olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

NEE NEE

Electric Services · SIC 4911 · Vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

88.45USD+4.89% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with approximately 80 gigawatts of net generation and storage capacity as of December 31, 2025. Its two principal businesses, FPL and NEER, produced net income attributable to NEE of $6.84 billion in 2025. In the third quarter of 2026 the company reported GAAP net income of $4.775 billion, and adjusted earnings per share rose 9.7% year-over-year.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, NEE (NEE) stock was 88.45 USD (+4.89% on the day), with market capitalisation 184.4 bn USD, P/E 22.5 on diluted EPS of 3.93 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.63%, beta 0.26, 52-week range 75.49–97.88 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2026): revenue of 6.1 bn USD (+1.7% YoY), net income of 2.2 bn USD (+161.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.04 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
184.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5
Diluted EPS TTM 3.93 · TTM to 31 Mar 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.45%
TTM to 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
2.63%
DPS 12m 2.33
Beta (2y)
0.26
Volatility (1y) 22%
52-week range
75.4997.88

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
74.1
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
75.04 – 86.66
above the upper band · %B 1.15 · band width 14.4%
SMA 50 / 200
80.35 / 87.36
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.65 / 0.79
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.0%−1.1%+17.1 pp—
3 months+3.0%−0.5%+3.4 pp—
6 months−7.3%+4.4%−11.7 pp—
Year to date+10.2%+12.3%−2.1 pp—
1 year+8.3%+13.5%−5.3 pp+2.7%
3 years+49.0%+76.4%−27.5 pp+45.2%
5 years+3.4%+63.7%−60.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−22.9%
30 Apr 2026 → 28 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−47.2%
31 Dec 2021 → 09 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Revenue
6.1 bn USD
+1.7% YoY
Net income
2.2 bn USD
+161.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.04
+160.0% YoY
net / operating
35.8% / 36.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
Revenue6.0 bn6.7 bn5.3 bn6.0 bn6.4 bn7.4 bn6.1 bn6.1 bn
Operating income1.7 bn2.9 bn941.0 m2.3 bn1.9 bn2.5 bn1.6 bn2.2 bn
Depreciation & amortisation1.4 bn ≈1.6 bn ≈1.5 bn1.1 bn1.8 bn ≈2.1 bn ≈1.6 bn1.4 bn
Pre-tax income1.2 bn1.6 bn1.0 bn-57.0 m1.4 bn1.9 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn
Income tax-64.0 m5.0 m171.0 m-521.0 m-256.0 m-250.0 m225.0 m-489.0 m
Net income1.6 bn1.9 bn1.2 bn833.0 m2.0 bn2.4 bn1.5 bn2.2 bn
Diluted EPS0.790.900.58 ≈0.400.981.180.73 ≈1.04
Operating cash flow3.9 bn ≈4.3 bn ≈2.0 bn2.8 bn3.2 bn ≈4.0 bn ≈2.5 bn2.6 bn
Dividends paid1.1 bn ≈1.1 bn ≈1.1 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn1.3 bn

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 48 percentile of its own 42-quarter history (min 2.4, median 23.0, max 114.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue15.4 bn17.5 bn17.0 bn18.8 bn23.0 bn24.8 bn23.5 bn25.8 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+13.6%−2.9%+10.6%+22.3%+7.8%−5.2%+9.8%
Net income6.6 bn3.8 bn2.9 bn3.6 bn4.1 bn7.3 bn6.9 bn6.8 bn
Net income YoY+23.4%−43.2%−22.6%+22.4%+16.1%+76.3%−5.0%−1.6%
Diluted EPS3.471.941.481.812.103.603.373.30
Diluted EPS YoY−69.5%−44.1%−23.7%+22.3%+16.0%+71.4%−6.4%−2.1%
net %43.1%21.5%17.2%19.0%18.0%29.5%29.6%26.5%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.8 bn USD
Financial debt
93.1 bn USD
Net debt
90.2 bn USD
Equity
66.5 bn USD
Total assets
212.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.40x
Current ratio
0.60x
ROE
10.8%
ROA
3.4%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
24.8 bn
2024
23.5 bn
2025
25.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
10.2 bn
2024
7.5 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.9 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
16.1 bn ≈
2024
12.9 bn ≈
2025
14.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
7.3 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.0 bn
2024
339.0 m
2025
-802.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
7.3 bn
2024
6.9 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.60
2024
3.37
2025
3.30

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.87
2024
2.06
2025
2.27

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.7 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
15.4 bn
2024
12.0 bn
2025
13.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
125.8 bn
2024
138.9 bn
2025
156.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
5.1 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
177.5 bn
2024
190.1 bn
2025
212.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
6.9 bn
2024
8.1 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
61.4 bn
2024
72.4 bn
2025
89.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
28.0 bn
2024
25.4 bn
2025
22.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
118.5 bn
2024
129.3 bn
2025
146.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
57.8 bn
2024
60.5 bn
2025
66.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
11.3 bn
2024
13.3 bn
2025
12.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-23.5 bn
2024
-22.3 bn
2025
-23.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
12.1 bn
2024
7.0 bn
2025
13.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
18.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
16.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
17.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
58.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
EBIT margin
31.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
31.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
15.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROA
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROIC
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROCE
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
59.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
95.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
6.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Debt / equity
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Quick ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
12.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
81.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
51 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
184.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Enterprise value
280.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Earnings yield
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/S
7.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBIT
34.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/Sales
10.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 39 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

88.45 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 184.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
184.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROE
15.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
31.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Mar 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Mar 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Mar 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Apr 2026
verified 2372derived 149

Score by group

  • Valuation25
  • Returns51
  • Quality50
  • Balance sheet0
  • Growth82

Estimated value range

Low
29.83
USD per share
Mid
34.22
USD per share
High
50.97
USD per share
Price: 88.45 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -61.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -158.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 20.13 – 97.83 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)29.83 – 40.12 (Mid 34.22)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA20.13 – 50.97 (Mid 33.61)
    9 companies used · median multiple 11.0x · quartiles 9.1x – 13.4x
    AEP, CEG, CNP, D, EIX, ES, ETR, SO, VST
  • Peers: P/E78.90 – 97.83 (Mid 89.85)
    10 companies used · median multiple 22.8x · quartiles 20.1x – 24.9x
    AEP, CEG, CNP, D, ES, ETR, FE, PPL, SO, VST
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 39/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.5%0 (vs peers)7%
Net margin · Quality31.5%100 (vs peers)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.9%59 (on a fixed band)7%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth16.3%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet6.3x0 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation22.5x45 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation18.6x0 (vs peers)12%
Dividend yield · Returns2.6%36 (vs peers)17%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns59.1%85 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth82/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns51/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation25/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

NEXTERA ENERGY INC (NEE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-03-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 25.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 9.8%; net margin 31.5%; ROE 15.6%; net debt/EBITDA 6.3x.

The estimated value range is 29.83–50.97 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 34.22 USD, the price of 88.45 USD leaves a potential of -61.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -158.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 39/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 31.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 16.3%
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 59.1%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 4.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 6.3x
  • Current ratio: 0.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 18.6x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Electric Services (SIC 4911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 21.3 bn and 1,366.3 bn (within 8× of the company's); 41 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.5x
vertical median 21.8x
at median
EV/EBITDA
18.6x
vertical median 11.0x
above median (+68.9%)
P/S
7.1x
vertical median 2.9x
above median (+148.7%)
P/B
3.3x
vertical median 2.2x
above median (+51.1%)
ROE
15.6%
vertical median 11.1%
above median (+40.7%)
Net margin
31.5%
vertical median 13.1%
above median (+140.4%)
EBIT margin
31.7%
vertical median 23.1%
above median (+36.8%)
Revenue YoY
9.8%
vertical median 9.8%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
6.3x
vertical median 4.3x
above median (+47.8%)
Dividend yield
2.6%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−14.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEENextera Energy Inc184.4 bn22.515.6%31.5%+9.8%+8% / +49%
SOSouthern Co105.0 bn23.911.3%14.5%+10.6%+2% / +31%
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation87.1 bn24.015.3%11.1%+8.3%−33% / +103%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.70.3 bn19.012.8%16.9%+10.9%+4% / +62%
DDominion Energy, Inc61.3 bn20.610.5%16.9%+14.2%+11% / +54%
ETREntergy Corp51.2 bn28.411.1%13.6%+9.0%+15% / +121%
VSTVistra Operations Company LLC40.4 bn19.943.1%11.6%+3.0%−33% / +240%
FEFirstenergy Corp27.3 bn25.78.4%6.9%+12.0%−1% / +28%
PPLPPL Corp26.9 bn21.88.3%13.1%+6.9%−3% / +37%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc26.8 bn25.29.6%11.4%+8.3%+3% / +45%
ESEversource Energy26.5 bn18.29.1%10.4%+13.8%+5% / +19%
EIXEdison International23.7 bn6.520.8%19.6%+9.8%+4% / −8%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NEE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
51.83
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
91.65
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
138.09
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
49.70
Total return -38% · Per year -15%
98.95
Total return 20% · Per year 6%
163.78
Total return 96% · Per year 25%
5 years
47.66
Total return -36% · Per year -9%
106.83
Total return 36% · Per year 6%
194.24
Total return 139% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 24.74
  • Net margin± 17.32
  • Annual revenue growth± 14.30
  • Annual dilution± 1.46

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with approximately 80 gigawatts of net generation and storage capacity as of December 31, 2025 1. Its two principal businesses, FPL and NEER, produced net income attributable to NEE of $6.84 billion in 2025 1. In the third quarter of 2026 the company reported GAAP net income of $4.775 billion, and adjusted earnings per share rose 9.7% year-over-year 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Scale and a diversified generation mix spanning natural gas, wind, solar and nuclear give the company a solid base for new projects 1.
  • FPL's regulated rate base and steady profit results provide long-term predictability 12.
  • NEER's large project backlog and its role as a supplier of energy technologies support future growth 3.

Weaknesses

  • Quarterly results can swing significantly because of the accounting for non-qualifying hedge activity, which makes comparisons difficult 2.
  • Dependence on regulation and regulator decisions can limit cost recovery and the return the company is allowed to earn 1.
  • Higher debt and financing costs weigh on the Corporate and Other segment 2.

Opportunities

  • Data center and hub projects could open new revenue sources for NEER 3.
  • Investment in grid, storage and nuclear resources could expand the group's regulated and contracted base 13.
  • If the Dominion Energy combination closes, the group could gain a larger regulated capital base 3.

Threats

  • Legislative and regulatory changes to clean energy could reduce the attractiveness of some projects 1.
  • A challenge to the Florida rate agreement could delay or alter FPL's cost recovery 1.
  • Execution risks on large projects, as well as storm exposure, could affect results and investment 13.

Risks

  • Regulation and rate decisionshigh

    FPL's business depends on FPSC approvals, and unfavorable decisions or challenges to the rate agreement could limit cost recovery and returns 1.

  • Clean energy policyhigh

    Changes to tax incentives and clean energy policies could reduce the returns on new projects and affect development plans 1.

  • Dominion Energy combinationmedium

    Completion depends on approvals from several state and federal authorities, and delays or conditions could change the timetable and expected benefits 3.

  • Earnings volatilitymedium

    The effects of non-qualifying hedge activity can produce large swings in reported profit, making current performance harder to assess 2.

  • Operational and weather risksmedium

    Storms and extreme weather can affect the grid and create restoration costs that may be only partly recoverable 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth in FPL's regulated base, supported by large annual investment, and NEER's expanded backlog could support longer-term growth in adjusted earnings 23.
  • Data center demand and the signed hub agreements could bring new contracts and more predictable revenue for NEER 3.
  • If the Dominion Energy combination closes, the group could benefit from greater scale and a larger regulated capital base 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Changes to clean energy policy and uncertain recovery of costs could reduce returns on projects and regulated investment 1.
  • Quarterly results can be volatile because of hedge accounting effects, which could make reported profit harder to interpret 2.
  • Execution and approval risks around the Dominion Energy combination could delay or change the benefits expected by shareholders and customers 3.

What to watch

  • FPSC final order on the 2025 rate agreement and the pending reconsideration motion2026
  • State approvals in Virginia and South Carolina for the Dominion Energy combinationJanuary 2027
  • Progress of data center hub projects and the NEER backlog2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

NextEra Energy has two principal businesses: FPL, a rate-regulated utility that is the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S., and NEER, one of the largest energy infrastructure developers in the U.S., which builds and operates long-term contracted renewables, nuclear, natural gas and battery storage facilities 1. As of December 31, 2025, FPL had 35,963 MW of net generating capacity and served more than six million customer accounts 1. The company also deploys advanced technologies, including artificial intelligence, to lower costs 1.

Regulation and capital structure differ between the two segments: FPL operates under FPSC rate regulation, with an authorized regulatory ROE of 10.95% under the 2025 rate agreement 1, while NEER develops its projects in competitive energy markets. In the third quarter of 2026 the company also announced a pending combination with Dominion Energy, approved by shareholders in September 2026, with closing expected in the second half of 2027 3.

If the Dominion Energy combination closes on the expected timetable, it could materially change the group's structure and reporting segments. Until then, NEE reports results for its two principal segments, FPL and NEER, with corporate and other activities grouped separately 2.

Segments

FPL

FPL is a rate-regulated electric utility in Florida engaged in generation, storage, transmission, distribution and sale of electric energy. As of December 31, 2025, FPL had 35,963 MW of net generating capacity and 226 franchise agreements with municipalities and counties 1. Wholesale and industrial customers represented approximately 5% of FPL's operating revenues in 2025 1.

Corporate and Other

Corporate and Other includes other business activities, interest expense and eliminating entries. Its results have swung considerably with non-qualifying hedge activity, and its GAAP results improved year-over-year in the third quarter of 2026 23.

Market context

In renewables and storage, demand from large customers and hub projects create opportunities, with 16.5 GW of hub projects covered by three definitive agreements 3. The market remains influenced by government incentive policies for clean energy, which can be modified 1.

Trends

  • Data center demandtailwind

    Strong energy demand from data centers is creating hub projects and long-term contracts for NEER, which could grow its backlog if these projects proceed 3.

  • Grid and storage investmenttailwind

    Ongoing investment in the grid, battery storage and storm-resilient infrastructure expands FPL's regulated rate base, which could support longer-term earnings growth 23.

  • Changes to clean energy policyheadwind

    Changes to tax incentives and clean energy policies, including recent legislation, can affect returns on new projects and could slow development of some facilities 1.

  • Fuel costs and cost recovery mechanismsmixed

    Higher fuel prices and changes to cost recovery clauses can create periods of under-recovery that could affect FPL's operating cash flows 1. The effect on results depends on how prices evolve.

Competitive position

FPL's position is distinctive because most customers would not find self-generation cheaper than its service, yet wholesale and industrial customers can turn to other suppliers, and technological, tax and regulatory factors could change this position 1. NEER competes among U.S. energy project developers, where long-term contracts and tenders determine winners.

The company cites competition from other electricity suppliers in wholesale and industrial markets, as well as from alternative energy sources 1. The proposed Dominion Energy combination could change the group's competitive profile if completed 3.

  • Dominion EnergyD

    Company with which NextEra Energy has announced a pending combination, approved by shareholders in September 2026 3.

  • Customer self-generation

    Self-generation by residential, commercial and industrial customers is a competitive factor cited in the filing, though few customers currently do it 1.

  • Other wholesale and industrial electricity suppliers

    Competition for wholesale and industrial customers comes from other electricity suppliers 1.

  • Alternative energy sources

    Alternative sources can compete with FPL's service, particularly if technology and costs change 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 21 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / NEE · 13 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / NEE · 21 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / NEE · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.