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olivLaw · US equity research

Symbotic Inc. SYM

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC · SIC 3569 · Vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC (SIC 3569)

37.93USD+1.42% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

Symbotic Inc. (SYM) automates pallet, case and each handling in warehouses with robotic systems and AI-powered software. The company reported approximately $22.5 billion of backlog as of September 27, 2025 and revenue of $721 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up 22%. A net loss of $91.0 million in fiscal 2025 turned into net income of $55 million in that quarter.

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, Symbotic Inc. (SYM) stock was 37.93 USD (+1.42% on the day), with market capitalisation 22.9 bn USD, P/E 789.3 on diluted EPS of 0.05 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.57, 52-week range 37.40–87.30 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 720.8 m USD (+21.7% YoY), net income of 11.7 m USD, diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
22.9 bn USD
shares as of 27 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
789.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.05 · TTM to 27 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.13%
TTM to 27 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.57
Volatility (1y) 77%
52-week range
37.4087.30

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
41.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
36.31 – 44.12
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.21 · band width 19.4%
SMA 50 / 200
41.32 / 48.08
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.06 / -0.84
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.8%−0.9%−8.9 pp—
3 months−11.9%+1.2%−13.1 pp—
6 months−35.6%+4.8%−40.4 pp—
Year to date−36.3%+10.7%−47.0 pp—
1 year−50.9%+11.1%−62.0 pp−25.2%
3 years+11.5%+80.7%−69.3 pp+32.8%
5 years+279.7%+64.6%+215.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−57.2%
26 Nov 2025 → 29 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−72.5%
31 Jul 2023 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+30.6%
S&P 500 +10.5%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Jun 2026

Revenue
720.8 m USD
+21.7% YoY
Net income
11.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.6% / 4.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue564.6 m486.7 m549.7 m592.1 m618.5 m630.0 m676.5 m720.8 m
Cost of revenue468.2 m405.7 m438.9 m480.3 m499.5 m496.6 m526.5 m559.9 m
Gross profit96.4 m81.0 m110.8 m111.8 m119.0 m133.4 m150.0 m160.9 m
Research & development40.1 m43.3 m58.0 m49.7 m65.0 m43.0 m51.3 m43.8 m
SG&A45.4 m60.7 m73.3 m71.6 m93.2 m81.2 m92.6 m84.2 m
Operating income10.9 m-23.0 m-20.5 m-25.8 m-45.8 m6.5 m6.1 m32.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.8 m6.9 m11.2 m ≈12.9 m ≈8.7 m8.7 m11.3 m ≈10.3 m ≈
Pre-tax income20.3 m-15.1 m-8.8 m-17.4 m-37.7 m19.8 m16.9 m63.5 m
Income tax4.1 m150.0 k-1.4 m44.0 k-423.0 k615.0 k572.0 k-1.1 m
Net income2.8 m-3.2 m-1.8 m-3.9 m-8.0 m2.6 m2.0 m11.7 m
Diluted EPS0.03-0.03-0.02-0.04-0.07 ≈0.020.010.09
Operating cash flow-99.4 m205.0 m269.6 m ≈-196.5 m ≈588.8 m191.5 m261.3 m ≈-147.3 m ≈
Capex20.7 m7.4 m——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 1-quarter history (min 858.1, median 858.1, max 858.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenue92.1 m251.9 m593.3 m1.2 bn1.8 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+173.6%+135.5%+98.4%+51.9%+25.7%
Net income-109.5 m-6.5 m-6.9 m-23.9 m-13.5 m-16.9 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-0.13-0.37-0.14-0.16
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-118.9%-2.6%-1.2%-2.0%-0.8%-0.8%
Free cash flow-129.4 m-15.6 m-166.2 m215.1 m-100.3 munavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Sept 2025

Cash
1.2 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
477.7 m USD
Total assets
2.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.09x
ROE
-3.9%
ROA
-0.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
987.2 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
189.7 m
2024
245.7 m
2025
422.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Research & development
2023
195.0 m
2024
173.5 m
2025
216.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
217.9 m
2024
188.9 m
2025
298.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
-223.2 m
2024
-116.7 m
2025
-115.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
9.5 m
2024
20.8 m
2025
39.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
-213.8 m ≈
2024
-95.9 m ≈
2025
-75.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-212.5 m
2024
-79.7 m
2025
-78.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
-4.6 m
2024
4.2 m
2025
-1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
-23.9 m
2024
-13.5 m
2025
-16.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.37
2024
-0.14
2025
-0.16

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
64.3 m
2024
95.7 m
2025
108.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
258.8 m
2024
727.3 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
69.2 m
2024
201.5 m
2025
186.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
136.1 m
2024
106.1 m
2025
164.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
991.8 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
34.5 m
2024
97.1 m
2025
117.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
0
2025
59.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
217.0 k
2024
3.7 m
2025
79.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
109.9 m
2024
175.2 m
2025
286.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
-2.7 m
2024
390.1 m
2025
477.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
230.8 m
2024
-58.1 m
2025
866.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
15.7 m
2024
42.2 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Dec 2024verified

Free cash flow
2023
215.1 m ≈
2024
-100.3 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Dec 2024derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-299.5 m
2024
156.5 m
2025
-350.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-24.1 m
2024
371.0 m
2025
668.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
25.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
55.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
89.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
21.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
ROA
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
894.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
2,312.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
29 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
13 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
22.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
2,790.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
789.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
P/B
32.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
P/S
8.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
6.22
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

37.93 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 22.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
22.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
789.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
P/B
32.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 841derived 40

Score by group

29% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
1.27
USD per share
Mid
1.36
USD per share
High
1.56
USD per share
Price: 37.93 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -96.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -2,686.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.27 – 1.56 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E1.27 – 1.56 (Mid 1.36)
    5 companies used · median multiple 28.3x · quartiles 26.4x – 32.4x
    ESAB, HSAI, NDSN, RRX, TAYD
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC (SIC 3569)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.3%57 (vs peers)21%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth55.9%100 (on a fixed band)29%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x44 (on a fixed band)14%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation789.3x0 (vs peers)36%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial44/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial57/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SYMBOTIC INC. (SYM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 25.7%; net margin 0.3%; ROE 1.8%.

The estimated value range is 1.27–1.56 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.36 USD, the price of 37.93 USD leaves a potential of -96.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -2,686.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 29.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 55.9%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 789.3x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC (SIC 3569) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
789.3x
vertical median 30.4x
above median (+2,498.8%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 42.3x
P/S
8.7x
vertical median 4.6x
above median (+87.5%)
P/B
32.3x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+1,467.2%)
ROE
1.8%
vertical median -1.7%
above median
Net margin
0.3%
vertical median -13.6%
above median
EBIT margin
-0.0%
vertical median -15.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
25.7%
vertical median 29.0%
below median (−11.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.5x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYMSymbotic Inc.22.9 bn789.31.8%0.3%+25.7%−51% / +11%
NDSNNordson Corporation18.0 bn32.617.8%18.6%+3.8%+39% / +52%
RRXRegal Rexnord Corp10.5 bn32.44.8%5.4%−1.6%+12% / +33%
ESABESAB Corporation4.3 bn25.07.5%5.7%+3.7%−40% / +10%
OUSTOuster, Inc.2.1 bn—-18.0%-26.0%+52.5%−11% / +679%
CHRNChronoscale Holdings Corporation2.1 bn—-42.0%-70.3%+459.4%+167% / −12%
HSAIHesai Group1.9 bn28.36.9%14.4%+52.1%−49% / +26%
HLPHongli Group Inc.298.2 m135.33.5%9.9%+39.0%+165% / +89%
AZA2z Cust2mate Solutions Corp.269.0 m—-82.1%-477.6%+47.0%−17% / +60%
SERVServe Robotics Inc.225.4 m—-64.6%-2,315.8%+46.2%−80% / unavailable
TAYDTaylor Devices, Inc.180.2 m26.49.9%17.5%−10.0%+22% / +153%
RRRichtech Robotics Inc.20.1 m—-16.2%-700.1%+19.0%−80% / unavailable
KITTNauticus Robotics, Inc.10.7 m——-1,132.2%+191.8%−98% / −100%
INLFInlif Limited1.2 m—-41.3%-29.6%+16.5%−100% / unavailable
ATSATS Corp——-1.7%-1.1%−16.5%−33% / −45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SYM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
7.01
Total return -82% · Per year -82%
12.34
Total return -67% · Per year -67%
18.51
Total return -51% · Per year -51%
3 years
8.32
Total return -78% · Per year -40%
16.32
Total return -57% · Per year -25%
26.65
Total return -30% · Per year -11%
5 years
9.86
Total return -74% · Per year -24%
21.58
Total return -43% · Per year -11%
38.38
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.08
  • Net margin± 2.86
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.13
  • Annual dilution± 0.24

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Symbotic Inc. (SYM) automates pallet, case and each handling in warehouses with robotic systems and AI-powered software 1. The company reported approximately $22.5 billion of backlog as of September 27, 2025 1 and revenue of $721 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up 22% 3. A net loss of $91.0 million in fiscal 2025 1 turned into net income of $55 million in that quarter 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A large backlog and long-term contracts with major customers provide visibility into future revenue 12.
  • An extensive patent portfolio and integrated system architecture are difficult to copy quickly 1.
  • Recent improvement in profitability suggests the business model could become profitable at scale 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on one large customer makes results vulnerable to that customer's decisions 1.
  • A history of net losses and a significant accumulated deficit limit the financial safety margin 1.
  • The company has identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting that is being remediated 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into e-commerce, healthcare and international markets could diversify the customer base 1.
  • Next-generation storage technology could reduce required space and make the systems more attractive 1.
  • Micro-fulfillment systems could open new contracts if the performance metrics set by Walmart are met 1.

Threats

  • Competitors and customers building in-house solutions could reduce the company's market share 1.
  • Supply chain disruptions for equipment and components could raise costs or delay deliveries 1.
  • Cybersecurity incidents could disrupt operations and damage customer relationships 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    Walmart and a small number of other customers generate most revenue, so a decision to reduce orders could strongly affect results 1.

  • Lack of sustained profitabilityhigh

    The company has recorded recurring losses and it is uncertain whether it will sustain profitability over the long term 13.

  • Affiliation with C&Smedium

    C&S Wholesale Grocers is both a customer and an affiliate, and its current contracts do not guarantee continued business after they expire 1.

  • Internal control and reportingmedium

    The identified material weakness in internal control could weigh on investor confidence if remediation is not effective 1.

  • Multi-class share structurelow

    Voting control is concentrated in the founder and affiliated entities, which limits the influence of other shareholders 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the backlog converts into revenue and margins keep improving, the company could demonstrate a profitable model in warehouse automation 13.
  • Expansion into micro-fulfillment and new verticals could create a more diversified revenue base 1.
  • The large number of systems in deployment could support steady growth in installation and maintenance revenue 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Extreme dependence on one customer could make results very volatile if that customer changes its strategy 1.
  • Recent profitability could prove temporary if revenue does not grow enough to cover high investment levels 1.
  • Competition from in-house solutions and specialized providers could compress prices and margins over time 1.

What to watch

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA versus fourth quarter guidanceQ4 2026
  • Development of the Walmart relationship and the micro-fulfillment program rollout2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Symbotic aims to make the supply chain work better through robotic systems that move, store and sort cases and eaches in warehouses 1. Its systems operate at large retailers including Walmart and at wholesale distributors such as C&S Wholesale Grocers, an affiliate 1. The company holds a portfolio of approximately 1,100 issued or pending patents 1.

In January 2025 Symbotic acquired the Advanced Systems and Robotics business from Walmart, adding a product line for automated order fulfillment at the local and store level 1. It already operates several micro-fulfillment systems and is developing an advanced system for future deployments 1. Through its joint venture GreenBox, now doing business as Exol, it also runs a warehouse-as-a-service model 2.

Segments

Operation services

Operation services include training, managed services and spare parts, typically billed on a time and materials basis 1. The segment is small compared with systems but grew in fiscal 2025 1.

Market context

Symbotic competes in warehouse automation, where labor scarcity, e-commerce growth and SKU proliferation are increasing demand for flexible solutions 1. The company argues that existing solutions tend to be narrow and address single problems 1.

Retail and wholesale distribution customers hold most of the demand, and market size depends on their willingness to adopt complex automation 1. A backlog above $22.5 billion points to significant but concentrated contracted demand 2.

Trends

  • Warehouse labor scarcity and costtailwind

    Turnover among transportation and warehousing employees is high, which could accelerate automation adoption if the trend persists 1.

  • Omni-channel retail strategiestailwind

    Retailers must support home delivery, store pickup and returns, increasing complexity and demand for flexible systems 1.

  • Dependence on one large customerheadwind

    Revenue depends heavily on the Walmart program, so a change in that customer's strategy could quickly affect results 1.

  • Rising investment and operating costsmixed

    The company is investing in products, infrastructure and international expansion, which may keep losses in the short term if revenue does not grow enough 1. Recent quarterly results, however, show improved profitability 3.

Competitive position

The market is competitive, with large retail and e-commerce companies, firms offering point solutions and automation manufacturers, and some customers may build in-house solutions 1. Some rivals use grippers or suction cups, which Symbotic avoids by handling goods from the underside 1.

The company's stated advantage lies in its comprehensive system architecture, redundancy and modular installation in existing warehouses rather than new construction 1. Competition could still limit margins if point solutions become good enough 1.

  • Large retail and e-commerce companies with in-house solutions

    Major retailers and online sellers may develop their own systems, which would reduce demand for outside solutions 1.

  • Providers of point automation solutions

    Systems focused on one niche in the automation chain, such as e-commerce order robotics 1.

  • Conveyor and sensor manufacturers

    Older automation technologies for high-volume repetitive tasks that remain an alternative in warehouses 1.

  • Automation firms focused on autonomous mobility

    Companies using mobile robots and artificial intelligence could compete for the same retail customers 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-27 · SEC / Symbotic Inc. · 24 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Symbotic Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Symbotic Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Symbotic Inc. (SYM): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw