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olivLaw · US equity research

MarineMax, Inc. HZO

Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores · SIC 5531 · Vertical: Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores (SIC 5531)

52.71USD+0.11% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

MarineMax is the world's largest recreational boat and yacht retailer, also operating marinas and superyacht services. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 sales declined while gross margin rose sharply, and its diversified businesses are supporting the company in a difficult market.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) stock was 52.71 USD (+0.11% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn USD, P/E 375.5 on diluted EPS of 0.14 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.63, 52-week range 21.43–52.76 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 611.3 m USD (−7.0% YoY), net income of 15.4 m USD, diluted EPS 0.66 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn USD
shares as of 20 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
375.5
Diluted EPS TTM 0.14 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.27%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.63
Volatility (1y) 57%
52-week range
21.4352.76

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
52.12 – 52.80
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 1.3%
SMA 50 / 200
52.36 / 37.72
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.24 / 0.28
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.7%−1.1%+1.8 pp—
3 months+46.3%−0.5%+46.8 pp—
6 months+68.7%+4.4%+64.3 pp—
Year to date+117.5%+12.3%+105.2 pp—
1 year+124.0%+13.5%+110.5 pp−9.2%
3 years+74.8%+76.4%−1.6 pp−0.1%
5 years−4.6%+63.7%−68.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.3%
25 Feb 2026 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.1%
04 Jan 2022 → 15 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−0.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
611.3 m USD
−7.0% YoY
Net income
15.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.66
unavailable YoY
net / operating
2.5% / 6.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue563.1 m468.5 m631.5 m657.2 m552.2 m505.2 m527.4 m611.3 m
Cost of revenue369.9 m298.8 m442.0 m457.5 m360.7 m344.7 m346.1 m393.2 m
Gross profit193.2 m169.7 m189.5 m199.6 m191.4 m160.5 m181.3 m218.1 m
SG&A166.4 m130.7 m166.8 m172.1 m177.6 m155.6 m170.4 m180.9 m
Operating income26.8 m39.0 m22.7 m-41.5 m13.8 m4.9 m10.8 m37.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.4 m11.6 m12.3 m ≈12.5 m ≈12.9 m12.6 m12.7 m ≈12.6 m ≈
Interest expense17.9 m18.7 m18.2 m16.9 m17.3 m15.9 m14.7 m14.3 m
Pre-tax income8.9 m20.2 m4.6 m-58.5 m-3.5 m-10.9 m-3.8 m22.9 m
Income tax4.1 m2.1 m1.4 m-6.5 m-3.4 m-2.8 m-1.1 m7.3 m
Net income4.0 m18.1 m3.3 m-52.1 m-851.0 k-7.9 m-2.6 m15.4 m
Diluted EPS0.17 ≈0.770.14-2.42-0.04 ≈-0.36-0.120.66
Operating cash flow-782.0 k-146.1 m72.5 m ≈84.9 m ≈61.5 m16.9 m55.5 m ≈85.2 m ≈
Capex16.7 m18.3 m12.7 m ≈16.4 m ≈13.5 m8.5 m11.0 m ≈8.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 35-quarter history (min 3.4, median 9.3, max 260.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.2 bn1.2 bn1.5 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn2.3 bn
Revenue YoY+11.9%+5.1%+22.0%+36.7%+11.9%+3.8%+1.5%−5.0%
Net income39.3 m36.0 m74.6 m155.0 m198.0 m109.3 m38.1 m-31.6 m
Net income YoY+67.0%−8.5%+107.4%+107.7%+27.8%−44.8%−65.2%−183.1%
Diluted EPS1.711.573.376.788.844.871.65-1.43
Diluted EPS YoY+80.0%−8.2%+114.6%+101.2%+30.4%−44.9%−66.1%−186.7%
net %3.3%2.9%4.9%7.5%8.6%4.6%1.6%-1.4%
Free cash flow56.6 m-29.5 m291.9 m347.8 m18.1 m-287.6 m-86.1 m11.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
170.4 m USD
Financial debt
1.1 bn USD
Net debt
901.6 m USD
Equity
948.8 m USD
Total assets
2.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.13x
Current ratio
1.20x
ROE
-3.3%
ROA
-1.2%
FCF margin
0.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
835.3 m
2024
801.2 m
2025
750.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
634.5 m
2024
673.0 m
2025
647.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
200.8 m
2024
128.2 m
2025
34.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
41.0 m
2024
44.5 m
2025
49.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
241.8 m ≈
2024
172.7 m ≈
2025
83.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
53.4 m
2024
73.9 m
2025
71.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
147.4 m
2024
54.3 m
2025
-37.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
38.0 m
2024
15.6 m
2025
-6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
109.3 m
2024
38.1 m
2025
-31.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.87
2024
1.65
2025
-1.43

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
22.4 m
2024
23.0 m
2025
22.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
201.5 m
2024
224.3 m
2025
170.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
85.8 m
2024
106.4 m
2025
108.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
812.8 m
2024
906.6 m
2025
867.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
527.6 m
2024
532.8 m
2025
552.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
559.8 m
2024
592.3 m
2025
526.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
23.8 m
2024
19.2 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
71.7 m
2024
54.5 m
2025
56.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
537.1 m
2024
709.0 m
2025
715.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
389.2 m
2024
355.9 m
2025
356.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
847.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
984.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
918.4 m
2024
986.2 m
2025
948.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-222.2 m
2024
-25.7 m
2025
72.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
65.4 m
2024
60.4 m
2025
60.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
-287.6 m ≈
2024
-86.1 m ≈
2025
11.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-576.4 m
2024
-81.3 m
2025
-55.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
770.4 m
2024
128.5 m
2025
-72.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-73.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-183.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-186.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
34.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
768.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
219.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
41.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
178.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
4,466.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
186.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
17 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
214 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
220 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
292.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
375.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
28.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
15.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 24 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

52.71 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
375.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Jul 2026
verified 2567derived 126

Score by group

  • Quality42
  • Growth0
  • Valuation29
  • Balance sheet7

Estimated value range

Low
20.86
USD per share
Mid
40.45
USD per share
High
54.85
USD per share
Price: 52.71 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -23.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -30.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 3.59 – 256.69 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)125.63 – 256.69 (Mid 171.15)
    WACC 7.4% · starting FCFF 230.2 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA20.86 – 54.85 (Mid 40.45)
    3 companies used · median multiple 14.1x · quartiles 10.5x – 16.8x
    AAP, AZO, ORLY
  • Peers: P/E3.59 – 4.59 (Mid 4.12)
    3 companies used · median multiple 29.4x · quartiles 25.6x – 32.7x
    AAP, AZO, ORLY
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores (SIC 5531)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 24/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality3.1%8 (on a fixed band)13%
Net margin · Quality0.2%40 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality4,466.2%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet6.5x0 (on a fixed band)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet1.1x0 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x36 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation375.5x0 (on a fixed band)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.4x0 (on a fixed band)13%
FCF yield · Valuation15.3%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet7/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality42/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation29/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MARINEMAX INC (HZO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.0%; net margin 0.2%; ROE 0.4%; net debt/EBITDA 6.5x.

The estimated value range is 20.86–54.85 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 40.45 USD, the price of 52.71 USD leaves a potential of -23.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -30.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 24/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 4,466.2%
  • FCF yield: 15.3%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 3.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 6.5x
  • Interest coverage: 1.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 375.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.4x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores (SIC 5531) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
375.5x
vertical median 29.4x
above median (+1,178.4%)
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
vertical median 14.1x
above median (+16.3%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+49.1%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 1.2x
above median (+5.1%)
ROE
0.4%
vertical median -35.4%
above median
Net margin
0.2%
vertical median 1.0%
below median (−81.6%)
EBIT margin
3.0%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+11.2%)
Revenue YoY
-5.0%
vertical median 6.4%
below median (−177.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
6.5x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+303.5%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ORLYO Reilly Automotive Inc74.7 bn29.4—14.3%+6.4%−9% / +41%
AZOAutoZone, Inc.53.5 bn21.8—12.6%+7.4%−16% / +27%
AAPAdvance Auto Parts, Inc.3.1 bn36.13.8%1.0%unavailable−2% / −0%
HZOMarinemax Inc1.2 bn375.50.4%0.2%−5.0%+124% / +75%
PRTSCarparts.com, Inc.62.2 m—-35.4%-4.0%unavailable+42% / −75%
ONEWOneWater Marine Inc.10.6 k—-35.9%-6.7%+5.6%−13% / −60%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HZO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
38.26
Total return -27% · Per year -27%
67.78
Total return 29% · Per year 29%
102.31
Total return 94% · Per year 94%
3 years
33.86
Total return -36% · Per year -14%
67.81
Total return 29% · Per year 9%
112.84
Total return 114% · Per year 29%
5 years
29.96
Total return -43% · Per year -11%
67.83
Total return 29% · Per year 5%
124.44
Total return 136% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 16.95
  • Net margin± 11.87
  • Annual revenue growth± 10.18
  • Annual dilution± 1.00

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 23 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

MarineMax is the world's largest recreational boat and yacht retailer, also operating marinas and superyacht services. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 sales declined while gross margin rose sharply 3, and its diversified businesses are supporting the company in a difficult market.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading global position in boat and yacht retail, with a large network of locations and vertical integration.
  • Diversified portfolio with higher-margin activities such as marinas, superyacht services, finance and insurance.
  • Proven ability to reduce inventory and strengthen the balance sheet, including by refinancing its credit facilities.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on a few manufacturers, especially Brunswick and Azimut-Benetti, which can influence sales terms.
  • High geographic concentration in Florida, where local conditions and storms can significantly affect results.
  • Boat sales are seasonal and sensitive to discretionary spending, which makes revenue volatile.

Opportunities

  • Growth in higher-margin services and digital platforms could improve long-term profitability.
  • A recovery in demand and normalising industry inventories could support pricing and margins.
  • Acquisitions of dealers and marinas remain a route to expansion if attractive targets emerge.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and uncertain trade policy could raise costs and discourage consumers.
  • High interest rates could limit customers' ability to finance a boat purchase.
  • Hurricanes and other storms could disrupt operations in key regions.

Risks

  • Dependence on manufacturershigh

    Sales depend heavily on Brunswick and Azimut-Benetti products, and problems at these manufacturers could reduce product availability 1.

  • Geographic concentrationhigh

    A significant share of dealership revenue comes from Florida, which makes the company vulnerable to local economic and weather conditions 1.

  • Weak consumer demandmedium

    Same-store sales declined last quarter, and cautious consumers may postpone luxury purchases 3.

  • Tariffs and costsmedium

    Tariffs and trading partners' retaliation could raise production and supply costs 2.

  • Seasonality and inventorylow

    Large inventories and sales concentrated in certain quarters could strain liquidity if demand does not follow the expected pattern 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If margins keep rising and industry inventories normalise, results could recover faster than falling sales volumes suggest 3.
  • A portfolio of higher-margin services such as superyacht services and marinas could sustain profitability even in a weak sales cycle 3.
  • The refinancing of credit facilities and debt reduction could give the company flexibility for selective investment 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If same-store sales keep falling, revenue and profit could remain under pressure 3.
  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could raise costs and reduce consumer demand, especially in the luxury segment 2.
  • Dependence on a few manufacturers and on the Florida market could amplify the effect of local or sector shocks 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in same-store sales and gross marginQ4 2026
  • Delivery against fiscal 2026 guidance for adjusted EBITDA2026
  • Effect of tariffs and tariff refunds on costsnext 10-K
  • Industry inventory levels and pricing of new boats2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 23 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

The company describes itself as the world's largest recreational boat and yacht retailer, marina operator and superyacht services company, with over 120 locations worldwide, including over 70 retail dealership locations 1. It sells new and used boats, engines, trailers, parts and accessories, and also arranges financing, insurance, repairs, brokerage and slip rentals; through IGY Marinas and Fraser Yachts it runs premium services 1. It manufactures yachts through Cruisers Yachts and Intrepid Powerboats and develops digital platforms for the marine market through Boatzon and Boatyard 1.

The average selling price of a new boat in fiscal 2025 was about $339,000, reflecting the company's premium focus, compared with an industry average selling price that is far lower 1. The company follows a vertical integration strategy in which higher-margin activities such as marinas, finance, insurance and services complement boat sales 1.

Growth has rested on repeated acquisitions of dealers, marinas, brokerages and yacht manufacturers since 1998, as well as opening new locations in existing territories 1. Results therefore depend on the luxury boat market, seasonality and local economic conditions, particularly in Florida, which generated more than half of dealership revenue 1.

Segments

Retail Operations

The retail segment includes over 70 locations in 21 US states, selling new and used boats with a focus on premium brands, along with Fraser Yachts, Northrop & Johnson and IGY Marinas 1. The segment also carries most of the company's corporate costs 1.

Product Manufacturing

The manufacturing segment comprises Cruisers Yachts, which builds sport yachts and Aviara dayboats, and Intrepid Powerboats, which builds customised boats; both sell through the company's own dealers and through independent dealers 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 the company noted that the segment had been hit by a goodwill impairment in fiscal 2025, though it remains strategically important 3.

Market context

Seasonality is strong: on average the quarters ending December and March generate the smallest share of revenue, and demand rises after the public boat shows begin in January 1. Demand is also sensitive to interest rates and to credit conditions for customers 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and trade policyheadwind

    Tariffs imposed by the US administration on imports have reduced revenue and profit in some periods and could raise production and supply chain costs; the company also recorded a tariff refund that helped margins last quarter 23. Future effects remain uncertain.

  • Interest ratesmixed

    earlier increases in the benchmark rate pushed long-term rates higher and discouraged some customers from buying boats, but recent rate cuts have lowered borrowing costs, and the company's interest expense fell last quarter 13.

  • Normalisation of industry inventoriestailwind

    industry inventory levels continue to normalise, which could support pricing and margins; the company itself reduced its inventories by roughly 13% year on year 3.

  • Growth of higher-margin servicestailwind

    superyacht services, marinas, finance and insurance, and parts and service have grown as a share of the business and supported gross margin despite lower sales, showing the potential of the diversified model 3.

Competitive position

The company faces intense competition from single-location independent boat dealers, national and regional chains selling marine equipment and accessories, sporting goods stores, online catalogue retailers and the private market for used boats 1. Competition is based on product quality, price and value, and customer service 1.

Relations with manufacturers, particularly Brunswick and Azimut-Benetti, are central: the company is the exclusive dealer for several major brands, which is an advantage but also a significant dependence 1. The sources reviewed do not name individual competitors, so the list below reflects only the categories of competitors mentioned.

  • Single-location independent boat dealers

    The main competitors for boat sales in a fragmented segment of the industry 1.

  • National chains selling marine equipment and accessories

    They compete mainly on parts, accessories and equipment, backed by substantial financial and marketing resources 1.

  • Online retailers and mass merchants

    These include sporting goods stores, online catalogue retailers and mass merchants selling marine accessories 1.

  • Private market for used boats

    Direct sales between private owners are an additional source of competition for used boats 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Other events
  • Current report10 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report23 Jul 2026
  • Current report23 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report23 Apr 2026
  • Current report23 Apr 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Mar 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Mar 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / MarineMax, Inc. · 17 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / MarineMax, Inc. · 23 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / MarineMax, Inc. · 23 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.