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olivLaw · US equity research

Kohl's Corporation KSS

Retail-Department Stores · SIC 5311 · Vertical: General merchandise stores (SIC 53xx)

25.36USD+7.37% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Kohl's is an omnichannel retailer selling apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty and home products through its store network and the Kohls.com website. The company is trying to return to stable sales after a fiscal 2025 with lower net sales, and second quarter fiscal 2026 results show a higher gross margin while sales continue to edge down.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Kohl's Corporation (KSS) stock was 25.36 USD (+7.37% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.9 bn USD, P/E 10.9 on diluted EPS of 2.32 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.97%, beta 1.78, 52-week range 11.72–25.36 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 3.5 bn USD (−0.9% YoY), net income of 151.0 m USD (−1.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.9 bn USD
shares as of 28 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.9
Diluted EPS TTM 2.32 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
9.13%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.97%
DPS 12m 0.50
Beta (2y)
1.78
Volatility (1y) 70%
52-week range
11.7225.36

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
69.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
19.61 – 25.92
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.91 · band width 27.7%
SMA 50 / 200
19.90 / 17.06
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.40 / 1.34
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+29.9%−1.1%+30.9 pp—
3 months+29.0%−0.5%+29.4 pp—
6 months+76.0%+4.4%+71.6 pp—
Year to date+24.3%+12.3%+11.9 pp—
1 year+57.4%+13.5%+43.9 pp+16.9%
3 years+3.5%+76.4%−72.9 pp+52.4%
5 years−56.4%+63.7%−120.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.6%
02 Dec 2025 → 18 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−90.4%
24 Jan 2022 → 16 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−15.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
3.5 bn USD
−0.9% YoY
Net income
151.0 m USD
−1.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.28
−5.2% YoY
net / operating
4.3% / 7.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue3.7 bn5.4 bn3.2 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn5.2 bn3.2 bn3.5 bn
Cost of revenue2.1 bn3.5 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn3.3 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn
SG&A1.3 bn1.5 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn
Operating income98.0 m126.0 m60.0 m279.0 m73.0 m212.0 m46.0 m261.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation184.0 m183.0 m175.0 m175.0 m176.0 m174.0 m174.0 m173.0 m
Pre-tax income22.0 m52.0 m-16.0 m201.0 m-2.0 m153.0 m-17.0 m198.0 m
Income tax0 ≈4.0 m-1.0 m48.0 m-10.0 m28.0 m-3.0 m47.0 m
Net income22.0 m48.0 m-15.0 m153.0 m8.0 m125.0 m-14.0 m151.0 m
Diluted EPS0.200.43 ≈-0.131.350.071.10 ≈-0.131.28
Operating cash flow-195.0 m ≈596.0 m-92.0 m598.0 m ≈124.0 m ≈750.0 m-74.0 m552.0 m ≈
Capex128.0 m ≈99.0 m110.0 m90.0 m ≈108.0 m ≈64.0 m84.0 m62.0 m ≈
Dividends paid55.0 m ≈56.0 m14.0 m14.0 m ≈14.0 m ≈14.0 m14.0 m14.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 55 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 5.7, median 10.6, max 36.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue20.2 bn20.0 bn16.0 bn19.4 bn18.1 bn17.5 bn16.2 bn15.5 bn
Revenue YoY+0.7%−1.3%−20.1%+21.8%−6.9%−3.4%−7.2%−4.3%
Net income801.0 m691.0 m-163.0 m938.0 m-19.0 m317.0 m109.0 m272.0 m
Net income YoY−6.8%−13.7%−123.6%unavailable−102.0%unavailable−65.6%+149.5%
Diluted EPS4.844.37-1.066.32-0.152.850.982.38
Diluted EPS YoY−5.5%−9.7%−124.3%unavailable−102.4%unavailable−65.6%+142.9%
net %4.0%3.5%-1.0%4.8%-0.1%1.8%0.7%1.8%
Free cash flow1.5 bn802.0 m1.0 bn1.7 bn-544.0 m591.0 m182.0 m1.0 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
674.0 m USD
Financial debt
1.4 bn USD
Net debt
762.0 m USD
Equity
4.0 bn USD
Total assets
13.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.35x
Current ratio
1.46x
ROE
6.9%
ROA
2.0%
FCF margin
6.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
17.5 bn
2025
16.2 bn
2026
15.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
10.5 bn
2025
9.7 bn
2026
9.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
7.0 bn ≈
2025
6.6 bn ≈
2026
6.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

SG&A
2024
5.5 bn
2025
5.3 bn
2026
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
717.0 m
2025
433.0 m
2026
624.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
749.0 m
2025
743.0 m
2026
700.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈
2026
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
373.0 m
2025
114.0 m
2026
336.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
56.0 m
2025
5.0 m
2026
64.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
317.0 m
2025
109.0 m
2026
272.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
2.85
2025
0.98
2026
2.38

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
111.0 m
2025
112.0 m
2026
114.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
2.00
2025
2.00
2026
0.50

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
183.0 m
2025
134.0 m
2026
674.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.4 bn
2026
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
7.7 bn
2025
7.3 bn
2026
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
14.0 bn
2025
13.6 bn
2026
13.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
353.0 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.1 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
3.9 bn †
2025
3.8 bn †
2026
4.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
1.2 bn
2025
648.0 m
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
577.0 m
2025
466.0 m
2026
372.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
591.0 m ≈
2025
182.0 m ≈
2026
1.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-562.0 m
2025
-467.0 m
2026
-333.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-576.0 m
2025
-230.0 m
2026
-507.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
220.0 m
2025
222.0 m
2026
56.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
—
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
44.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
149.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
142.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
453.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROCE
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
21.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
504.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
318.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
383.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
104.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
119 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
51 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
10.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBIT
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/Sales
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/FCF
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
36.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 55 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

25.36 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROE
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Sept 2026
verified 2874derived 232

Score by group

  • Valuation97
  • Returns57
  • Quality27
  • Balance sheet45
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
64.68
USD per share
Mid
80.89
USD per share
High
99.29
USD per share
Price: 25.36 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 219.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 68.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 41.56 – 144.74 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA87.81 – 144.74 (Mid 113.09)
    7 companies used · median multiple 10.3x · quartiles 8.1x – 13.1x
    BJ, DG, DLTR, M, OLLI, PSMT, TGT
  • Peers: P/E41.56 – 53.84 (Mid 48.69)
    9 companies used · median multiple 21.0x · quartiles 17.9x – 23.2x
    BJ, BURL, DG, DLTR, FIVE, M, OLLI, PSMT, TGT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate6.57 – 8.84 (Mid 7.54)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: General merchandise stores (SIC 53xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 55/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.7%0 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality1.7%0 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality383.0%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.0%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.4x40 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x58 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation10.9x91 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation2.6x100 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation36.0%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%28 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns5.4%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet45/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality27/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns57/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation97/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

KOHL’S CORP (KSS). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 15.5 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth -4.3%; net margin 1.7%; ROE 6.7%; net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.

The estimated value range is 64.68–99.29 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 80.89 USD, the price of 25.36 USD leaves a potential of 219.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 68.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 55/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 383.0%
  • P/E (TTM): 10.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 2.6x
  • FCF yield: 36.0%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 5.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 9.7%
  • Net margin: 1.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

General merchandise stores (SIC 53xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 13 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
10.9x
vertical median 22.6x
below median (−51.6%)
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
vertical median 12.6x
below median (−79.2%)
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−86.0%)
P/B
0.7x
vertical median 5.6x
below median (−87.7%)
ROE
6.7%
vertical median 26.9%
below median (−75.2%)
Net margin
1.7%
vertical median 4.1%
below median (−57.1%)
EBIT margin
3.8%
vertical median 5.6%
below median (−31.4%)
Revenue YoY
-4.3%
vertical median 8.8%
below median (−148.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.4x
vertical median -0.3x
above median
Dividend yield
2.0%
vertical median 1.4%
above median (+43.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WMTWalmart Inc.1,024.8 bn46.623.4%3.0%+4.7%+17% / +149%
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp463.7 bn50.428.4%3.0%+10.1%+15% / +77%
TGTTarget Corporation74.1 bn16.926.4%4.1%−1.7%+80% / +22%
DGDollar General Corp31.2 bn18.419.7%3.9%+5.2%+29% / +8%
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.27.6 bn17.945.9%8.0%+10.4%+33% / +19%
BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.16.2 bn23.241.4%5.8%+8.8%+2% / +52%
BJBj’s Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.14.0 bn24.327.7%2.6%+4.7%+24% / +72%
FIVEFive Below, Inc.13.9 bn22.628.3%11.7%+22.9%+53% / +34%
MMacy's, Inc.6.7 bn9.416.0%3.3%−1.7%+15% / +62%
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.5.6 bn21.014.9%9.8%+16.6%−24% / +28%
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.5.1 bn30.612.3%2.8%+11.5%+34% / +145%
KSSKohl’s Corp2.9 bn10.96.7%1.7%−4.3%+57% / +3%
MNSOMINISO Group Holding Limited——26.9%15.4%+48.1%−48% / −59%
DDSDillard’s, Inc.——33.8%10.3%−0.4%−5% / +83%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KSS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
13.94
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
24.77
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
37.49
Total return 50% · Per year 50%
3 years
11.08
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
22.37
Total return -6% · Per year -2%
37.50
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
5 years
8.80
Total return -59% · Per year -17%
20.20
Total return -12% · Per year -2%
37.52
Total return 60% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 5.59
  • Net margin± 3.91
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.53
  • Annual dilution± 0.33

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Kohl's is an omnichannel retailer selling apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty and home products through its store network and the Kohls.com website. The company is trying to return to stable sales after a fiscal 2025 with lower net sales, and second quarter fiscal 2026 results show a higher gross margin while sales continue to edge down.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large national store footprint and a portfolio of proprietary brands with higher margins than national brands 1.
  • Inventory management supported gross margin in recent periods, and the company has reduced debt in recent years 12.
  • The digital channel's share of sales keeps growing, and linking stores to the website supports omnichannel shopping 2.

Weaknesses

  • Net sales declined in fiscal 2025 and in the first part of fiscal 2026, and comparable sales remain negative 12.
  • The core moderate-income customer cuts spending when costs rise, which makes sales sensitive to the economy 1.
  • All stores are in the United States, which means more exposure to the domestic economy than more geographically diversified competitors 1.

Opportunities

  • If the gross margin recovery and sales stabilization continue, the company could reinvest in the business and resume share repurchases 3.
  • A more balanced product offer and a value focus could attract new customers if the strategy translates into sales 13.
  • Growth in digital sales and in third-party marketplace commissions could diversify revenue sources 2.

Threats

  • New tariffs or the removal of de minimis thresholds for direct imports could raise merchandise costs and pressure margins 1.
  • A downturn in the economy or consumer confidence could reduce store traffic and sales conversion 1.
  • Competition from online retailers and warehouse clubs could limit sales growth 1.

Risks

  • Sensitivity to domestic consumer spendinghigh

    Revenue depends on the strength of the American consumer, and an economic slowdown could reduce sales 1.

  • Tariffs and supply chainhigh

    Most merchandise is manufactured outside the United States, and new tariffs could reduce margins if they cannot be offset 1.

  • Declining comparable salesmedium

    Comparable sales fell in fiscal 2025 and in the first part of fiscal 2026, and the 2026 outlook includes a possible decline in net sales 13.

  • Omnichannel executionmedium

    Integrating stores with the digital channel depends on inventory availability and delivery, and failures could affect results 1.

  • Regulation and environmental ruleslow

    Compliance costs for ESG, packaging and climate reporting rules could grow over time 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If gross margin stays at high levels and sales stabilize, operating results could keep improving 23.
  • A stronger balance sheet and the restart of share repurchases could support shareholder value if execution holds 3.
  • Growth in the digital channel and in accessories could offset weakness in other categories 12.

What would break the thesis

  • Part of the margin increase in the second quarter of 2026 came from tariff refunds, which are not assured to recur 2.
  • Comparable sales continue to decline, and the fiscal 2026 outlook points to a possible drop in net sales 23.
  • Dependence on moderate-income consumers and the U.S. market could make results vulnerable to an economic slowdown 1.

What to watch

  • Net sales and adjusted operating margin guidance for fiscal 2026next 10-K
  • Trend in comparable sales and store trafficQ3 2026
  • Pace of the restarted share repurchase program2026
  • Effect of new tariffs and refunds on gross marginQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Kohl's Corporation was organized in 1988 and is a Wisconsin corporation. As of January 31, 2026, the company operated 1,153 Kohl's stores and a website. Its merchandise includes both national brands and proprietary brands sold only at Kohl's, such as Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow and Sonoma Goods for Life, according to its annual report 1.

The company notes that proprietary brands generally have lower selling prices but higher gross margins than national brands 1. It relies on nine retail distribution centers and four e-commerce fulfillment centers, with merchandise shipped to stores by contract carriers 1.

Sales are seasonal, with higher levels during back-to-school and holiday periods, so one quarter's results may not indicate full-year results 1. The company says it does not depend on any one supplier 1.

Segments

Sales by line of business, Q2 fiscal 2026

In the second quarter of 2026, Home, Accessories and Children's sales performed better than the company average, according to the 10-Q 2. Footwear sales declined, while digital sales increased 2.

Market context

Kohl's operates in the highly competitive U.S. retail industry, where product and value are considered the most important competitive factors 1. Its sales depend on moderate-income consumers who are sensitive to the cost of basic necessities 1.

Digital represented 27% of net sales in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 26% a year earlier, a gradual shift of purchases toward online channels 2.

Trends

  • Tariffs and refundsmixed

    The U.S. Supreme Court struck down certain IEEPA tariffs in February 2026, and Kohl's received tariff refunds in the second quarter of 2026. Over the longer term, new tariffs could raise merchandise costs, and the amount and timing of refunds remain uncertain 13.

  • Gross margin improvementtailwind

    Inventory management and fewer clearance markdowns supported gross margin in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the margin rose sharply, partly due to tariff refunds 2.

  • Pressure on moderate-income consumersheadwind

    Core moderate-income customers cut discretionary spending when basic costs rise, which could weigh on store traffic and sales 1.

  • ESG and environmental regulationheadwind

    Growing requirements on chemicals in products, packaging and climate reporting may raise compliance costs and restrict sales in some jurisdictions 1.

Competitive position

The company's primary competitors are online retailers, off-price retailers, warehouse clubs, mass merchandisers, specialty stores and traditional department stores 1. Competitors vary from market to market 1.

The company argues it can differentiate through personalization, loyalty programs and its omnichannel experience, although its efforts to refine the value proposition could affect loyalty among some customers 1.

  • Macy'sM

    Department store retailer that the company's peers category includes among traditional department stores 1.

  • Online retailers

    Primary competitors named by the company, competing on convenience and price in the same product categories 1.

  • Warehouse clubs

    Competitors named by the company, selling everyday products at competitive prices 1.

  • Off-price retailers

    Competitors named by the company, selling national brands at discounts that customers can compare with Kohl's offer 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 26 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report03 Sept 2026
  • Current report31 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report26 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Jul 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Jun 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Kohl's Corporation · 19 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / Kohl's Corporation · 03 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Kohl's Corporation · 26 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.