olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Corteva, Inc. CTVA

Agricultural Production-Crops · SIC 0100 · Vertical: Agricultural Production-Crops (SIC 0100)

12.26USD+3.20% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Corteva is a global provider of seed and crop protection solutions, headquartered in Indianapolis, aiming to give farmers more productive and sustainable products. The company is nearing a planned separation of its two businesses targeted for October 1, 2026, which keeps its structure and outlook in focus. Net sales reached 17.4 billion USD in 2025, and 11.28 billion USD in the first half of 2026.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) stock was 12.26 USD (+3.20% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.2 bn USD, P/E 8.1 on diluted EPS of 1.51 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 5.87%, beta 0.47, 52-week range 9.48–14.45 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 6.4 bn USD (−1.2% YoY), net income of 1.2 bn USD (−11.6% YoY), diluted EPS 1.73 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.2 bn USD
shares as of 24 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.1
Diluted EPS TTM 1.51 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
12.35%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.87%
DPS 12m 0.72
Beta (2y)
0.47
Volatility (1y) 31%
52-week range
9.4814.45

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
11.11 – 13.93
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.41 · band width 22.5%
SMA 50 / 200
12.52 / 12.11
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.22 / -0.15
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.0%−1.1%+0.0 pp—
3 months+3.9%−0.5%+4.3 pp—
6 months−0.1%+4.4%−4.5 pp—
Year to date+21.9%+12.3%+9.6 pp—
1 year+30.7%+13.5%+17.2 pp−26.0%
3 years+62.7%+76.4%−13.7 pp−31.5%
5 years+71.7%+63.7%+8.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.6%
07 Oct 2026 → 28 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−35.3%
02 Dec 2022 → 10 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
6.4 bn USD
−1.2% YoY
Net income
1.2 bn USD
−11.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.73
−9.9% YoY
net / operating
18.2% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue2.3 bn4.0 bn4.4 bn6.5 bn2.6 bn3.9 bn4.9 bn6.4 bn
Cost of revenue1.6 bn2.5 bn2.3 bn2.9 bn1.6 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.7 bn
Research & development348.0 m365.0 m335.0 m375.0 m351.0 m413.0 m341.0 m388.0 m
SG&A671.0 m735.0 m751.0 m1.2 bn725.0 m860.0 m877.0 m1.2 bn
Depreciation & amortisation306.0 m ≈302.0 m296.0 m301.0 m300.0 m ≈306.0 m297.0 m339.0 m ≈
Interest expense66.0 m60.0 m36.0 m52.0 m46.0 m ≈46.0 m36.0 m47.0 m
Pre-tax income-633.0 m88.0 m784.0 m1.8 bn-370.0 m-530.0 m858.0 m1.6 bn
Income tax-114.0 m138.0 m117.0 m422.0 m-62.0 m7.0 m133.0 m408.0 m
Net income-524.0 m-41.0 m652.0 m1.3 bn-320.0 m-552.0 m720.0 m1.2 bn
Diluted EPS-0.76-0.06 ≈0.951.92-0.47-0.82 ≈1.071.73
Operating cash flow130.0 m ≈4.2 bn-2.1 bn947.0 m ≈193.0 m ≈4.4 bn-2.9 bn-466.0 m ≈
Capex154.0 m ≈181.0 m94.0 m118.0 m ≈157.0 m ≈222.0 m81.0 m122.0 m ≈
Dividends paid117.0 m ≈118.0 m116.0 m116.0 m ≈122.0 m ≈121.0 m121.0 m120.0 m ≈
Share repurchases253.0 m ≈252.0 m270.0 m250.0 m ≈250.0 m ≈301.0 m250.0 m250.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 88 percentile of its own 25-quarter history (min 2.9, median 5.8, max 10.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue14.3 bn13.8 bn14.2 bn15.7 bn17.5 bn17.2 bn16.9 bn17.4 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable−3.1%+2.7%+10.1%+11.5%−1.3%−1.8%+2.9%
Net income-5.1 bn-959.0 m681.0 m1.8 bn1.1 bn735.0 m907.0 m1.1 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+158.3%−34.8%−35.9%+23.4%+20.6%
Diluted EPS-6.76-1.280.912.371.581.031.301.60
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+160.4%−33.3%−34.8%+26.2%+23.1%
net %-35.5%-6.9%4.8%11.2%6.6%4.3%5.4%6.3%
Free cash flow-1.0 bn-93.0 m1.6 bn2.2 bn267.0 m1.2 bn1.5 bn2.8 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
4.5 bn USD
Financial debt
894.0 m USD
Net debt
-3.6 bn USD
Equity
24.4 bn USD
Total assets
42.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.04x
Current ratio
1.43x
ROE
4.5%
ROA
2.6%
FCF margin
16.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
17.2 bn
2024
16.9 bn
2025
17.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
9.9 bn
2024
9.5 bn
2025
9.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
7.3 bn ≈
2024
7.4 bn ≈
2025
8.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
233.0 m
2024
233.0 m
2025
180.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
152.0 m
2024
412.0 m
2025
484.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
735.0 m
2024
907.0 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.03
2024
1.30
2025
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
711.9 m
2024
696.0 m
2025
681.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.62
2024
0.66
2025
0.70

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.6 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
6.9 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
16.3 bn
2024
15.1 bn
2025
17.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
10.6 bn
2024
10.4 bn
2025
10.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
9.6 bn
2024
8.9 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
43.0 bn
2024
40.8 bn
2025
42.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
198.0 m
2024
750.0 m
2025
894.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
10.4 bn
2024
10.4 bn
2025
12.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
25.3 bn
2024
24.0 bn
2025
24.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
595.0 m
2024
597.0 m
2025
591.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
2.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.0 bn
2024
-589.0 m
2025
-543.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-99.0 m
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
439.0 m
2024
458.0 m
2025
475.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
756.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
9.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
23.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
11.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
81.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
49.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
47.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
76.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
828.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
582.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
629.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
62.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
121 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
178 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
158 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
141 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
9.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
13.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 59 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

12.26 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 24 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 31 Jul 2026
verified 1362derived 108

Score by group

  • Balance sheet60
  • Valuation98
  • Quality55
  • Growth1
  • Returns85

Estimated value range

Low
14.85
USD per share
Mid
19.01
USD per share
High
26.36
USD per share
Price: 12.26 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 55.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 35.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.20 – 27.39 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)14.85 – 26.36 (Mid 19.01)
    WACC 7.9% · starting FCFF 750.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 77%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -16.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E22.49 – 27.39 (Mid 25.13)
    4 companies used · median multiple 16.6x · quartiles 14.9x – 18.1x
    AGRO, DMC, DOLE, VFF
  • Dividend discount (DDM)9.20 – 12.37 (Mid 10.55)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Agricultural Production-Crops (SIC 0100)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 59/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality5.7%64 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality62.3%46 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.1%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth0.4%3 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x60 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8.1x100 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation7.7%96 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns18.8%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns76.9%62 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial60/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth1/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality55/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation98/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.9%; net margin 5.7%; ROE 4.0%.

The estimated value range is 14.85–26.36 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 19.01 USD, the price of 12.26 USD leaves a potential of 55.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 35.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 59/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • P/E (TTM): 8.1x
  • FCF yield: 7.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 18.8%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 0.4%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Agricultural Production-Crops (SIC 0100) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8.1x
vertical median 16.8x
below median (−51.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.0x
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.5x
below median (−16.1%)
P/B
0.3x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−66.6%)
ROE
4.0%
vertical median 4.5%
below median (−12.1%)
Net margin
5.7%
vertical median 0.6%
above median (+799.8%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 1.7%
Revenue YoY
2.9%
vertical median 8.2%
below median (−64.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.3x
Dividend yield
5.9%
vertical median 2.9%
above median (+105.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CTVACorteva, Inc.8.2 bn8.14.0%5.7%+2.9%+31% / +63%
DMCDel Monte Corporation1.4 bn16.84.0%1.9%+1.0%−21% / +26%
AGROAdecoagro S.A.1.3 bn10.37.1%6.1%+16.9%+14% / −19%
DOLEDole plc1.3 bn21.94.5%0.6%+8.2%−4% / +20%
VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.358.3 m16.47.6%9.8%+10.2%−26% / +271%
LMNRLimoneira Company190.7 m—-25.7%-33.0%−16.6%−24% / −31%
AGRZAgroz Inc.42.0 m48.025.6%8.6%unavailable−98% / unavailable
LOCLLocal Bounti Corporation22.1 m——-130.5%+26.8%−61% / −73%
TULPBloomia Holdings, Inc.10.9 m—-87.9%-23.2%unavailable−40% / −54%
SEEDOrigin Agritech Limited8.6 m——-58.4%−20.6%−49% / −64%
EDBLEdible Garden AG Incorporated1.4 m—-197.1%-51.0%−7.6%−100% / −100%
LNDBrasilAgro – Brazilian Agricultural Real Estate Company——6.3%15.7%+13.8%−12% / −32%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CTVA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
6.90
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
12.23
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
18.47
Total return 58% · Per year 58%
3 years
6.10
Total return -38% · Per year -15%
12.21
Total return 17% · Per year 5%
20.32
Total return 88% · Per year 23%
5 years
5.38
Total return -37% · Per year -9%
12.18
Total return 29% · Per year 5%
22.36
Total return 121% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.05
  • Net margin± 2.14
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.83
  • Annual dilution± 0.18

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Corteva is a global provider of seed and crop protection solutions, headquartered in Indianapolis, aiming to give farmers more productive and sustainable products. The company is nearing a planned separation of its two businesses targeted for October 1, 2026, which keeps its structure and outlook in focus. Net sales reached 17.4 billion USD in 2025, and 11.28 billion USD in the first half of 2026 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a broad portfolio of seed and crop protection products and a presence in more than a hundred countries 1.
  • Its Pioneer agency model, which works directly with farmers, provides real-time insight into future ordering decisions 1.
  • Margin expansion in the first half of 2026 shows that cost and productivity measures are having an effect 3.

Weaknesses

  • Sales are highly seasonal, and weather-related planting delays can affect quarterly results 1.
  • The Crop Protection division faces price pressure, especially in Latin America 3.
  • The Crop Protection restructuring program carries large costs and facility exit expenses 1.

Opportunities

  • The separation could create two companies with clearer strategies and more direct paths to growth 3.
  • Trait technologies and their licensing could generate additional revenue if demand continues 3.
  • Biological products and new technologies could open new markets if regulators approve them 1.

Threats

  • Environmental and pesticide approval rules can delay or restrict product sales 1.
  • Antitrust investigations and possible sanctions could limit some growth strategies, including acquisitions 1.
  • Extreme weather and climate change can affect demand, seed quality and cost 1.

Risks

  • Regulatory approvalshigh

    Products must be tested and approved before sale, and the process can be lengthy, costly and unpredictable, especially for new technologies 1.

  • Antitrust investigationshigh

    U.S. and foreign authorities could impose fines or restrictions if competition inquiries widen to the company 1.

  • Separation into two companiesmedium

    The separation process could generate unexpected costs and divert management attention from current operations 13.

  • Weather and climate changemedium

    Extreme weather can change demand and yields, which could affect sales and inventory levels 1.

  • Price pressuremedium

    Price competition in Latin America reduced Crop Protection revenue and could keep weighing on margins 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The company reported higher sales and operating EBITDA in the first half of 2026 and raised full-year guidance, which points to solid execution 3.
  • The Seed segment benefits from demand for newer technologies and licensing income, which could support margins over the medium term 3.
  • The separation could create two more focused companies with clear strategies, offering greater flexibility if the process closes on schedule 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Competitive price pressure in Latin America has reduced Crop Protection sales and could keep weighing on margins if it spreads 3.
  • Regulatory risk and antitrust investigations could raise costs or limit growth through acquisitions 1.
  • Separation and restructuring carry costs that could reduce near-term results, and sales remain seasonal and weather-sensitive 13.

What to watch

  • Completion of the separation and the boards of the two companies2026
  • Quarterly results and pricing trends in Latin AmericaQ3 2026
  • Delivery against the full-year 2026 operating EBITDA guidance2026
  • Progress of the restructuring program and the savings announcednext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Corteva, Inc. is a global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply 1. The company was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018, is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, and became an independent public company on June 1, 2019 following its distribution from DowDuPont 1. It operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection, and its products reach farmers in approximately 110 countries 1. As of December 31, 2025 it employed approximately 21,500 people globally 1.

On October 1, 2025 the company announced its intent to separate its Seed and Crop Protection businesses into two standalone public companies, in a transaction intended to be a tax-free spin-off for U.S. federal income tax purposes 1. According to 2026 communications, the Crop Protection business will be named Vylor, with the separation targeted for October 1, 2026 3. The company says the goal is two focused companies with greater strategic flexibility 3.

Results are seasonal: sales are strongest in the first half of the calendar year, tied to the northern hemisphere planting season 1. In fiscal 2025 operating EBITDA was 3.85 billion USD, up from the prior year 1. For 2026 the company raised its guidance, which could reflect better product execution and cost control if first-half trends hold 3.

Segments

Seed

The Seed segment develops and supplies commercial seed combining superior germplasm with advanced traits for high yield potential 1. In the first half of 2026 Seed sales were 7.56 billion USD, up 4%, supported by price and mix 3. The segment is a leader in key markets such as North America corn and soybeans 1.

Crop Protection

The Crop Protection segment supplies products that protect crop yields against weeds, insects and disease, along with nitrogen management and biological products 1. In the second quarter of 2026 segment net sales were 1.85 billion USD, with lower prices due to competitive pressure in Latin America, while volume growth from new products supported demand 3. The company's stated focus is operational excellence and disciplined acquisitions 1.

Market context

Corteva operates in the agricultural inputs market: seeds and crop protection products that are strictly regulated and sensitive to weather and government policy 1. Demand depends on season, weather and crop types, and the company describes the industry as highly competitive and consolidating 1. The regulated market and approval framework for new products can change the timing and cost of launches 1.

Recent evidence points to a balanced market with price pressure in some regions; in the second quarter of 2026 net sales fell slightly, by 1%, mainly on lower volume 23. Sales are seasonal and quarterly results can be affected by planting delays 1.

Trends

  • Separation into two companiesmixed

    Separating Seed and Crop Protection could create two more focused companies with their own capital and strategies, if the process closes on schedule 13. The company says the process remains on track, but separation costs can weigh on near-term results 3.

  • Demand for new productstailwind

    Demand for newer seed technologies and crop protection products supported volume growth in the first half of 2026 3. If this demand persists, it could support revenue over the medium term 3.

  • Price pressure in Latin Americaheadwind

    Strong competition in Latin America has lowered crop protection prices, which weighed on segment sales 3. If this pressure persists, margins in the region could stay under strain 3.

  • Regulation and agricultural policyheadwind

    Government policies and rules on pesticides and biotechnology can change costs and approval timelines 1. A December 2025 executive order calls for antitrust investigations across the food supply chain, which could raise compliance costs 1.

Competitive position

The agricultural inputs industry is highly competitive and has consolidated, which can intensify pressure on prices and products 1. The company operates in markets where competitors invest in similar biotechnology, germplasm and biological products 1. Its advantage rests on speed in developing and launching new products 1.

Competition is most visible in crop protection, where prices fell in Latin America, while in seeds the company maintains its edge through trait technologies and licensing 3. Competitive pressure could affect margins if it spreads to other regions 13.

  • Seed and crop protection companies

    The sources refer to competitors investing in similar technologies without naming them in the excerpts reviewed.

  • Agricultural biotechnology developers

    Competition includes companies developing biotechnology traits and germplasm, a category named in the risk discussion 1.

  • Biological and chemical product suppliers

    The filing notes competitors investing in biological and chemical crop protection products 1.

  • Intermediary distribution platforms

    A named risk is the emergence of an intermediary platform for distributing the company's products, which could change sales channels 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 01 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 13 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Corteva, Inc. · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Corteva, Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Corteva, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.