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olivLaw · US equity research

Genie Energy Ltd. GNE

Electric & Other Services Combined · SIC 4931 · Vertical: Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931)

17.09USD+2.34% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Genie Energy Ltd. (NYSE: GNE) operates mainly through Genie Retail Energy, which sells electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in deregulated US markets, and through Genie Renewables, a smaller division covering solar energy, energy brokerage and plastic recycling. In the second quarter of 2026 the company reported net income attributable to common stockholders of about 11.4 million USD, supported by better gross margin, while revenue declined and the business remains sensitive to wholesale energy price volatility.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE) stock was 17.09 USD (+2.34% on the day), with P/E 18.0 on diluted EPS of 0.95 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.76%, beta 0.43, 52-week range 13.05–17.09 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 100.4 m USD (−4.6% YoY), net income of 11.4 m USD (+385.3% YoY), diluted EPS 0.43 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
18.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.95 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.56%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.76%
DPS 12m 0.30
Beta (2y)
0.43
Volatility (1y) 27%
52-week range
13.0517.09

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
62.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
16.35 – 17.07
above the upper band · %B 1.03 · band width 4.3%
SMA 50 / 200
16.17 / 14.66
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.16 / 0.18
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+6.1%−1.1%+7.2 pp—
3 months+21.0%−0.5%+21.5 pp—
6 months+19.7%+4.4%+15.3 pp—
Year to date+24.0%+12.3%+11.7 pp—
1 year+15.9%+13.5%+2.4 pp+4.6%
3 years−15.8%+76.4%−92.2 pp+32.3%
5 years+209.6%+63.7%+145.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−13.2%
05 Nov 2025 → 14 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−57.4%
26 Dec 2023 → 14 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+25.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
100.4 m USD
−4.6% YoY
Net income
11.4 m USD
+385.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.43
+377.8% YoY
net / operating
11.3% / 6.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue111.9 m102.9 m136.8 m105.3 m138.3 m121.3 m142.3 m100.4 m
Cost of revenue74.0 m69.4 m99.4 m81.8 m108.3 m87.8 m112.5 m66.7 m
Gross profit37.9 m33.5 m37.4 m23.5 m30.0 m33.8 m29.8 m33.7 m
SG&A25.2 m23.3 m23.9 m21.2 m22.6 m27.6 m27.9 m27.1 m
Operating income11.7 m-20.8 m13.5 m2.3 m6.9 m4.6 m1.9 m6.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation231.0 k238.0 k235.0 k236.0 k250.0 k283.0 k356.0 k349.0 k
Interest expense22.0 k79.0 k189.0 k156.0 k157.0 k168.0 k124.0 k121.0 k
Pre-tax income14.2 m15.0 m15.4 m4.2 m9.2 m8.3 m4.1 m11.7 m
Income tax3.9 m5.0 m5.2 m1.8 m2.5 m334.0 k1.6 m239.0 k
Net income10.2 m-15.5 m10.4 m2.3 m6.7 m4.8 m2.8 m11.4 m
Diluted EPS0.390.250.400.090.250.160.110.43
Operating cash flow24.4 m ≈13.0 m15.3 m1.1 m ≈13.9 m ≈15.9 m-6.5 m-3.4 m ≈
Capex2.5 m ≈—1.8 m—————
Dividends paid2.0 m ≈2.0 m2.0 m2.0 m ≈2.0 m ≈2.0 m2.0 m2.0 m ≈
Share repurchases2.0 m ≈2.5 m1.9 m—————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 84 percentile of its own 32-quarter history (min 0.0, median 6.6, max 27.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue280.3 m315.3 m356.9 m323.3 m315.5 m428.7 m425.2 m502.0 m
Revenue YoY+6.1%+12.5%+13.2%−9.4%−2.4%+35.9%−0.8%+18.1%
Net income22.8 m4.2 m13.2 m29.2 m87.8 m52.2 m35.5 m24.0 m
Net income YoYunavailable−81.7%+215.1%+122.1%+200.6%−40.5%−32.0%−32.4%
Diluted EPS0.830.100.441.053.261.991.310.90
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−88.0%+340.0%+138.6%+210.5%−39.0%−34.2%−31.3%
net %8.1%1.3%3.7%9.0%27.8%12.2%8.4%4.8%
Free cash flow18.8 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
203.5 m USD
Financial debt
8.7 m USD
Net debt
-194.8 m USD
Equity
244.4 m USD
Total assets
389.4 m USD
Debt / equity
0.04x
Current ratio
2.38x
ROE
10.0%
ROA
6.3%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
428.7 m
2024
425.2 m
2025
502.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
282.5 m
2024
286.7 m
2025
377.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
146.2 m
2024
138.5 m
2025
124.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

SG&A
2023
91.1 m
2024
93.4 m
2025
95.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Operating income
2023
55.1 m
2024
44.9 m
2025
27.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
463.0 k
2024
884.0 k
2025
1.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
55.6 m ≈
2024
45.8 m ≈
2025
28.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
99.0 k
2024
464.0 k
2025
670.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
63.2 m
2024
53.5 m
2025
36.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Income tax
2023
16.6 m
2024
15.4 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Net income
2023
52.2 m
2024
35.5 m
2025
24.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.99
2024
1.31
2025
0.90

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
26.1 m
2024
27.2 m
2025
26.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.30
2024
0.30
2025
0.30

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
159.0 m
2024
192.8 m
2025
203.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Receivables
2023
61.9 m
2024
61.9 m
2025
70.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Inventories
2023
14.6 m
2024
12.2 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Current assets
2023
229.8 m
2024
297.0 m
2025
323.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
15.2 m
2024
25.2 m
2025
28.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
10.0 m
2024
12.7 m
2025
13.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.7 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Total assets
2023
330.6 m
2024
369.8 m
2025
389.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
49.4 m
2024
31.2 m
2025
41.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
357.0 k
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
8.7 m
2025
6.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
98.3 m
2024
122.3 m
2025
136.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
146.0 m
2024
134.7 m
2025
144.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Equity
2023
217.2 m
2024
235.2 m
2025
244.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
62.5 m
2024
70.7 m
2025
46.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
13.6 m
2024
-16.0 m
2025
-15.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-15.2 m
2024
-15.8 m
2025
-19.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
8.9 m
2024
8.2 m
2025
8.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
37.0 k
2024
10.4 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
16.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-38.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-32.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-35.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-31.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-34.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
15.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
25.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
11.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
31.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-178.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
34.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
19.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
94.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

17.09 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
11.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2371derived 165

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation80
  • Quality56
  • Growth43
  • Returns35

Estimated value range

Low
10.66
USD per share
Mid
11.71
USD per share
High
12.82
USD per share
Price: 17.09 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -31.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -45.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.94 – 20.35 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Dividend discount (DDM)3.94 – 5.30 (Mid 4.52)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E17.39 – 20.35 (Mid 18.90)
    13 companies used · median multiple 19.9x · quartiles 18.3x – 21.4x
    AEE, AVA, CMS, DUK, ED, EVRG, EXC, LNT, NI, PEG, UTL, WEC, XEL
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality15.4%100 (vs peers)7%
Net margin · Quality5.1%13 (vs peers)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth16.7%100 (on a fixed band)7%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-34.9%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-8.4x100 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet34.9x100 (on a fixed band)12%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.9x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation18.0x80 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Dividend yield · Returns1.8%7 (vs peers)17%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns31.6%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth43/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality56/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns35/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial80/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 502.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 18.1%; net margin 5.1%; ROE 11.2%; net debt/EBITDA -8.4x.

The estimated value range is 10.66–12.82 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.71 USD, the price of 17.09 USD leaves a potential of -31.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -45.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 15.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 16.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -8.4x
  • Interest coverage: 34.9x
  • Current ratio: 2.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 18.0x
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 31.6%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 5.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -34.9%
  • Dividend yield: 1.8%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
18.0x
vertical median 19.9x
below median (−9.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 13.4x
P/S
—
vertical median 2.9x
P/B
—
vertical median 2.0x
ROE
11.2%
vertical median 9.8%
above median (+14.7%)
Net margin
5.1%
vertical median 12.4%
below median (−58.7%)
EBIT margin
4.0%
vertical median 19.5%
below median (−79.7%)
Revenue YoY
18.1%
vertical median 8.9%
above median (+101.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-8.4x
vertical median 5.4x
below median (−256.9%)
Dividend yield
1.8%
vertical median 3.2%
below median (−44.5%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DUKDuke Energy CORP101.0 bn19.89.8%15.8%+5.6%+5% / +40%
XELXcel Energy Inc51.7 bn18.811.4%—+1.2%−2% / +32%
EXCExelon Corporation47.3 bn16.99.8%11.2%+5.3%−2% / +20%
EDConsolidated Edison Inc44.3 bn20.38.7%12.5%+10.9%+20% / +34%
WECWec Energy Group, Inc.38.9 bn21.412.5%17.6%+14.0%+5% / +41%
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated36.5 bn18.211.8%16.0%+18.3%−12% / +17%
PCGPg&E Corp35.9 bn9.69.7%12.3%+2.1%−17% / −22%
AEEAmeren Corp31.3 bn19.912.1%17.9%+15.4%+6% / +46%
CMSCms Energy Corp22.3 bn21.311.3%11.6%+13.6%−6% / +25%
NINiSource Inc.21.7 bn23.110.1%8.2%+23.5%+3% / +77%
EVRGEvergy, Inc.19.9 bn22.98.8%14.6%+2.0%+11% / +69%
LNTAlliant Energy Corp19.1 bn23.111.3%18.6%+9.6%+6% / +46%
NWENorthwestern Energy Group, Inc.5.0 bn29.65.9%10.1%+6.4%+19% / +63%
AVAAvista Corp3.4 bn13.59.0%12.8%+1.3%−3% / +18%
UTLUnitil Corporation1.0 bn18.39.0%9.1%+8.3%+13% / +17%
VIVOVivopower PLC46.7 m——-20,970.5%+281.3%−42% / −16%
GRDXGridAI Technologies Corp.38.7 m—-480.5%-56,864.0%unavailable+82% / −67%
GNEGenie Energy Ltd.—18.011.2%5.1%+18.1%+16% / −16%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GNE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Genie Energy Ltd. (NYSE: GNE) operates mainly through Genie Retail Energy, which sells electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in deregulated US markets, and through Genie Renewables, a smaller division covering solar energy, energy brokerage and plastic recycling. In the second quarter of 2026 the company reported net income attributable to common stockholders of about 11.4 million USD, supported by better gross margin, while revenue declined and the business remains sensitive to wholesale energy price volatility.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A profitable core business with rising gross margins and improved net results in the first half of 2026, together with a solid liquidity position for a company of its size 3.
  • Diversification into energy brokerage and solar offers complementary revenue streams, and Diversegy reported strong cash generation in the second quarter 3.
  • POR mechanisms, under which utilities buy customer receivables and take on non-payment risk, reduce the company's credit exposure 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue concentration in the GRE segment, which accounts for almost all sales, makes the company sensitive to a single business model and market conditions 1.
  • Customer churn rose in the second quarter of 2026, and meters and RCEs fell as aggregation contracts expired 3.
  • The GREW segment has posted negative operating results in the past, and investments in Roded and other early-stage initiatives still weigh on results 3.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new deregulated markets and completion of community solar projects could add customers and revenue in the coming years 13.
  • Growth in high-value customers in Texas and California, where the company gained customers in the second quarter of 2026, could improve margins 3.
  • Demand for renewable energy and for advisory procurement contracts could support growth at Diversegy and Genie Solar 1.

Threats

  • Competition from utilities and larger suppliers could force price cuts or loss of market share 1.
  • Wholesale price volatility and extreme weather could cause sudden losses, as happened in Texas in 2021 1.
  • Claims by the Finnish Lumo bankruptcy administrators concerning gains on swap instruments could create additional costs if upheld 2.

Risks

  • Wholesale price volatilityhigh

    Sudden increases in electricity and gas prices can reduce margins, especially on fixed-price contracts where the company cannot pass costs on immediately 1.

  • Competition from utilitiesmedium

    Utilities and their REP affiliates have advantages in recognition and customer relationships, which could lead to lost market share or lower prices 1.

  • State regulationmedium

    Legislative changes in states such as New York and Maryland could limit marketing and the POR model, which could affect customer acquisition 1.

  • Finnish litigationmedium

    The Lumo bankruptcy administrators contest gains on swap instruments and payments made before the bankruptcy, and the outcome could generate unforeseen costs 2.

  • Climate and extreme weatherlow

    Unusual weather can increase demand or supply costs and affect operations, and the need to adapt to climate change is growing 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If GRE margins stay near the historical average and customer acquisition costs are managed, results in 2026 could go beyond the second quarter, supported by stronger contributions from Diversegy and Genie Solar 3.
  • The liquidity position and the share repurchase program could provide flexibility for investment and dividends if the business keeps generating cash 3.
  • POR mechanisms in most states reduce credit risk, which could make retail revenue more predictable if the market stays stable 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Total revenue fell in the second quarter of 2026, and dependence on one segment with margins sensitive to wholesale prices can make results volatile 3.
  • Customer churn has risen, and the expiry of low-margin aggregation contracts could further reduce meters and recurring revenue 3.
  • The Lumo litigation and regulatory risks in key states could generate costs or customer losses that have not yet been quantified 12.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of 32.5 to 40 million USDQ4 2026
  • Trend in GRE customer churn compared with the 5.9% level of the second quarterQ3 2026
  • Contribution of Diversegy and Genie Solar to GREW Adjusted EBITDA as the second solar project ramps upQ3 2026
  • Progress of the Finnish proceedings on gains from the sale of Lumo Sweden swap instrumentsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Genie Renewables (GREW) combines Genie Solar, an integrated solar energy company, CityCom Solar, which markets community solar, Diversegy, an energy procurement advisor for industrial, commercial and municipal customers, and Roded, which produces plastic pallets from recycled material 1. The segment is smaller, but in the second quarter of 2026 it was positive on an Adjusted EBITDA basis 3.

The company has exited its European operations (Lumo in Finland and Sweden and Orbit in the United Kingdom), which are now treated as discontinued operations, and the Finnish bankruptcy proceedings still generate legal claims that Genie is contesting 12.

Segments

Genie Retail Energy

The main segment, which accounts for almost all revenue. In the second quarter of 2026 gross margin rose to 32.2%, while the number of RCEs fell as low-margin aggregation contracts expired 3.

Genie Renewables

The segment includes the Diversegy brokerage, the Genie Solar assets and early-stage investments such as Roded and Able Minds. Revenue was roughly flat in the second quarter of 2026, but the segment produced positive Adjusted EBITDA, supported by Diversegy and Genie Solar 3.

Market context

Retail energy activity takes place in US states with deregulated markets, where consumers can choose their supplier while distribution remains with local utilities. At the end of 2025 thirty-two states had some level of energy deregulation 1. The company operates in nineteen states and Washington D.C. 1.

The market is competitive, with local utilities, their REP affiliates and independent suppliers competing, and customer acquisition depends on marketing and relative prices 1. Geographic concentration matters: New York represented 12.5% of GRE meters at the end of 2025 1.

Trends

  • Normalizing wholesale pricestailwind

    More normal wholesale conditions allowed GRE to achieve a gross margin close to its long-term historical average in the second quarter of 2026, which significantly improved bottom-line results 3. If volatility returns, margins could again be affected.

  • Customer churnheadwind

    Churn rose to 5.9% per month in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 4.8% a year earlier, while the company's typical range is four to seven percent per month 31. Higher acquisition spending aimed at high-value segments puts pressure on profitability.

  • Regulation and climate policyheadwind

    State legislation in places such as New York and Maryland could restrict POR programs or marketing, and policies on greenhouse gas emissions could raise costs or reduce demand for energy from carbon-emitting fuels 1. The effect depends on the final form of the legislation.

  • Solar and renewable investmentsmixed

    Genie Solar brought its first community solar project in New York online at the end of 2025 and its second in late in the second quarter of 2026, which could support GREW revenue in the coming quarters 13.

Competitive position

Genie faces local utilities and their REP affiliates, which have advantages in name recognition, financial strength and long-standing customer relationships. Besides other REPs, competition is on service, customer care and price, and larger competitors could have greater financial resources 1.

Diversegy and Genie Solar compete with energy consultants and community solar developers, a fragmented field where the company holds more modest positions 1. The company has said it is expanding its markets through REP acquisitions in new states 2.

  • Local utilities and their REP affiliates

    Distribution companies in each territory that also sell energy through affiliates, with advantages in recognition and customer relationships 1.

  • Independent REP suppliers

    Retail suppliers in deregulated markets that compete on price, service and customer acquisition 1.

  • Larger retail energy competitors

    The sources refer to competitors with greater financial and technical resources without naming them 1.

  • Community solar providers

    Developers and marketers of community solar that compete with Genie Solar and CityCom Solar for the same type of customers 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Genie Energy Ltd. · 01 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Genie Energy Ltd. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Genie Energy Ltd. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.