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olivLaw · US equity research

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. FBIN

Millwood, Veneer, Plywood, & Structural Wood Members · SIC 2430 · Vertical: Lumber and wood products (SIC 24xx)

47.47USD+3.44% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Fortune Brands Innovations is a home, security and digital products company whose brands include Moen, Therma-Tru and Master Lock, selling mainly in North America and China. Sales have fallen as the housing market contracted, and in 2026 the company is rebuilding execution, after net sales of 4463.2 million USD and a 30.1 % drop in operating income.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN) stock was 47.47 USD (+3.44% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.6 bn USD, P/E 44.6 on diluted EPS of 1.06 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.17%, beta 1.24, 52-week range 33.39–64.44 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (−3.1% YoY), net income of 49.9 m USD (−29.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.42 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.6 bn USD
shares as of 16 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
44.6
Diluted EPS TTM 1.06 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.24%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.17%
DPS 12m 1.03
Beta (2y)
1.24
Volatility (1y) 48%
52-week range
33.3964.44

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
72.4
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
36.64 – 47.41
above the upper band · %B 1.01 · band width 25.6%
SMA 50 / 200
41.21 / 44.86
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.53 / 0.84
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+22.8%−1.1%+23.9 pp—
3 months−9.2%−0.5%−8.8 pp—
6 months+18.9%+4.4%+14.5 pp—
Year to date−5.1%+12.3%−17.4 pp—
1 year−4.3%+13.5%−17.8 pp+12.7%
3 years−23.1%+76.4%−99.5 pp−4.5%
5 years−45.7%+63.7%−109.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−48.2%
10 Feb 2026 → 19 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−64.1%
16 Nov 2021 → 19 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
−3.1% YoY
Net income
49.9 m USD
−29.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.42
−28.8% YoY
net / operating
4.5% / 5.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.1 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn
Cost of revenue596.3 m578.4 m660.1 m629.8 m605.3 m575.6 m563.2 m607.7 m
SG&A309.6 m314.9 m338.8 m313.2 m325.1 m352.7 m343.8 m339.5 m
Operating income178.3 m97.0 m171.6 m125.9 m121.7 m60.2 m-9.0 m60.4 m
Interest expense27.9 m28.6 m31.2 m28.6 m26.8 m26.5 m27.4 m24.4 m
Pre-tax income133.3 m69.4 m147.7 m94.7 m93.2 m33.8 m-37.0 m40.5 m
Income tax28.2 m18.0 m47.4 m23.9 m16.8 m9.6 m-14.5 m-9.4 m
Net income105.1 m51.4 m100.3 m70.8 m76.4 m24.2 m-22.5 m49.9 m
Diluted EPS0.84 ≈0.420.830.590.63 ≈0.20-0.190.42
Operating cash flow272.3 m-83.4 m149.4 m ≈204.4 m ≈208.2 m-119.2 m202.8 m ≈347.0 m ≈
Capex60.2 m29.2 m30.7 m ≈27.4 m ≈24.5 m20.3 m23.5 m ≈15.9 m ≈
Dividends paid29.6 m30.5 m30.1 m ≈30.0 m ≈30.0 m31.2 m31.0 m ≈31.0 m ≈
Share repurchases50.0 m175.0 m62.8 m ≈0 ≈10.0 m43.5 m1.7 m ≈39.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 8.1, median 17.8, max 37.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019⚠ 202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.5 bn5.8 bn3.6 bn4.8 bn4.7 bn4.6 bn4.6 bn4.5 bn
Revenue YoY+3.8%+5.1%—+32.6%−1.6%−2.0%−0.4%−3.2%
Net income389.6 m431.9 m553.1 m772.4 m686.7 m404.5 m471.9 m298.8 m
Net income YoY−17.6%+10.9%—+39.6%−11.1%−41.1%+16.7%−36.7%
Diluted EPS2.663.063.945.545.233.173.752.47
Diluted EPS YoY−12.2%+15.0%—+40.6%−5.6%−39.4%+18.3%−34.1%
net %7.1%7.5%15.3%16.1%14.5%8.7%10.2%6.7%
Free cash flow453.9 m505.4 m675.2 m474.5 m320.2 m799.3 m474.5 m366.8 m

The series breaks before 2020: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Cash
264.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.5 bn USD
Net debt
2.3 bn USD
Equity
2.4 bn USD
Total assets
6.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.07x
Current ratio
1.84x
ROE
12.4%
ROA
4.6%
FCF margin
8.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.9 bn ≈
2024
2.1 bn ≈
2025
2.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
614.9 m
2024
737.9 m
2025
516.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
116.5 m
2024
120.5 m
2025
115.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
517.9 m
2024
605.5 m
2025
405.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
112.4 m
2024
133.6 m
2025
106.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
404.5 m
2024
471.9 m
2025
298.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.17
2024
3.75
2025
2.47

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
127.7 m
2024
125.7 m
2025
121.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.93
2024
0.97
2025
1.01

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
366.4 m
2024
381.1 m
2025
264.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
534.2 m
2024
514.4 m
2025
513.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
982.3 m
2024
960.3 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
975.0 m
2024
999.2 m
2025
805.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.6 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
6.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
568.1 m
2024
513.9 m
2025
524.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
499.6 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.1 bn
2024
667.8 m
2025
478.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
256.5 m
2024
193.3 m
2025
111.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
799.3 m ≈
2024
474.5 m ≈
2025
366.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.0 bn
2024
-302.9 m
2025
-104.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-271.3 m
2024
-363.4 m
2025
-503.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
116.8 m
2024
119.6 m
2025
120.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
150.0 m
2024
240.4 m
2025
247.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-30.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-36.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-24.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-11.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-34.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-22.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-22.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
46.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
96.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
22.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
638.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
84.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
554.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
433.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
159 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
83 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
124 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
7.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
43.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
44.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
33.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
10.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

47.47 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
44.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 16 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2673derived 184

Score by group

  • Balance sheet41
  • Valuation54
  • Quality51
  • Growth0
  • Returns73

Estimated value range

Low
22.28
USD per share
Mid
30.41
USD per share
High
30.59
USD per share
Price: 47.47 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -35.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -56.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 13.27 – 99.49 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)54.08 – 99.49 (Mid 70.96)
    WACC 8.3% · starting FCFF 657.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -14.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E22.28 – 30.59 (Mid 30.41)
    5 companies used · median multiple 28.6x · quartiles 20.9x – 28.8x
    CVCO, LEGH, SKY, TREX, UFPI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)13.27 – 17.85 (Mid 15.22)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Lumber and wood products (SIC 24xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality5.0%23 (on a fixed band)13%
Net margin · Quality2.9%50 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality433.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.9%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-22.1%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.2x11 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x86 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation44.6x17 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation9.9%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.9%55 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns22.2%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet41/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality51/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns73/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation54/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

Memo

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.2%; net margin 2.9%; ROE 5.5%.

The estimated value range is 22.28–30.59 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 30.41 USD, the price of 47.47 USD leaves a potential of -35.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -56.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 433.3%
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • FCF yield: 9.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 22.2%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 5.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -22.1%
  • Interest coverage: 2.2x
  • P/E (TTM): 44.6x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Lumber and wood products (SIC 24xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
44.6x
vertical median 28.7x
above median (+55.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 16.4x
P/S
1.3x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−32.2%)
P/B
2.5x
vertical median 2.6x
below median (−6.7%)
ROE
5.5%
vertical median 5.7%
at median
Net margin
2.9%
vertical median 3.2%
below median (−7.3%)
EBIT margin
5.4%
vertical median 4.6%
above median (+15.6%)
Revenue YoY
-3.2%
vertical median -9.0%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -1.5x
Dividend yield
2.2%
vertical median 1.2%
above median (+77.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TREXTrex Company, Inc.5.7 bn33.217.3%13.9%+2.0%+63% / −19%
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.5.6 bn44.65.5%2.9%−3.2%−4% / −23%
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corporation5.5 bn80.83.9%2.7%−7.9%−4% / +29%
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.5.2 bn28.816.6%7.7%+11.4%+14% / +140%
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.5.2 bn28.611.8%6.8%+7.3%+12% / +60%
UFPIUfp Industries, Inc.4.7 bn20.97.5%3.6%−5.0%−7% / −21%
KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.811.1 m—-19.0%-4.6%−10.2%+45% / −5%
LEGHLegacy Housing Corporation755.8 m11.911.4%30.1%−10.7%+59% / +42%
JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc.94.6 m—-454.4%-5.3%−14.9%−59% / −93%
NWGLCL Workshop Group Ltd7.3 m—-64.0%-40.5%−15.4%−96% / −99%
WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.——-14.6%-17.2%−11.5%+13% / −4%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FBIN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
26.68
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
47.32
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
71.49
Total return 53% · Per year 53%
3 years
22.69
Total return -48% · Per year -19%
45.57
Total return 2% · Per year 1%
76.04
Total return 68% · Per year 19%
5 years
19.29
Total return -52% · Per year -14%
43.88
Total return 3% · Per year 1%
80.88
Total return 84% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.39
  • Net margin± 7.97
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.97
  • Annual dilution± 0.67

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Fortune Brands Innovations is a home, security and digital products company whose brands include Moen, Therma-Tru and Master Lock, selling mainly in North America and China. Sales have fallen as the housing market contracted, and in 2026 the company is rebuilding execution, after net sales of 4463.2 million USD 1 and a 30.1 % drop in operating income 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of recognised brands across several product categories and diversified sales channels 1.
  • A solid financial structure, with considerable liquidity and positive operating cash flow expected in 2026 23.
  • A unified operating model aimed at efficiency and agility across the group 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on repair and remodel activity in North America and China, which makes sales sensitive to the housing cycle 1.
  • High concentration of customers among a few large distributors, which can negotiate tough terms 1.
  • Repeated restructuring and asset impairments that reduced profitability in 2025 1.

Opportunities

  • Growth in digital and connected products and in e-commerce 1.
  • A recovery in housing demand if interest rates fall 1.
  • Expansion into adjacent categories and international markets through acquisitions 1.

Threats

  • Pressure from low-priced imported products and private-label brands 1.
  • Uncertainty over tariffs and trade decisions that could change costs 13.
  • Persistent inflation in raw material and energy costs 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on the housing markethigh

    A decline in new construction or remodeling could directly reduce sales and profit 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    Losing or reducing orders from the largest home centers could seriously affect revenue 1.

  • Tariffsmedium

    If new or retaliatory tariffs raise costs and cannot be passed on through prices, margins could fall 1.

  • Leadership changemedium

    Changes in leadership and reorganisation could create execution difficulties and loss of key staff 12.

  • Cybersecuritylow

    IT outages or cyberattacks could disrupt operations and damage reputation 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong brands and diversified channels could allow sales to recover once the housing market stabilises 1.
  • Tariff refunds and efficiency programmes could support profit in 2026 3.
  • The Security segment and digital products could become growth drivers if investments deliver 13.

What would break the thesis

  • If the housing market stays weak, sales could keep declining across several segments 13.
  • Restructuring costs and execution investments could slow the return to profitability 3.
  • Competition from imported products could pressure prices and margins 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in sales and margins in the Outdoors segmentQ3 2026
  • Actual receipt of tariff refunds2026
  • Appointment of a permanent CFO and other senior management2026
  • 2027 guidance and demand in the U.S. repair and remodel marketnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

The company describes itself as an industry-leading home, security and digital products company whose purpose is to transform spaces into havens 1. Products are sold through varied channels, from kitchen and bath dealers and distributors to builders, home centers, showrooms and e-commerce 1. It runs a unified operating model called the Fortune Brands Advantage, covering category management, business simplification, global supply chain and digital transformation 1. The spin-off of MasterBrand led to a shift toward a business unit-led structure 1.

Cash is directed to organic growth, acquisitions and joint ventures, as well as dividends and share repurchases 1. The company had about 10000 employees worldwide at the end of 2025, roughly 59 % in hourly production and distribution roles 1. Customers are concentrated: Lowe's and The Home Depot each accounted for 11 % of 2025 sales 1. In 2026 the company went through a CEO change and leadership restructuring, as noted in its quarterly filing 23.

Strategy emphasises leading brands, product innovation and digitalisation, with growing interest in connected water, outdoor and security products 1. The company says it allocates capital to high-return projects while keeping its financial structure strong 12.

Segments

Outdoors

The Outdoors segment includes Therma-Tru entry doors, Larson doors, Fiberon composite decking and Fypon millwork, with 2025 net sales of 1323.0 million USD 1. It faced the sharpest margin pressure, with a negative operating margin in the second quarter of 2026 including an asset impairment 3.

Security

The Security segment makes Master Lock, Yale and August locks and SentrySafe safes, with 2025 net sales of 692.6 million USD 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it was the only segment to grow, up 3.8 %, with an operating margin of 26.6 % 3.

Market context

The core market is home products in North America and China, and most demand comes from repair and remodel rather than new construction 12. In 2025 new housing construction fell by an estimated 6 % and repair and remodeling by about 1 % 1. For 2026 the company expects the global and U.S. repair and remodel markets to decline by low single digits, and U.S. single-family new construction by mid single digits 3.

Competition is intense and price remains a key factor, especially as low-cost imports spread through e-commerce channels 1. Market growth could depend on consumer confidence, mortgage rates and credit availability 1.

Trends

  • Housing market contractionheadwind

    Lower new construction and remodeling activity directly weighs on demand, and the company says high interest rates have slowed sales of existing homes 1. If mortgage rates ease, demand could gradually recover.

  • Tariffs and refundsmixed

    U.S. tariffs raised material costs, but the company expects net tariff refunds to add 81 million USD to 2026 operating income, if they are confirmed 13. The final effect depends on trade policy decisions.

  • Digitalisation and connected productstailwind

    The company is investing in connected products, e-commerce and artificial intelligence for pricing and forecasting, which could shorten time to market 1.

  • Raw material and energy costsheadwind

    Rising prices of wood, zinc, brass and steel, and volatile freight costs, could reduce margins if they are not offset through pricing 1.

Competitive position

In Water the main rivals include Masco, Kohler, LIXIL and Asian manufacturers, while Outdoors faces Masonite, JELD-WEN, Andersen, Trex and James Hardie 1. In Security the competitors include Abus, Kwikset and Schlage 1.

The company says it keeps an edge through strong brands and innovation, but rivals that use artificial intelligence more effectively could narrow that gap 1.

  • MascoMAS

    main rival in the Water segment, with bath and kitchen products 1

  • Masonite

    rival in entry doors for the Outdoors segment 1

  • TrexTREX

    rival in composite decking, competing with the Fiberon line 1

  • Kwikset

    rival in locks and door hardware for the Security segment 1

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 09 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Oct 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Oct 2026
    Material impairment · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · SEC / Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. · 23 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.