olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Malibu Boats, Inc. MBUU

Ship & Boat Building & Repairing · SIC 3730 · Vertical: Ship & Boat Building & Repairing (SIC 3730)

24.75USD+2.65% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Malibu Boats designs, builds and sells recreational powerboats under nine brands, from performance sport boats to fishing boats and premium dayboats, through a large dealer network. Net sales in fiscal 2026 reached 914.6 million USD, yet net income nearly disappeared amid weak retail demand and rising costs, so the trajectory of demand and the integration of Saxdor matter greatly for the period ahead.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Malibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU) stock was 24.75 USD (+2.65% on the day), with market capitalisation 297 USD, P/E 275.0 on diluted EPS of 0.09 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.29, 52-week range 21.49–34.61 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 295.5 m USD (+42.7% YoY), net income of 7.2 m USD (+54.7% YoY), diluted EPS 0.36 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
297 USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2023
P/E (TTM)
275.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.09 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.36%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.29
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
21.4934.61

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
20.55 – 24.58
above the upper band · %B 1.04 · band width 17.9%
SMA 50 / 200
23.84 / 26.86
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.15 / -0.28
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.6%−2.0%+10.6 pp—
3 months−15.5%−2.2%−13.3 pp—
6 months−3.7%+4.3%−8.0 pp—
Year to date−12.3%+10.6%−22.8 pp—
1 year−9.2%+10.5%−19.7 pp−30.3%
3 years−46.9%+73.7%−120.6 pp+11.3%
5 years−67.9%+61.7%−129.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−37.9%
04 Feb 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−71.5%
24 Nov 2021 → 14 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−20.3%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
295.5 m USD
+42.7% YoY
Net income
7.2 m USD
+54.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.36
+50.6% YoY
net / operating
2.4% / 3.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue171.6 m200.3 m228.7 m207.0 m194.7 m188.6 m235.7 m295.5 m
Cost of revenue143.4 m162.9 m182.9 m174.3 m166.8 m163.5 m194.4 m243.3 m
Gross profit28.2 m37.4 m45.7 m32.7 m27.9 m25.1 m41.3 m52.2 m
Operating income-5.6 m3.2 m17.4 m6.8 m-842.0 k-3.5 m-1.9 m9.3 m
Interest expense396.0 k585.0 k525.0 k377.0 k423.0 k324.0 k896.0 k1.9 m
Pre-tax income-6.0 m2.6 m16.8 m6.8 m-399.0 k-3.8 m-3.1 m9.7 m
Income tax-850.0 k179.0 k3.7 m2.0 m311.0 k-1.3 m-631.0 k2.4 m
Net income-5.0 m2.4 m12.9 m4.7 m-702.0 k-2.5 m-2.4 m7.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.250.120.660.24 ≈-0.04-0.13-0.130.36 ≈
Operating cash flow-8.4 m28.4 m ≈15.5 m ≈21.0 m6.5 m12.6 m ≈21.4 m ≈27.0 m
Capex8.6 m5.6 m ≈6.7 m ≈7.0 m4.3 m4.4 m ≈5.9 m ≈10.1 m
Share repurchases10.5 m9.7 m ≈10.1 m ≈5.7 m020.8 m ≈13.1 m ≈0

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 97 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 6.1, median 15.5, max 430.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue684.0 m653.2 m926.5 m1.2 bn1.4 bn829.0 m807.6 m914.6 m
Revenue YoY+37.6%−4.5%+41.9%+31.1%+14.3%−40.3%−2.6%+13.3%
Net income66.1 m61.6 m109.8 m157.6 m104.5 m-55.9 m14.9 m1.7 m
Net income YoY+139.3%−6.8%+78.4%+43.5%−33.7%−153.5%unavailable−88.9%
Diluted EPS3.152.955.237.515.06-2.740.760.09
Diluted EPS YoY+131.6%−6.3%+77.3%+43.6%−32.6%−154.2%unavailable−88.2%
net %9.7%9.4%11.9%13.0%7.5%-6.7%1.8%0.2%
Free cash flow63.6 m52.9 m100.6 m109.8 m129.9 m-20.4 m28.6 m42.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
74.4 m USD
Financial debt
165.0 m USD
Net debt
90.6 m USD
Equity
528.4 m USD
Total assets
996.2 m USD
Debt / equity
0.31x
Current ratio
1.43x
ROE
0.3%
ROA
0.2%
FCF margin
4.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
829.0 m
2025
807.6 m
2026
914.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
681.9 m
2025
663.5 m
2026
768.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
147.1 m
2025
144.1 m
2026
146.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-55.9 m
2025
21.8 m
2026
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
33.0 m
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Aug 2024verified

EBITDA
2024
-23.0 m ≈
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Aug 2024derived

Interest expense
2024
1.8 m
2025
1.9 m
2026
3.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-57.8 m
2025
20.3 m
2026
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-1.3 m
2025
5.0 m
2026
740.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
-55.9 m
2025
14.9 m
2026
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-2.74
2025
0.76
2026
0.09

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
20.4 m
2025
19.7 m
2026
19.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
26.9 m
2025
37.0 m
2026
74.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
23.1 m
2025
23.0 m
2026
33.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
145.6 m
2025
142.2 m
2026
180.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
202.1 m
2025
219.9 m
2026
308.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
244.6 m
2025
235.9 m
2026
249.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
51.4 m
2025
51.3 m
2026
78.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
175.4 m
2025
168.6 m
2026
296.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
739.6 m
2025
734.6 m
2026
996.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
19.2 m
2025
24.4 m
2026
46.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
0
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
0
2025
18.0 m
2026
165.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
138.6 m
2025
134.6 m
2026
215.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
204.9 m
2025
214.7 m
2026
467.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
534.7 m
2025
519.8 m
2026
528.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
55.6 m
2025
56.5 m
2026
67.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
76.0 m
2025
27.9 m
2026
24.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-20.4 m ≈
2025
28.6 m ≈
2026
42.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-75.8 m
2025
-27.4 m
2026
-142.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-31.7 m
2025
-18.8 m
2026
111.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
29.3 m
2025
36.0 m
2026
33.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
-85.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-88.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
-74.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
-56.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
-88.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
-73.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
-55.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
49.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
90.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
0.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
67.5 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
24.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
42.8 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
2,592.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
77 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
17 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
71 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
297 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
90.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
275.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
29.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
0.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
14,426,262.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
11,417,508.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.72
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 36 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

24.75 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 297 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
297 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
275.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 2076derived 136

Score by group

  • Valuation44
  • Returns100
  • Quality44
  • Balance sheet21
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
95,577,213.14
USD per share
Mid
183,355,161.75
USD per share
High
1,688,720,566.68
USD per share
Price: 24.75 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 740,828,836.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 100.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 95,577,213.14 – 1,688,720,566.68 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)95,577,213.14 – 1,688,720,566.68 (Mid 183,355,161.75)
    WACC 4.2% · starting FCFF 45.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 92%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Ship & Boat Building & Repairing (SIC 3730)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 36/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality0.4%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Net margin · Quality0.2%60 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality2,592.0%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.0%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-73.9%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.9x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x53 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation275.0x0 (on a fixed band)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation14,426,262.6%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns11,417,508.4%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet21/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality44/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation44/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MALIBU BOATS, INC. (MBUU). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 914.6 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 13.3%; net margin 0.2%; ROE 0.3%.

The estimated value range is 95,577,213.14–1,688,720,566.68 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 183,355,161.75 USD, the price of 24.75 USD leaves a potential of 740,828,836.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 100.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 36/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 2,592.0%
  • FCF yield: 14,426,262.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 11,417,508.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 0.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -13.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -73.9%
  • Interest coverage: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 275.0x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Ship & Boat Building & Repairing (SIC 3730) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
275.0x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−100.0%)
P/B
0.0x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−100.0%)
ROE
0.3%
vertical median -0.6%
above median
Net margin
0.2%
vertical median -0.5%
above median
EBIT margin
0.3%
vertical median -0.3%
above median
Revenue YoY
13.3%
vertical median 15.6%
below median (−15.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GDGeneral Dynamics Corporation101.2 bn21.718.0%8.2%+10.1%+10% / +52%
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.12.0 bn16.414.0%5.4%+8.2%−3% / +28%
MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.541.6 m—-0.6%-0.5%+22.8%+20% / +11%
NXBNextBoat Inc.37.2 m—-129.3%-5.4%+21.1%−57% / unavailable
VEEETwin Vee Powercats Co.5.2 m—-62.6%-76.3%+3.0%−91% / −98%
MBUUMalibu Boats, Inc.297275.00.3%0.2%+13.3%−9% / −47%
VMARVision Marine Technologies Inc.————+45.4%−100% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MBUU from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
20,253,341.58
Total return 81,831,583% · Per year 81,831,583%
35,987,187.50
Total return 145,402,678% · Per year 145,402,678%
54,454,296.88
Total return 220,017,261% · Per year 220,017,261%
3 years
16,081,959.30
Total return 64,977,513% · Per year 8,561%
32,478,436.72
Total return 131,225,907% · Per year 10,848%
54,454,296.88
Total return 220,017,261% · Per year 12,906%
5 years
12,769,715.75
Total return 51,594,711% · Per year 1,288%
29,311,789.14
Total return 118,431,371% · Per year 1,539%
54,454,296.88
Total return 220,017,261% · Per year 1,756%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8,119,609.18
  • Net margin± 5,683,726.43
  • Annual revenue growth± 5,132,909.38
  • Annual dilution± 477,593.01

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Malibu Boats designs, builds and sells recreational powerboats under nine brands, from performance sport boats to fishing boats and premium dayboats, through a large dealer network. Net sales in fiscal 2026 reached 914.6 million USD, yet net income nearly disappeared amid weak retail demand and rising costs, so the trajectory of demand and the integration of Saxdor matter greatly for the period ahead.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of premium brands with leading positions in several US segments, supported by a dealer network the company considers among the strongest in the industry.
  • Continuous innovation, illustrated by patented technology such as Surf Gate, supports high average selling prices.
  • A balance sheet that management describes as strong, with leverage well below its stated maximum even after the Saxdor acquisition.

Weaknesses

  • Margins have been compressed sharply, and net income in fiscal 2026 fell almost to zero even as sales grew.
  • Dealer concentration is high, with a few large dealers accounting for a significant share of sales.
  • High fixed costs make profitability sensitive to lower production or to costs rising faster than revenue.

Opportunities

  • Integrating Saxdor and building boats domestically in Fort Pierce, Florida could open access to premium markets and generate longer-term synergies.
  • A recovery in retail demand, if interest rates and inflation ease, could support volumes across all segments.
  • The refinancing and the share repurchase programme create flexibility for investment or for returning capital to shareholders.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade pressures could raise production and import costs, and offsetting them through prices is not assured.
  • Extreme weather such as hurricanes could damage plants in Florida and Kansas and disrupt production.
  • Reliance on single or limited suppliers of engines and components exposes the company to supply interruptions or less favourable terms.

Risks

  • Fixed costs and compressed marginshigh

    The fixed-cost structure means profitability can fall quickly if sales stagnate or costs rise faster than revenue, and gross margin could be pressured further 1.

  • Weak retail demandhigh

    The company expects retail demand to remain soft in fiscal 2027, with promotional activity and dealer incentives staying elevated, which could weigh on margins 1.

  • Tariffs and input costsmedium

    Tariffs and rising material prices could increase costs, and a share of components comes from outside the United States 1.

  • Dealer concentrationmedium

    A few large dealers account for a significant share of sales, and the loss or difficulty of one such dealer could affect revenue 1.

  • Saxdor integration and currency exposuremedium

    The Saxdor acquisition brings European operations and sensitivity to exchange rates, and integration still in progress could delay expected synergies 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Leading positions in core segments, an extensive dealer network and a premium brand portfolio could let the company benefit quickly from any demand recovery.
  • Sales growth in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 and better average prices suggest that the premium market can absorb price increases.
  • The Saxdor acquisition and domestic manufacturing capacity could add revenue and longer-term contributions if integration proceeds as planned.

What would break the thesis

  • Net income in fiscal 2026 fell almost to zero, and margins could stay weak if retail demand does not recover.
  • The company expects weak retail demand and elevated promotions in fiscal 2027, which could limit profit growth.
  • Tariffs and cost pressures could exceed current estimates, and offsetting them through prices is not assured.

What to watch

  • Dealer inventory and wholesale shipment trendsQ1 2027
  • Gross margin and cost of sales after tariff effects2027
  • First domestic production of Saxdor boats at Fort Piercefirst half fiscal 2027
  • Execution of the 70 million USD share repurchase programme and the new credit facilitynext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Reporting is organised into four segments: Malibu, Saltwater Fishing (Pursuit and the Maverick Boat Group brands), Cobalt and Saxdor, the last reported from the third quarter of fiscal 2026 1. Buyers often choose optional features, and innovations such as Surf Gate, developed by the company, support high average selling prices 1. Dealers operate under limited-term agreements reviewed semi-annually for performance 1.

Segments

Saltwater Fishing

The Saltwater Fishing segment includes Pursuit and the Maverick Boat Group brands (Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder and Hewes) for saltwater outboard fishing, with retail prices between 45,000 and 1,400,000 USD 1. It represented 31.1% of revenues in fiscal 2026, down from 34.6% in 2025 1. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 sales grew 11.1%, supported by higher volumes and a favourable model mix 2.

Saxdor

The Saxdor segment, acquired in March 2026, makes premium adventure dayboats over 40 feet, with retail prices between 130,000 and 825,000 USD 1. It accounted for 9.2% of revenues in fiscal 2026 1. It contributed 61.2 million USD in the fourth quarter, and the company says integration is at an early stage with synergies that could be realised over coming years 2.

Market context

US retail sales of new recreational powerboats totalled 14.6 billion USD in calendar 2025, and the categories the company serves represented an addressable market of nearly 12.2 billion USD 1. The market remains under pressure from inflation and elevated interest rates, which push price-sensitive buyers to delay purchases or choose cheaper or used boats 1. The company expects dealer inventories to fall modestly again in fiscal 2027 and retail demand to stay soft 1.

Less price-sensitive buyers have been purchasing larger, more feature-rich boats at higher average prices, which supports value per unit 1. If interest rates and inflation ease, demand could recover gradually, although the company describes the recovery as still uncertain 2.

Trends

  • Tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs introduced from 2025 affect costs: the company estimates that 18-20% of the cost of sales of its US brands is sourced from outside the country and expects new tariff costs of about 1.5% to 3% of cost of sales in fiscal 2027, which it expects to largely offset through recent price increases 1.

  • Interest-rate-sensitive consumersheadwind

    High interest rates raise the cost of boat ownership and reduce the number of buyers who finance a purchase. Rates improved slightly in 2026 but remained elevated, and the company says retail activity stays weak 12.

  • Demand for larger modelstailwind

    Less price-sensitive customers prefer larger and better-equipped boats, and this mix helped lift average net sales per unit in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 2.

  • Dealer inventory rebuildingmixed

    In some areas dealer inventories have firmed, leading to higher wholesale shipments for the Cobalt and Saltwater Fishing segments in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 2. The company warns that a durable trend has not yet been proven 2.

Competitive position

The recreational powerboat industry is highly competitive for consumers and dealers, with competition based mainly on brand name, price and product performance 1. The company says it faces several large manufacturers that may have greater financial and marketing resources, as well as many small independent makers 1.

The company's stated advantage lies in a dealer network it considers among the strongest in the industry and in continuous product innovation, which it believes helps it hold leading positions in the segments where it operates 1.

  • Large manufacturers of inboard and sterndrive boats

    Referred to generically in the source without names; may have greater financial and marketing resources.

  • Small independent boat manufacturers

    The source refers to numerous small independent makers without naming them.

  • European adventure dayboat makers

    The source describes the premium adventure dayboat market as emerging, without naming competitors.

  • Engine and propulsion suppliers (supply relationship)

    The company depends on engine suppliers that hold bargaining power over price and terms; they are not direct competitors in boat sales.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 31 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Malibu Boats, Inc. · 27 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Malibu Boats, Inc. · 27 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Malibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw