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olivLaw · US equity research

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. CNP

Electric Services · SIC 4911 · Vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

42.53USD−0.28% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

CenterPoint Energy is a public utility holding company that operates electric transmission and distribution in the Houston area and in Indiana, along with natural gas distribution in four states. The company is currently in a phase of accelerated growth, driven by strong demand from large industrial customers and data centers, backed by a ten-year investment plan of more than 66.7 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (CNP) stock was 42.53 USD (−0.28% on the day), with market capitalisation 27.8 bn USD, P/E 26.1 on diluted EPS of 1.63 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.09%, beta 0.07, 52-week range 36.62–45.04 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2026): revenue of 3.0 bn USD (+1.9% YoY), net income of 316.0 m USD (+6.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.48 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
27.8 bn USD
shares as of 15 Apr 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.1
Diluted EPS TTM 1.63 · TTM to 31 Mar 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.83%
TTM to 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
2.09%
DPS 12m 0.89
Beta (2y)
0.07
Volatility (1y) 18%
52-week range
36.6245.04

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
71.4
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
37.81 – 43.28
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.86 · band width 13.5%
SMA 50 / 200
39.29 / 41.60
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.00 / 0.77
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.5%−2.0%+14.5 pp—
3 months+2.3%−2.2%+4.5 pp—
6 months−2.3%+4.3%−6.6 pp—
Year to date+10.9%+10.6%+0.4 pp—
1 year+10.7%+10.5%+0.2 pp−1.1%
3 years+55.3%+73.7%−18.4 pp+47.3%
5 years+60.5%+61.7%−1.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−18.7%
26 Jun 2026 → 28 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−22.8%
12 Sept 2022 → 12 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+9.9%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Revenue
3.0 bn USD
+1.9% YoY
Net income
316.0 m USD
+6.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.48
+6.7% YoY
net / operating
10.6% / 22.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
Revenue1.9 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn2.9 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.5 bn3.0 bn
Cost of revenue01.0 m1.0 m1.0 m2.0 m1.0 m01.0 m
Operating income467.0 m424.0 m483.0 m649.0 m417.0 m502.0 m542.0 m658.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation386.0 m334.0 m356.0 m363.0 m370.0 m392.0 m405.0 m423.0 m
Interest expense217.0 m195.0 m222.0 m238.0 m195.0 m243.0 m227.0 m279.0 m
Pre-tax income261.0 m245.0 m280.0 m378.0 m253.0 m286.0 m330.0 m409.0 m
Income tax33.0 m52.0 m32.0 m81.0 m55.0 m-7.0 m66.0 m93.0 m
Net income228.0 m193.0 m248.0 m297.0 m198.0 m293.0 m264.0 m316.0 m
Diluted EPS0.360.300.38 ≈0.450.300.450.40 ≈0.48
Operating cash flow576.0 m ≈136.0 m ≈889.0 m410.0 m560.0 m ≈742.0 m ≈774.0 m282.0 m
Capex812.0 m ≈844.0 m ≈2.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈1.5 bn1.2 bn
Dividends paid128.0 m ≈130.0 m ≈138.0 m143.0 m144.0 m ≈144.0 m ≈143.0 m150.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 91 percentile of its own 34-quarter history (min 6.7, median 20.3, max 48.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue6.3 bn7.6 bn7.4 bn8.4 bn9.3 bn8.7 bn8.6 bn9.4 bn
Revenue YoY−34.7%+20.5%−1.9%+12.6%+11.6%−6.7%−0.6%+8.3%
Net income368.0 m791.0 m-773.0 m1.5 bn1.1 bn917.0 m1.0 bn1.1 bn
Net income YoY−79.5%+114.9%−197.7%unavailable−28.9%−13.2%+11.1%+3.2%
Diluted EPS0.741.33-1.792.281.591.371.581.60
Diluted EPS YoY−82.1%+79.7%−234.6%unavailable−30.3%−13.8%+15.3%+1.3%
net %5.9%10.5%-10.4%17.8%11.3%10.5%11.8%11.2%
Free cash flow485.0 m-868.0 m-601.0 m-3.1 bn-2.6 bn-524.0 m-2.4 bn-2.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
38.0 m USD
Financial debt
23.0 bn USD
Net debt
22.9 bn USD
Equity
11.2 bn USD
Total assets
46.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
2.06x
Current ratio
0.91x
ROE
9.6%
ROA
2.3%
FCF margin
-25.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.7 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
9.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
99.0 m
2024
3.0 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
8.6 bn ≈
2024
8.6 bn ≈
2025
9.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
3.2 bn ≈
2024
3.4 bn ≈
2025
3.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
701.0 m
2024
838.0 m
2025
903.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
170.0 m
2024
195.0 m
2025
195.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
917.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.37
2024
1.58
2025
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
633.2 m
2024
644.1 m
2025
655.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.78
2024
0.83
2025
0.89

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
90.0 m
2024
24.0 m
2025
38.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
710.0 m
2024
717.0 m
2025
806.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
29.9 bn
2024
32.1 bn
2025
34.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
4.2 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2023verified

Total assets
2023
39.7 bn
2024
43.8 bn
2025
46.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
917.0 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
1.1 bn
2024
566.0 m
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
17.6 bn
2024
20.4 bn
2025
20.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.7 bn †
2024
10.7 bn †
2025
11.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
3.9 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.5 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-524.0 m ≈
2024
-2.4 bn ≈
2025
-2.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.2 bn
2024
-4.5 bn
2025
-4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
374.0 m
2024
2.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
485.0 m
2024
522.0 m
2025
574.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
100.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
EBITDA margin
39.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
EBIT margin
22.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF margin
-28.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Returns

ROE
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROA
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROIC
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROCE
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
54.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
21.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Debt / equity
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Interest coverage
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Capital expenditure
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Free cash flow
-2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF conversion
-249.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Cash conversion
63.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
34 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Days payables outstanding
94,216 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
27.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Enterprise value
49.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
26.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Earnings yield
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/S
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBIT
23.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/Sales
5.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 28 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

42.53 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 27.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
27.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROE
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Mar 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Mar 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Apr 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Apr 2026
verified 2614derived 184

Score by group

  • Balance sheet30
  • Valuation25
  • Quality35
  • Growth10
  • Returns39

Estimated value range

Low
18.13
USD per share
Mid
35.85
USD per share
High
41.27
USD per share
Price: 42.53 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -15.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -18.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.70 – 46.10 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)11.70 – 15.73 (Mid 13.42)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA18.13 – 46.10 (Mid 35.85)
    10 companies used · median multiple 12.2x · quartiles 9.1x – 14.0x
    AEP, CEG, D, EIX, ES, ETR, NEE, NRG, SO, VST
  • Peers: P/E33.59 – 41.27 (Mid 37.58)
    11 companies used · median multiple 23.0x · quartiles 20.6x – 25.3x
    AEP, CEG, D, ES, ETR, FE, NEE, NRG, PPL, SO, VST
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 28/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality5.6%31 (vs peers)6%
Net margin · Quality11.4%38 (vs peers)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.1%21 (on a fixed band)6%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth0.2%2 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.9x27 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.2x21 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x58 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation26.1x8 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.4x45 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returns2.1%17 (vs peers)15%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns54.6%92 (on a fixed band)6%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet30/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth10/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality35/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns39/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation25/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

CENTERPOINT ENERGY INC (CNP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-03-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 9.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.3%; net margin 11.4%; ROE 9.6%; net debt/EBITDA 5.9x.

The estimated value range is 18.13–41.27 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 35.85 USD, the price of 42.53 USD leaves a potential of -15.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -18.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 28/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Payout ratio (EPS): 54.6%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 0.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 5.9x
  • Interest coverage: 2.2x
  • P/E (TTM): 26.1x
  • Dividend yield: 2.1%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Electric Services (SIC 4911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 13 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.4 bn and 215.6 bn (within 8× of the company's); 39 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
26.1x
vertical median 22.4x
above median (+16.3%)
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
vertical median 12.2x
above median (+9.5%)
P/S
3.0x
vertical median 3.0x
at median
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 2.6x
below median (−8.2%)
ROE
9.6%
vertical median 11.3%
below median (−15.5%)
Net margin
11.4%
vertical median 13.1%
below median (−13.1%)
EBIT margin
22.5%
vertical median 23.1%
at median
Revenue YoY
8.3%
vertical median 9.8%
below median (−15.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.9x
vertical median 5.2x
above median (+14.2%)
Dividend yield
2.1%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−33.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEENextera Energy Inc175.9 bn21.415.6%31.5%+9.8%−2% / +44%
SOSouthern Co105.7 bn24.011.3%14.5%+10.6%+3% / +32%
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation93.3 bn25.715.3%11.1%+8.3%−28% / +118%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.70.7 bn19.012.8%16.9%+10.9%+5% / +63%
DDominion Energy, Inc58.7 bn19.810.5%16.9%+14.2%+6% / +47%
ETREntergy Corp49.9 bn27.711.1%13.6%+9.0%+12% / +115%
VSTVistra Operations Company LLC46.9 bn23.043.1%11.6%+3.0%−22% / +294%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc27.8 bn26.19.6%11.4%+8.3%+11% / +55%
FEFirstenergy Corp27.3 bn25.78.4%6.9%+12.0%−1% / +28%
PPLPPL Corp26.9 bn21.88.3%13.1%+6.9%−3% / +37%
ESEversource Energy26.0 bn17.99.1%10.4%+13.8%+3% / +16%
EIXEdison International22.9 bn6.320.8%19.6%+9.8%+1% / −11%
NRGNRG Energy, Inc20.2 bn24.923.8%2.6%+9.2%−43% / +101%
TLNTalen Energy Corporation15.5 bn—-16.7%-6.4%+22.0%−9% / +523%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
24.13
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
42.75
Total return 3% · Per year 3%
64.52
Total return 54% · Per year 54%
3 years
21.40
Total return -45% · Per year -18%
42.86
Total return 7% · Per year 2%
71.31
Total return 76% · Per year 21%
5 years
18.99
Total return -48% · Per year -12%
42.97
Total return 12% · Per year 2%
78.81
Total return 99% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 10.71
  • Net margin± 7.50
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.43
  • Annual dilution± 0.63

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 28 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

CenterPoint Energy is a public utility holding company that operates electric transmission and distribution in the Houston area and in Indiana, along with natural gas distribution in four states. The company is currently in a phase of accelerated growth, driven by strong demand from large industrial customers and data centers, backed by a ten-year investment plan of more than 66.7 billion USD 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a regulated monopoly position in the Houston service area, where no other transmission and distribution provider operates.
  • Most of the rate base has been subject to recent rate cases, which gives a predictable recovery of investments.
  • Net income rose in the first half of 2026 compared with the same period a year earlier, driven by the Electric segment.

Weaknesses

  • The heavy investment requirement creates dependence on external financing, including equity and debt issuance.
  • The Corporate and Other segment posts losses that have been widening, partly due to ZENS mark-to-market effects.
  • Revenue collection is concentrated in a few retail electric providers, creating a risk of payment delays.

Opportunities

  • If large-load projects in the Batch Zero process connect, rising demand could significantly expand the regulated asset base.
  • The planned sale of the Ohio gas business could free capital for reinvestment in electric assets with regulated returns.
  • Grid and reliability investments could improve relations with regulators and customers.

Threats

  • ERCOT rules on large customers or delays in the Batch Zero process could postpone planned connections.
  • Severe weather and storms have been costly in the past and could generate new expenses and lawsuits.
  • If interest rates stay high, the cost of financing could affect access to capital markets.

Risks

  • Litigation over Winter Storm Urihigh

    The company has received claims and lawsuits related to the February 2021 outages, which could lead to additional costs 1.

  • Reliance on a single coal suppliermedium

    Indiana Electric bought all of its coal from one party in 2025, and an interruption in deliveries could affect power supply 1.

  • Delays in generation projectsmedium

    Wind and solar projects were terminated in 2025, and IURC approvals or MISO interconnection delays could postpone the generation plan 1.

  • Concentration of receivables with REPsmedium

    Houston Electric's receivables are concentrated in a small number of REPs, so delays or defaults could affect cash flows 1.

  • Exposure to storms and hazardshigh

    Hurricanes and storms can damage the network, and existing insurance is limited and may not cover all costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand in Houston materializes as forecast, the regulated asset base could grow considerably and support long-term profit growth 23.
  • The regulated nature of revenues and interim recovery mechanisms can offer predictability during heavy investment periods 1.
  • Raising the investment plan without an announced increase in equity financing could support shareholder value if execution follows plan 3.

What would break the thesis

  • High investment ambitions increase reliance on external financing, and higher interest costs could compress margins 12.
  • Past litigation over weather events and grid outages could generate unforeseen costs 1.
  • Some large-load projects in Batch Zero may not materialize, which could leave part of the planned capacity unused 23.

What to watch

  • Closing of the Ohio natural gas business sale and use of proceedsQ4 2026
  • Outcome of the ERCOT Batch Zero process and number of gigawatts confirmed for connection2027
  • Delivery of 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance and any update to the investment planQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 28 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

The company describes itself as first and foremost an energy delivery company that intends to remain focused on its regulated segments. During 2025 CenterPoint sold its Louisiana and Mississippi natural gas businesses and announced the sale of its Ohio gas business, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2026 12.

The group reports three segments: Electric, Natural Gas, and Corporate and Other. The Electric segment covers the Houston and Indiana operations, while Natural Gas includes intrastate distribution, pipeline connections and appliance repair services in Minnesota 1.

Segments

Electric

The Electric segment includes transmission and distribution in Houston, where Houston Electric forecasts a peak demand increase of nearly 50% by 2029 1. In Indiana, SIGECO owns generation assets and acquired a 191 MW solar array in 2025 1.

Natural Gas

The Natural Gas segment supplies residential, commercial and industrial gas customers in Indiana, Minnesota, Ohio and Texas, with typical customer growth of about 1% annually 1. The planned sale of the Ohio business would change this segment's profile if the transaction closes on the expected timeline 12.

Corporate and Other

This segment groups unallocated corporate costs, interest income and expense, intersegment eliminations, and the mark-to-market effects of the ZENS securities 2. Its net loss widened in the first half of 2026 compared with the prior year 2.

Market context

The company's core market is the Houston area, where ERCOT sets the rules for connecting large customers and demand is rising quickly, particularly from data centers, refining and export industries 12. The natural gas markets in the Midwest and Texas are growing slowly, at roughly 1% a year 1.

Demand growth rests on a pipeline of large customers still under review: about 14 GW of Batch Zero submissions could become eligible, but timing and volume remain uncertain 23. If these projects materialize, they could directly affect transmission and distribution revenues in Houston.

Trends

  • Expanded investment planmixed

    The ten-year investment plan was raised to roughly 66.7 billion USD without an announced increase in equity financing 23. This could support rate base growth, but it also raises the need for external funding.

  • Cost recovery through regulationtailwind

    About 85% of the rate base has been subject to a rate case since the start of 2023, supporting revenue stability through 2029 1. Interim recovery mechanisms may limit the impact of regulatory delays.

  • Financing costs and credit ratingsheadwind

    The company aims to maintain investment grade ratings, and a downgrade would increase borrowing costs for new debt 1. Higher interest rates already added to costs in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Competitive position

In the Houston service area there are no other transmission and distribution utilities, since a new entrant would need a CCN from the PUCT 1. Competitive pressure is more likely from distributed generation, which could reduce demand for distribution services, though so far this has not been significant 1.

In Indiana, SIGECO is a vertically integrated utility with exclusive service territories, and any other provider would need IURC approval 1. Competitive pressure comes mainly from power purchases in the MISO market and from customers' alternative generation options.

  • Other transmission and distribution operators in Texas

    No other utility serves the Houston Electric territory, but a new entrant would need a PUCT certificate.

  • Distributed generation providers

    On-site generation near the customer could reduce demand for distribution services, though the effect has not been significant so far.

  • Power market participants in MISO

    Competition for energy and capacity purchases in the MISO region influences SIGECO's costs.

  • Midwest natural gas distribution companies

    Regional gas distributors compete indirectly through alternative energy sources and efficiency measures.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 27 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report27 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report27 Oct 2026
  • Current report20 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Oct 2026
    Acquisition or disposition of assets · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 Sept 2026
    Other events
  • Current report09 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report31 Jul 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report28 Jul 2026
  • Current report15 May 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / CenterPoint Energy, Inc. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / CenterPoint Energy, Inc. · 28 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / CenterPoint Energy, Inc. · 28 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.