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olivLaw · US equity research

Autolus Therapeutics plc AUTL

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · SIC 2836 · Vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

1.42USD−6.58% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Autolus Therapeutics is an early commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures next-generation programmed T cell therapies for cancer and autoimmune diseases, with its approved product AUCATZYL authorised for adults with relapsed or refractory B-cell precursor ALL. Product sales grew quickly through 2026 and the company raised its revenue guidance, while it still reports net losses and strengthens its financing. What matters now is whether quarterly sales of 45.7 million USD and a 55% gross margin in the second quarter of 2026 can be sustained.

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) stock was 1.42 USD (−6.58% on the day), with market capitalisation 378.0 m USD, beta 1.46, 52-week range 1.21–2.54 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 45.7 m USD (+118.4% YoY), net income of -39.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
378.0 m USD
shares as of 10 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.06 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-74.61%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.46
Volatility (1y) 75%
52-week range
1.212.54

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
31.9
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.43 – 1.85
below the lower band · %B -0.02 · band width 25.7%
SMA 50 / 200
1.89 / 1.67
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.10 / -0.10
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−20.2%−2.3%−17.9 pp—
3 months−22.0%−0.8%−21.2 pp—
6 months−9.6%+4.7%−14.3 pp—
Year to date−28.6%+10.2%−38.8 pp—
1 year−8.4%+10.3%−18.6 pp−15.6%
3 years−65.3%+73.0%−138.3 pp−25.1%
5 years−76.1%+61.8%−137.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−44.1%
19 Aug 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−84.4%
11 Jan 2024 → 10 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.9%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
45.7 m USD
+118.4% YoY
Net income
-39.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.15
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-85.6% / -95.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue029.0 k9.0 m20.9 m21.2 m24.3 m26.2 m45.7 m
Cost of revenue011.4 m18.0 m24.4 m28.6 m25.3 m24.6 m20.5 m
Research & development40.3 m30.8 m26.7 m27.4 m27.9 m35.6 m21.2 m27.9 m
SG&A27.3 m34.3 m29.5 m30.3 m36.3 m35.8 m40.0 m41.2 m
Operating income-67.9 m-75.9 m-65.2 m-61.2 m-71.6 m-72.5 m-59.5 m-43.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.9 m ≈1.9 m2.0 m2.1 m ≈2.1 m ≈2.1 m2.2 m2.2 m ≈
Interest expense10.7 m-30.8 m10.1 m-6.8 m10.5 m22.8 m11.1 m-2.7 m
Pre-tax income-82.1 m-26.1 m-67.9 m-47.5 m-78.6 m-91.5 m-70.7 m-38.6 m
Income tax22.0 k1.5 m2.2 m397.0 k532.0 k-1.2 m863.0 k465.0 k
Net income-82.1 m-27.6 m-70.2 m-47.9 m-79.1 m-90.3 m-71.6 m-39.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.31-0.10 ≈-0.26-0.18-0.30-0.34 ≈-0.27-0.15
Operating cash flow-76.7 m ≈-37.9 m-75.6 m-72.8 m ≈-67.9 m ≈-67.3 m-65.3 m-25.1 m ≈
Capex9.6 m ≈11.1 m8.2 m7.3 m ≈4.4 m ≈-885.0 k2.7 m913.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.4 m2.9 munavailableunavailableunavailable1.7 m10.1 m75.4 m
Revenue YoY−16.9%+106.7%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+496.0%+644.9%
Net income-44.8 m-123.8 m-142.1 m-142.1 m-148.8 m-208.4 m-220.7 m-287.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-2.88-2.76-1.97-1.57-1.20-0.86-1.08
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-3,180.6%-4,258.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable-12,272.3%-2,180.5%-381.4%
Free cash flow-40.7 m-119.8 m-132.4 m-126.7 m-123.1 m-156.6 m-228.3 m-302.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
104.1 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
178.1 m USD
Total assets
589.1 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
5.94x
ROE
-95.0%
ROA
-41.9%
FCF margin
-401.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.7 m
2024
10.1 m
2025
75.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
0
2024
11.4 m
2025
96.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.7 m ≈
2024
-1.3 m ≈
2025
-21.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
130.5 m
2024
138.4 m
2025
117.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
46.7 m
2024
101.7 m
2025
131.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-179.7 m
2024
-241.4 m
2025
-270.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
6.6 m
2024
7.6 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-173.1 m ≈
2024
-233.9 m ≈
2025
-262.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
45.1 m
2024
9.3 m
2025
36.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-208.4 m
2024
-219.1 m
2025
-285.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-19.0 k
2024
1.5 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-208.4 m
2024
-220.7 m
2025
-287.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.20
2024
-0.86
2025
-1.08

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
173.9 m
2024
255.2 m
2025
266.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
239.6 m
2024
227.4 m
2025
104.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
109.0 k
2024
15.0 k
2025
24.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
0
2024
4.1 m
2025
33.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
275.3 m
2024
660.9 m
2025
435.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
34.9 m
2024
49.6 m
2025
63.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
12.4 m
2025
19.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
375.4 m
2024
782.7 m
2025
589.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
103.0 k
2024
2.0 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
44.7 m
2024
60.7 m
2025
73.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
263.9 m
2024
355.4 m
2025
410.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
111.5 m †
2024
427.3 m †
2025
178.1 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2023verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-145.6 m
2024
-206.3 m
2025
-283.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
11.0 m
2024
22.1 m
2025
19.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-156.6 m ≈
2024
-228.3 m ≈
2025
-302.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-11.0 m
2024
-394.6 m
2025
158.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-883.0 k
2024
589.6 m
2025
-4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
644.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-203.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-210.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-238.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-198.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-133.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-46.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-58.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
4.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-225.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
7.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-232.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
138 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
106 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
12 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
231 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
378.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-74.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
5.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-61.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.42 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 378.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
378.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
5.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-133.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-238.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
644.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 10 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 720derived 50

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-238.7%45 (vs peers)25%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-5.9x0 (on a fixed band)25%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.9x100 (on a fixed band)17%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-61.6%0 (on a fixed band)33%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial45/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 75.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 644.9%; net margin -238.7%; ROE -133.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 4.9x

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: -5.9x
  • FCF yield: -61.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 26.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 20.9x
P/S
3.2x
vertical median 6.8x
below median (−52.8%)
P/B
5.1x
vertical median 2.9x
above median (+73.2%)
ROE
-133.0%
vertical median -48.7%
below median
Net margin
-238.7%
vertical median -141.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-210.8%
vertical median -217.5%
at median
Revenue YoY
644.9%
vertical median 10.0%
above median (+6,379.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMGNAmgen Inc.251.6 bn28.991.5%23.0%+10.0%+35% / +73%
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.211.3 bn—-22.3%-12.5%+2.4%+35% / +122%
MRNAModerna, Inc.88.2 bn—-39.0%-141.4%−39.9%+750% / +184%
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.40.3 bn—-79.1%—unavailable+142% / +707%
BIIBBiogen Inc.36.8 bn106.41.9%3.4%+2.2%+37% / +6%
EXELExelixis, Inc.17.1 bn21.044.3%35.5%+7.0%+59% / +222%
NBIXNeurocrine Biosciences, Inc.14.7 bn21.620.4%19.0%+21.4%−4% / +25%
RGENRepligen Corp11.1 bn—-0.6%-1.5%+16.4%+1% / +10%
QGENQiagen N.V.10.9 bn26.011.6%20.3%+5.7%+5% / +19%
CRSPCrispr Therapeutics AG4.8 bn—-25.6%-1,812.1%−90.6%−7% / −25%
IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.3.6 bn—-40.4%-89.1%+60.6%+225% / +32%
BEAMBeam Therapeutics Inc.2.7 bn—-8.1%-54.7%+120.0%+2% / −8%
RXRXRecursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.2.4 bn—-48.7%-697.1%+26.9%−17% / −44%
MAZEMaze Therapeutics, Inc.1.7 bn—-37.3%-5,343.6%unavailable−20% / unavailable
NVAXNovavax Inc1.6 bn——-59.9%+64.7%+35% / +73%
ALVOAlvotech1.4 bn44.8—4.8%+19.7%−12% / −53%
EVAXEvaxion A1.2 bn—-100.2%-102.4%+125.1%−51% / −93%
DNAGinkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.627.6 m—-56.3%-260.0%−25.1%+6% / −81%
RGNXREGENXBIO Inc.472.7 m—-137.6%-112.6%+104.5%−47% / −63%
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics plc378.0 m—-133.0%-238.7%+644.9%−8% / −65%
FENCFennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.369.6 m—-18.6%-5.5%−6.1%+29% / +23%
SRZNSurrozen, Inc.341.1 m——-2,885.3%−67.4%+75% / +303%
XFORX4 Pharmaceuticals, Inc332.1 m—-113.1%-1,040.1%+150.0%−8% / −86%
ALGSAligos Therapeutics, Inc.196.0 m—-113.6%-2,031.1%−39.5%−52% / −74%
CGENCompugen Ltd187.2 m5.244.8%48.6%+161.1%+27% / +200%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AUTL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Autolus Therapeutics is an early commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops and manufactures next-generation programmed T cell therapies for cancer and autoimmune diseases, with its approved product AUCATZYL authorised for adults with relapsed or refractory B-cell precursor ALL 1. Product sales grew quickly through 2026 and the company raised its revenue guidance, while it still reports net losses and strengthens its financing 123. What matters now is whether quarterly sales of 45.7 million USD and a 55% gross margin in the second quarter of 2026 can be sustained 23.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a product approved in the US, UK and EU, with rapidly growing sales and a rising gross margin 123. It holds proprietary T cell programming technologies and owns a manufacturing site 1.
    • Real-world registry and clinical data support obe-cel's safety profile, which could support uptake in new centres 12. The company also received the Prix Galien UK award for best biotechnology product 2.
    • A multi-indication pipeline offers expansion options that do not depend on a single product 12.

    Weaknesses

    • The company reports large net losses and a significant accumulated deficit, and it has not yet reached profitability 12.
    • Dependence on one commercial product, AUCATZYL, exposes the company to adoption and pricing risk 1.
    • Gross margin was negative in the 2025 quarters and remained low in the first quarter of 2026, showing the fragility of the production economics 23.

    Opportunities

    • Extending AUCATZYL to new centres and growing volumes could further improve margin 23.
    • Results in lupus nephritis and multiple sclerosis could open large markets if favourable 23.
    • Additional credit tranches, conditional on revenue milestones, could provide funding if sales rise 3.

    Threats

    • Competition from approved or developing CAR T and T cell engager therapies could limit market share 1.
    • The company depends on further financing, and dilutive or restrictive terms could affect shareholders 13.
    • Payments under the BioNTech and Blackstone agreements could pressure cash flow 1.

    Risks

    • Continuing losses and need for fundinghigh

      The company is not yet profitable and says losses will continue for the foreseeable future, which could force further equity or debt issuance 12. If financing is not available on acceptable terms, programmes could be delayed or reduced 1.

    • Market uptake of AUCATZYLhigh

      Commercial success depends on acceptance by physicians, patients and payers, and slower uptake than expected could limit revenue 13.

    • Payment obligations to partnersmedium

      The Blackstone and BioNTech agreements involve milestone and revenue-sharing payments that could increase cash requirements and affect liquidity 1.

    • Manufacturing and supply chain risksmedium

      Autologous cell production is complex, and problems at the Stevenage facility could affect deliveries and margin 13.

    • Regulatory and clinical riskslow

      Studies for new indications could require additional trials or produce unfavourable results, delaying or halting development 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Sales grew quickly, gross margin rose sharply and 2026 guidance was raised, which could signal a commercial inflection point if the trend continues 23.
    • Favourable clinical data in lupus, multiple sclerosis and paediatric ALL could expand the commercial potential beyond the current indication 23.
    • The credit facility and cost reductions could extend financial runway until AUCATZYL becomes more profitable 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company is not yet profitable, and large losses and an accumulated deficit remain, which could force further dilutive financing 12.
    • Dependence on one product and on adoption in specialist centres could limit growth if the market matures more slowly 12.
    • Competition from large companies with CAR T and T cell engager therapies could reduce market share and pressure prices 1.

    What to watch

    • AUCATZYL net sales in Q3 2026 and delivery against the 140-150 million USD guidanceQ3 2026
    • Longer-term follow-up from the CARLYSLE lupus study and initial ALARIC amyloidosis datayear-end 2026
    • First preliminary results from the BOBCAT study in progressive multiple sclerosisQ1 2027
    • Phase 2 CATULUS data in paediatric ALL and progress of gross margin toward the peak estimate2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Autolus is an early commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures and delivers next-generation programmed T cell therapies for cancer and autoimmune diseases, using proprietary and modular T cell programming technologies 1. Its approved product, AUCATZYL (obe-cel), received FDA approval in November 2024 for adults with relapsed or refractory B-cell precursor ALL, and the US launch took place in January 2025 1. The company relies on its own manufacturing site in Stevenage, UK, and on a commercial distribution partner in the United States 1.

    The core activity centres on obe-cel, a CD19 chimeric antigen receptor with a fast target binding off-rate designed to limit excessive T cell activation 1. Beyond adult ALL, the company is extending obe-cel into paediatric B-ALL and B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, lupus nephritis, progressive multiple sclerosis and other indications, while a separate programme, AUTO8, targets light-chain amyloidosis 12. Partnerships with BioNTech and Blackstone provided funding and rights over future revenues, with later payment obligations 1.

    Segments

    Obe-cel pipeline and other programmes

    The pipeline includes paediatric ALL, lupus nephritis (pivotal LUMINA study, data expected in 2028), progressive multiple sclerosis (BOBCAT study, first preliminary results planned for Q1 2027) and the AUTO8 programme in light-chain amyloidosis 23. The company does not expect sales from other jurisdictions or other programmes to be material in the near term 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in T cell therapy for haematological cancers and autoimmune diseases, where existing treatments such as checkpoint inhibitors and B cell depleting antibodies have limits in efficacy and durability 1. The relapsed ALL market remains characterised by unmet medical need, as patients who relapse typically have poor outcomes 1. The company also describes growing interest in CAR T treatments for autoimmune diseases, based on early data from small studies 1.

    Market uptake depends on the number of authorised centres, reimbursement access and production cost. Autolus reports that sales grew both within existing centres and through expansion into new centres, and registry data from ROCCA, covering approximately 60% of US commercial patients, support the safety profile 12. In Europe the launch is on hold while pricing and feasibility of market entry are still being evaluated 1.

    Trends

    • Rising AUCATZYL sales and improving margintailwind

      Sales grew and gross margin rose from 6% in the first quarter to 55% in the second quarter of 2026, driven by higher volumes and lower cost per batch 3. If this trend continues, the margin could converge toward the company's peak estimate for adult ALL, although the company presents this as a target rather than a guarantee 3.

    • Stronger financing through credit and cost reductionmixed

      The Perceptive credit facility, with further tranches conditional on revenue milestones, and the workforce reduction could extend financial runway if sales follow guidance 23. The company estimates its funds are sufficient into Q2 2028, assuming current operating plans hold 3.

    • Clinical data for new indicationsmixed

      Data from the paediatric, lupus, multiple sclerosis and amyloidosis programmes are expected at different times between year-end 2026 and 2028 23. Favourable results could open new markets, while delays or negative results could postpone any additional revenue 1.

    Competitive position

    The official sources specifically name the approved CD19 CAR T therapies Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus and Breyanzi, developed by Novartis, Kite Pharma and Bristol Myers Squibb, as well as blinatumomab, a CD19 bispecific T cell engager from Amgen, all approved for ALL or B-cell lymphoma 1. Competition also includes the anti-CD20 and anti-BAFF antibodies used in autoimmune disease 1. The company's differentiation rests on fast target binding kinetics and its reported safety profile 1.

    Over the longer term, competitors with CAR T and T cell engager therapies across several indications could limit AUCATZYL's market share, particularly if they obtain comparable data or cost advantages 1. The company also notes that partners such as BioNTech hold rights to related products, which adds a competitive dimension 1.

    • Novartis AG

      Develops Kymriah, a CD19 CAR T therapy approved for ALL and B-cell lymphoma, named in the official sources as a direct competitor 1.

    • Kite Pharma

      Develops Yescarta and Tecartus, CD19 CAR T therapies approved for B-cell lymphoma and ALL 1.

    • Bristol Myers Squibb

      Develops Breyanzi, a CD19 CAR T therapy approved for B-cell lymphoma 1.

    • Amgen

      Makes blinatumomab, a CD19 bispecific T cell engager approved for B-cell ALL that competes for the same patients 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    • Quarterly report11 Aug 2026
    • Current report11 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report03 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report03 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report29 Jun 2026
      Shareholder vote
    • Current report09 Jun 2026
      Other events
    • Quarterly report14 May 2026
    • Current report14 May 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report29 Apr 2026
      Exit or disposal costs · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report16 Apr 2026
      Item 4.01 · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Autolus Therapeutics plc · 27 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Autolus Therapeutics plc · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Autolus Therapeutics plc · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.