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olivLaw · US equity research

Insperity, Inc. NSP

Services-Help Supply Services · SIC 7363 · Vertical: Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363)

50.82USD−1.68% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Insperity provides outsourced human resources to small and medium-sized US businesses through a co-employment (PEO) model, with HR360 as its largest offering. In 2026 the company is in a margin recovery phase after profitability contracted in 2025 and the paid worksite employee base slipped slightly. It reported revenues of about 6.8 billion USD in 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Insperity, Inc. (NSP) stock was 50.82 USD (−1.68% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.9 bn USD, P/E 554.9 on diluted EPS of 0.09 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.72%, beta 0.51, 52-week range 19.90–54.44 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.7 bn USD (+1.7% YoY), net income of -1.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.02 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.9 bn USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
554.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.09 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.18%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.72%
DPS 12m 2.40
Beta (2y)
0.51
Volatility (1y) 66%
52-week range
19.9054.44

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
50.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
46.65 – 54.71
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.52 · band width 15.9%
SMA 50 / 200
50.08 / 39.61
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.37 / 0.41
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.5%−5.9%+15.4 pp—
3 months−0.9%−4.6%+3.8 pp—
6 months+55.5%+0.2%+55.2 pp—
Year to date+31.3%+7.4%+23.8 pp—
1 year+40.9%+8.2%+32.7 pp+26.3%
3 years−52.5%+68.4%−120.9 pp−37.6%
5 years−58.3%+56.5%−114.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−57.9%
22 Jan 2026 → 11 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−84.7%
21 Apr 2023 → 11 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−16.0%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.7 bn USD
+1.7% YoY
Net income
-1.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.02
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-0.1% / -0.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.6 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Gross profit218.0 m310.0 m223.0 m195.0 m172.0 m302.0 m217.0 m207.0 m
Operating income-15.0 m68.0 m-7.0 m-25.0 m-46.0 m62.0 m6.0 m-2.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.0 m11.0 m11.0 m11.0 m12.0 m11.0 m10.0 m10.0 m
Interest expense7.0 m6.0 m6.0 m6.0 m6.0 m6.0 m6.0 m7.0 m
Pre-tax income-13.0 m72.0 m-6.0 m-24.0 m-46.0 m63.0 m5.0 m-1.0 m
Income tax-4.0 m21.0 m-1.0 m-4.0 m-13.0 m30.0 m1.0 m0
Net income-9.0 m51.0 m-5.0 m-20.0 m-33.0 m33.0 m4.0 m-1.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.24 ≈1.35-0.14-0.53-0.87 ≈0.880.10-0.02
Operating cash flow619.0 m-443.0 m-79.0 m ≈-11.0 m ≈255.0 m-67.0 m48.0 m ≈-4.0 m ≈
Capex13.0 m6.0 m7.0 m ≈9.0 m ≈9.0 m6.0 m7.0 m ≈13.0 m ≈
Dividends paid22.0 m23.0 m22.0 m ≈23.0 m ≈22.0 m23.0 m23.0 m ≈23.0 m ≈
Share repurchases11.0 m19.0 m0 ≈0 ≈04.0 m0 ≈6.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 10.9, median 27.0, max 508.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.8 bn4.3 bn4.3 bn5.0 bn5.9 bn6.5 bn6.6 bn6.8 bn
Revenue YoY+16.0%+12.7%−0.6%+16.0%+19.4%+9.2%+1.5%+3.5%
Net income135.4 m151.1 m138.2 m124.1 m179.0 m171.0 m91.0 m-7.0 m
Net income YoY+60.4%+11.6%−8.5%−10.2%+44.3%−4.5%−46.8%−107.7%
Diluted EPS3.223.703.543.184.644.472.42-0.19
Diluted EPS YoY+60.2%+14.9%−4.3%−10.2%+45.9%−3.7%−45.9%−107.9%
net %3.5%3.5%3.2%2.5%3.0%2.6%1.4%-0.1%
Free cash flow149.2 m148.8 m248.2 m227.3 m317.0 m158.0 m482.0 m-309.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
642.0 m USD
Financial debt
369.0 m USD
Net debt
-273.0 m USD
Equity
46.0 m USD
Total assets
2.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
8.02x
Current ratio
1.06x
ROE
-9.8%
ROA
-0.3%
FCF margin
-4.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.5 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
900.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
219.0 m
2024
117.0 m
2025
-10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
43.0 m
2024
44.0 m
2025
45.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
262.0 m ≈
2024
161.0 m ≈
2025
35.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
27.0 m
2024
28.0 m
2025
24.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
225.0 m
2024
126.0 m
2025
-4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
54.0 m
2024
35.0 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
171.0 m
2024
91.0 m
2025
-7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.47
2024
2.42
2025
-0.19

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
38.0 m
2024
38.0 m
2025
38.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
693.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
642.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
16.0 m
2024
9.0 m
2025
6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
197.0 m
2024
192.0 m
2025
177.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2022verified

Total assets
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.0 m
2024
10.0 m
2025
6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
369.0 m
2024
369.0 m
2025
369.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
94.0 m †
2024
97.0 m †
2025
46.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
198.0 m
2024
520.0 m
2025
-278.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
40.0 m
2024
38.0 m
2025
31.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
158.0 m ≈
2024
482.0 m ≈
2025
-309.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-22.0 m
2024
-38.0 m
2025
-31.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-155.0 m
2024
-173.0 m
2025
-90.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
84.0 m
2024
89.0 m
2025
90.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
131.0 m
2024
63.0 m
2025
19.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-108.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-107.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-107.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-164.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
13.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
insufficient data
ROCE
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
2,620.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
46.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-180.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
9.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
232.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
35.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
197.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
6,566.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
368.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
645.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
554.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
44.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
27.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
87.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
9.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

50.82 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
554.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
44.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
27.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2346derived 187

Score by group

  • Growth39
  • Returns85
  • Balance sheet55
  • Valuation29
  • Quality75

Estimated value range

Low
9.56
USD per share
Mid
10.86
USD per share
High
11.71
USD per share
Price: 50.82 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -78.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -368.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.02 – 138.20 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)87.78 – 138.20 (Mid 106.76)
    WACC 8.5% · starting FCFF 218.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -26.4%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA17.46 – 21.07 (Mid 19.65)
    3 companies used · median multiple 9.0x · quartiles 7.7x – 9.9x
    DLHC, EFOR, MAN
  • Peers: P/E1.66 – 2.35 (Mid 2.07)
    8 companies used · median multiple 22.6x · quartiles 18.1x – 25.6x
    AMN, BBSI, EFOR, HQI, KFRC, MAN, RCMT, RHI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.02 – 0.03 (Mid 0.03)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.0%50 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality6,566.7%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.7%39 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-2.9x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.8x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x26 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation554.9x0 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation27.9x0 (on a fixed band)13%
FCF yield · Valuation10.2%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.2%75 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns46.2%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial39/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality75/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation29/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Insperity, Inc. (NSP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.5%; net margin 0.0%; ROE 4.6%; net debt/EBITDA -2.9x.

The estimated value range is 9.56–11.71 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 10.86 USD, the price of 50.82 USD leaves a potential of -78.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -368.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 6,566.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -2.9x
  • FCF yield: 10.2%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 46.2%

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: 0.8x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 554.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 27.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 16 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
554.9x
vertical median 22.6x
above median (+2,357.9%)
EV/EBITDA
27.9x
vertical median 9.0x
above median (+208.8%)
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 0.4x
below median (−23.4%)
P/B
44.0x
vertical median 1.2x
above median (+3,538.5%)
ROE
4.6%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+23.8%)
Net margin
0.0%
vertical median -0.9%
above median
EBIT margin
0.3%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−64.3%)
Revenue YoY
3.5%
vertical median -2.9%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
-2.9x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−195.4%)
Dividend yield
4.7%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+121.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
RHIRobert Half Inc.4.4 bn35.69.8%2.3%−7.2%+59% / −48%
MANManpowergroup Inc.2.2 bn18.25.8%0.6%+0.6%+61% / −38%
NSPInsperity, Inc.1.9 bn554.94.6%0.0%+3.5%+41% / −52%
AMNAmn Healthcare Services, Inc.1.8 bn17.715.6%3.1%−8.5%+185% / −30%
EFOREverforth, Inc.1.5 bn21.83.7%1.7%−2.9%−21% / −60%
KFRCKforce Inc997.7 m23.430.5%3.0%−5.4%+89% / −20%
BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.728.3 m24.213.9%2.4%+8.4%−13% / +11%
TBITrueBlue, Inc.376.8 m—-15.9%-2.6%+3.1%+152% / −11%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.239.2 m30.012.1%27.1%−11.4%+98% / +16%
RCMTRcm Technologies, Inc.226.3 m13.839.5%5.1%unavailable+63% / +18%
TTECTTEC Holdings, Inc.73.0 m—-108.2%-10.2%−3.2%−56% / −92%
DLHCDlh Holdings Corp.52.6 m—-20.8%-8.5%−13.0%−42% / −74%
BGSFBgsf, Inc37.5 m—-4.4%-2.3%−10.6%−24% / −64%
STRRStar Equity Holdings, Inc.35.0 m—-18.2%-4.3%+22.9%−6% / −40%
CIRCCircle8 Group Inc.23.5 m——-19.4%−1.5%−90% / −95%
YFORYY Group Holding Ltd.3.9 m—-94.1%-11.8%+29.4%−100% / unavailable
KELYAKelly Services, Inc.——-11.9%-3.1%−1.9%+63% / −32%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NSP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
25.88
Total return -49% · Per year -49%
45.74
Total return -10% · Per year -10%
68.90
Total return 36% · Per year 36%
3 years
25.20
Total return -50% · Per year -21%
50.12
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
82.88
Total return 64% · Per year 18%
5 years
24.55
Total return -51% · Per year -13%
54.92
Total return 9% · Per year 2%
99.70
Total return 97% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 12.53
  • Net margin± 8.77
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.19
  • Annual dilution± 0.74

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

Insperity provides outsourced human resources to small and medium-sized US businesses through a co-employment (PEO) model, with HR360 as its largest offering. In 2026 the company is in a margin recovery phase after profitability contracted in 2025 and the paid worksite employee base slipped slightly. It reported revenues of about 6.8 billion USD in 2025 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an integrated human resources platform, a broad service range and a benefits package that is hard for small firms to match 1.
  • Recognition of the co-employment model by federal and state authorities gives the industry a supportive regulatory framework 1.
  • The Workday partnership for HRScale could extend the offering to growing companies and the middle market 13.

Weaknesses

  • Profitability contracted sharply in 2025 and net income turned negative, showing how sensitive margins are to costs 1.
  • The number of paid worksite employees slipped slightly in 2026, showing that the margin recovery strategy has a cost for growth 2.
  • Geographic concentration in a few large states exposes results to regional economic factors 1.

Opportunities

  • The middle market segment is growing faster than the total base, and expanding HRScale could attract clients seeking more advanced solutions 2.
  • AI initiatives could lower operating costs and improve services for clients 3.
  • If the margin recovery is consolidated, the company could resume growth in 2027 on the basis of its 2026 results 3.

Threats

  • An economic slowdown or credit crunch could reduce clients' headcount and their ability to pay 1.
  • Rising health and workers' compensation costs could erode margins if they cannot be passed on fully to clients 13.
  • Disputes over COVID-era employee retention tax credits could lead to unexpected financial obligations 1.

Risks

  • ERC claimshigh

    If tax authorities reject employee retention tax credit claims filed on behalf of clients, the company could face losses or penalties 1.

  • Health insurance costshigh

    The main health insurance contract expires at the end of 2028, and replacing it on competitive terms could be difficult if few providers offer national coverage 1.

  • Geographic concentrationmedium

    If economies in New York, California or Texas weaken, a large share of revenues could be hit at the same time 1.

  • Credit facility obligationsmedium

    The credit facility contains restrictions and financial covenants; a failure to comply could lead to acceleration of the debt 1.

  • Loss of key staff and talentlow

    A shortage of skilled workers or rising labor costs could affect service quality and the company's growth 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Guidance for 2026 showing a visible recovery in adjusted EBITDA, supported by better pricing and expense control, could help rebuild investor confidence 3.
  • The middle market segment, with faster growth in employees, could become a growth driver if HRScale expands as planned 12.
  • A leading position in the PEO model and a regulatory framework developed with authorities could strengthen the competitive advantage over the long term 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Profitability fell sharply in 2025, and the 2026 recovery depends on pricing success, which could be hard to hold if clients leave 13.
  • A slight decline in paid worksite employees and rising borrowings could limit the capacity to invest in growth 2.
  • Risks tied to tax credits, health costs and geographic exposure are significant and could compress margins in periods of economic stress 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance and the third quarter outlookQ3 2026
  • Trend in average paid worksite employees, especially in the middle market segmentQ3 2026
  • Status of ERC tax credit claims and any related obligations2026
  • Launch and adoption of HRScale and progress of AI initiativesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

Insperity, Inc. provides a set of human resources and business performance solutions, building on the professional employer organization (PEO) model it pioneered in 1986. Through its PEO HR Solutions, the company becomes co-employer of clients' worksite employees, taking on payroll, benefits, workers' compensation and compliance administration while the client keeps control of its business. Its core services are HR360, HR360 Select Edition and HRScale, the last developed with Workday 1.

Revenue depends on the number of enrolled clients and paid worksite employees, plus a markup applied to payroll cost. Reported revenues include only the markup, not the full payroll, and direct costs include payroll taxes, benefit plans and workers' compensation 1. As of 2025 the company operated 73 offices in 44 markets and four regional service centers 1.

For 2026 the company has made margin recovery its top priority; over the first six months revenues rose slightly while net income fell. Updated 2026 guidance points to adjusted EBITDA between 185 and 225 million USD, implying the expected profit recovery is weighted to the second half of the year 3.

Segments

HR360 and HR360 Select Edition

HR360 is the company's largest revenue source, offered to small and medium-sized businesses wanting a full human resources package including the Insperity Premier platform. HR360 Select Edition is a lower-cost option with a typically longer commitment, aimed mainly at the middle market 1.

HRScale

HRScale is the newest offering, developed with Workday for growing and middle market companies. It is priced above HR360, and an initial group of clients was expected to start using it in the first quarter of 2026 1. The company ties its growth goals and AI initiatives to this product 3.

HRCore and complementary services

HRCore is a traditional payroll and human capital management solution, and complementary products include talent acquisition, retirement, insurance, contractor management and Perks+. These are generally offered only alongside the core solutions 1.

Market context

The company serves the US small and medium-sized business market, where demand depends on economic activity and access to credit. The PEO industry is regulated at state level, and 42 states have laws recognizing PEOs or requiring licensing 1. The middle market segment, generally companies with about 150 to 5,000 worksite employees, is growing its share, reaching roughly 29% of paid employees in the first six months of 2026 2.

The business is geographically concentrated, with New York, California and Texas accounting for a large share of worksite employees, so it is sensitive to economic and regulatory conditions in those states 1. The company also notes that its margin recovery strategy weighs on new sales and client retention, which can limit growth in paid employees 2.

Trends

  • Growth in the middle markettailwind

    Average paid worksite employees in the middle market rose 10% in the first six months of 2026, which could support the portfolio over time if the trend holds 2.

  • Benefit cost pressureheadwind

    Benefits cost per covered employee rose 5% in the second quarter and in the first six months of 2026, a direct pressure on margins 3. If pricing cannot offset cost growth, results could stay under pressure.

  • AI and client hiringmixed

    The company notes that AI tools may reduce clients' need to hire for certain roles, which could slow the growth of paid worksite employees. At the same time, AI initiatives are part of its growth plan 13.

  • Margin recovery through pricingmixed

    Average pricing rose and revenue per worksite employee increased 3% in the second quarter. This supported revenues but coincided with a slightly lower number of paid employees 2.

Competitive position

The supplied sources do not explicitly name direct competitors. The company describes its market in terms of the PEO industry as a whole and providers of human resources services to small and medium-sized businesses 1. Competition is described as arising from the PEO industry environment, pricing pressure and the need to win new clients 2.

Differentiation rests on the breadth of its services, its proprietary technology platform and a benefits package that small clients could not obtain alone, which the company says gives it a competitive advantage over smaller firms 1. However, client retention and pricing concerns could erode that advantage if other providers offer better terms 1.

  • Other US PEO providers

    The sources do not name specific rivals but describe the PEO industry as made up of several providers offering comparable services to small and medium-sized clients.

  • Human resources software vendors

    Human capital management platforms, including those offered through technology partners, may compete with the company's solutions for clients preferring a less integrated model.

  • Local payroll and benefits providers

    Smaller firms offering payroll and benefits administration may attract price-sensitive clients, especially in markets with more local competition.

  • Insurance and benefits brokers

    Insurers and benefits brokers may cover part of client needs without offering the integrated co-employment model.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Insperity, Inc. · 11 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Insperity, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Insperity, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.