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olivLaw · US equity research

Lamar Advertising Company LAMR

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

158.58USD+1.14% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Lamar Advertising is one of the largest outdoor advertising operators in the United States, running billboard, logo and transit displays. The company grew revenue in the first half of 2026 and its raised guidance points to steady demand for out-of-home advertising, while the level of debt remains something to watch. Net revenues of 2.27 billion USD in 2025 show the scale of the business.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) stock was 158.58 USD (+1.14% on the day), with P/E 28.9 on diluted EPS of 5.48 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.13%, beta 0.71, 52-week range 118.49–164.33 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 616.7 m USD (+6.5% YoY), net income of 160.7 m USD (+4.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.58 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
28.9
Diluted EPS TTM 5.48 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.46%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
4.13%
DPS 12m 6.55
Beta (2y)
0.71
Volatility (1y) 21%
52-week range
118.49164.33

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
143.47 – 162.37
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.80 · band width 12.4%
SMA 50 / 200
149.54 / 145.18
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.78 / 2.28
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+10.2%−1.1%+11.3 pp—
3 months+0.3%−0.5%+0.7 pp—
6 months+12.3%+4.4%+8.0 pp—
Year to date+25.3%+12.3%+13.0 pp—
1 year+32.6%+13.5%+19.0 pp+7.5%
3 years+66.9%+76.4%−9.5 pp+19.0%
5 years+30.5%+63.7%−33.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−12.8%
29 Jul 2026 → 07 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−35.8%
30 Dec 2021 → 05 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+5.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
616.7 m USD
+6.5% YoY
Net income
160.7 m USD
+4.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.58
+3.9% YoY
net / operating
26.1% / 33.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue564.1 m579.6 m505.4 m579.3 m585.5 m595.9 m528.0 m616.7 m
Cost of revenue182.6 m186.4 m180.0 m186.8 m187.7 m192.4 m183.3 m194.2 m
Operating income186.6 m36.7 m191.2 m197.7 m189.1 m196.1 m146.1 m208.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation75.1 m235.4 m77.8 m78.1 m86.3 m84.1 m81.9 m84.4 m
Interest expense42.9 m39.9 m38.3 m40.7 m41.2 m40.2 m40.5 m41.1 m
Pre-tax income146.7 m330.0 k153.8 m157.4 m146.6 m156.6 m105.9 m167.4 m
Income tax-1.2 m1.3 m14.5 m2.4 m2.6 m1.8 m4.1 m2.7 m
Net income147.5 m-1.2 m138.8 m154.4 m141.8 m152.3 m101.3 m160.7 m
Diluted EPS1.44-0.01 ≈1.351.521.401.50 ≈1.001.58
Operating cash flow227.4 m ≈279.3 m127.7 m229.5 m ≈235.7 m ≈271.2 m147.4 m252.4 m ≈
Capex30.1 m ≈43.0 m29.9 m38.2 m ≈49.9 m ≈62.9 m33.1 m42.7 m ≈
Dividends paid143.5 m169.6 m159.1 m157.1 m157.3 m182.8 m162.6 m162.8 m
Share repurchases1.0 k ≈-1.0 k26.4 m131.6 m ≈0 ≈06.1 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 85 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 14.3, median 24.2, max 39.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.6 bn1.8 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn
Revenue YoY+5.6%+7.8%−10.5%+13.9%+13.7%+3.9%+4.6%+2.7%
Net income305.2 m372.1 m243.4 m388.1 m438.6 m495.8 m361.9 m587.2 m
Net income YoY−3.9%+21.9%−34.6%+59.5%+13.0%+13.0%−27.0%+62.3%
Diluted EPS3.083.712.413.834.314.853.525.77
Diluted EPS YoY−4.6%+20.5%−35.0%+58.9%+12.5%+12.5%−27.4%+63.9%
net %18.8%21.2%15.5%21.7%21.6%23.5%16.4%25.9%
Free cash flow447.2 m489.9 m507.6 m608.3 m614.5 m605.3 m748.3 m683.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
64.8 m USD
Financial debt
3.4 bn USD
Net debt
3.4 bn USD
Equity
1.0 bn USD
Total assets
6.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
3.34x
Current ratio
0.58x
ROE
56.7%
ROA
8.7%
FCF margin
30.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
696.8 m
2024
727.9 m
2025
746.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
675.4 m
2024
532.0 m
2025
774.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
293.4 m
2024
463.0 m
2025
326.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
968.9 m ≈
2024
995.0 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
174.5 m
2024
171.7 m
2025
160.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
506.6 m
2024
367.5 m
2025
614.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
9.8 m
2024
4.5 m
2025
21.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
495.8 m
2024
361.9 m
2025
587.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.85
2024
3.52
2025
5.77

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
102.1 m
2024
102.6 m
2025
101.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
5.00
2024
5.65
2025
6.45

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
44.6 m
2024
49.5 m
2025
64.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
301.2 m
2024
334.8 m
2025
341.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
373.2 m
2024
425.3 m
2025
459.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.6 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
18.2 m
2024
21.6 m
2025
16.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
250.0 m
2024
249.8 m
2025
250.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
713.9 m
2024
778.5 m
2025
794.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.3 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
783.6 m
2024
873.6 m
2025
864.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
178.3 m
2024
125.3 m
2025
180.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
605.3 m ≈
2024
748.3 m ≈
2025
683.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-310.1 m
2024
-164.9 m
2025
-244.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-481.6 m
2024
-703.4 m
2025
-604.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
510.6 m
2024
579.2 m
2025
656.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
6.0 m
2024
5.3 m
2025
157.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
45.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
62.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
19.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
63.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
67.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
46.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
31.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
23.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
30.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
58.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
16.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
119.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
92.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
4.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
906.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
188.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
718.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
84.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
28.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 62 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

158.58 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
28.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
58.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
23.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2469derived 202

Score by group

  • Balance sheet90
  • Valuation50
  • Quality64
  • Growth37
  • Returns36

Estimated value range

Low
84.76
USD per share
Mid
97.22
USD per share
High
113.99
USD per share
Price: 158.58 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -38.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -63.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 84.76 – 113.99 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)84.76 – 113.99 (Mid 97.22)
  • Peers: P/Bunavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 62/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality58.5%94 (vs peers)8%
EBITDA margin · Quality46.3%41 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.7%37 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.2x82 (vs peers)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.5x100 (on a fixed band)16%
P/B · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation28.9x50 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returns4.1%46 (vs peers)19%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns119.5%1 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet90/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth37/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns36/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial50/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

LAMAR ADVERTISING CO/NEW (LAMR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.7%; net margin 23.9%; ROE 58.5%; net debt/EBITDA 3.2x.

The estimated value range is 84.76–113.99 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 97.22 USD, the price of 158.58 USD leaves a potential of -38.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -63.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 62/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROE: 58.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.2x
  • Interest coverage: 4.5x

What contradicts it

  • Payout ratio (EPS): 119.5%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): P/B.

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
28.9x
vertical median 29.8x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.8x
P/S
—
vertical median 6.9x
P/B
—
vertical median 2.0x
ROE
58.5%
vertical median 7.6%
above median (+668.6%)
Net margin
23.9%
vertical median 22.2%
above median (+7.6%)
EBIT margin
31.8%
vertical median 37.9%
below median (−16.2%)
Revenue YoY
2.7%
vertical median 4.8%
below median (−43.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.2x
vertical median 4.9x
below median (−34.8%)
Dividend yield
4.1%
vertical median 4.5%
below median (−8.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.181.9 bn106.24.0%12.7%+35.6%+19% / +178%
PLDPrologis, Inc.122.5 bn33.17.1%42.5%+7.2%+2% / +14%
EQIXEquinix Inc104.3 bn63.311.5%16.4%+5.4%+40% / +29%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation90.4 bn27.390.6%30.7%+5.1%+7% / −7%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.65.0 bn48.36.2%21.7%+10.0%+15% / +33%
PSAPublic Storage64.0 bn34.916.0%37.8%+2.7%+25% / +32%
ORealty Income Corporation56.3 bn40.83.6%22.9%+9.1%+3% / +10%
VTRVentas, Inc.47.2 bn167.81.9%4.0%+18.5%+11% / +95%
CCICrown Castle Inc.39.2 bn48.6—20.1%−4.4%+1% / −21%
IRMIron Mountain Inc35.3 bn84.0—5.7%+12.2%+37% / +85%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.33.6 bn32.77.9%29.9%+3.7%+21% / +24%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.27.8 bn11.68.3%56.5%+4.1%−12% / −16%
VMRKVivmark Residential23.9 bn27.98.1%—+4.8%+3% / +12%
SBACSba Communications Corporation20.7 bn21.1—34.5%+5.1%+1% / −21%
HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.17.9 bn17.515.8%16.5%+7.6%+48% / +49%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.17.5 bn41.78.0%22.7%+6.4%+3% / +27%
KIMKimco Realty Corporation17.4 bn28.65.8%27.8%+5.1%+25% / +34%
DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.13.9 bn37.14.9%12.3%+4.5%+10% / +16%
UDRUDR, Inc.11.8 bn17.521.8%40.8%+2.4%+2% / +11%
FRTFederal Realty Investment Trust9.9 bn19.915.6%38.6%+6.4%+16% / +20%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc.9.4 bn33.126.0%9.9%+10.2%+43% / +36%
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.9.3 bn22.014.2%30.0%+6.7%+16% / +40%
STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc.7.3 bn27.17.6%29.9%+10.1%−4% / +6%
EPREpr Properties4.7 bn16.812.7%38.8%+2.9%+16% / +36%
COLDAmericold Realty Trust, Inc.4.3 bn—-16.5%-17.4%−2.4%+40% / −46%

1- and 3-year price returns: for LAMR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Lamar Advertising is one of the largest outdoor advertising operators in the United States, running billboard, logo and transit displays. The company grew revenue in the first half of 2026 and its raised guidance points to steady demand for out-of-home advertising, while the level of debt remains something to watch. Net revenues of 2.27 billion USD in 2025 show the scale of the business.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading position in logo signs and an extensive display network across the United States and Canada, backed by a strong local structure.
  • A high share of local sales and experienced regional managers who support customer relationships.
  • Steady operating cash flows that fund investment and distributions to stockholders.

Weaknesses

  • Significant indebtedness that limits financial flexibility and exposes the company to interest rate risk.
  • Significant family control over voting power, which may limit the influence of minority stockholders.
  • Reliance on state and municipal contracts that must be renewed periodically and can be terminated early.

Opportunities

  • Converting displays to digital formats could raise revenue per location.
  • The programmatic out-of-home channel could attract new budgets from agencies and digital advertisers.
  • Acquisitions in new or existing markets could complement the network and improve coverage.

Threats

  • An economic slowdown could reduce advertising budgets and display occupancy.
  • Competition from digital platforms and other outdoor operators could put pressure on rates.
  • Changes in REIT tax or regulatory rules could affect the company's structure.

Risks

  • High indebtednesshigh

    Total debt at Lamar Media exceeds 3 billion USD and financing terms impose restrictions. If cash flows fall, servicing the debt could become difficult.

  • Interest rate exposuremedium

    Variable-rate debt means higher benchmark rates raise financing costs directly. Future refinancings could be made at higher rates.

  • Contract renewalsmedium

    Several logo sign contracts expire or are renewable in 2026. If the company loses bids, revenue in the logo segment could decline.

  • Family controlmedium

    The founding family controls most voting rights, so major decisions may favour its interests rather than those of minority stockholders.

  • Difficult acquisitionslow

    The acquisition strategy depends on available targets and financing. If integration fails, the expected benefits might not materialise.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth in the first half of 2026 and the raised AFFO guidance suggest demand and operating execution could stay solid if the trend holds.
  • The leading position in logo signs and the large display network give a scale advantage that local competitors find hard to replicate.
  • Investment in digital displays and the programmatic channel could open new revenue sources and support medium-term growth.

What would break the thesis

  • Significant debt and high interest costs could limit flexibility, especially if the economy slows.
  • Reliance on state and municipal contracts exposes the company to losing important bids, which could reduce revenue.
  • Gains from asset sales, such as the Vistar stake sale, are non-recurring and can distort comparisons between periods.

What to watch

  • Revenue trend and updated AFFO guidanceQ3 2026
  • Progress on refinancing and the rate on variable-rate debt2027
  • Outcome of the logo sign contracts expiring in 2026next 10-K
  • Pace of digital investment and growth of the programmatic channel2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Lamar Advertising Company runs three segments: billboard, logo and transit, renting advertising space on billboards, highway exit logo signs, buses, shelters and airports. As of December 31, 2025 it owned more than 159,300 billboard displays in 45 states and Canada, and over 144,400 logo displays, making it the largest provider of logo signs in the United States. Net revenues were 2.27 billion USD in fiscal 2025, up 2.7%, and Lamar operates as a REIT, which requires distributing at least 90% of REIT taxable income to stockholders.

The business model relies on local sales: local advertising made up about 79% of outdoor net revenues in fiscal 2025, supported by roughly 1,000 local account executives. The structure combines central financial control with decentralised management of local markets, which allows quick responses to customer needs. The company keeps investing in digitisation and new locations, with capital expenditures of 180.8 million USD in fiscal 2025, of which 90.9 million USD went to digital technology.

Segments

Billboard

The billboard segment is the largest, with more than 159,300 displays, of which about 5,500 are digital. Bulletins generated about 77% of billboard net revenues in 2025, while digital billboards generated about 33%, which shows the importance of modernising this segment 1.

Logo

The logo segment makes Lamar the largest logo sign provider in the United States, operating 24 of the 28 privatised state contracts. At December 31, 2025 the company had over 144,400 logo displays, and the contracts are subject to award and renewal by states 1.

Transit

The transit segment covers displays on buses, shelters, benches and in airports in over 80 markets. Transit revenues declined in 2025, and the contracts with municipalities and airport authorities depend on renewals and open bidding 1.

Market context

The US outdoor advertising market is fragmented, with a few large operators and many local companies. Outdoor advertising competes with television, radio, print, internet and other out-of-home formats. Demand is sensitive to general economic conditions, since advertising budgets are often among the first to be adjusted 1. The second quarter of 2026 suggests that demand remained solid, with revenue growth 3.

Outdoor advertising is described by the company as relatively cost-efficient compared with other media. Results for the first half of 2026, with revenue of 1.14 billion USD, suggest the segment remains competitive, but performance depends on the ability to maintain rates and occupancy 2.

Trends

  • Digitisation of displaystailwind

    Investment in digital displays raises the revenue potential of each location, since digital faces can rotate several advertisements and attract new clients. If occupancy and digital rates keep rising, this trend could support margins over the medium term.

  • Programmatic out-of-hometailwind

    Selling unsold digital inventory through programmatic partners opens access to new advertising budgets. The channel is still small, but the company describes it as a growth area, and its development could reduce reliance on traditional sales.

  • Cost of financingheadwind

    Higher interest rates have increased interest expense, and future refinancings could come at higher cost. Lower interest expense in 2025 partly offsets this pressure, but it remains a risk factor.

  • Acquisitions and consolidationmixed

    The pool of acquisition targets is shrinking and competition for assets could push prices up. On the other hand, industry consolidation opens integration opportunities, though it also brings stricter antitrust scrutiny, which makes the effect mixed.

Competitive position

Lamar faces large outdoor operators such as Clear Channel Outdoor and Outfront Media, as well as small local companies running a limited number of structures. The company also competes with television, radio, digital press and other out-of-home formats such as displays in shopping centres and airports 1.

In bids for logo and transit contracts, Lamar competes with other national providers and local companies. Its advantages are local presence, the experience of regional managers and the cost efficiency of outdoor advertising, but state and municipal contracts remain subject to open competition 1.

  • Clear Channel Outdoor HoldingsCCO

    Large operator of billboards, street furniture and transit displays, listed in the US

  • Outfront MediaOUT

    Outdoor advertising operator covering traditional outdoor, street furniture and transit, listed in the US

  • Local logo sign providers

    Local companies in each state that bid for logo sign contracts

  • Digital media and television platforms

    Competitors outside outdoor that attract the same advertising budgets

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Lamar Advertising Company · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Lamar Advertising Company · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Lamar Advertising Company · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.