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olivLaw · US equity research

Airgain, Inc. AIRG

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment · SIC 3663 · Vertical: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663)

4.23USD+0.48% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Airgain, Inc. is a provider of wireless connectivity solutions for the enterprise, automotive and consumer markets, moving from RF components toward integrated systems combining hardware, software and cloud management. Sales fell 14.6% in 2025, but rose 19.1% sequentially in the second quarter of 2026, which makes the progress of the AirgainConnect and Lighthouse platforms relevant.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) stock was 4.23 USD (+0.48% on the day), with market capitalisation 55.4 m USD, beta 0.87, 52-week range 3.07–7.39 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 13.7 m USD (+0.6% YoY), net income of -1.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.13 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
55.4 m USD
shares as of 29 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.56 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-13.31%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.87
Volatility (1y) 59%
52-week range
3.077.39

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.94 – 4.26
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.91 · band width 7.8%
SMA 50 / 200
4.69 / 5.49
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.14 / -0.20
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.7%−1.1%+1.8 pp—
3 months−26.0%−0.5%−25.6 pp—
6 months−40.0%+4.4%−44.4 pp—
Year to date+4.2%+12.3%−8.1 pp—
1 year+2.4%+13.5%−11.1 pp+0.5%
3 years+34.7%+76.4%−41.7 pp+53.9%
5 years−62.3%+63.7%−126.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−46.1%
02 Jun 2026 → 08 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−85.3%
17 Dec 2021 → 10 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−17.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
13.7 m USD
+0.6% YoY
Net income
-1.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.13
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-12.5% / -12.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue16.1 m15.1 m12.0 m13.6 m14.0 m12.1 m11.5 m13.7 m
Cost of revenue9.4 m8.7 m6.9 m7.8 m7.9 m6.7 m6.5 m7.9 m
Gross profit6.7 m6.4 m5.2 m5.8 m6.1 m5.4 m5.0 m5.8 m
Research & development2.9 m2.8 m2.5 m2.6 m2.1 m2.4 m2.2 m2.9 m
Operating income-1.8 m-2.0 m-3.1 m-2.0 m-967.0 k-2.4 m-2.1 m-1.7 m
Pre-tax income-1.8 m-2.0 m-1.5 m-1.5 m-954.0 k-2.4 m-1.8 m-1.7 m
Income tax-39.0 k-7.0 k24.0 k14.0 k10.0 k25.0 k72.0 k-28.0 k
Net income-1.8 m-2.0 m-1.5 m-1.5 m-964.0 k-2.4 m-1.9 m-1.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.16-0.17 ≈-0.13-0.12-0.08-0.20 ≈-0.15-0.13
Operating cash flow-1.2 m ≈-26.0 k-1.0 m129.0 k ≈-411.0 k ≈194.0 k-759.0 k-1.8 m ≈
Capex27.0 k ≈1.0 k42.0 k16.0 k ≈7.0 k ≈101.0 k55.0 k35.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue60.6 m55.7 m48.5 m64.3 m75.9 m56.0 m60.6 m51.8 m
Revenue YoY+22.4%−8.1%−13.0%+32.5%+18.1%−26.2%+8.1%−14.6%
Net income-2.6 m926.0 k-3.3 m-10.1 m-8.7 m-12.4 m-8.7 m-6.4 m
Net income YoY−326.5%unavailable−454.1%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.270.09-0.34-1.01-0.85-1.20-0.79-0.54
Diluted EPS YoY−345.5%unavailable−477.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-4.3%1.7%-6.8%-15.7%-11.4%-22.2%-14.3%-12.4%
Free cash flow387.0 k1.2 m3.0 m-11.9 m3.7 m-3.6 m-3.7 m-1.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
7.4 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
28.3 m USD
Total assets
45.3 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.98x
ROE
-21.7%
ROA
-13.7%
FCF margin
-2.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
56.0 m
2024
60.6 m
2025
51.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
35.3 m
2024
35.8 m
2025
29.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
20.8 m
2024
24.8 m
2025
22.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
10.5 m
2024
11.9 m
2025
9.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-12.4 m
2024
-8.9 m
2025
-8.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-12.3 m
2024
-8.8 m
2025
-6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
128.0 k
2024
-152.0 k
2025
73.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-12.4 m
2024
-8.7 m
2025
-6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.20
2024
-0.79
2025
-0.54

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
10.4 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
11.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
7.9 m
2024
8.5 m
2025
7.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
7.4 m
2024
11.7 m
2025
12.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.4 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
3.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
19.1 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
25.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.5 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
10.8 m
2024
10.8 m
2025
10.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
8.2 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
42.2 m
2024
48.4 m
2025
45.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
6.5 m
2024
9.5 m
2025
9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
10.0 m
2024
13.5 m
2025
13.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
10.8 m
2024
17.5 m
2025
17.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
31.4 m †
2024
31.0 m †
2025
28.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-3.3 m
2024
-3.5 m
2025
-1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
346.0 k
2024
178.0 k
2025
166.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-3.6 m ≈
2024
-3.7 m ≈
2025
-1.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-346.0 k
2024
-178.0 k
2025
-389.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-458.0 k
2024
4.3 m
2025
350.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
43.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-23.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-15.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-21.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-2.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
198.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-3.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
93 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
95 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
55.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-13.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

4.23 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 55.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
55.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-23.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1631derived 122

Score by group

72% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality43.4%9 (on a fixed band)15%
EBIT margin · Quality-14.0%40 (vs peers)12%
FCF margin · Quality-5.8%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-12.0%0 (on a fixed band)24%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-14.6%10 (vs peers)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x71 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-5.4%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial71/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth3/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality16/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Airgain, Inc. (AIRG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 51.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -14.6%; net margin -13.6%; ROE -23.7%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.0x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 43.4%
  • FCF margin: -5.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -12.0%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -14.6%
  • FCF yield: -5.4%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment (SIC 3663) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 20.2x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.4x
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 3.8x
below median (−71.3%)
P/B
1.9x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−33.4%)
ROE
-23.7%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−2,577.9%)
Net margin
-13.6%
vertical median -0.0%
below median
EBIT margin
-14.0%
vertical median 1.6%
below median (−979.5%)
Revenue YoY
-14.6%
vertical median 8.6%
below median (−269.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
QCOMQualcomm Inc185.3 bn13.652.8%31.6%−2.6%+3% / +34%
MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.82.2 bn40.077.2%16.5%+8.0%+34% / +54%
UIUbiquiti Inc.34.0 bn35.491.1%29.3%+27.2%−4% / +400%
PLPlanet Labs PBC3.3 bn—-72.0%-95.1%+25.9%+6% / +421%
ONDSOndas Inc.3.0 bn18.020.1%96.0%+605.3%−33% / +381%
VISNVistance Networks, Inc.1.5 bn0.222,304.0%247.7%+39.7%−67% / +286%
HLITHarmonic Inc.1.1 bn—-11.7%-13.7%−26.2%+7% / −8%
BKSYBlacksky Technology Inc686.3 m—-44.8%-61.2%+4.4%−5% / +59%
UMACUnusual Machines, Inc.650.9 m—-2.9%-20.3%+101.2%+49% / unavailable
GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.521.2 m20.85.2%4.6%+47.9%−39% / +10%
AVNWAviat Networks, Inc.254.8 m104.71.0%0.6%+1.2%−10% / −34%
BKTIBK Technologies Corp252.4 m19.730.6%15.0%+12.5%+5% / +415%
CRNTCeragon Networks Ltd176.8 m—-1.2%-0.6%−14.1%−2% / +6%
VUZIVuzix Corp171.4 m—-122.7%-519.0%+9.1%−25% / −3%
SATLSatellogic Inc.87.6 m——-325.6%+37.6%+95% / +140%
AIRGAirgain, Inc.55.4 m—-23.7%-13.6%−14.6%+2% / +35%
WATTEnergous Corporation45.0 m—-32.8%-76.4%+633.1%+30% / −87%
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp37.4 m—-50.5%-14.5%−17.0%−59% / −90%
KUSTKustom Entertainment, Inc.22.6 m—-323.8%-126.5%+1.7%−98% / −100%
ERICEricsson Lm Telephone Co——27.9%12.0%−4.5%+15% / +126%
NOKNokia Corporation——3.1%3.3%+3.5%+36% / +137%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AIRG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Airgain, Inc. is a provider of wireless connectivity solutions for the enterprise, automotive and consumer markets, moving from RF components toward integrated systems combining hardware, software and cloud management. Sales fell 14.6% in 2025, but rose 19.1% sequentially in the second quarter of 2026, which makes the progress of the AirgainConnect and Lighthouse platforms relevant.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Integrated portfolio combining RF expertise with embedded software and cloud platforms, which may raise barriers to entry for competitors.
    • Relationships with mobile network operators, cable operators and original equipment makers, plus carrier certifications in the United States.
    • Gross margin improvement in 2025 and strong sequential growth in the second quarter of 2026 suggest revenue can scale efficiently.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a small number of major customers and channel partners, whose loss could reduce sales significantly.
    • History of net losses and an accumulated deficit, so future profitability remains uncertain.
    • Reliance on external contract manufacturers and single or limited suppliers for some components, which could delay deliveries.

    Opportunities

    • Lighthouse launch in the United States and pilots with a logistics company and a residential community could open new revenue sources.
    • Growing demand for robotics, drones, data center monitoring and utility communications could generate additional revenue.
    • Subscriptions for cloud platforms and device management could create more predictable recurring revenue.

    Threats

    • Competition from component suppliers and from customers developing in-house solutions may reduce prices and market share.
    • Satellite connectivity technologies could reduce demand for terrestrial solutions in some areas.
    • Component supply constraints, trade policies and tariffs may affect costs and deliveries.

    Risks

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      A small number of customers account for a significant part of sales, and losing any of them could reduce revenue materially.

    • Uncertain profitabilityhigh

      The company has reported net losses over several years and carries an accumulated deficit, so future profitability is not assured.

    • Long sales cyclesmedium

      Certifications and trials are not sufficient for volume deployments, and carrier sales cycles can span several quarters.

    • Supply chain disruptionmedium

      Interruptions at contract manufacturers or component shortages could delay shipments and affect margins.

    • Acquisition integrationlow

      Integrating the HPUE line acquired from Nextivity and other assets could present operational difficulties.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the Lighthouse and AirgainConnect platforms reach higher volumes, recurring subscription revenue could meaningfully improve the company's financial profile.
    • The sequential sales and adjusted EBITDA recovery in the second quarter of 2026 could indicate operating leverage if revenue keeps growing.

    What would break the thesis

    • If demand in the enterprise and automotive markets stays weak, revenue could remain below historical levels.
    • The company has a history of losses and an accumulated deficit, and profitability could remain difficult to achieve.
    • Supply constraints for memory and other components could limit consumer sales and pressure margins.

    What to watch

    • Sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the third quarter of 2026Q3 2026
    • Timing of production shipments for robotics and drones and revenue from the data center monitoring design win2027
    • Development of excess inventory at enterprise and automotive customers in the second half of the yearQ4 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Airgain, headquartered in San Diego, California, organizes its activity around three markets: enterprise, automotive and consumer. Products include Smart NCR cellular repeaters, NimbeLink cellular modems, asset trackers, access point and IoT antennas, the AirgainConnect Fleet vehicle system and fleet antennas, and embedded antennas for consumer devices. The company uses an outsourced manufacturing model, retaining oversight of quality and delivery timelines.

    The growth strategy aims to shift from components to wireless systems, with emphasis on AirgainConnect Fleet and Lighthouse. The model includes subscriptions for the AirgainConnect Cloud management platform and the NLink platform, which could bring recurring revenue. The company notes that such systems require carrier certifications and long purchasing cycles.

    On February 20, 2026, Airgain acquired substantially all assets of the HPUE product business from Nextivity, which is included in the automotive market. The transaction involved no cash, equity or other consideration, and the company recorded a non-recurring gain on the acquisition.

    Market context

    Demand in the consumer and enterprise markets was affected in 2025 by excess inventory in distribution channels, and the company anticipates this could extend into the second half of 2026. Component supply constraints, including memory chips, may influence product availability and margins.

    Trends

    • Private 5G networkstailwind

      Enterprises building private 5G networks for factories, logistics and campuses need economical coverage extension, which favors Lighthouse repeaters over full macro cell infrastructure.

    • Satellite competitionmixed

      Direct satellite-to-phone connectivity could reduce demand for some terrestrial solutions in remote areas, but may also create opportunities for hybrid solutions with dedicated antennas.

    • Supply chain and componentsheadwind

      The global shortage of semiconductors, including memory chips, could limit contract manufacturer output and product availability, affecting both Airgain's revenue and margins.

    Competitive position

    Airgain faces intense competition from component suppliers and from its own customers, some of whom may develop in-house solutions. The company says its differentiation comes from RF expertise, embedded software and cloud platforms, but the competitive landscape also includes new entrants.

    In the repeater and fleet connectivity markets, competition comes from established suppliers and alternative solutions such as DAS or small cells. Price pressure from cost-conscious customers could force price reductions.

    • Nextivity

      Supplier whose HPUE product business Airgain acquired assets from in February 2026, indicating a close market relationship.

    • Satellite direct-to-phone providers

      Satellite connectivity operators that may compete with terrestrial networks in remote areas but also create demand for hybrid solutions.

    • DAS and small cell providers

      Alternative solutions for extending coverage in buildings and campuses, competing with Lighthouse repeaters.

    • Consumer device makers and ODMs

      Airgain customers that may develop in-house antennas, representing both customers and potential competitors.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Airgain, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Airgain, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Airgain, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.