olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC. HII

Ship & Boat Building & Repairing · SIC 3730 · Vertical: Ship & Boat Building & Repairing (SIC 3730)

303.99USD−4.08% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

HII is America's largest shipbuilder, designing and building nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines and amphibious assault ships, and since 2026 also mission technology and defense systems. Second quarter 2026 revenues of about 3.4 billion USD and a backlog of 57.3 billion USD point to sustained demand for naval programs, set against defense budgets under political pressure.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC. (HII) stock was 303.99 USD (−4.08% on the day), with market capitalisation 12.0 bn USD, P/E 16.4 on diluted EPS of 18.59 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.82%, beta 0.71, 52-week range 257.05–453.73 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.5 bn USD (+10.8% YoY), net income of 217.0 m USD (+49.7% YoY), diluted EPS 5.48 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
12.0 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.4
Diluted EPS TTM 18.59 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.11%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.82%
DPS 12m 5.52
Beta (2y)
0.71
Volatility (1y) 40%
52-week range
257.05453.73

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
62.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
242.68 – 320.67
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.79 · band width 27.7%
SMA 50 / 200
279.05 / 334.02
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
9.93 / 5.23
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+14.1%−2.0%+16.1 pp—
3 months−4.3%−2.2%−2.1 pp—
6 months−4.9%+4.3%−9.1 pp—
Year to date−10.6%+10.6%−21.2 pp—
1 year−3.8%+10.5%−14.2 pp−35.1%
3 years+29.9%+73.7%−43.7 pp−44.1%
5 years+56.7%+61.7%−5.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.3%
02 Mar 2026 → 28 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−46.1%
04 Mar 2024 → 06 Feb 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+9.4%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.5 bn USD
+10.8% YoY
Net income
217.0 m USD
+49.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
5.48
+48.9% YoY
net / operating
6.1% / 7.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.0 bn2.7 bn3.1 bn3.2 bn3.5 bn3.1 bn3.4 bn3.5 bn
Operating income110.0 m161.0 m163.0 m161.0 m172.0 m155.0 m210.0 m246.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation84.0 m79.0 m83.0 m80.0 m87.0 m76.0 m79.0 m75.0 m
Interest expense27.0 m28.0 m28.0 m23.0 m26.0 m22.0 m27.0 m26.0 m
Pre-tax income131.0 m187.0 m188.0 m204.0 m198.0 m188.0 m254.0 m275.0 m
Income tax8.0 m38.0 m36.0 m59.0 m39.0 m39.0 m46.0 m58.0 m
Net income123.0 m149.0 m152.0 m145.0 m159.0 m149.0 m208.0 m217.0 m
Diluted EPS3.15 ≈3.793.863.684.05 ≈3.795.275.48
Operating cash flow391.0 m-395.0 m823.0 m ≈118.0 m ≈650.0 m-390.0 m-31.0 m ≈520.0 m ≈
Capex114.0 m67.0 m93.0 m102.0 m134.0 m74.0 m119.0 m ≈95.0 m ≈
Dividends paid52.0 m53.0 m53.0 m ≈53.0 m ≈54.0 m54.0 m55.0 m ≈54.0 m ≈
Share repurchases0———————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 68 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 9.6, median 15.1, max 24.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue8.2 bn8.9 bn9.4 bn9.5 bn10.7 bn11.5 bn11.5 bn12.5 bn
Revenue YoY+9.9%+8.8%+5.2%+1.7%+12.1%+7.3%+0.7%+8.2%
Net income836.0 m549.0 m696.0 m544.0 m579.0 m681.0 m550.0 m605.0 m
Net income YoY+74.5%−34.3%+26.8%−21.8%+6.4%+17.6%−19.2%+10.0%
Diluted EPS19.0913.2617.1413.5014.4417.0713.9615.39
Diluted EPS YoY+82.5%−30.5%+29.3%−21.2%+7.0%+18.2%−18.2%+10.2%
net %10.2%6.2%7.4%5.7%5.4%5.9%4.8%4.8%
Free cash flow451.0 m366.0 m740.0 m429.0 m482.0 m678.0 m26.0 m794.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
774.0 m USD
Financial debt
2.7 bn USD
Net debt
1.9 bn USD
Equity
5.1 bn USD
Total assets
12.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.53x
Current ratio
1.13x
ROE
12.4%
ROA
4.9%
FCF margin
6.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
11.5 bn
2024
11.5 bn
2025
12.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
35.0 m
2024
27.0 m
2025
26.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
781.0 m
2024
535.0 m
2025
657.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
347.0 m
2024
326.0 m
2025
329.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
861.0 m ≈
2025
986.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
95.0 m
2024
95.0 m
2025
105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
853.0 m
2024
643.0 m
2025
777.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
172.0 m
2024
93.0 m
2025
172.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
681.0 m
2024
550.0 m
2025
605.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
17.07
2024
13.96
2025
15.39

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
39.9 m
2024
39.4 m
2025
39.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
5.02
2024
5.25
2025
5.43

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
430.0 m
2024
831.0 m
2025
774.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
461.0 m
2024
212.0 m
2025
339.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
891.0 m
2024
782.0 m
2025
694.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
11.2 bn
2024
12.1 bn
2025
12.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
554.0 m
2024
598.0 m
2025
556.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
231.0 m
2024
503.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Oct 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
7.1 bn
2024
7.5 bn
2025
7.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.7 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
970.0 m
2024
393.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
292.0 m
2024
367.0 m
2025
402.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
678.0 m ≈
2024
26.0 m ≈
2025
794.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-236.0 m
2024
-348.0 m
2025
-521.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-771.0 m
2024
356.0 m
2025
-732.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
200.0 m
2024
206.0 m
2025
213.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
75.0 m
2024
162.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
2,953.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
29.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
66.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
7.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
749.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
422.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
327.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
44.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
68.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
10 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
12.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
14.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
16.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
18.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
36.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.90
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 46 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

303.99 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 12.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
12.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2564derived 156

Score by group

  • Balance sheet64
  • Valuation38
  • Quality49
  • Growth29
  • Returns46

Estimated value range

Low
83.26
USD per share
Mid
106.34
USD per share
High
143.10
USD per share
Price: 303.99 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -65.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -185.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 71.36 – 190.24 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)95.16 – 190.24 (Mid 130.83)
    WACC 8.5% · starting FCFF 407.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 36.9%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)71.36 – 95.96 (Mid 81.85)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Ship & Boat Building & Repairing (SIC 3730)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 46/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.3%48 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality5.4%80 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality44.6%21 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.4%45 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth2.1%14 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.1x54 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet7.8x96 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x39 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation16.4x62 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.0x18 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation2.7%34 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.8%26 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns66.4%77 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth29/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality49/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns46/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation38/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC. (HII). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 12.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.2%; net margin 5.4%; ROE 14.0%; net debt/EBITDA 2.1x.

The estimated value range is 83.26–143.10 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 106.34 USD, the price of 303.99 USD leaves a potential of -65.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -185.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 46/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 5.4%
  • Interest coverage: 7.8x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 66.4%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 44.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 2.1%
  • EV/EBITDA: 13.0x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.8%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Ship & Boat Building & Repairing (SIC 3730) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
16.4x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
13.0x
vertical median —
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+129.6%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 1.4x
above median (+53.5%)
ROE
14.0%
vertical median -0.6%
above median
Net margin
5.4%
vertical median -0.5%
above median
EBIT margin
5.8%
vertical median -0.3%
above median
Revenue YoY
8.2%
vertical median 17.2%
below median (−52.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.1x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
1.8%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GDGeneral Dynamics Corporation101.2 bn21.718.0%8.2%+10.1%+10% / +52%
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.12.0 bn16.414.0%5.4%+8.2%−4% / +30%
MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.541.6 m—-0.6%-0.5%+22.8%+20% / +11%
NXBNextBoat Inc.37.2 m—-129.3%-5.4%+21.1%−57% / unavailable
VEEETwin Vee Powercats Co.5.2 m—-62.6%-76.3%+3.0%−91% / −98%
MBUUMalibu Boats, Inc.297275.00.3%0.2%+13.3%−13% / −44%
VMARVision Marine Technologies Inc.————+45.4%−100% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HII from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
181.38
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
320.53
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
482.63
Total return 61% · Per year 61%
3 years
179.06
Total return -37% · Per year -14%
355.77
Total return 23% · Per year 7%
587.74
Total return 101% · Per year 26%
5 years
176.78
Total return -35% · Per year -8%
394.88
Total return 41% · Per year 7%
715.74
Total return 150% · Per year 20%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 88.94
  • Net margin± 62.26
  • Annual revenue growth± 50.69
  • Annual dilution± 5.23

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

HII is America's largest shipbuilder, designing and building nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines and amphibious assault ships, and since 2026 also mission technology and defense systems. Second quarter 2026 revenues of about 3.4 billion USD 3 and a backlog of 57.3 billion USD 3 point to sustained demand for naval programs, set against defense budgets under political pressure.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the sole builder of the Navy's amphibious assault ships and one of few suppliers of nuclear carriers and submarines 1.
  • The contract portfolio is solid, with substantial coverage of future revenues 3.
  • The company has long experience in shipbuilding and a broad base of skilled personnel 12.

Weaknesses

  • Near-total dependence on the U.S. government makes the company vulnerable to budget and priority changes 1.
  • Operating margins are relatively thin, and cost estimates on new programs can lead to negative adjustments 13.
  • Free cash flow was negative in the second quarter, showing sensitivity to payment timing 3.

Opportunities

  • Demand for new ships and fleet modernization could support higher revenues over the long term 12.
  • Expansion into unmanned systems and artificial intelligence could open new markets for Mission Technologies 3.
  • If the Navy extends carrier lives, refueling and inactivation work could become significant contracts 1.

Threats

  • Budget delays or government shutdowns can postpone payments and programs 1.
  • Shifts in defense policy could reduce demand for certain ship classes 1.
  • Labor shortages and rising material costs could slow production 12.

Risks

  • Dependence on a single customerhigh

    Nearly all revenue comes from the U.S. government, and shifts in its priorities can directly affect the company's contracts 1.

  • Cost estimates on fixed-price contractshigh

    If new program costs rise without compensation, profitability could decline and recovery may be difficult 1.

  • Budget interruptionsmedium

    Failure to pass a budget on time can delay programs and payments, affecting cash flow 1.

  • Workforce and supply chainmedium

    Shortages of skilled workers and material delays can slow deliveries 1.

  • Competition for new contractslow

    If the company loses bids for new programs, future revenues could be lower 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for warships and submarines stays high, the company's backlog could support revenue growth over several years 13.
  • Its unique position as builder of nuclear carriers and submarines could strengthen its competitiveness in future bids 1.
  • Higher volumes at Ingalls and Newport News could improve margins if execution stays strong 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on one customer means any budget or strategy change can have a strong effect on results 1.
  • Contracts with complex estimates can produce negative adjustments if costs exceed forecasts 1.
  • Negative free cash flow in one quarter shows that payments can slip and affect financial plans 3.

What to watch

  • Evolution of the fiscal 2027 defense budget and its approval by Congress2026
  • Whether shipbuilding revenue and margin land within the raised guidance2026
  • Progress of free cash flow against the stated rangeQ3 2026
  • Outcome of bids for the FF(X) frigate and other new programsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

HII operates through three segments: Ingalls Shipbuilding, which builds non-nuclear ships for the U.S. Navy and Coast Guard, Newport News Shipbuilding, which handles nuclear-powered carriers and submarines, and Mission Technologies, which provides C5ISR systems, artificial intelligence, training and unmanned vehicles 1. The U.S. Navy accounted for about 81% of revenues in fiscal 2025 1. The company is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia, with about 45,000 employees 2.

The business model rests mostly on long-term contracts, with firm fixed-price, incentive and cost-type structures, and revenue recognized over time based on costs incurred 1. Results therefore depend on cost estimates and execution, especially on new programs where the final design is not fully known 1.

In the first half of 2026 the company reported higher revenues and raised its shipbuilding revenue guidance, while keeping its free cash flow outlook 3. How these results develop depends on delivery pace and the ability to increase throughput at the shipyards.

Segments

Ingalls Shipbuilding

Ingalls builds amphibious assault ships, Arleigh Burke destroyers and national security cutters for the Coast Guard 1. Second quarter 2026 revenues rose 16.7% on higher volumes of amphibious assault ships 3, and the company won the lead yard support contract for the FF(X) frigate 3.

Mission Technologies

The segment offers command, control, cyber, training and unmanned systems, including unmanned underwater vehicles and surface vessels 1. Revenues edged down in the second quarter of 2026 while segment margin improved, and the company expects a segment operating margin of about 5% in 2026 23.

Market context

The reference market is U.S. defense spending, especially for shipbuilding and fleet maintenance 1. The proposed fiscal 2027 budget includes funding for new ships, and Congress is currently reviewing it 2. Funding depends on the annual appropriations process, and delays can push back programs 1.

The industry is dominated by one customer, the U.S. Navy, and served by a narrow supplier base 1. Competition is limited to a few U.S. shipyards, so shifts in Pentagon priorities have a significant effect on demand 1.

Trends

  • Rising demand for shipbuildingtailwind

    Defense priorities and additional shipbuilding funds support long-term demand for carriers, submarines and amphibious ships 12.

  • Acquisition delays and supply chain strainheadwind

    Labor shortages and material delays can lengthen lead times and compress margins if costs rise faster than revenues 1.

  • Budget uncertainty and government shutdownsheadwind

    Federal budget gridlock and stopgap resolutions can delay program funding and affect the company's cash flow 1.

  • Modernization through unmanned systems and AImixed

    Demand for unmanned underwater and surface vehicles, along with artificial intelligence, opens new opportunities for Mission Technologies 13.

Competitive position

In surface combatant and submarine construction, HII competes with another large defense contractor and with smaller shipyards that have recently entered the market 1. For nuclear carrier refueling, the company is currently the only capable provider, though a government shipyard could become a competitor if it made substantial investments 1.

In naval engineering and design, HII faces engineering services firms that can win Navy program bids 1. Competition could reduce market share if the company loses future contract awards 1.

  • General Dynamics (Electric Boat)GD

    Partner on the Virginia and Columbia submarine programs, and also a major rival for submarine and surface ship contracts 1.

  • Another large defense shipbuilder

    Competes with the company for destroyer, submarine and large amphibious ship contracts, though not named in the source 1.

  • Smaller shipyards

    Have recently entered the surface combatant market and could compete for new programs 1.

  • Naval engineering services firms

    Provide design and planning support and can win Navy program bids 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 18 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC. · 05 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES, INC. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.