olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Cintas Corporation CTAS

Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments · SIC 2320 · Vertical: Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments (SIC 2320)

223.74USD−0.46% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Cintas Corporation is North America's leading provider of uniform rental and facility services, with revenue of 11.3 billion USD in fiscal 2026. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 revenue rose 10.9% to 3,014.0 million USD, and the company raised its annual guidance. The UniFirst acquisition, valued at about 5.5 billion USD, is still under review by the FTC.

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, Cintas Corporation (CTAS) stock was 223.74 USD (−0.46% on the day), with market capitalisation 88.8 bn USD, P/E 44.1 on diluted EPS of 5.07 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.84%, beta 0.51, 52-week range 163.55–225.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 3.0 bn USD (+10.9% YoY), net income of 551.7 m USD (+12.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.36 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
88.8 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
44.1
Diluted EPS TTM 5.07 · TTM to 31 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.27%
TTM to 31 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
0.84%
DPS 12m 1.87
Beta (2y)
0.51
Volatility (1y) 24%
52-week range
163.55225.93

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
197.50 – 231.02
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.78 · band width 15.6%
SMA 50 / 200
205.20 / 190.54
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
5.51 / 5.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+15.9%−2.0%+17.9 pp—
3 months+9.9%−2.2%+12.0 pp—
6 months+32.2%+4.3%+27.9 pp—
Year to date+19.0%+10.6%+8.4 pp—
1 year+22.9%+10.5%+12.4 pp+12.2%
3 years+72.6%+73.7%−1.0 pp+25.1%
5 years+103.1%+61.7%+41.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.0%
05 Mar 2026 → 13 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−28.2%
06 Jun 2025 → 13 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+15.2%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 31 Aug 2026

Revenue
3.0 bn USD
+10.9% YoY
Net income
551.7 m USD
+12.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.36
+13.3% YoY
net / operating
18.3% / 23.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue2.6 bn2.6 bn2.7 bn2.7 bn2.8 bn2.8 bn2.9 bn3.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn
Gross profit1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn
SG&A685.3 m709.5 m728.5 m748.7 m756.8 m788.6 m792.1 m827.2 m
Operating income591.4 m609.9 m597.5 m617.9 m655.7 m659.9 m673.0 m711.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation121.8 m ≈125.5 m ≈126.5 m125.9 m127.5 m ≈128.7 m ≈130.7 m127.3 m
Interest expense26.7 m24.8 m24.1 m24.2 m28.1 m28.2 m25.8 m24.7 m
Pre-tax income565.7 m586.4 m575.4 m595.9 m628.5 m632.5 m648.4 m689.8 m
Income tax117.2 m122.9 m127.2 m104.8 m133.2 m130.0 m137.4 m138.1 m
Net income448.5 m463.5 m448.3 m491.1 m495.3 m502.5 m511.0 m551.7 m
Diluted EPS1.091.131.09 ≈1.201.211.241.26 ≈1.36
Operating cash flow444.7 m ≈620.5 m ≈640.3 m414.5 m531.2 m ≈621.5 m ≈709.1 m572.3 m
Capex101.4 m ≈99.9 m ≈114.6 m102.0 m106.3 m ≈90.9 m ≈96.0 m107.5 m
Dividends paid157.3 m ≈158.1 m ≈157.9 m157.8 m182.3 m ≈180.7 m ≈180.6 m180.7 m
Share repurchases36.7 m ≈26.6 m ≈256.7 m266.1 m635.6 m ≈31.6 m ≈18.9 m315.7 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 83 percentile of its own 42-quarter history (min 3.8, median 8.7, max 54.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue6.9 bn7.1 bn7.1 bn7.9 bn8.8 bn9.6 bn10.3 bn11.3 bn
Revenue YoY+6.4%+2.8%+0.4%+10.4%+12.2%+8.9%+7.7%+8.9%
Net income885.0 m876.0 m1.1 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn
Net income YoY+5.0%−1.0%+26.8%+11.2%+9.1%+16.6%+15.3%+10.4%
Diluted EPS7.998.1110.2411.653.253.794.404.91
Diluted EPS YoY+5.7%+1.5%+26.3%+13.8%−72.1%+16.6%+16.1%+11.6%
net %12.8%12.4%15.6%15.7%15.3%16.4%17.5%17.8%
Free cash flow791.1 m1.1 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 May 2026

Cash
289.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.4 bn USD
Net debt
2.1 bn USD
Equity
5.1 bn USD
Total assets
10.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.47x
Current ratio
1.43x
ROE
40.7%
ROA
19.7%
FCF margin
16.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
9.6 bn
2025
10.3 bn
2026
11.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.2 bn
2026
5.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
4.7 bn
2025
5.2 bn
2026
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

SG&A
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.8 bn
2026
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Operating income
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.4 bn
2026
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
442.4 m
2025
494.2 m
2026
512.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
2.5 bn ≈
2025
2.9 bn ≈
2026
3.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
100.7 m
2025
101.1 m
2026
106.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Income tax
2024
402.0 m
2025
451.9 m
2026
505.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Net income
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.79
2025
4.40
2026
4.91

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
413.5 m
2025
410.3 m
2026
406.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
1.35
2025
1.56
2026
1.80

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
342.0 m
2025
264.0 m
2026
289.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Receivables
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Inventories
2024
410.2 m
2025
447.4 m
2026
446.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Current assets
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.4 bn
2026
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.4 bn
2026
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
690.3 m
2025
694.4 m
2026
298.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Oct 2026verified

Total assets
2024
9.2 bn
2025
9.8 bn
2026
10.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
339.2 m
2025
485.1 m
2026
461.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
449.6 m
2025
0
2026
999.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.4 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Equity
2024
4.3 bn †
2025
4.7 bn †
2026
5.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.2 bn
2026
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Capex
2024
409.5 m
2025
408.9 m
2026
395.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
1.7 bn ≈
2025
1.8 bn ≈
2026
1.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-603.3 m
2025
-623.6 m
2026
-568.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-1.6 bn
2026
-1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
530.9 m
2025
611.6 m
2026
701.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
700.0 m
2025
934.8 m
2026
952.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
14.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
11.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
14.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
-13.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
51.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
23.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
17.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF margin
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
41.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROA
20.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROIC
29.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROCE
34.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
36.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
25.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
400.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
98.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
75.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Days inventory outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
88.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
91.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
43.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
44.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/B
17.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/S
7.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
28.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBIT
33.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/Sales
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/FCF
43.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
FCF yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

223.74 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 88.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
88.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
44.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/B
17.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
28.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROE
41.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
17.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Oct 2026
verified 2602derived 191

Score by group

  • Valuation8
  • Returns57
  • Quality81
  • Balance sheet71
  • Growth85

Estimated value range

Low
68.01
USD per share
Mid
77.85
USD per share
High
95.62
USD per share
Price: 223.74 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -65.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -187.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 23.65 – 122.43 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)72.15 – 113.49 (Mid 88.21)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 2.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA63.86 – 77.75 (Mid 67.48)
    4 companies used · median multiple 9.0x · quartiles 8.6x – 10.3x
    KTB, OXM, PVH, VFC
  • Peers: P/E99.95 – 122.43 (Mid 113.08)
    3 companies used · median multiple 22.3x · quartiles 19.7x – 24.1x
    KTB, RL, VFC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)23.65 – 31.81 (Mid 27.13)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments (SIC 2320)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality29.7%60 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality17.8%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality98.7%98 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.5%71 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth14.7%98 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.7x60 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet25.3x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x54 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation44.1x0 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation28.3x0 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation2.3%29 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%28 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns35.6%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet71/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality81/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns57/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation8/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Cintas Corporation (CTAS). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 11.3 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 8.9%; net margin 17.8%; ROE 41.4%; net debt/EBITDA 0.7x.

The estimated value range is 68.01–95.62 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 77.85 USD, the price of 223.74 USD leaves a potential of -65.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -187.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 17.8%
  • FCF conversion: 98.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 8.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 14.7%
  • Interest coverage: 25.3x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 35.6%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 44.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 28.3x
  • FCF yield: 2.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Men's & Boys' Furnishgs, Work Clothg, & Allied Garments (SIC 2320) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
44.1x
vertical median 22.3x
above median (+97.9%)
EV/EBITDA
28.3x
vertical median 9.0x
above median (+214.1%)
P/S
7.7x
vertical median 0.7x
above median (+1,014.5%)
P/B
17.1x
vertical median 2.5x
above median (+584.3%)
ROE
41.4%
vertical median 21.1%
above median (+96.5%)
Net margin
17.8%
vertical median 3.9%
above median (+353.5%)
EBIT margin
23.4%
vertical median 6.8%
above median (+245.8%)
Revenue YoY
8.9%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+298.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.7x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−32.0%)
Dividend yield
0.8%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−51.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CTASCintas Corporation88.8 bn44.141.4%17.8%+8.9%+23% / +73%
VFCV. F. Corporation8.2 bn22.321.1%3.9%+1.1%+20% / +25%
PVHPvh Corp.4.5 bn—-3.5%-1.9%+3.4%+15% / −0%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.4.5 bn17.148.0%8.7%unavailable+10% / +49%
OXMOxford Industries Inc456.5 m—-1.2%-0.5%−2.6%−20% / −66%
RLRalph Lauren Corporation—26.037.5%11.8%+14.6%+12% / +218%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CTAS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
140.72
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
248.31
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
373.40
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
147.81
Total return -32% · Per year -12%
292.40
Total return 34% · Per year 10%
481.14
Total return 119% · Per year 30%
5 years
155.26
Total return -27% · Per year -6%
344.31
Total return 59% · Per year 10%
619.97
Total return 184% · Per year 23%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 73.10
  • Net margin± 51.17
  • Annual revenue growth± 40.45
  • Annual dilution± 4.30

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Cintas Corporation is North America's leading provider of uniform rental and facility services, with revenue of 11.3 billion USD in fiscal 2026 1. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 revenue rose 10.9% to 3,014.0 million USD 23, and the company raised its annual guidance. The UniFirst acquisition, valued at about 5.5 billion USD 1, is still under review by the FTC.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an extensive delivery network, close customer relationships and a highly diversified customer base, which reduces concentration risk 1.
  • Operating margins improved across several segments, and in-service inventory management supports efficiency 12.
  • Strong organic growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 points to solid demand and the ability to add customers 3.

Weaknesses

  • A large share of revenue comes from one segment, which makes the company sensitive to that segment's performance 1.
  • UniFirst transaction costs reduced first-quarter results and may continue to weigh on profitability in the near term 3.
  • International activity is limited, so exposure to markets outside North America remains small 1.

Opportunities

  • The UniFirst acquisition could extend market share and generate cost synergies if integration succeeds 1.
  • Deeper penetration of existing customers and expansion into new segments remain strategies that could add revenue 1.
  • Safety and occupational health programs could support demand from firms seeking to reduce workplace incidents 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and import restrictions can raise material costs and reduce product availability 1.
  • Competitors that cut prices could force the company to lower its own prices, hurting revenue 1.
  • Geopolitical and transport disruptions could interrupt supply and increase delivery costs 1.

Risks

  • Completion of the UniFirst acquisitionhigh

    The deal depends on regulatory approvals, including a second request from the FTC. If it does not close on time or at all, the company's plans could be affected 12.

  • Integration and synergiesmedium

    Integrating a large company can be difficult and can demand substantial management attention. If expected synergies are not achieved, the effect on results could be significant 1.

  • Labor and material costsmedium

    Higher wages, healthcare costs and fabric prices can compress margins if prices cannot be adjusted 1.

  • Trade and tariff pressuremedium

    New tariffs or trade restrictions can increase sourcing costs and lengthen lead times 1.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    Cyber threats can disrupt computer systems and delivery operations, with effects on customers 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth stayed solid through fiscal 2026 and into the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and annual guidance was raised 13.
  • Gross and operating margins improved, suggesting a more efficient business model 13.
  • If the UniFirst deal closes and integrates well, the company could meaningfully expand its share of the North American market 12.

What would break the thesis

  • The UniFirst acquisition carries regulatory and integration risks, and deal costs may keep weighing on results 23.
  • Fragmented local markets and price competition could limit long-term margin gains 1.
  • Tariffs and geopolitical risks could raise supply costs and hurt results if they cannot be passed to customers 1.

What to watch

  • FTC decision and completion of the UniFirst acquisitionQ1 2027
  • Quarterly results and organic revenue trendQ2 2027
  • Effects of UniFirst integration on margins and synergies2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Cintas helps more than one million businesses in the United States, Canada and Latin America with uniforms, mats, towels, first aid and safety products, workplace water services and fire protection 1. It reports two segments, Uniform Rental and Facility Services and First Aid and Safety Services, and an All Other category covering fire protection and direct uniform sales 1. Total revenue in fiscal 2026 was 11.3 billion USD, with organic growth of 8.3% 1.

Market context

The primary markets are local and highly fragmented, with competition from national, regional and local providers, large and small retailers, and companies with a strong online presence 1. Customers may also choose to perform services in-house, which is a constant alternative to outsourcing 1.

Competition turns on product, design, price, quality, service and convenience 1. The 8.9% organic growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 suggests demand remains solid in North America 3.

Trends

  • Growth in sales volume and productivitytailwind

    Revenue growth in fiscal 2026 came mainly from higher sales volume and sales representative productivity 1. If this continues, it could support revenue growth in the coming years.

  • Cost efficiency and in-service inventory managementtailwind

    More efficient use of in-service inventory and production gains improved gross margin 12. These improvements could continue if strategic sourcing initiatives are sustained.

  • Inflation and trade pressuresheadwind

    Tariffs, material and energy costs and geopolitical tensions can raise operating costs and disrupt supply chains 1. The company may not be able to pass these costs fully on to customers.

  • Integration of the UniFirst acquisitionmixed

    The UniFirst deal could extend the company's position, but integration and synergies are uncertain and may take longer than expected 12. Transaction costs have already weighed on first-quarter results 3.

Competitive position

Cintas competes with national, regional and local uniform and facility service providers, as well as retailers and online companies 1. Competition could reduce prices if rivals try to gain market share 1. The most direct competitor, UniFirst, is being acquired by Cintas 1.

Competitors can also compete for acquisitions, which can raise deal prices and reduce the number of available targets 1. The company's edge lies in the density of its delivery network and close customer relationships 1.

  • National uniform rental providers

    Companies with national reach in uniform rental that compete on price, quality and service 1.

  • Regional and local providers

    Local operators that dominate the fragmented markets in which Cintas operates 1.

  • Retailers and online-focused companies

    Sellers of protective equipment and work apparel that compete for small and mid-sized customers 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-05-31 · SEC / Cintas Corporation · 29 Jul 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-31 · SEC / Cintas Corporation · 07 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cintas Corporation · 23 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.