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olivLaw · US equity research

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation INGM

Wholesale-Computers & Peripheral Equipment & Software · SIC 5045 · Vertical: Wholesale-Computers & Peripheral Equipment & Software (SIC 5045)

26.12USD−1.47% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ingram Micro is one of the largest global IT distributors, delivering hardware, software, services and cloud solutions to reseller partners in more than 50 countries. In fiscal Q2 2026 net sales reached 14.5 billion USD, up 13.6% year over year, while the Xvantage platform and demand for AI infrastructure are at the center of the current discussion.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ingram Micro Holding Corporation (INGM) stock was 26.12 USD (−1.47% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.0 bn USD, P/E 13.2 on diluted EPS of 1.98 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.27%, beta 1.29, 52-week range 19.51–31.64 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 15.2 bn USD (+20.8% YoY), net income of 131.1 m USD (+31.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.57 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.0 bn USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.2
Diluted EPS TTM 1.98 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
7.60%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.27%
DPS 12m 0.33
Beta (2y)
1.29
Volatility (1y) 44%
52-week range
19.5131.64

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
38.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
26.08 – 28.94
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.01 · band width 10.4%
SMA 50 / 200
27.49 / 26.49
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.09 / 0.06
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.3%−1.1%−4.2 pp—
3 months−9.2%−0.5%−8.7 pp—
6 months−2.8%+4.4%−7.2 pp—
Year to date+22.4%+12.3%+10.1 pp—
1 year+17.5%+13.5%+4.0 pp+38.6%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+70.4%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−18.9%
02 Jun 2026 → 02 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−40.8%
05 Feb 2025 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
15.2 bn USD
+20.8% YoY
Net income
131.1 m USD
+31.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.57
+35.7% YoY
net / operating
0.9% / 1.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue13.3 bn12.3 bn12.8 bn12.6 bn14.9 bn14.0 bn14.5 bn15.2 bn
Cost of revenue12.4 bn11.5 bn12.0 bn11.7 bn13.9 bn13.0 bn13.6 bn14.2 bn
Gross profit936.1 m828.8 m839.2 m869.6 m966.4 m926.0 m958.7 m996.9 m
SG&A671.2 m626.0 m696.3 m642.6 m646.7 m693.6 m714.4 m697.6 m
Operating income248.5 m200.9 m142.8 m223.5 m309.7 m222.9 m236.0 m293.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation48.4 m48.0 m50.0 m ≈48.0 m ≈51.2 m49.7 m49.3 m ≈50.4 m ≈
Interest expense80.6 m74.9 m72.9 m81.7 m73.1 m70.5 m76.3 m79.1 m
Pre-tax income166.8 m100.4 m59.9 m150.5 m219.9 m140.6 m157.5 m187.0 m
Income tax83.7 m31.2 m22.1 m51.1 m98.5 m41.7 m46.7 m55.9 m
Net income83.1 m69.2 m37.8 m99.5 m121.4 m98.9 m110.9 m131.1 m
Diluted EPS0.360.290.160.420.51 ≈0.420.480.57
Operating cash flow310.0 m-200.4 m-298.0 m ≈-146.0 m ≈1.6 bn-977.9 m-533.2 m ≈251.4 m ≈
Capex36.1 m29.7 m35.2 m ≈29.0 m ≈36.8 m36.3 m32.9 m ≈40.2 m ≈
Dividends paid017.4 m23.5 m ≈18.3 m ≈19.2 m19.0 m19.4 m ≈22.8 m ≈
Share repurchases—00 ≈0 ≈—75.0 m30.0 m ≈17.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 8-quarter history (min 13.6, median 15.5, max 17.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2022202320242025
Revenue50.8 bn48.0 bn48.0 bn52.6 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable−5.5%−0.1%+9.5%
Net income2.4 bn352.7 m264.2 m327.9 m
Net income YoYunavailable−85.3%−25.1%+24.1%
Diluted EPS10.771.591.181.39
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−85.2%−25.8%+17.8%
net %4.7%0.7%0.6%0.6%
Free cash flow-496.9 m-142.7 m191.1 m785.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Cash
1.9 bn USD
Financial debt
3.2 bn USD
Net debt
1.3 bn USD
Equity
4.2 bn USD
Total assets
21.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.75x
Current ratio
1.33x
ROE
8.2%
ROA
1.6%
FCF margin
1.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
48.0 bn
2024
48.0 bn
2025
52.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
44.5 bn
2024
44.5 bn
2025
49.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
944.3 m
2024
817.9 m
2025
876.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
184.1 m
2024
189.3 m
2025
197.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
1.0 bn ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
380.2 m
2024
338.4 m
2025
302.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
522.5 m
2024
445.9 m
2025
530.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
169.8 m
2024
181.6 m
2025
202.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
352.7 m
2024
264.2 m
2025
327.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.59
2024
1.18
2025
1.39

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
222.4 m
2024
224.7 m
2025
235.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0.31

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
948.5 m
2024
918.4 m
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
9.0 bn
2024
9.4 bn
2025
10.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
4.7 bn
2024
4.7 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
15.4 bn
2024
15.8 bn
2025
18.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
452.6 m
2024
482.5 m
2025
531.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
851.8 m
2024
833.7 m
2025
854.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
880.4 m
2024
772.6 m
2025
711.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.4 bn
2024
18.8 bn
2025
21.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
9.2 bn
2024
10.0 bn
2025
12.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
265.7 m
2024
184.9 m
2025
449.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
10.7 bn
2024
11.3 bn
2025
13.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
14.9 bn
2024
15.0 bn
2025
17.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.5 bn †
2024
3.7 bn †
2025
4.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
58.8 m
2024
333.8 m
2025
916.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
201.5 m
2024
142.7 m
2025
130.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-142.7 m ≈
2024
191.1 m ≈
2025
785.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-17.7 m
2024
105.5 m
2025
267.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-477.9 m
2024
-391.3 m
2025
-306.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
10.5 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
78.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
24.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-48.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
17.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-49.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
310.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
13.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
16.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
52.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
300.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
146.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
154.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
33.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
23.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
76 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
29 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
13.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
38.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 44 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

26.12 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROE
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 558derived 39

Score by group

  • Valuation71
  • Balance sheet42
  • Quality36
  • Growth5
  • Returns50

Estimated value range

Low
30.25
USD per share
Mid
34.39
USD per share
High
39.05
USD per share
Price: 26.12 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 31.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 24.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 12.27 – 65.41 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)12.27 – 33.98 (Mid 19.67)
    WACC 7.2% · starting FCFF 350.6 m USD · terminal value share of EV 80%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 9.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA35.19 – 65.41 (Mid 39.53)
    3 companies used · median multiple 9.5x · quartiles 8.7x – 14.2x
    CLMB, SCSC, SNX
  • Peers: P/E30.25 – 39.05 (Mid 34.39)
    4 companies used · median multiple 17.3x · quartiles 15.2x – 19.7x
    CNXN, PLUS, SCSC, SNX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate4.05 – 5.44 (Mid 4.64)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale-Computers & Peripheral Equipment & Software (SIC 5045)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 44/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.7%59 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality0.8%29 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality33.4%5 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.1%9 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-49.5%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.3x49 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.6x32 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x42 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation13.2x100 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation7.1x72 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation2.6%32 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.3%19 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns52.0%97 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet42/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth5/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality36/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation71/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

INGRAM MICRO HOLDING CORP (INGM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 52.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 9.5%; net margin 0.8%; ROE 10.9%; net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.

The estimated value range is 30.25–39.05 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 34.39 USD, the price of 26.12 USD leaves a potential of 31.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 24.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 44/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • P/E (TTM): 13.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 7.1x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 52.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 0.8%
  • FCF conversion: 33.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -49.5%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.3%

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale-Computers & Peripheral Equipment & Software (SIC 5045) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
13.2x
vertical median 19.0x
below median (−30.7%)
EV/EBITDA
7.1x
vertical median 9.5x
below median (−25.7%)
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 0.8x
below median (−87.7%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 2.2x
below median (−38.4%)
ROE
10.9%
vertical median 10.9%
at median
Net margin
0.8%
vertical median 2.4%
below median (−67.7%)
EBIT margin
1.8%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−40.7%)
Revenue YoY
9.5%
vertical median 6.9%
above median (+37.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.3x
vertical median 0.1x
above median (+2,050.9%)
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 0.8%
above median (+54.5%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SNXTd Synnex Corporation18.4 bn14.014.9%1.8%+6.9%+51% / +134%
INGMIngram Micro Holding Corp6.0 bn13.210.9%0.8%+9.5%+17% / unavailable
PLUSePlus inc.2.4 bn19.012.0%5.1%+22.1%+1% / +43%
CNXNPc Connection, Inc.2.2 bn21.710.9%3.3%+2.5%+51% / +47%
SCSCScanSource, Inc.1.1 bn15.78.7%2.4%+6.1%+39% / +70%
CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc.803.2 m33.819.5%3.1%+40.1%+70% / +261%
CGTLCreative Global Technology Holdings Limited56.2 m—-84.9%-63.2%−40.6%−79% / unavailable
PNSkycorp Solar Group Limited——-14.9%-4.3%+27.0%−85% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for INGM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
15.10
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
26.74
Total return 4% · Per year 4%
40.34
Total return 56% · Per year 56%
3 years
13.68
Total return -45% · Per year -18%
27.35
Total return 9% · Per year 3%
45.43
Total return 79% · Per year 21%
5 years
12.39
Total return -48% · Per year -12%
27.96
Total return 14% · Per year 3%
51.17
Total return 105% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.84
  • Net margin± 4.79
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.06
  • Annual dilution± 0.40

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

Ingram Micro is one of the largest global IT distributors, delivering hardware, software, services and cloud solutions to reseller partners in more than 50 countries. In fiscal Q2 2026 net sales reached 14.5 billion USD, up 13.6% year over year 3, while the Xvantage platform and demand for AI infrastructure are at the center of the current discussion.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Global scale, a large number of vendors and reseller customers, and presence in many countries give the company a strong position in the technology value chain 1.
  • The Xvantage platform and integrated cloud marketplace are differentiating assets, which management links to recent growth 13.
  • Long-standing vendor relationships help secure access to products, especially when supply constraints exist 2.

Weaknesses

  • Gross margins are very thin, and a shift toward lower-margin AI products slightly weighed on profitability in fiscal Q2 2026 3.
  • Dependence on a few large vendors such as Apple exposes the company to changes in commercial terms 1.
  • The business consumes working capital, and operating cash flow can be negative in quarters with heavy inventory investment 3.

Opportunities

  • Demand for AI infrastructure, cloud and cybersecurity could raise the share of higher-margin categories 13.
  • Emerging markets in Asia-Pacific and Latin America offer growth, since operating there requires less capital and lower labor costs 2.
  • Automation and digitization of operations could improve profitability if cost efficiency continues 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and import and export restrictions could affect costs and supply chains 1.
  • Competitive pressure and conditions imposed by vendors could compress margins further 2.
  • Economic uncertainty and volatile demand could reduce customers' IT spending 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on large vendorshigh

    A significant part of sales comes from products of a small number of vendors, and changes in those relationships could affect results 1.

  • Thin margins and price competitionhigh

    A very small gross margin leaves little room for pricing or inventory errors, and competitive pressure could weaken results 2.

  • Indebtedness and liquiditymedium

    The company relies on credit facilities and cash flow to finance working capital, and cash consumption in fiscal Q2 2026 was significant 13.

  • Currency and country riskmedium

    A large share of international sales exposes the company to currency fluctuations and differing regulations across jurisdictions 1.

  • Technology and platform riskmedium

    Developing and deploying Xvantage requires continuing investment, and failure or delay could affect growth and profitability 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong sales growth in fiscal Q2 2026, with results above the high end of guidance, could indicate solid demand and disciplined execution 3.
  • A rising share of cloud and advanced solutions, now more than one-third of sales, could improve the margin structure over time 12.
  • Global reach and vendor relationships could provide product access during periods of supply constraints 2.

What would break the thesis

  • Gross margins remained very thin, and a mix shift toward lower-margin AI products could limit profitability gains 3.
  • Dependence on a few large vendors and their commercial terms could expose the company to revenue shocks 1.
  • Operating cash flow was negative in the second quarter, and continued inventory investment could keep consuming liquidity 3.

What to watch

  • Delivery of guidance for net sales and non-GAAP EPS in fiscal Q3 2026Q3 2026
  • Evolution of gross margin as lower-margin AI product sales growQ3 2026
  • Operating cash flow and inventory levels after the second-quarter inventory build2026
  • Growth of cloud sales and the Xvantage platform in upcoming annual reportsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in distributing IT products, cloud and other services worldwide, organized into four segments: North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific and Latin America 1. The company works with approximately 1,500 vendor partners and serves more than 165,000 reseller customers, including value-added resellers, systems integrators, mobile network operators and managed service providers 1. The Xvantage digital platform brings together ordering, marketplace and services, and management says it could support differentiation against competitors 13. International operations generated 66% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 1.

Revenue is split into Client and Endpoint Solutions, Advanced Solutions, Cloud-based Solutions and Other, and the company states that Advanced Solutions and cloud now make up more than one-third of net sales and more than half of gross profit 2. Cloud operations of CloudBlue were sold in the third quarter of 2025 1. Sales are seasonal, with lower demand in Europe in the summer and a peak in the fourth quarter 1.

The business is working-capital intensive with very thin gross margins, so cash flow is sensitive to inventory levels and credit extended to customers 13. In fiscal Q2 2026 operating cash flow was negative, reflecting heavier inventory investment ahead of ongoing supply constraints 3.

Segments

Client and Endpoint Solutions

Covers desktops, notebooks, tablets, printers, components, peripherals and mobile phones, a high-volume category with lower margins 1. In fiscal Q2 2026 North American sales in this category rose 8% 3.

Advanced Solutions

Includes servers, storage, networking, cybersecurity, AI and GPU infrastructure, POS and professional services, with operating margins generally stronger than client products 12. In Asia-Pacific sales in this category grew 51% in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by GPU and AI infrastructure products 3.

Cloud-based Solutions

Offers more than 200 third-party cloud services and subscriptions, and the company manages over 40 million seats through its cloud marketplace 1. It is the fastest-growing category and one with higher margins, according to the company's description 23.

Market context

The IT distribution market is characterized by very thin gross margins and intense price competition, where large distributors gain from scale and geographic reach 2. Demand depends on global IT spending, replacement cycles and adoption of as-a-service models 1. The company notes the cloud market is shifting toward subscriptions, which could move the revenue mix toward higher margins 1.

Sales growth in fiscal Q2 2026 was supported by demand for notebooks, desktops, storage and AI products, while margin expansion was limited by a shift toward lower-margin AI products 3. Supply conditions and rising average selling prices are factors that could influence future results 3.

Trends

  • Cloud adoption and as-a-service modeltailwind

    The shift from on-premises software to cloud solutions moves sales toward higher-margin services, and the company invests in its cloud marketplace integrated into Xvantage 1. Cloud sales in Asia-Pacific grew 87% in fiscal Q2 2026 3.

  • Demand for AI infrastructuremixed

    GPU and AI infrastructure products drive sales growth but reduce gross margin 3. Management describes AI as a significant and expanding opportunity, and AI investment could require additional capital expenditure 13.

  • Supply constraints and inventoryheadwind

    Component shortages and price increases led the company to invest more in inventory, which absorbed cash in fiscal Q2 2026 3. If constraints persist, costs and prices could keep rising 1.

  • Currency effects and tariffsmixed

    A large share of international operations exposes the company to dollar fluctuations, and tariffs are typically passed through to customers in pricing 12. Currency translation had a 1% positive effect on net sales in fiscal Q2 2026 3.

Competitive position

The company competes with other high-volume and value-added global distributors and with numerous smaller specialized local distributors 1. Competition is based on service level, product breadth, credit terms, price and delivery speed 1. Vendors selling directly to resellers and end users are also competitors 1.

The company says it is well equipped to outperform competitors thanks to its broad offering, global reach and distribution network 1. Its scale advantage could be eroded if margins stay under pressure from competitive pricing and restrictive vendor terms 2.

  • TD SynnexSNX

    Global technology distributor named in the source as a principal competitor.

  • Arrow ElectronicsARW

    Global distributor of components and IT solutions named as a principal global competitor.

  • ScanSourceSCSC

    Distributor specialized in identification, POS and security technologies, named as a global rival.

  • Westcon-Comstor

    Global distributor with an important role in the reseller channel, named among principal competitors.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 06 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · SEC / Ingram Micro Holding Corporation · 03 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Ingram Micro Holding Corporation · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ingram Micro Holding Corporation · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.