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olivLaw · US equity research

Omnicom Group Inc. OMC

Services-Advertising Agencies · SIC 7311 · Vertical: Services-Advertising Agencies (SIC 7311)

87.51USD+5.22% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC) is a strategic holding company in advertising and marketing services that completed its merger with IPG on November 25, 2025. Revenue in fiscal 2025 reached $17.3 billion, up 10.1%, and organic revenue growth for core operations in the third quarter of 2026 was 7.2%. Integration, cost synergies and artificial intelligence are the main priorities for the period ahead.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) stock was 87.51 USD (+5.22% on the day), with market capitalisation 23.9 bn USD, P/E 50.9 on diluted EPS of 1.72 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.66%, beta 0.65, 52-week range 67.27–88.94 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 6.4 bn USD (+59.1% YoY), net income of 656.0 m USD (+92.2% YoY), diluted EPS 2.38 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
23.9 bn USD
shares as of 20 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
50.9
Diluted EPS TTM 1.72 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.97%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.66%
DPS 12m 3.20
Beta (2y)
0.65
Volatility (1y) 36%
52-week range
67.2788.94

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
68.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
75.03 – 85.74
above the upper band · %B 1.17 · band width 13.3%
SMA 50 / 200
79.64 / 78.30
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.49 / 0.78
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.3%−1.1%+17.4 pp—
3 months+7.1%−0.5%+7.6 pp—
6 months+13.8%+4.4%+9.4 pp—
Year to date+8.4%+12.3%−3.9 pp—
1 year+19.0%+13.5%+5.5 pp−9.5%
3 years+12.7%+76.4%−63.7 pp−19.4%
5 years+27.2%+63.7%−36.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−18.7%
17 Dec 2025 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−36.2%
16 Oct 2024 → 12 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+4.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
6.4 bn USD
+59.1% YoY
Net income
656.0 m USD
+92.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.38
+36.0% YoY
net / operating
10.2% / 15.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.3 bn3.7 bn4.0 bn4.0 bn5.5 bn6.2 bn6.6 bn6.4 bn
Cost of revenue3.5 bn3.1 bn3.3 bn3.3 bn6.1 bn5.2 bn5.3 bn5.1 bn
SG&A112.3 m117.9 m170.4 m163.5 m293.9 m224.5 m209.0 m200.9 m
Operating income685.3 m452.6 m439.2 m530.1 m-977.2 m646.2 m922.5 m991.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation60.3 m59.0 m58.7 m60.7 m98.3 m166.9 m166.3 m166.6 m
Interest expense65.0 m59.1 m62.6 m60.4 m81.3 m119.0 m123.2 m132.8 m
Pre-tax income647.2 m423.2 m398.5 m486.9 m-1.0 bn574.2 m829.2 m887.5 m
Income tax170.6 m120.7 m120.5 m132.3 m-131.3 m154.6 m224.8 m215.4 m
Net income448.0 m287.7 m257.6 m341.3 m-941.1 m405.2 m584.8 m656.0 m
Diluted EPS2.27 ≈1.451.311.75-4.09 ≈1.352.082.38
Operating cash flow1.9 bn-786.8 m210.1 m ≈477.5 m ≈3.0 bn-553.2 m-379.2 m ≈970.2 m ≈
Capex47.0 m29.5 m42.1 m ≈39.1 m ≈39.1 m61.2 m53.9 m ≈57.7 m ≈
Dividends paid136.7 m137.7 m139.7 m ≈136.5 m ≈135.7 m251.7 m229.8 m ≈221.8 m ≈
Share repurchases8.3 m81.0 m142.0 m ≈89.1 m ≈395.8 m2.8 bn210.6 m ≈222.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 93 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 9.0, median 13.6, max 235.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue15.3 bn15.0 bn13.2 bn14.3 bn14.3 bn14.7 bn15.7 bn17.3 bn
Revenue YoY+0.1%−2.2%−11.9%+8.5%−0.0%+2.8%+6.8%+10.1%
Net income1.3 bn1.3 bn945.4 m1.4 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn-54.5 m
Net income YoY+21.9%+1.0%−29.4%+48.9%−6.5%+5.7%+6.4%−103.7%
Diluted EPS5.836.064.376.536.366.917.46-0.27
Diluted EPS YoY+25.4%+3.9%−27.9%+49.4%−2.6%+8.6%+8.0%−103.6%
net %8.7%9.0%7.2%9.9%9.2%9.5%9.4%-0.3%
Free cash flow1.5 bn1.8 bn1.6 bn1.3 bn848.3 m1.3 bn1.6 bn2.8 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
6.9 bn USD
Financial debt
9.3 bn USD
Net debt
2.5 bn USD
Equity
12.7 bn USD
Total assets
54.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.74x
Current ratio
0.93x
ROE
-0.6%
ROA
-0.1%
FCF margin
16.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
14.7 bn
2024
15.7 bn
2025
17.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
12.0 bn
2024
12.8 bn
2025
15.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.7 bn ≈
2024
2.9 bn ≈
2025
1.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
393.7 m
2024
408.1 m
2025
745.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
444.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
211.1 m
2024
241.7 m
2025
276.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.3 bn ≈
2024
2.5 bn ≈
2025
721.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
218.5 m
2024
247.9 m
2025
263.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
278.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
524.9 m
2024
560.5 m
2025
242.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
-54.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.91
2024
7.46
2025
-0.27

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
201.4 m
2024
198.6 m
2025
204.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.80
2024
2.80
2025
2.90

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
8.7 bn
2024
9.2 bn
2025
14.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
15.4 bn
2024
16.2 bn
2025
27.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2021verified

Goodwill
2023
10.1 bn
2024
10.7 bn
2025
18.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
366.9 m
2024
522.0 m
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
28.0 bn
2024
29.6 bn
2025
54.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.6 bn
2024
12.5 bn
2025
20.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
10.9 m
2024
21.3 m
2025
62.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
5.7 bn
2024
6.1 bn
2025
9.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
16.2 bn
2024
16.3 bn
2025
29.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.7 bn
2025
12.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
78.4 m
2024
140.6 m
2025
149.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.6 bn ≈
2025
2.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
79.1 m
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
980.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.4 bn
2024
-582.0 m
2025
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
562.7 m
2024
552.7 m
2025
549.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
570.8 m
2024
370.7 m
2025
707.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-80.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-103.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-103.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
75.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
12.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
24.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
186.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
29.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
211.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
2.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
406.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
141.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
161 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
248 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
23.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
20.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
33.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
50.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
8.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 69 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

87.51 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 23.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
23.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
50.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Oct 2026
verified 2845derived 214

Score by group

  • Balance sheet61
  • Growth54
  • Quality97
  • Returns100
  • Valuation47

Estimated value range

Low
105.34
USD per share
Mid
124.25
USD per share
High
153.18
USD per share
Price: 87.51 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 42.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 29.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 38.11 – 255.11 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)172.58 – 255.11 (Mid 204.79)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 3.2 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)38.11 – 51.25 (Mid 43.71)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Advertising Agencies (SIC 7311)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 69/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality24.0%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality2.8%88 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality406.2%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.5%54 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.7x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.5x30 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x10 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation50.9x0 (on a fixed band)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation9.2x52 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation12.0%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns18.6%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns29.3%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet61/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial54/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality97/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation47/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

OMNICOM GROUP INC. (OMC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 10.1%; net margin 2.8%; ROE 9.7%; net debt/EBITDA -1.7x.

The estimated value range is 105.34–153.18 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 124.25 USD, the price of 87.51 USD leaves a potential of 42.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 29.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 69/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 24.0%
  • Net margin: 2.8%
  • FCF conversion: 406.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.7x
  • FCF yield: 12.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 18.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 29.3%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 50.9x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Advertising Agencies (SIC 7311) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
50.9x
vertical median 281.5x
below median (−81.9%)
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
vertical median —
P/S
1.0x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−15.8%)
P/B
2.4x
vertical median 3.9x
below median (−38.9%)
ROE
9.7%
vertical median -7.1%
above median
Net margin
2.8%
vertical median -9.5%
above median
EBIT margin
6.4%
vertical median 0.0%
above median (+43,282.7%)
Revenue YoY
10.1%
vertical median 0.9%
above median (+1,026.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.7x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
3.7%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.23.9 bn50.99.7%2.8%+10.1%+19% / +13%
STGWStagwell Inc2.7 bn281.51.3%0.3%+2.4%+105% / +119%
CRTOCriteo S.A.769.7 m11.46.3%4.0%+0.6%−21% / −37%
GRPNGroupon, Inc.703.9 m——-25.3%+1.2%+2% / +53%
TJGCTJGC Group Limited487.9 m—-130.2%-81.8%−6.5%+969% / unavailable
VSMEVS MEDIA Holdings Ltd36.9 m—-317.9%-114.5%−8.8%−95% / −99%
SWAGStran & Company, Inc.24.4 m396.00.2%0.0%+40.6%−35% / −2%
WPPWPP plc——-7.1%-1.6%−8.1%+42% / −37%
HAOHaoxi Health Technology Limited——-54.1%-17.4%+67.1%−100% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for OMC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
79.25
Total return -7% · Per year -7%
139.98
Total return 63% · Per year 63%
210.67
Total return 145% · Per year 145%
3 years
80.08
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
158.84
Total return 92% · Per year 24%
262.02
Total return 212% · Per year 46%
5 years
80.91
Total return 4% · Per year 1%
180.24
Total return 124% · Per year 17%
325.88
Total return 296% · Per year 32%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 39.71
  • Net margin± 27.80
  • Annual revenue growth± 22.38
  • Annual dilution± 2.34

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Omnicom Group Inc. (NYSE: OMC) is a strategic holding company in advertising and marketing services that completed its merger with IPG on November 25, 2025. Revenue in fiscal 2025 reached $17.3 billion, up 10.1% 1, and organic revenue growth for core operations in the third quarter of 2026 was 7.2% 3. Integration, cost synergies and artificial intelligence are the main priorities for the period ahead.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A leading global position, with integrated agency networks and a client-oriented matrix structure that the company says has provided competitive advantages in the past 1.
  • A proprietary technology platform, Omni, which integrates data, identity and AI tools across all agencies 1.
  • Diversification across clients and industries, with no single sector dominating revenue 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on marketing budgets of a relatively small number of large clients, which can cut or cancel spending on short notice 1.
  • The complexity of integrating IPG has generated restructuring costs and high amortization in the merger year 23.
  • Exposure to the risk of losses on media and production costs incurred on behalf of clients during an economic downturn 1.

Opportunities

  • Planned cost synergies for 2026 that could support margins and earnings per share growth 3.
  • Demand for AI, data and commerce services could grow if Omni becomes a reference tool for clients 1.
  • Expansion of services to global clients seeking integrated pan-regional solutions 1.

Threats

  • Reduced marketing budgets in a recession, or under inflation and geopolitical tensions 1.
  • Competition from global groups and technology platforms that use AI to win accounts 1.
  • Cybersecurity and data regulation risks that could lead to litigation and fines 1.

Risks

  • Reduction in client spendinghigh

    Clients may reduce, postpone or cancel marketing spending in adverse economic conditions, which would directly affect revenue 1.

  • Dependence on large clientshigh

    The loss of several largest clients could significantly affect revenue if not replaced by new accounts or growth from existing ones 1.

  • IPG integrationmedium

    Anticipated synergies may be realized more slowly or at higher cost than expected, and client relationships could be disrupted 2.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Attacks on information systems and data could generate litigation, fines and remediation costs, even though no incident has had a material impact so far 1.

  • Artificial intelligence riskmedium

    Adoption of generative and agentic AI involves ethical, reputational, intellectual property and regulatory risks within an evolving legal framework 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the IPG integration is completed as planned, cost synergies and organic growth could support margin expansion and higher earnings per share 3.
  • The Omni platform and AI investments could help the company gain market share in digital and data services.
  • Diversification across clients, industries and regions reduces exposure to any single sector or market 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If marketing budgets contract under inflation or geopolitical tensions, organic growth could slow considerably.
  • Dependence on a small number of large clients and their discretionary spending remains a structural vulnerability 1.
  • Integration costs and amortization from the merger could continue to weigh on short-term profitability 23.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the $900 million cost-reduction synergies and evolution of adjusted EBITA marginQ4 2026
  • Organic revenue growth of core operations and performance by regionQ4 2026
  • Adoption of the Omni platform and its impact on AI-related services2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Omnicom operates through global networks (Omnicom Advertising, Omnicom Media, the DAS Group and the Communications Consultancy Network), bringing together specialized agencies and connected capabilities. The business model is organized around clients through Client Success Leaders and the Global Growth Team, and the Omni technology platform, which integrates data, identity and generative AI tools, supports all agencies 1. After the IPG merger, the company added brands such as McCann, Acxiom and Weber Shandwick.

Starting in 2026, Omnicom realigned its disciplines into Integrated Media, Advertising, Health, Public Relations and Experiential & Other 2. This reorganization reflects the focus on integrated media, which accounted for more than half of core revenue in the third quarter of 2026 3.

Segments

Integrated Media

The largest segment, covering media planning and buying, data and analytics. In the third quarter of 2026 it generated about 53.0% of core revenue 3.

Public Relations, Health and Experiential

Covers corporate communications, healthcare services and experiential events. Their contributions to core revenue are smaller shares, with no further figures in the sources reviewed.

Market context

The advertising and marketing services market is sensitive to client budget cycles. The SEC filing notes that inflation, tariffs and interest rates can reduce or postpone marketing spending 1. The company has significant exposure to the United States, which accounted for 60.2% of core revenue in the third quarter of 2026 3.

Organic growth of 7.2% in the third quarter of 2026 3 points to solid demand, while revenue in Latin America and Asia-Pacific made smaller contributions. Reported statements indicate that the economic environment could continue to affect client budgets.

Trends

  • Generative and agentic artificial intelligencemixed

    The company believes AI will have a significant impact on how it serves clients. The next-generation Omni platform, unveiled in January 2026, could open new services if adoption expands 1.

  • IPG integration and cost synergiesmixed

    Cost synergies are targeted for 2026 and support margins, but integration could prove more costly than expected, and certain client relationships could be disrupted 23.

  • Clients regrouping brand strategiestailwind

    Clients are expanding brand strategies from national to regional and global markets and integrating traditional and digital channels, which favours the client matrix structure the company says gives it a competitive advantage 1.

  • Economic and geopolitical uncertaintyheadwind

    International hostilities, tariffs and central bank policies could reduce client spending and make access to financing harder, affecting working capital 1.

Competitive position

The company notes it operates in a highly competitive industry, where clients may periodically put their business up for review and accounts have been won and lost in such reviews 1. Competition centres on the quality of solutions, service efficiency and the ability to serve large multinational clients across broad geographies 1.

Competitors include global advertising groups and public relations agencies that can win accounts through periodic client reviews. The competitive landscape is changing quickly with AI adoption, and companies that integrate the technology well could gain market share.

  • Global advertising and media groups

    Direct competitors for accounts of large marketers, referenced implicitly in the annual report's competition risk discussion.

  • Public relations and corporate communications agencies

    Competition on communications services, crisis management and public relations, with shared clients.

  • Digital marketing and technology agencies

    Competition on digital transformation, data and e-commerce services, where AI is changing the rules.

  • Marketing consultancies and experiential services firms

    Competition on events, merchandising and in-store execution services.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Omnicom Group Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Omnicom Group Inc. · 23 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Omnicom Group Inc. · 22 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.