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olivLaw · US equity research

DLH Holdings Corp. DLHC

Services-Help Supply Services · SIC 7363 · Vertical: Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363)

3.69USD+5.13% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

DLH Holdings provides digital transformation, cybersecurity, science research and systems engineering solutions to US federal agencies, mainly HHS, VA and DoD. The company is in a difficult stretch: revenue fell sharply in the quarter ended June 30, 2026 as legacy programs moved to small-business set-aside contractors, while DLH cut indirect costs and reduced debt.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) stock was 3.69 USD (+5.13% on the day), with market capitalisation 53.5 m USD, beta 0.72, 52-week range 3.46–6.57 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 44.2 m USD (−46.9% YoY), net income of -16.8 m USD (−5,908.7% YoY), diluted EPS -1.16 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
53.5 m USD
shares as of 28 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.48 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-40.11%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.72
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
3.466.57

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.39 – 4.29
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.33 · band width 23.5%
SMA 50 / 200
3.94 / 5.15
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.11 / -0.10
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.6%−1.1%−8.5 pp—
3 months−23.8%−0.5%−23.3 pp—
6 months−34.1%+4.4%−38.5 pp—
Year to date−34.7%+12.3%−47.0 pp—
1 year−39.6%+13.5%−53.2 pp+54.7%
3 years−74.6%+76.4%−151.1 pp−36.8%
5 years−75.6%+63.7%−139.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−47.3%
25 Nov 2025 → 28 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−87.1%
30 Dec 2021 → 15 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
44.2 m USD
−46.9% YoY
Net income
-16.8 m USD
−5,908.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.16
−5,900.0% YoY
net / operating
-38.0% / -8.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue96.4 m90.8 m89.2 m83.3 m81.2 m68.9 m59.3 m44.2 m
Cost of revenue77.5 m72.8 m71.6 m67.6 m67.3 m55.4 m47.5 m36.8 m
Operating income6.4 m5.6 m5.1 m3.8 m2.3 m1.4 m-55.0 k-3.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m4.3 m4.0 m
Interest expense4.2 m4.1 m3.9 m3.5 m3.5 m3.0 m3.1 m3.1 m
Pre-tax income2.2 m1.5 m1.2 m215.0 k-1.2 m-2.0 m-3.2 m-7.0 m
Income tax-81.0 k389.0 k360.0 k-74.0 k-282.0 k-636.0 k-659.0 k9.8 m
Net income2.3 m1.1 m878.0 k289.0 k-920.0 k-1.3 m-2.5 m-16.8 m
Diluted EPS0.160.080.060.02-0.06-0.09-0.17-1.16
Operating cash flow12.4 m-11.5 m14.5 m ≈9.6 m ≈10.7 m-4.8 m3.8 m ≈4.2 m ≈
Capex209.0 k552.0 k-551.0 k ≈212.0 k ≈28.0 k39.0 k0 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue133.2 m160.4 m209.2 m246.1 m395.2 m375.9 m395.9 m344.5 m
Revenue YoY+15.2%+20.4%+30.4%+17.6%+60.6%−4.9%+5.3%−13.0%
Net income1.8 m5.3 m7.1 m10.1 m23.3 m1.5 m7.4 m1.4 m
Net income YoY−44.2%+190.0%+33.6%+42.6%+129.6%−93.7%+406.3%−81.6%
Diluted EPS0.140.410.540.751.640.100.510.09
Diluted EPS YoY−48.1%+192.9%+31.7%+38.9%+118.7%−93.9%+410.0%−82.4%
net %1.4%3.3%3.4%4.1%5.9%0.4%1.9%0.4%
Free cash flow13.4 m17.6 m19.3 m45.6 m371.0 k30.4 m26.5 m23.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
125.0 k USD
Financial debt
128.0 m USD
Net debt
127.9 m USD
Equity
113.0 m USD
Total assets
290.7 m USD
Debt / equity
1.13x
Current ratio
1.00x
ROE
1.2%
ROA
0.5%
FCF margin
6.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
375.9 m
2024
395.9 m
2025
344.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
296.0 m
2024
318.4 m
2025
279.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
79.9 m ≈
2024
77.5 m ≈
2025
65.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025derived

Operating income
2023
17.1 m
2024
24.9 m
2025
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
15.6 m
2024
17.1 m
2025
17.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
32.7 m ≈
2024
42.0 m ≈
2025
34.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
14.2 m
2024
15.4 m
2025
13.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
820.0 k
2024
7.7 m
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
-641.0 k
2024
350.0 k
2025
393.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
1.5 m
2024
7.4 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.10
2024
0.51
2025
0.09

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
14.4 m
2024
14.4 m
2025
14.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
215.0 k
2024
342.0 k
2025
125.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
59.1 m
2024
49.8 m
2025
38.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
62.4 m
2024
53.0 m
2025
42.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
138.2 m
2024
138.2 m
2025
138.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
124.8 m
2024
108.3 m
2025
91.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
339.8 m
2024
314.4 m
2025
290.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
12.6 m
2024
13.4 m
2025
12.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
17.2 m
2024
12.1 m
2025
8.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
155.1 m
2024
137.3 m
2025
120.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
64.8 m
2024
53.2 m
2025
42.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
237.4 m
2024
204.2 m
2025
177.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
102.4 m †
2024
110.1 m †
2025
113.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
31.0 m
2024
27.4 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
625.0 k
2024
836.0 k
2025
241.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
30.4 m ≈
2024
26.5 m ≈
2025
23.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-181.2 m
2024
-836.0 k
2025
-241.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
150.2 m
2024
-26.4 m
2025
-23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Dec 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Dec 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-32.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-81.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-61.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-28.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-82.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-62.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-30.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-13.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-20.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
126.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
7.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
13.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
67.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
13.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
83.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
50 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
15 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
53.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
179.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
3.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
25.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 28 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

3.69 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 53.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
53.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-20.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Jul 2026
verified 2298derived 115

Score by group

  • Balance sheet0
  • Growth0
  • Valuation66
  • Quality49

Estimated value range

Low
9.86
USD per share
Mid
15.82
USD per share
High
33.17
USD per share
Price: 3.69 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 328.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 76.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.29 – 53.46 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)19.43 – 53.46 (Mid 29.76)
    WACC 6.3% · starting FCFF 24.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 83%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA0.29 – 12.88 (Mid 1.88)
    3 companies used · median multiple 9.2x · quartiles 7.8x – 18.8x
    EFOR, MAN, NSP
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 28/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-0.1%67 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality-8.5%19 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-62.0%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet7.6x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.0x0 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.8x38 (on a fixed band)14%
FCF yield · Valuation25.9%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality49/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation66/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

DLH HOLDINGS CORP. (DLHC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 344.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -13.0%; net margin -8.5%; ROE -20.8%; net debt/EBITDA 7.6x.

The estimated value range is 9.86–33.17 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 15.82 USD, the price of 3.69 USD leaves a potential of 328.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 76.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 28/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF yield: 25.9%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -8.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -62.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 7.6x
  • Interest coverage: -0.0x
  • Current ratio: 0.7x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, P/E (TTM), Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 16 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 24.4x
EV/EBITDA
10.8x
vertical median 9.2x
above median (+17.1%)
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.4x
below median (−44.7%)
P/B
0.6x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−68.3%)
ROE
-20.8%
vertical median 4.6%
below median (−555.0%)
Net margin
-8.5%
vertical median 0.3%
below median (−2,604.7%)
EBIT margin
-0.1%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−113.0%)
Revenue YoY
-13.0%
vertical median -1.9%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
7.6x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+851.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
RHIRobert Half Inc.4.6 bn37.29.8%2.3%−7.2%+66% / −45%
MANManpowergroup Inc.2.2 bn18.55.8%0.6%+0.6%+63% / −37%
NSPInsperity, Inc.2.0 bn564.44.6%0.0%+3.5%+46% / −55%
AMNAmn Healthcare Services, Inc.1.8 bn17.815.6%3.1%−8.5%+187% / −30%
EFOREverforth, Inc.1.5 bn22.73.7%1.7%−2.9%−18% / −59%
KFRCKforce Inc1.0 bn24.430.5%3.0%−5.4%+98% / −16%
BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.802.2 m24.416.3%2.8%+8.4%−6% / +20%
TBITrueBlue, Inc.300.0 m—-15.9%-2.6%+3.1%+101% / −29%
RCMTRcm Technologies, Inc.248.1 m15.139.5%5.1%unavailable+78% / +29%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.246.4 m30.912.1%27.1%−11.4%+104% / +20%
TTECTTEC Holdings, Inc.75.4 m—-108.2%-10.2%−3.2%−54% / −92%
DLHCDlh Holdings Corp.53.5 m—-20.8%-8.5%−13.0%−40% / −75%
BGSFBgsf, Inc41.8 m—-4.4%-2.3%−10.6%−15% / −60%
STRRStar Equity Holdings, Inc.35.5 m—-18.2%-4.3%+22.9%−5% / −39%
CIRCCircle8 Group Inc.26.7 m——-19.4%−1.5%−89% / −94%
YFORYY Group Holding Ltd.4.3 m—-94.1%-11.8%+29.4%−100% / unavailable
KELYAKelly Services, Inc.——-24.3%-6.7%−1.9%+96% / −19%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DLHC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    DLH Holdings provides digital transformation, cybersecurity, science research and systems engineering solutions to US federal agencies, mainly HHS, VA and DoD. The company is in a difficult stretch: revenue fell sharply in the quarter ended June 30, 2026 as legacy programs moved to small-business set-aside contractors, while DLH cut indirect costs and reduced debt 13.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The workforce is highly credentialed and the company has a solid past performance record on government contracts 1.
    • The company mainly operates as prime contractor, which gives it more control over its contracts 1.
    • Strong bipartisan support for key contracts has contributed to stable activity 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on a small number of large contracts means losing one program can have a major effect on revenue 1.
    • Debt remains high relative to current revenue and reducing it is still a priority 3.
    • The company posted a net loss in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets 3.

    Opportunities

    • Organic growth in core markets, especially cyber security and AI, could offset the loss of legacy programs 3.
    • Indirect costs aligned with expected volumes could improve operating margins in fiscal 2027 3.
    • Industry consolidation could open acquisition opportunities that strengthen the company's capabilities 1.

    Threats

    • Federal spending cuts and contract reviews could lead to further cancellations or price reductions 1.
    • Government shutdowns and budget delays can postpone bids and payments 1.
    • Set-aside policies for small businesses may limit the company's access to new programs 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on the federal governmenthigh

      Nearly all revenue comes from federal agencies, so any cut in budgets or change in contract relationships would have a direct effect on results 1.

    • Concentration on a few contractshigh

      A significant part of revenue depends on contracts with VA and HHS, and losing a major program could have large effects 1.

    • Debt and liquidity pressuremedium

      Debt remains significant and its reduction depends on operating cash flow, which has declined in recent quarters 3.

    • Shutdowns and budget delaysmedium

      Failure to approve budgets on time can postpone contracts and payments, affecting revenue and cash flow 1.

    • Leadership changelow

      The appointment of a new CEO and CFO in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 introduces a transition period in strategy and execution 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the alignment of indirect costs with revenue volumes holds, adjusted EBITDA margin could stay near the third-quarter level 3.
    • Growing demand for cyber security and artificial intelligence could open new contracts for the company 12.
    • More than a decade of experience in government research and health services may be an advantage in future bids 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue almost halved in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, and the transfer of programs to small businesses could continue 3.
    • Backlog has fallen significantly, which could limit future revenue if new contracts do not materialise 3.
    • The company recorded a net loss in the third quarter, driven by a tax valuation allowance, which could reflect persistent profitability problems 3.

    What to watch

    • Evolution of revenue and backlog after the transition of VA and HHS programsQ4 2026
    • Financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and the adjusted EBITDA marginQ1 2027
    • Debt reduction and the trend in operating cash flow2027
    • Outcome of the CMOP solicitations and other set-aside contractsnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    DLH Holdings Corp. delivers health and readiness solutions to federal government customers through three service lines: digital transformation and cyber security, science research and development, and systems engineering and integration 1. The company operates mainly as prime contractor, won through competitive bidding, and relies on a highly credentialed workforce 1. In fiscal 2025 revenue was 344.5 million USD and 99% of revenue came from federal agencies 1.

    Key customers are HHS, VA and DoD, and dependence on a few large contracts is high, especially the VA CMOP program, which has been subject to solicitations limited to service-disabled veteran owned small businesses 1. Revenue in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 fell to 44.2 million USD, reflecting the transition of legacy programs to small-business contractors 3.

    Management changed at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2026, and the new leadership named disciplined organic growth, operating leverage and rapid debt reduction as its priorities 3. Backlog fell to 408.5 million USD at June 30, 2026 3.

    Segments

    Digital Transformation and Cyber Security

    This line covers IT modernization, artificial intelligence, cloud enablement, big data analytics and cyber security services for NIH, DHA and the US Navy 12.

    Science Research and Development

    The company provides data analytics, clinical trials research and epidemiology studies for HHS divisions such as NIH and CDC, and for the Military Health System 12.

    Systems Engineering and Integration

    Services include C5ISR engineering, modeling and simulation, performance based logistics and system modernization for the US Navy, HHS and VA 12.

    Market context

    The market is federal government contracting, where budgets are authorized annually by Congress and can be delayed by government shutdowns, which affects the timing of bids 1. The company works in a highly competitive sector with long acquisition cycles, typically between 18 and 36 months for major programs 1.

    Government policies favouring small and veteran-owned businesses may limit DLH's access to prime contractor positions on important programs, and the federal goal of routing a set share of prime contracts to small businesses is a key factor 1.

    Trends

    • Federal spending reductions and contract reviewsheadwind

      The administration has begun efforts to cut federal spending, and GSA has asked agencies to review contracts with consulting firms, which has already led to reductions and cancellations 1. If these reviews continue, revenue could remain under pressure.

    • Transfer of programs to small businessesheadwind

      Several HHS and VA programs have been awarded to small-business contractors, which is the main reason for lower revenue in fiscal 2025 and in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 13.

    • Consolidation among federal contractorsmixed

      Mergers and acquisitions among federal contractors have increased in recent years and the company expects this to continue, which could create acquisition opportunities or competitive pressure 1.

    • Focus on artificial intelligence and cyber securitytailwind

      Demand for AI, cloud and cyber security solutions from defense and health agencies could support organic growth if budgets for these areas remain stable 12.

    Competitive position

    The market is dominated by large firms with greater resources, larger customer bases and stronger brand recognition 1. DLH competes by combining a credentialed workforce, proprietary tools and a track record of past performance, but its competitor set includes both large and small firms 1.

    Set-aside rules for small and veteran-owned businesses can reduce the company's access to prime contractor positions, sometimes forcing it into a subcontractor role 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report25 Aug 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report29 Jul 2026
    • Current report29 Jul 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Jul 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Jun 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 May 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report06 May 2026
    • Current report17 Mar 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report09 Feb 2026
    • Current report09 Feb 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / DLH Holdings Corp. · 10 Dec 2025
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / DLH Holdings Corp. · 29 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / DLH Holdings Corp. · 29 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.