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olivLaw · US equity research

Smartbird, Inc. BIRD

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation · SIC 7374 · Vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

1.63USD+2.52% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Smartbird, Inc., formerly known as Allbirds, has moved from a footwear and apparel brand to dedicated AI infrastructure leased to customers in healthcare, pharma, financial services and the public sector. The transition was completed in the second quarter of 2026 after the sale of the historical footwear business, so the company profile differs sharply from earlier reports.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Smartbird, Inc. (BIRD) stock was 1.63 USD (+2.52% on the day), with market capitalisation 92.1 m USD, beta 2.66, 52-week range 1.59–16.99 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 2.8 m USD, net income of -16.4 m USD, diluted EPS -1.79 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
92.1 m USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2021
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -8.99 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-551.74%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.66
Volatility (1y) 220%
52-week range
1.5916.99

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
26.9
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.52 – 3.00
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.07 · band width 65.6%
SMA 50 / 200
2.45 / 3.54
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.24 / -0.16
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−52.2%−1.1%−51.1 pp—
3 months−30.0%−0.5%−29.6 pp—
6 months−73.2%+4.4%−77.6 pp—
Year to date−60.2%+12.3%−72.6 pp—
1 year−80.0%+13.5%−93.5 pp−24.7%
3 years−91.3%+76.4%−167.7 pp−26.7%
5 years−99.7%+63.7%−163.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−90.6%
15 Apr 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.7%
18 Nov 2021 → 03 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−68.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
2.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Net income
-16.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.79
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-593.5% / -387.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue43.0 m55.9 m32.1 m033.0 m47.7 m22.3 m2.8 m
Cost of revenue23.9 m38.4 m17.7 m018.7 m29.9 m16.1 m2.8 m
Gross profit19.1 m17.5 m14.4 m16.2 m14.2 m17.8 m6.2 m—
SG&A31.0 m29.2 m25.2 m5.1 m21.7 m21.4 m18.8 m10.7 m
Operating income-21.8 m-25.8 m-22.8 m-5.1 m-19.9 m-20.7 m-22.0 m-10.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation2.9 m2.2 m1.9 m1.9 m1.9 m2.3 m1.4 m—
Interest expense———0———1.5 m
Pre-tax income-21.1 m-24.7 m-21.8 m-5.1 m-20.3 m-19.4 m-20.6 m-12.8 m
Income tax86.0 k994.0 k66.0 k81.0 k72.0 k174.0 k79.0 k-28.0 k
Net income-21.2 m-25.7 m-21.9 m-15.5 m-20.3 m-19.6 m-20.7 m-16.4 m
Diluted EPS-2.68-3.23 ≈-2.73-1.92-2.49-2.34 ≈-2.37-1.79
Operating cash flow-11.2 m ≈-10.8 m-27.9 m-8.7 m ≈-15.2 m ≈-3.3 m-12.1 m—
Capex656.0 k ≈1.0 m643.0 k728.0 k ≈904.0 k ≈870.0 k72.0 k2.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue193.7 m219.3 m277.5 m297.8 m254.1 m189.8 m152.5 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+13.2%+26.5%+7.3%−14.7%−25.3%−19.7%
Net income-14.5 m-25.9 m-45.4 m-101.4 m-152.5 m-93.3 m-77.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.28-0.49-0.65-0.68-20.10-11.87-9.47
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-7.5%-11.8%-16.4%-34.0%-60.0%-49.2%-50.7%
Free cash flow-13.1 m-48.9 m-75.0 m-121.9 m-41.1 m-68.0 m-58.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
26.7 m USD
Financial debt
17.4 m USD
Net debt
-9.3 m USD
Equity
35.9 m USD
Total assets
109.4 m USD
Debt / equity
0.48x
Current ratio
2.02x
ROE
-112.3%
ROA
-51.8%
FCF margin
-38.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
254.1 m
2024
189.8 m
2025
152.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
149.8 m
2024
108.7 m
2025
89.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
104.2 m
2024
81.1 m
2025
62.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
174.0 m
2024
133.4 m
2025
92.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-153.0 m
2024
-97.6 m
2025
-80.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
21.0 m
2024
12.4 m
2025
8.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-132.0 m ≈
2024
-85.2 m ≈
2025
-71.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2022verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-152.1 m
2024
-91.4 m
2025
-76.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
334.0 k
2024
1.9 m
2025
393.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-152.5 m
2024
-93.3 m
2025
-77.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-20.10
2024
-11.87
2025
-9.47

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
7.6 m
2024
7.9 m
2025
8.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
130.0 m
2024
66.7 m
2025
26.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
8.2 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
6.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
57.8 m
2024
44.1 m
2025
38.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
212.4 m
2024
130.6 m
2025
82.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
26.1 m
2024
17.8 m
2025
10.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
312.7 m
2024
188.9 m
2025
109.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
5.9 m
2024
10.8 m
2025
548.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
17.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
48.6 m
2024
44.4 m
2025
40.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
127.4 m
2024
87.2 m
2025
73.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
185.3 m †
2024
101.7 m †
2025
35.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-30.2 m
2024
-63.9 m
2025
-55.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
10.9 m
2024
4.1 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-41.1 m ≈
2024
-68.0 m ≈
2025
-58.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-7.7 m
2024
2.1 m
2025
-1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
640.0 k
2024
287.0 k
2025
16.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-19.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-20.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
51.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-62.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-69.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-72.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-41.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-164.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-84.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-209.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-39.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Capital expenditure
4.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-43.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
34 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
92.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-551.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-47.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.63 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 92.1 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
92.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
4.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-164.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-72.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-19.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 19 Aug 2026
verified 813derived 82

Score by group

72% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality51.4%29 (on a fixed band)15%
EBIT margin · Quality-69.3%16 (vs peers)12%
FCF margin · Quality-41.4%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-20.0%0 (on a fixed band)24%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-19.7%3 (vs peers)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.7x100 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-47.5%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth1/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality16/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Smartbird, Inc. (BIRD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 152.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -19.7%; net margin -72.8%; ROE -164.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 3.7x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 51.4%
  • EBIT margin: -69.3%
  • FCF margin: -41.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -20.0%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -19.7%
  • FCF yield: -47.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 22.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.5x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−44.1%)
P/B
4.1x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+76.6%)
ROE
-164.0%
vertical median 11.7%
below median (−1,499.4%)
Net margin
-72.8%
vertical median 4.8%
below median (−1,606.7%)
EBIT margin
-69.3%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−1,497.0%)
Revenue YoY
-19.7%
vertical median 7.9%
below median (−348.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.119.8 bn27.777.0%20.1%+6.7%+19% / +32%
WDAYWorkday, Inc.44.4 bn40.916.0%12.3%+13.1%−6% / −25%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.25.9 bn30.1—29.3%+6.6%−12% / −18%
FIRYFiry Inc.4.3 bn—-63.0%-60.2%+12.5%+107% / +94%
FAFirst Advantage Corp3.9 bn160.51.9%1.5%+83.0%+62% / +45%
FIVNFive9, Inc.2.7 bn52.77.9%4.9%+10.3%+86% / −52%
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn15.816.2%18.7%+9.0%+41% / +39%
INFQInfleqtion, Inc.1.9 bn—-70.8%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
INODInnodata Inc1.5 bn32.837.7%14.7%+47.6%−25% / +541%
CLVTClarivate PLC1.4 bn—-8.2%-15.1%−4.0%−44% / −73%
UPWKUpwork Inc.1.3 bn12.916.3%13.5%+2.4%−48% / −27%
LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.1.1 bn56.012.1%2.6%+10.9%−26% / −40%
PLTKPlaytika Holding Corp.808.6 m——-9.9%+8.1%−48% / −76%
YEXTYext, Inc.775.0 m40.627.8%5.9%+6.1%−7% / +18%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc.754.4 m13.318.2%7.6%+21.7%−21% / +1%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.736.5 m—-59.4%-2,356.0%+545.3%−99% / −100%
CARSCars.com Inc.682.5 m22.47.4%4.7%+0.6%+10% / −32%
IBEXIBEX Limited593.6 m14.330.4%7.2%+15.4%+27% / +152%
OOMAOoma, Inc.524.7 m49.811.7%3.6%+6.5%+69% / +64%
GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.475.7 m0.016.5%17.0%−31.0%+19% / −6%
EGHT8x8, Inc.326.4 m55.53.5%0.6%+2.9%+16% / −27%
TCXTucows Inc140.3 m——-21.2%+7.7%−42% / −41%
TRAKRepositrak, Inc.132.7 m18.714.9%32.5%+3.0%−46% / −29%
BIRDSmartbird, Inc.92.1 m—-164.0%-72.8%−19.7%−80% / −91%
VERIVeritone, Inc.56.7 m—-517.7%-117.5%−0.5%−87% / −73%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BIRD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Smartbird, Inc., formerly known as Allbirds, has moved from a footwear and apparel brand to dedicated AI infrastructure leased to customers in healthcare, pharma, financial services and the public sector. The transition was completed in the second quarter of 2026 after the sale of the historical footwear business, so the company profile differs sharply from earlier reports.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The demand-led model avoids speculative infrastructure build-out and reduces the risk of idle capital 2.
    • Long-term contracts with reserved capacity offer predictability over future revenue 2.
    • The sale of the footwear business removed part of the operating expenses and brought a gain on disposal 2.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has reported repeated net losses, and the 2025 annual report flagged substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern 1.
    • Revenue from the new segment is still very small, and the available data do not allow a consistent assessment of margins 2.
    • The company has a record of negative profitability and repeated restructuring charges 3.

    Opportunities

    • Demand from regulated organizations for dedicated AI infrastructure could grow if they want to keep control of their data 2.
    • Expanding contracts to public-sector and defense customers could diversify the customer base 2.
    • Managed and software services could raise the average value of each contract 2.

    Threats

    • If financing is not available on acceptable terms, the company could struggle to invest in hardware 1.
    • Large cloud providers could reduce the appeal of the dedicated model with more flexible pricing 2.
    • Depreciation and long-lived asset impairment could affect the net result in coming periods 1.

    Risks

    • Going concernhigh

      The annual report indicated substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue operating without additional funding 1. If funding is delayed, the growth plan could be affected.

    • Need for additional capitalhigh

      The company must finance hardware before collecting revenue, and equity financing could dilute existing shareholders 12.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      Revenue comes from a small number of large contracts, and losing one customer could have a material effect on revenue 2.

    • Depreciation and restructuringmedium

      The company reported depreciation and restructuring charges in 2026, and more could follow if the plan changes 3.

    • Dependence on hardware suppliersmedium

      The platforms rely on compute and storage equipment bought from third parties, and delays or higher prices could affect deliveries 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If demand for dedicated AI infrastructure keeps growing in regulated sectors, the demand-led model could allow expansion with less capital risk than cloud providers.
    • Long-term contracts with reserved capacity could make revenue more predictable if they can be signed at scale.
    • Exiting the footwear business could simplify the company's structure and reduce losses tied to the old operations.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company has reported repeated net losses and doubts about its ability to continue as a going concern, which could limit its capacity to fund growth.
    • Demand for dedicated infrastructure could remain limited if customers prefer the flexibility of cloud services.
    • Revenue from the new segment is still very small, and the available data do not yet confirm a clear path to profitability.

    What to watch

    • Final first-quarter 2026 results compared with the preliminary estimatesQ1 2026
    • Evolution of AI infrastructure revenue after the first signed contractsQ3 2026
    • How the company finances hardware purchases and how dilution develops2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    According to the quarterly report from August 2026 2, Smartbird provides dedicated AI infrastructure that gives a customer the performance and control of a private AI cluster without building or operating the hardware. The company handles procurement, deployment, operations and hardware refreshes. Revenue comes from leasing this infrastructure, and in the first six months of 2026 leasing AI infrastructure was the only revenue source 2.

    The footwear and apparel business that gave the Allbirds name was sold to a third party in an Asset Sale in the second quarter of 2026, and its operations are presented as discontinued 2. Before this transition, the company was a public benefit corporation with B Corp certification, justifying its activity through environmental conservation 1. This history explains why some figures in the 2025 annual report 1 no longer reflect the current business model.

    The sales model differs from cloud providers: infrastructure is built against customer orders rather than ahead of demand, and customers choose committed contracts ranging from several months to five years with reserved capacity at a fixed price 2. The company does not offer pay-as-you-go pricing, which limits revenue volatility but also contractual flexibility for customers.

    Segments

    Dedicated AI infrastructure

    This is the only segment generating revenue in 2026. Customers lease an entire dedicated cluster, and revenue is recognized as services are provided 2. For the quarter ended March 31, 2026, preliminary revenue was 22.3 million USD, but this still included footwear activity before it was reclassified as discontinued 3.

    Managed services and software

    Besides infrastructure, customers can purchase managed and software services to monitor and administer their computing environments 2. The company has not yet published separate data on how much these services contribute to revenue, so their impact remains unclear.

    Market context

    The market is private AI infrastructure, demanded by organizations that want control over their own AI workloads, particularly in healthcare, pharma, financial services and public agencies 2. The sources provided do not include an estimate of market size or market share, so the competitive position cannot be assessed from official data.

    Demand in this segment could be supported by customers' needs for security and compliance, but the sources do not quantify that demand. A specific risk is that demand depends on individual orders, and without a predictable flow it could be difficult to plan hardware investment 2.

    Trends

    • Demand for control over AI infrastructuretailwind

      Organizations in regulated sectors could prefer dedicated infrastructure over public cloud services if they want to keep control of their data. Smartbird targets exactly this segment 2.

    • Heavy hardware investmentheadwind

      The company must buy and maintain costly equipment before collecting revenue, and cost of net revenue grows as platforms expand 2.

    • Competition from large cloud providersmixed

      Large cloud providers build capacity ahead of demand and can offer pay-per-use pricing, whereas Smartbird starts from firm orders 2. If customers prefer cloud flexibility, demand for the dedicated model could remain limited.

    • Restructuring after the footwear salemixed

      The asset sale and store closures reduced the cost base but brought restructuring and depreciation charges in the first quarter of 2026 3. The net effect depends on how quickly new contracts convert into revenue.

    Competitive position

    The sources provided do not explicitly name competitors in the new AI infrastructure segment. What the annual report does say is that in the old footwear market competitors were larger, with stronger global brand recognition and far greater resources 1. This shows there is no scale advantage the company can rely on.

    In the new model, competition probably comes from cloud providers and infrastructure integrators, but the sources do not name them. The advantage the company claims is its demand-led model and its management of the full hardware lifecycle 2.

    • Large public cloud providers

      Indirect competition for organizations buying AI capacity; the sources do not name them, but their pay-per-use model contrasts with Smartbird's reserved-capacity contracts 2.

    • Private AI infrastructure integrators

      Companies that build or run dedicated clusters for customers; the sources do not identify them, but they could compete directly for the same healthcare and financial services contracts.

    • Athletic and leisure footwear and apparel brands

      Competitors in the former Allbirds business, described as larger and better resourced 1; their relevance to Smartbird has fallen after the business sale.

    • Data center hardware suppliers

      Suppliers of compute and storage equipment needed for dedicated platforms; the sources do not name them, but reliance on them appears in the company's cost plan 2.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 16 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 01 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    • Current report01 Oct 2026
      Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report19 Aug 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report19 Aug 2026
    • Proxy statement11 Aug 2026
    • Current report10 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure
    • Current report29 Jul 2026
      Item 4.01 · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Jul 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report17 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 Jun 2026
      Acquisition or disposition of assets · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report11 Jun 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Smartbird, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Smartbird, Inc. · 19 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Smartbird, Inc. · 21 Apr 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.