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olivLaw · US equity research

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. MMI

Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) · SIC 6531 · Vertical: Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531)

29.55USD+4.05% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Marcus & Millichap is a national commercial real estate services firm specializing in investment sales, financing, research and advisory, with a focus on the 1 million to 10 million dollar private client segment. The company returned to revenue growth in 2026 after a difficult period for commercial real estate, and its performance depends on a recovery in transaction volume.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI) stock was 29.55 USD (+4.05% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.1 bn USD, P/E 79.3 on diluted EPS of 0.37 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.82%, beta 0.77, 52-week range 25.01–32.75 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 202.9 m USD (+17.8% YoY), net income of 3.9 m USD, diluted EPS 0.10 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.1 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
79.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.37 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.26%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.82%
Beta (2y)
0.77
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
25.0132.75

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
26.96 – 29.19
above the upper band · %B 1.16 · band width 7.9%
SMA 50 / 200
29.51 / 28.78
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.18 / -0.45
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+3.2%−1.1%+4.3 pp—
3 months−5.4%−0.5%−5.0 pp—
6 months+1.9%+4.4%−2.5 pp—
Year to date+8.3%+12.3%−4.0 pp—
1 year+0.5%+13.5%−13.1 pp−32.9%
3 years−6.9%+76.4%−83.3 pp−12.2%
5 years−40.7%+63.7%−104.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−19.3%
11 Nov 2025 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−56.0%
05 Apr 2022 → 12 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
202.9 m USD
+17.8% YoY
Net income
3.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.10
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.9% / 1.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue168.5 m240.1 m145.0 m172.3 m193.9 m244.0 m171.5 m202.9 m
SG&A70.7 m76.3 m71.6 m71.6 m72.5 m70.7 m71.2 m71.7 m
Operating income-11.5 m6.7 m-17.7 m-9.0 m-2.4 m15.4 m-5.8 m2.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.6 m5.3 m2.8 m3.2 m2.7 m3.4 m2.4 m2.3 m
Interest expense208.0 k201.0 k187.0 k200.0 k197.0 k189.0 k153.0 k140.0 k
Pre-tax income-6.4 m11.5 m-13.9 m-3.7 m1.5 m19.2 m-2.2 m6.3 m
Income tax-967.0 k2.9 m-9.5 m7.3 m1.2 m5.9 m934.0 k2.4 m
Net income-5.4 m8.5 m-4.4 m-11.0 m240.0 k13.3 m-3.1 m3.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.140.22 ≈-0.11-0.280.010.34 ≈-0.080.10
Operating cash flow15.2 m ≈56.7 m-52.8 m21.0 m ≈52.2 m ≈46.3 m-27.6 m22.2 m ≈
Capex2.0 m ≈1.5 m1.5 m1.7 m ≈2.3 m ≈2.4 m3.0 m945.0 k ≈
Dividends paid150.0 k ≈9.7 m697.0 k9.9 m ≈178.0 k ≈9.8 m775.0 k9.6 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈231.0 k425.0 k7.0 m ≈577.0 k ≈17.4 m24.9 m545.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 93 percentile of its own 28-quarter history (min 8.4, median 18.2, max 90.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue814.8 m806.4 m716.9 m1.3 bn1.3 bn645.9 m696.1 m755.2 m
Revenue YoY+13.2%−1.0%−11.1%+80.8%+0.4%−50.4%+7.8%+8.5%
Net income87.3 m76.9 m42.8 m142.5 m104.2 m-34.0 m-12.4 m-1.9 m
Net income YoY+69.4%−11.8%−44.3%+232.6%−26.8%−132.7%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS2.221.951.083.552.59-0.88-0.32-0.05
Diluted EPS YoY+68.2%−12.2%−44.6%+228.7%−27.0%−134.0%unavailableunavailable
net %10.7%9.5%6.0%11.0%8.0%-5.3%-1.8%-0.3%
Free cash flow109.2 m16.5 m31.1 m249.0 m2.0 m-81.8 m13.8 m58.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
161.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
603.1 m USD
Total assets
827.2 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.55x
ROE
-0.3%
ROA
-0.2%
FCF margin
7.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
645.9 m
2024
696.1 m
2025
755.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
285.0 m
2024
280.9 m
2025
286.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-59.4 m
2024
-32.9 m
2025
-13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
13.6 m
2024
16.6 m
2025
12.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-45.7 m ≈
2024
-16.3 m ≈
2025
-1.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
888.0 k
2024
812.0 k
2025
773.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-40.4 m
2024
-13.0 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-6.4 m
2024
-666.0 k
2025
4.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-34.0 m
2024
-12.4 m
2025
-1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.88
2024
-0.32
2025
-0.05

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
38.7 m
2024
38.7 m
2025
38.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
170.8 m
2024
153.4 m
2025
161.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
393.7 m
2024
410.3 m
2025
309.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
27.5 m
2024
26.1 m
2025
23.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
38.0 m
2024
37.6 m
2025
37.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
13.1 m
2024
5.9 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
878.4 m
2024
869.8 m
2025
827.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
8.1 m
2024
13.7 m
2025
11.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
105.3 m
2024
133.0 m
2025
121.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
233.1 m
2024
239.0 m
2025
224.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
645.3 m †
2024
630.8 m †
2025
603.1 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-72.4 m
2024
21.7 m
2025
66.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
9.4 m
2024
7.9 m
2025
7.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-81.8 m ≈
2024
13.8 m ≈
2025
58.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
74.9 m
2024
-9.9 m
2025
-3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-67.7 m
2024
-28.8 m
2025
-54.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
20.1 m
2024
20.2 m
2025
20.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
39.4 m
2024
785.0 k
2025
25.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
324.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
24.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
14.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
93.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
8.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
84.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
458.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
77.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
79.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 45 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

29.55 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
79.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1868derived 142

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth0
  • Quality23
  • Returns40
  • Valuation48

Estimated value range

Low
8.30
USD per share
Mid
30.17
USD per share
High
34.69
USD per share
Price: 29.55 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 2.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 2.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 8.30 – 34.69 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/B8.30 – 34.69 (Mid 30.17)
    10 companies used · median multiple 2.0x · quartiles 0.5x – 2.3x
    AGNT, COMP, DOUG, FTHM, JLL, LHAI, OPAD, OPEN, PETZ, VAC
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 45/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality2.4%54 (vs peers)8%
EBITDA margin · Quality2.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-16.6%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet14.0x100 (on a fixed band)16%
P/B · Valuation1.9x55 (vs peers)24%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation79.3x33 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returns1.8%40 (vs peers)19%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality23/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial40/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation48/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MARCUS & MILLICHAP, INC. (MMI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 755.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.5%; net margin 1.8%; ROE 2.4%.

The estimated value range is 8.30–34.69 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 30.17 USD, the price of 29.55 USD leaves a potential of 2.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 2.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 45/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Interest coverage: 14.0x

What contradicts it

  • EBITDA margin: 2.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -16.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, Payout ratio (EPS).

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Agents & Managers (For Others) (SIC 6531) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
79.3x
vertical median 17.2x
above median (+361.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+125.3%)
P/B
1.9x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−7.5%)
ROE
2.4%
vertical median -5.6%
above median
Net margin
1.8%
vertical median -0.9%
above median
EBIT margin
1.2%
vertical median -2.6%
above median
Revenue YoY
8.5%
vertical median 14.1%
below median (−39.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.3x
Dividend yield
1.8%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−35.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JLLJones Lang LaSalle Incorporated17.8 bn16.914.7%3.9%+11.4%+20% / +151%
COMPCompass, Inc.7.6 bn180.83.6%0.6%+23.7%−4% / +352%
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp3.9 bn—-10.9%-4.7%+1.3%+110% / +57%
OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.1.9 bn—-196.9%-46.7%−15.2%−74% / −34%
MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.1.1 bn79.32.4%1.8%+8.5%+0% / −7%
AGNTAgnt, Inc.713.6 m—-6.9%-0.3%+4.5%−62% / −65%
OMHOhmyhome Limited346.1 m—-164.6%-75.2%+19.5%−63% / −83%
DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.151.8 m5.616.3%2.5%+3.8%−37% / −14%
LHAILinkhome Holdings Inc.15.8 m—-5.6%-1.4%+175.7%−92% / unavailable
PETZTDH Holdings, Inc.12.8 m7.36.2%143.8%+122.0%+25% / −10%
OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc.11.8 m—-116.9%-11.3%−38.2%+19% / −78%
FTHMFathom Holdings Inc.6.1 m—-79.0%-6.3%+25.4%−86% / −94%
LRHCStratum Holdings Corp.1.4 m——-46.4%+16.7%−100% / unavailable
NMRKNewmark Group, Inc.—17.510.9%4.1%+20.3%−29% / +50%
BEKEKE Holdings Inc.—154.84.4%3.2%+5.6%+8% / +17%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MMI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
16.07
Total return -46% · Per year -46%
28.55
Total return -3% · Per year -3%
43.20
Total return 46% · Per year 46%
3 years
12.76
Total return -57% · Per year -24%
25.77
Total return -13% · Per year -4%
43.20
Total return 46% · Per year 13%
5 years
10.13
Total return -66% · Per year -19%
23.25
Total return -21% · Per year -5%
43.20
Total return 46% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.44
  • Net margin± 4.51
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.07
  • Annual dilution± 0.38

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Marcus & Millichap is a national commercial real estate services firm specializing in investment sales, financing, research and advisory, with a focus on the 1 million to 10 million dollar private client segment. The company returned to revenue growth in 2026 after a difficult period for commercial real estate, and its performance depends on a recovery in transaction volume.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading national position in the private client segment, high transaction volume and a large network of professionals give the company a clear advantage over smaller firms.
  • An integrated brokerage and financing platform, supported by proprietary tools such as MNet, allows fast matching of sellers and buyers.
  • A strong research division supports the company's reputation in business media and helps attract clients and professionals.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue is sensitive to transaction volume, and the company struggled to stay profitable during the slowdowns of 2023 and 2024.
  • The commission model for agents creates large variable costs that rise with revenue and can limit operating margins.
  • Dependence on a relatively small group of key professionals and on retaining them is an operational vulnerability.

Opportunities

  • The fragmented private segment offers room for consolidation through acquisitions, which could expand the company's market share.
  • The return of regional banks and lenders to the market could open new financing opportunities for private clients.
  • New tax rules could encourage investment in commercial property and increase demand for the company's services.

Threats

  • High or volatile interest rates could reduce investor activity and keep the gap between seller and buyer pricing wide.
  • An economic recession could weigh on demand for commercial space and reduce transaction volume.
  • Competitors with greater resources could capture market share in the larger and more institutional segments.

Risks

  • Sensitivity to economic conditionshigh

    Transaction volume and company revenue depend on the economy and the property market. A deterioration in conditions could significantly reduce commissions.

  • Interest rates and access to capitalhigh

    Credit market constraints and interest rate changes can slow transactions and lower property prices, with a direct effect on revenue.

  • Retention of professionalsmedium

    The ability to attract and keep sales and financing professionals is essential. Losing a large number of agents could affect business volume.

  • Loss-sharing obligationsmedium

    The loss-sharing obligation under the M&T Realty Capital agreement could affect results if multifamily loans deteriorate.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    Technology interruptions or cyberattacks could affect the MNet platform, the company's reputation and client data.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Quarterly revenue grew nearly 18% in the second quarter of 2026, and the company returned to net profit, suggesting the market recovery could be consolidating 3.
  • A leading position in the large and fragmented private segment could support long-term growth through consolidation and service expansion.
  • A solid balance sheet and the repurchase and dividend program show that management can invest in the platform while returning capital to shareholders.

What would break the thesis

  • The gap between asking and offer prices remains wide, and the company has warned that these challenges could persist through 2026 3.
  • Revenue remains sensitive to interest rates and recession risk, which could again reduce transaction volume if the economy weakens.
  • Commission costs paid to agents, which rise when sales grow, could limit any improvement in operating margins.

What to watch

  • Trend in brokerage and financing revenue and in the gap between asking and offer pricesQ3 2026
  • Development in the number of sales and financing professionalsnext 10-Q
  • Federal Reserve interest rate policy and its effect on financing costs2026
  • Progress of the share repurchase program and the semi-annual dividendnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Marcus & Millichap, Inc. (MMI) is a commercial real estate services firm that sells and finances commercial properties and provides research and advisory services. In 2025, its 1,808 investment sales and financing professionals, mostly commission-based independent contractors, closed 8,818 transactions with total volume of about 50.8 billion dollars 1. The company relies on an integrated model in which brokerage and financing teams work side by side in the same offices, and its proprietary MNet platform connects sellers with buyers across North America 1.

Revenue is dominated by brokerage commissions, which accounted for about 84% of 2025 revenue, while financing fees were about 14% 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the commission share edged down to about 82% 2. The research division is also a major source of market information, producing more than 1,500 publications a year that are frequently cited in business media 1.

The company focuses on the private client segment, which generated a large share of brokerage commissions in 2025, differentiating it from competitors that concentrate on larger and more volatile transactions 1. Through semi-annual dividends and share repurchases it returns capital to shareholders, and quarterly revenue grew year on year 3.

Segments

Investment brokerage

Brokerage is the primary revenue source, in which the company represents property owners as exclusive broker in selling commercial properties. Commissions are calculated as a percentage of sale price and are generally higher for smaller transactions 1. In the second quarter of 2026 brokerage revenue rose 18.1% year on year 3.

Financing services

The financing division, through Marcus & Millichap Capital Corporation, acts as a financial intermediary placing senior debt, mezzanine and preferred equity. Financing fees rose 15.3% in the second quarter of 2026, helped by higher financing volume 3. The strategic alliance with M&T Realty Capital also brings multifamily agency financing 1.

Market context

The US commercial property market is recovering after the slowdown of 2023 and 2024, when company revenue fell sharply. Transaction activity rose 17% in 2025 compared with 2024, and in 2026 activity continues to improve, although gaps between seller and buyer pricing remain wide 13. The private client segment, which accounts for more than 80% of US commercial transactions above one million dollars, remains highly fragmented, with the top 10 brokers led by MMI holding an estimated 18% share 3.

Interest rates and access to financing are the main factors driving transaction pace. The company expects near-term challenges to extend through 2026 but believes the market can return to long-term growth 3. Recent tax policy, including bonus depreciation, could support property investment if economic uncertainty eases 1.

Trends

  • Recovery in transaction activitytailwind

    Transaction volume grew in 2025 and continued to rise in 2026, supported by recalibrated property prices and more active regional banks. If this recovery consolidates, brokerage revenue could keep growing 13.

  • High cost of capitalheadwind

    High interest rates and uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy keep widening the gap between sellers and buyers, which can delay deals. The company flagged volatile borrowing costs as a risk factor for the rest of 2026 3.

  • Office demand and reduced spaceheadwind

    Hybrid work has reduced demand for office space, which could lower transaction volume and property values in this segment. Office demand shows signs of improvement, but vacancy rates remain elevated 1.

  • Tax and regulatory policymixed

    The tax law passed in July 2025 provides benefits to real estate investors, including bonus depreciation and interest deductibility, which could stimulate investment if stability holds 1. However, shifting tariff and trade policy creates uncertainty for investors 2.

Competitive position

The brokerage market for commercial properties priced between 1 and 10 million dollars is highly fragmented, with local and regional competitors that have strong client relationships. The company says its top 10 brokers, led by MMI, held about 18% of the segment in 2025, leaving room for consolidation 13.

National competitors often focus on larger and institutional transactions and are more exposed to volatility. The company believes its national network and integrated brokerage and financing model differentiate it, but competition from better-resourced firms remains a risk 1.

  • CBRE GroupCBRE

    Larger national competitor active across commercial transactions of varying sizes, named as a well-resourced rival in the company's sources.

  • JLLJLL

    Global real estate services firm competing in commercial investment sales and financing, also at a larger scale.

  • Colliers International

    Global commercial real estate services competitor active in investment and financing in the North American market.

  • Local and regional brokers

    Smaller firms with strong local client relationships that form an important part of competition in the private client market.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Marcus & Millichap, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Marcus & Millichap, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Marcus & Millichap, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.