • Integration and transaction costs remain high and can weigh on near-term results 23.
  • Revenue is closely tied to transaction volume, so a weak market hits results directly 1.

Opportunities

  • If the housing market recovers, the company could benefit from higher transaction volume across all segments 3.
  • Extending the Home platform to new agents and franchisees could increase subscription and service revenue 3.
  • Relocation and title services could grow in importance if integration with brokerage works well 12.

Threats

  • High mortgage rates and weak home affordability could keep transaction volume below expectations 1.
  • Regulatory changes and government investigations could force further changes to business practices 1.
  • Competition for agents and clients could raise acquisition costs and compress margins 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on transaction volumehigh

    Revenue depends on the number and value of residential transactions. A drop in market activity would directly affect commissions, royalties and title services 1.

  • Post-merger indebtednesshigh

    Higher debt can limit financial flexibility and the ability to raise additional funding. If results fall short of expectations, meeting financial covenants could become difficult 1.

  • Integration riskmedium

    Integrating a large organization with different brands and systems can lead to delays, unexpected costs, or the loss of agents and partners 1.

  • Regulation and industry litigationmedium

    The sector's practices are under regulatory attention, and further changes could affect the commission model and the way agents are recruited 1.

  • Agent retentionlow

    Separations of low-earning agents and strategy changes at certain brands can affect the total agent count and their productivity 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the market recovers, the company could benefit from its larger scale and higher transaction volume across all segments.
  • Rapid realization of cost savings could support profitability even in a weak market, as the Q2 2026 report suggests 3.
  • An expanded technology platform and rising adoption of AI tools could strengthen the company's position against rival brokers.

What would break the thesis

  • If mortgage rates stay high, transaction volume could remain weak and revenue could stagnate.
  • Higher debt and interest costs could limit the company's ability to invest and to react to market changes.
  • Slower integration than planned or the loss of agents could reduce expected synergies and pressure margins.

What to watch

  • Realization of cost synergies and the updated annual target2026
  • Brokerage GTV growth relative to the marketQ3 2026
  • Agent retention rate and total agent countQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Compass, Inc., also known as Compass International Holdings, was incorporated in Delaware in 2012 and is based in New York 1. Its core model is the owned brokerage, in which independent agents associate their license with the company and use its technology platform. Revenue comes mainly from its share of the gross sales commissions agents earn on home sales, plus transaction fees 1. The Anywhere merger added many brands and services, including relocation 12.

The proprietary technology platform, called Home in the latest report, brings customer relationship management, marketing, data analytics and AI tools into a single login 2. It is currently offered to agents in the Compass owned brokerage and, since July 2026, to some agents at other brands, with rollout to the franchise network planned for 2027 3. The goal is for agents to manage the whole transaction without leaving the platform.

Segments

Brokerage

The owned brokerage, operated mainly under the Compass, Corcoran, Coldwell Banker, Sotheby's International Realty and @properties brands, generates most of the revenue. Brokerage gross transaction value was 155.2 billion USD in Q2 2026 3. The company reported 15.9% growth in GTV year over year on a pro forma basis, against a market increase of 6% 3.

Market context

The industry has been shaped by practice changes required under the NAR antitrust settlement, in effect since August 2024 1. The company says the Department of Justice continues to focus on the sector, which could lead to further practice changes 1. The ultimate effect depends on future developments that the company considers hard to predict 1.

Trends

  • Consolidation in brokeragemixed

    The Anywhere merger brought a much larger market share and an expanded franchise network, which could strengthen the company's negotiating position 12. Consolidation could improve efficiency if the integration proceeds as planned.

  • Mortgage rates and transaction volumemixed

    High mortgage rates discourage sellers and buyers and reduce transaction volume, hitting both commissions and title and mortgage services 1. If rates ease, market activity could recover, supporting the company's revenue.

  • Adoption of the platform and AI toolstailwind

    Extending the Home platform to many new agents and the use of the AI assistant show growing agent interest in digital tools 3. If adoption continues, it could support agent retention and operating efficiency.

  • Debt and integration cost pressureheadwind

    Higher debt after the merger and large integration costs could limit financial flexibility and weigh on profitability in the near term 12. Cost reductions and cash generation could ease this pressure.

Competitive position

The U.S. residential brokerage market is dominated by large firms competing for commissions, agents and clients. Compass differentiates itself through technology and through the scale resulting from the Anywhere merger 1. Competition for agents and listings is intense, and agent retention remains a key indicator 3.

In title, mortgage and relocation services, the company competes with specialist firms and banks, while in franchising it competes with national networks of independent brokers 1. Competitive pressure tends to rise when market volume falls, as firms fight for a larger share of the same transactions 1.

  • Rocket-Redfin

    A partner of Compass for Coming Soon listings on the Redfin platform, but also a competitor for generating real estate leads 3.

  • Other franchise networks

    Other real estate franchise operators compete with Compass brands for independent brokers choosing a network 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Compass, Inc. · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Compass, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Compass, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.