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olivLaw · US equity research

Impinj, Inc. PI

Electronic Components, NEC · SIC 3679 · Vertical: Electronic Components, NEC (SIC 3679)

180.30USD−2.26% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Impinj (PI) designs and sells a RAIN RFID platform that connects physical items to the cloud, with revenue of 361,075 million USD in fiscal 2025 and 108,371 million USD in the second quarter of 2026. The company remains sensitive to the uneven pace of RAIN adoption in retail and SC&L.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Impinj, Inc. (PI) stock was 180.30 USD (−2.26% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.6 bn USD, beta 2.12, 52-week range 91.34–209.16 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 112.1 m USD (+16.7% YoY), net income of 4.7 m USD, diluted EPS 0.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.6 bn USD
shares as of 16 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.33 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-0.18%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.12
Volatility (1y) 69%
52-week range
91.34209.16

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
51.0
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
164.97 – 195.40
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.50 · band width 16.9%
SMA 50 / 200
178.04 / 144.21
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.59 / 0.14
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−2.6%−1.1%−1.5 pp—
3 months+10.3%−0.5%+10.8 pp—
6 months+16.2%+4.4%+11.8 pp—
Year to date+3.6%+12.3%−8.7 pp—
1 year+2.7%+13.5%−10.8 pp+14.7%
3 years+162.4%+76.4%+86.0 pp+31.5%
5 years+132.0%+63.7%+68.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−56.3%
09 Jan 2026 → 12 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.8%
14 Oct 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+18.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
112.1 m USD
+16.7% YoY
Net income
4.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.15
unavailable YoY
net / operating
4.2% / 4.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue91.6 m74.3 m97.9 m96.1 m92.8 m74.3 m108.4 m112.1 m
Cost of revenue45.3 m37.6 m41.3 m47.7 m44.8 m37.8 m44.8 m53.0 m
Gross profit46.2 m36.7 m56.6 m48.3 m48.1 m36.5 m63.5 m59.1 m
Research & development25.9 m25.3 m24.7 m25.7 m26.9 m28.7 m29.3 m30.6 m
Operating income-3.6 m-9.6 m10.9 m656.0 k-2.7 m-15.2 m10.5 m4.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.4 m3.5 m3.7 m ≈3.9 m ≈4.0 m3.8 m3.9 m ≈3.8 m ≈
Interest expense1.2 m1.2 m1.2 m1.1 m798.0 k773.0 k631.0 k596.0 k
Pre-tax income-2.7 m-8.7 m11.7 m-12.9 m-987.0 k-25.2 m12.1 m4.7 m
Income tax-37.0 k-281.0 k149.0 k-89.0 k152.0 k48.0 k-92.0 k40.0 k
Net income-2.7 m-8.5 m11.6 m-12.8 m-1.1 m-25.3 m12.2 m4.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.12 ≈-0.300.39-0.44-0.04 ≈-0.830.390.15
Operating cash flow12.6 m-11.1 m33.9 m ≈20.9 m ≈15.1 m4.0 m31.6 m ≈25.6 m ≈
Capex4.1 m1.9 m6.5 m ≈2.9 m ≈1.5 m1.7 m2.4 m ≈5.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue122.6 m152.8 m138.9 m190.3 m257.8 m307.5 m366.1 m361.1 m
Revenue YoY−2.1%+24.6%−9.1%+37.0%+35.5%+19.3%+19.0%−1.4%
Net income-35.2 m-23.0 m-51.9 m-51.3 m-24.3 m-43.4 m40.8 m-10.8 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−126.6%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-2.28-2.12-0.95-1.621.39-0.37
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−126.6%
net %-28.7%-15.0%-37.4%-26.9%-9.4%-14.1%11.2%-3.0%
Free cash flow-18.1 m2.3 m-20.0 m-9.8 m-11.4 m-68.0 m111.2 m45.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
48.2 m USD
Financial debt
280.9 m USD
Net debt
232.7 m USD
Equity
209.2 m USD
Total assets
545.2 m USD
Debt / equity
1.34x
Current ratio
2.68x
ROE
-6.0%
ROA
-2.1%
FCF margin
12.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
307.5 m
2024
366.1 m
2025
361.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
155.6 m
2024
177.2 m
2025
171.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
152.0 m
2024
188.9 m
2025
189.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
88.6 m
2024
98.8 m
2025
102.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-43.5 m
2024
-7.1 m
2025
-737.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
13.6 m
2024
13.6 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-29.9 m ≈
2024
6.5 m ≈
2025
14.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
4.8 m
2024
4.9 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-43.7 m
2024
41.0 m
2025
-10.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-322.0 k
2024
157.0 k
2025
-69.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-43.4 m
2024
40.8 m
2025
-10.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.62
2024
1.39
2025
-0.37

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
26.8 m
2024
29.5 m
2025
29.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
94.8 m
2024
46.1 m
2025
48.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
54.9 m
2024
56.8 m
2025
70.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
97.2 m
2024
99.3 m
2025
85.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
269.7 m
2024
326.4 m
2025
339.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
44.9 m
2024
50.6 m
2025
50.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
19.7 m
2024
18.7 m
2025
20.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
13.9 m
2024
10.3 m
2025
9.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
359.4 m
2024
489.1 m
2025
545.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
8.7 m
2024
17.3 m
2025
13.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
283.5 m
2025
96.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
281.9 m
2024
283.5 m
2025
184.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
30.9 m
2024
331.2 m
2025
126.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
325.3 m
2024
339.2 m
2025
336.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
34.1 m †
2024
149.9 m †
2025
209.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-49.4 m
2024
128.3 m
2025
58.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
18.6 m
2024
17.1 m
2025
12.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-68.0 m ≈
2024
111.2 m ≈
2025
45.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
115.8 m
2024
-192.6 m
2025
-48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
8.7 m
2024
15.7 m
2025
-8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
11.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
21.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
-126.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-126.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-58.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
53.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
147.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
9.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
76.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
10.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
65.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
599.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
66 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
30 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
18.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
14.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
448.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
84.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 33 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

180.30 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
18.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
448.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 16 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 1620derived 144

Score by group

  • Balance sheet50
  • Growth40
  • Valuation10
  • Quality42

Estimated value range

Low
19.62
USD per share
Mid
31.45
USD per share
High
55.79
USD per share
Price: 180.30 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -82.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -473.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.46 – 63.26 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)29.78 – 48.32 (Mid 36.98)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 68.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales9.46 – 63.26 (Mid 25.92)
    6 companies used · median multiple 2.4x · quartiles 1.1x – 5.4x
    AEIS, MVIS, NSYS, OST, VREX, VRT
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electronic Components, NEC (SIC 3679)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 33/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality53.5%34 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality-0.7%27 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality16.9%68 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth11.9%48 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-1.4%25 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet11.6x0 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet9.4x100 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation14.7x0 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation1.2%24 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality42/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation10/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

IMPINJ, INC. (PI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 361.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.4%; net margin -2.5%; ROE -3.8%; net debt/EBITDA 11.6x.

The estimated value range is 19.62–55.79 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 31.45 USD, the price of 180.30 USD leaves a potential of -82.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -473.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 33/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 9.4x

What contradicts it

  • EBIT margin: -0.7%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -1.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 11.6x
  • EV/Sales: 14.7x
  • FCF yield: 1.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Electronic Components, NEC (SIC 3679) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 29.9x
EV/EBITDA
448.8x
vertical median —
P/S
14.4x
vertical median 3.8x
above median (+280.7%)
P/B
18.4x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+791.7%)
ROE
-3.8%
vertical median 8.5%
below median (−144.9%)
Net margin
-2.5%
vertical median 7.6%
below median (−132.1%)
EBIT margin
-0.7%
vertical median 16.0%
below median (−104.5%)
Revenue YoY
-1.4%
vertical median 16.2%
below median (−108.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
11.6x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
VRTVertiv Holdings Co79.1 bn38.446.6%16.0%+27.7%+14% / +371%
AEISAdvanced Energy Industries, Inc.8.6 bn30.419.9%12.7%+21.4%+0% / +123%
PIImpinj, Inc.5.6 bn—-3.8%-2.5%−1.4%+3% / +162%
VICRVicor Corporation1.9 bn41.723.5%32.2%+26.1%+78% / +335%
VREXVarex Imaging Corp779.3 m35.44.6%2.6%+4.1%+60% / −2%
MPTIM-tron Industries, Inc.277.8 m23.512.4%16.3%+11.0%+24% / +85%
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.152.7 m12.920.1%24.2%+4.9%+29% / +197%
LGLLgl Group Inc84.6 m—-0.6%-5.0%−2.9%+15% / +38%
MVISMicroVision, Inc.42.2 m—-197.8%-2,230.6%−74.3%−91% / −97%
NSYSNortech Systems Incorporated31.2 m29.43.0%0.6%+723.6%+59% / +26%
OSTOstin Technology Group Co., Ltd.23.7 m—-169.1%-26.0%+22.2%−97% / −99%
NEONNeonode Inc.10.5 m1.348.6%397.8%−33.7%−72% / −52%
LPLLG Display Co., Ltd.——-37.2%-9.6%+24.8%−39% / −45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Impinj (PI) designs and sells a RAIN RFID platform that connects physical items to the cloud, with revenue of 361,075 million USD in fiscal 2025 and 108,371 million USD in the second quarter of 2026. The company remains sensitive to the uneven pace of RAIN adoption in retail and SC&L.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds a leading RAIN position, a patent portfolio and an integrated platform from chips to software.
    • Broad partnerships with OEMs and integrators give access to diverse markets.
    • Gross margins have improved in recent years on product mix.

    Weaknesses

    • Most revenue comes from endpoint ICs, which makes the company sensitive to demand or pricing declines.
    • Sales go through partners, which limits visibility into actual demand.
    • Software and cloud services have not yet become a material revenue source.

    Opportunities

    • If enterprise solutions become repeatable, the company could grow recurring revenue.
    • Extending connectivity from items to people could open new markets.
    • New products, such as next-generation chips, could lift volumes and margins.

    Threats

    • Competitors with greater resources could cut prices or add alternative technologies.
    • Trade restrictions and geopolitical tensions could disrupt the supply chain.
    • Growth of China's semiconductor industry could intensify global competition.

    Risks

    • Uncertain RAIN adoptionhigh

      The pace of adoption in key markets is hard to forecast and has often been slower than expected, which could affect financial results.

    • Dependence on endpoint ICshigh

      Most revenue comes from endpoint ICs. Demand declines or wafer supply problems could strongly affect results.

    • Pricing pressuremedium

      Average selling prices decline over time, and customer agreements may include favorable pricing terms that limit negotiation.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      A small number of customers generate a significant share of revenue, which could amplify the impact of losing one or of a supplier change.

    • Trade and geopolitical risksmedium

      Tariffs, trade restrictions and geopolitical tensions could affect outsourced manufacturing and partner demand.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Management describes the company as only beginning solutions delivery and as well positioned as a leader, which could allow long-term growth if RAIN adoption accelerates.
    • The second quarter of 2026 was presented as a record for revenue and adjusted profit, suggesting demand has recovered.
    • If enterprise solutions become repeatable, the company could diversify revenue beyond endpoint ICs.

    What would break the thesis

    • RAIN adoption has historically been slower than expected, and company forecasts have sometimes been too optimistic.
    • Dependence on endpoint ICs and a few customers could make revenue volatile.
    • Competition and pricing pressure could limit margins over the long term.

    What to watch

    • Third-quarter results against revenue guidanceQ3 2026
    • Trend in gross margin and product mix2026
    • Progress of enterprise solutions and software and cloud revenue2027
    • Disclosures on major customers and revenue concentration in the next annual reportnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Impinj designs and sells a platform that connects items to the cloud using RAIN, a radio standard for identification. Products include endpoint ICs (low-cost tags), reader ICs, readers and gateways, tag production systems, and software and cloud services. The company says it has connected more than 150 billion items as of 2025 1 and more than 160 billion to date 2. Sales go mainly through its partner ecosystem, and manufacturing is outsourced to TSMC and Plexus.

    Fiscal 2025 revenue was 361,075 million USD, slightly down from the prior year 1. Gross margin was 52.5% in 2025 1 and 58.6% GAAP in the second quarter of 2026 3. The operating loss narrowed in 2025, mainly due to lower operating expenses 1.

    The company has framed its vision as a Boundless Internet of Things, in which the ownership, history and linked information of every item is available to enterprises and people 1. It aims to extend item connectivity from tens of billions to trillions of items 2.

    Segments

    Endpoint ICs

    Endpoint ICs are the largest revenue source and are sold mainly to tag makers. Revenue from this segment fell in 2025 due to product mix and new pricing 1.

    Systems

    The systems segment includes readers, gateways, reader ICs and tag production systems. Revenue edged up in 2025, supported by higher reader shipment volumes 1.

    Market context

    RAIN spectrum is used in 81 countries covering roughly 95% of world GDP 1. Retail apparel is the largest market, followed by supply chain and logistics, and adoption has been uneven and hard to forecast 1.

    Trends

    • Uneven RAIN adoptionmixed

      Adoption and unit growth have been uneven, with periods of declining endpoint IC volumes. If adoption accelerates in retail and logistics, it could support demand.

    • Pricing and product mixmixed

      Average selling prices fell on mix and new pricing, reducing endpoint IC revenue. A shift toward higher-margin products could offset this pressure.

    • Enterprise solutionstailwind

      The company is expanding solutions for self-checkout and parcel routing, which could open new revenue sources if they become repeatable.

    • Macroeconomic and trade uncertaintyheadwind

      Tariffs, military conflicts and inflation could affect the goods partners tag, and demand and inventory are hard to predict through distribution channels.

    Competitive position

    Main competitors include NXP, Alien, Alibaba and other Chinese chip makers in endpoint ICs. In readers and gateways, many suppliers already use the Impinj platform, and CISC is named in tag production systems 1. Larger competitors could cut prices or bundle other technologies with RAIN 1.

    • NXP SemiconductorsNXPI

      Competitor in endpoint ICs, named by the company among its main rivals.

    • Alien Technology

      Competitor in endpoint ICs, named by the company among its main rivals.

    • Alibaba

      Named as a rival in endpoint ICs, with presence in the Chinese market.

    • CISC

      Competitor in tag production systems, named in the annual report.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Impinj, Inc. · 09 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Impinj, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Impinj, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.