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olivLaw · US equity research

The Ensign Group, Inc. ENSG

Services-Skilled Nursing Care Facilities · SIC 8051 · Vertical: Health services (SIC 805x)

188.31USD+3.35% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Ensign Group is a post-acute care company that operates through independent subsidiaries in 17 states, focused on skilled nursing and senior living services. It matters now because it is in a growth phase through acquisitions, with second quarter 2026 consolidated revenue of $1.44 billion and raised annual guidance.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) stock was 188.31 USD (+3.35% on the day), with market capitalisation 11.0 bn USD, P/E 28.0 on diluted EPS of 6.72 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.14%, beta 0.29, 52-week range 147.13–215.83 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.5 bn USD (+14.5% YoY), net income of 104.3 m USD (+24.4% YoY), diluted EPS 1.76 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
11.0 bn USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.0
Diluted EPS TTM 6.72 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.57%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.14%
DPS 12m 0.26
Beta (2y)
0.29
Volatility (1y) 30%
52-week range
147.13215.83

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
167.38 – 187.16
above the upper band · %B 1.06 · band width 11.2%
SMA 50 / 200
175.02 / 181.68
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.56 / 1.47
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.9%−1.1%+10.0 pp—
3 months+5.4%−0.5%+5.9 pp—
6 months+7.0%+4.4%+2.6 pp—
Year to date+8.1%+12.3%−4.2 pp—
1 year+2.4%+13.5%−11.2 pp+41.3%
3 years+84.6%+76.4%+8.2 pp+175.4%
5 years+126.5%+63.7%+62.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.8%
02 Mar 2026 → 11 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−31.8%
02 Mar 2026 → 11 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+17.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.5 bn USD
+14.5% YoY
Net income
104.3 m USD
+24.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.76
+23.9% YoY
net / operating
7.0% / 9.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.1 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn
Cost of revenue897.3 m927.8 m971.8 m1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn
Operating income100.8 m101.4 m103.9 m96.2 m123.8 m124.9 m122.5 m138.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation22.5 m24.2 m25.8 m26.6 m27.7 m28.8 m31.4 m32.6 m
Interest expense2.3 m2.0 m2.0 m2.0 m2.0 m1.9 m1.9 m2.3 m
Pre-tax income105.8 m106.6 m112.4 m106.6 m130.1 m128.6 m133.7 m140.2 m
Income tax26.0 m26.2 m27.9 m22.7 m34.6 m28.8 m33.8 m35.8 m
Net income79.7 m80.3 m84.4 m83.8 m95.5 m99.7 m99.7 m104.3 m
Diluted EPS1.36 ≈1.371.441.421.61 ≈1.671.681.76
Operating cash flow100.5 m72.2 m155.7 m ≈153.0 m ≈183.3 m100.2 m172.0 m ≈240.2 m ≈
Dividends paid3.4 m3.6 m3.6 m ≈3.6 m ≈3.6 m3.8 m3.8 m ≈3.8 m ≈
Share repurchases010.8 m9.2 m ≈0 ≈0040.0 m ≈7.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 78 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 17.0, median 24.5, max 34.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.8 bn2.0 bn2.4 bn2.6 bn3.0 bn3.7 bn4.3 bn5.1 bn
Revenue YoY+9.8%+16.1%+18.0%+9.4%+15.1%+23.3%+14.2%+18.7%
Net income92.4 m110.5 m170.5 m194.7 m224.7 m209.4 m298.0 m344.0 m
Net income YoY+128.2%+19.7%+54.2%+14.2%+15.4%−6.8%+42.3%+15.4%
Diluted EPS1.701.973.063.423.953.655.125.84
Diluted EPS YoY+120.8%+15.9%+55.3%+11.8%+15.5%−7.6%+40.3%+14.1%
net %5.3%5.4%7.1%7.4%7.4%5.6%7.0%6.8%
Free cash flow159.4 m120.7 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
503.9 m USD
Financial debt
141.8 m USD
Net debt
-362.1 m USD
Equity
2.2 bn USD
Total assets
5.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.06x
Current ratio
1.42x
ROE
16.9%
ROA
6.8%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.7 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
788.1 m ≈
2024
883.6 m ≈
2025
1.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
255.4 m
2024
358.3 m
2025
425.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
72.4 m
2024
84.1 m
2025
104.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
327.8 m ≈
2024
442.4 m ≈
2025
529.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
8.1 m
2024
8.3 m
2025
8.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
272.8 m
2024
386.1 m
2025
455.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
62.9 m
2024
87.6 m
2025
111.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
209.4 m
2024
298.0 m
2025
344.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.65
2024
5.12
2025
5.84

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
57.3 m
2024
58.2 m
2025
58.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.23
2024
0.24
2025
0.25

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
509.6 m
2024
464.6 m
2025
503.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
485.0 m
2024
569.9 m
2025
637.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
76.9 m
2024
98.0 m
2025
98.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
6.5 m
2024
7.3 m
2025
6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.7 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
92.8 m
2024
98.9 m
2025
97.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
4.0 m
2024
4.1 m
2025
4.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
145.5 m
2024
141.6 m
2025
137.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
734.7 m
2024
743.4 m
2025
894.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
376.7 m
2024
347.2 m
2025
564.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-182.7 m
2024
-390.1 m
2025
-513.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-612.0 k
2024
-2.2 m
2025
-11.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
12.9 m
2024
13.7 m
2025
14.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
18.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
18.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
18.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
15.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
15.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
14.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
21.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
18.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
10.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-138.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
62.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
695.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
110.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
9 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
11.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
10.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
27.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
4.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
17.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 63 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

188.31 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 11.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
11.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
4.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
17.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Oct 2026
verified 2523derived 202

Score by group

  • Valuation4
  • Returns8
  • Quality93
  • Balance sheet87
  • Growth96

Estimated value range

Low
140.26
USD per share
Mid
160.55
USD per share
High
174.22
USD per share
Price: 188.31 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -14.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -17.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 140.26 – 174.22 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E140.26 – 174.22 (Mid 160.55)
    3 companies used · median multiple 23.9x · quartiles 20.9x – 25.9x
    HCSG, NHC, PACS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate3.32 – 4.46 (Mid 3.81)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Health services (SIC 805x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 63/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality18.0%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Net margin · Quality7.0%80 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth18.7%100 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth13.9%93 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.2x100 (on a fixed band)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet62.8x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x33 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation28.0x9 (on a fixed band)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation17.2x0 (on a fixed band)13%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.6%8 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet87/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth96/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality93/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial8/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation4/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ENSIGN GROUP, INC (ENSG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 18.7%; net margin 7.0%; ROE 17.1%; net debt/EBITDA -0.2x.

The estimated value range is 140.26–174.22 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 160.55 USD, the price of 188.31 USD leaves a potential of -14.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -17.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 63/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 18.0%
  • Net margin: 7.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 18.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 13.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.2x
  • Interest coverage: 62.8x

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 28.0x
  • EV/EBITDA: 17.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.6%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Health services (SIC 805x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
28.0x
vertical median 23.9x
above median (+17.3%)
EV/EBITDA
17.2x
vertical median —
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 1.4x
above median (+38.5%)
P/B
4.3x
vertical median 3.2x
above median (+35.6%)
ROE
17.1%
vertical median 13.1%
above median (+30.4%)
Net margin
7.0%
vertical median 4.9%
above median (+44.6%)
EBIT margin
9.0%
vertical median 7.4%
above median (+20.8%)
Revenue YoY
18.7%
vertical median 16.1%
above median (+16.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.2x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.1%
vertical median 1.2%
below median (−88.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENSGEnsign Group, Inc11.0 bn28.017.1%7.0%+18.7%+2% / +85%
PACSPACS Group, Inc.8.0 bn28.026.6%4.9%+29.3%+50% / unavailable
NHCNational Healthcare Corp3.3 bn23.913.1%9.0%+16.1%+56% / +177%
BKDBrookdale Senior Living Inc.2.7 bn—-362.1%-4.5%+2.2%+1% / +111%
HCSGHealthcare Services Group, Inc.1.8 bn17.920.4%5.6%+7.1%+41% / +173%
SNDASonida Senior Living, Inc.1.8 bn—-26.7%-23.3%+25.2%+14% / +282%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ENSG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
125.30
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
220.52
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
330.77
Total return 76% · Per year 76%
3 years
148.63
Total return -21% · Per year -7%
291.63
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
476.32
Total return 154% · Per year 36%
5 years
176.30
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
385.68
Total return 106% · Per year 16%
685.89
Total return 266% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 72.91
  • Net margin± 51.04
  • Annual revenue growth± 38.06
  • Annual dilution± 4.29

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

In brief

The Ensign Group is a post-acute care company that operates through independent subsidiaries in 17 states, focused on skilled nursing and senior living services. It matters now because it is in a growth phase through acquisitions, with second quarter 2026 consolidated revenue of $1.44 billion and raised annual guidance.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Local management model with autonomy for subsidiaries and sharing of operating data between leaders, which supports care quality 1.
  • Leadership stability and clinical results reported as above the average of its operating states 3.
  • Owned real estate through Standard Bearer, providing rental income and a platform for future acquisitions 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on Medicare and Medicaid makes revenue sensitive to reimbursement changes 1.
  • Recent acquisitions include operations with low occupancy and clinical and operational hurdles that need time to integrate 3.
  • The company is a holding company with no direct operating assets, so revenue depends on its independent subsidiaries 1.

Opportunities

  • A fragmented sector leaves room for acquisitions and consolidation, including large portfolios and sales by non-profit owners 13.
  • Expansion in Texas, its largest market, could strengthen its local position and operating efficiency 2.
  • A rising mix of high-acuity patients could improve revenue per bed if the early-2026 trend continues 3.

Threats

  • Regulatory changes and reimbursement cuts in public programmes could weigh on revenue and profitability 1.
  • Government investigations and sanctions over billing practices could lead to fines and repayment obligations 1.
  • A shortage of qualified staff could raise costs and lead to fines if minimum staffing levels are not met 1.

Risks

  • Changes to Medicare and Medicaid reimbursementhigh

    Rate reductions, or payments rising more slowly than costs, could materially reduce revenue and operating margins 1.

  • Government reviews and sanctionshigh

    Audits, investigations and billing reviews could lead to refunds, fines or loss of licences 1.

  • Acquisition strategymedium

    If acquired facilities cannot be integrated on time or are bought at unattractive prices, growth could slow or create unexpected costs 13.

  • Labour costsmedium

    A shortage of nurses and skilled staff could raise wage costs and affect compliance with staffing rules 1.

  • Geographic concentrationlow

    Concentration of operations in a limited number of states could expose the company to regional economic downturns, regulatory shifts or natural events 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rising quarterly revenue, occupancy and skilled mix in 2026, together with raised guidance, could point to solid operational execution 3.
  • If the reported clinical results and staff stability hold, the company could continue to attract patients and referral partners 3.
  • The Standard Bearer property portfolio could support funding of future acquisitions, given its estimated fair value 12.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on government programmes and possible reimbursement cuts could quickly erase operating gains 1.
  • Acquisitions of low-occupancy facilities with clinical problems could take more time and capital than expected, which could slow margin improvement 3.
  • Regulatory and audit risks could lead to sanctions affecting financial results and reputation 1.

What to watch

  • Pace and cost of new acquisitions, especially in TexasQ3 2026
  • Trend in Same Facility occupancy and skilled services mixQ3 2026
  • Changes to Medicare and Medicaid rules and rates2027
  • Delivery against raised annual guidance and the share repurchase programmenext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 27 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

The business

The Ensign Group, Inc. is a holding company whose independent subsidiaries provide skilled nursing, senior living and rehabilitative services, along with ancillary businesses including mobile diagnostics and medical transportation, in 17 states 1. As of 31 December 2025 it offered services through 373 skilled nursing and senior living facilities 1. It also acquires and owns healthcare real estate through its captive REIT Standard Bearer, formed in January 2022 1.

The operating model relies on local empowerment: each subsidiary is led locally, and leaders share real-time operating data and best practices with peers 1. Growth has come from acquisitions, organic improvement and operating efficiencies, with 145 facilities acquired from 2021 through 2025 1.

In the quarter ended 30 June 2026, Same Facility and Transitioning Facility occupancy was 84.1% and 84.7%, respectively 3. In the first half of 2026, Standard Bearer added real estate assets of $374.6 million linked to 18 stand-alone skilled nursing operations, three senior living operations and two campus operations 2.

Segments

Skilled Services

This segment covers operation of skilled nursing facilities and rehabilitation therapy. At 31 December 2025 it ran 357 operations with 37,911 operational beds 1. Revenue comes from Medicaid, Medicare, managed care, commercial insurance and private pay, and in 2025 Medicaid accounted for about 46.6% of skilled services revenue 1.

Market context

The US skilled nursing market is large and highly fragmented, with numerous local and regional providers, which the company says creates acquisition and consolidation opportunities 1. Demand is supported by an aging population and a shift of patient care toward lower-cost settings 1.

Company revenue depends heavily on government programs: Medicare and Medicaid together made up a significant share of skilled services revenue in 2025 1. Changes in regulation and reimbursement could quickly alter margins across the sector 1.

Trends

  • Ageing population and lower-cost care settingstailwind

    A growing senior population and a shift of treatment to skilled nursing facilities, which cost less than hospitals, could support long-term demand 1.

  • Consolidation through acquisitionstailwind

    Sector fragmentation offers acquisition opportunities, and rising reporting costs imposed by hospitals and insurers could push smaller providers to sell 1.

  • Regulatory pressure and reimbursement cutsheadwind

    Changes to Medicare and Medicaid, including rate reductions, could weigh on revenue if rates rise more slowly than costs 1.

  • Shortage of skilled staffmixed

    Competition for nurses and skilled personnel could raise labour costs, although the company presents local leadership stability as an advantage 13.

Competitive position

The sources do not name specific direct competitors. The sector is described as fragmented, with numerous local and regional providers 1. The company benchmarks itself against state and national averages on quality and staffing measures 3.

The company's stated edge lies in clinical results and leadership stability measured against peers in its operating states 3. It also notes that acquiring underperforming assets with low occupancy requires integration effort, and competition for assets in acquisitions is ongoing 3.

  • Local and regional skilled nursing providers

    The sources describe the market as fragmented across local and regional operators without naming them 1.

  • Senior living operators

    The company also operates in senior living, where it faces private operators in local markets 1.

  • Other healthcare real estate investors

    Standard Bearer competes for properties with other investors seeking healthcare assets, per the acquisition context in the sources 2.

  • Mobile diagnostic and transport providers

    Its ancillary businesses such as mobile diagnostics and transport compete with local providers in these niches 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 09 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 27 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / The Ensign Group, Inc. · 04 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Ensign Group, Inc. · 27 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Ensign Group, Inc. · 27 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.