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olivLaw · US equity research

Trinity Biotech plc TRIB

In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances · SIC 2835 · Vertical: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (SIC 2835)

6.43USD−2.03% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Trinity Biotech is a biotechnology company developing and selling in vitro diagnostic tests, mainly for diabetes and infectious diseases, and is developing a CGM+ glucose biosensor. The company reported a net loss of 37.4 million USD in 2025, and its high debt and reliance on global HIV program funding make the current period one of transition. For management, liquidity pressure is a central topic.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Trinity Biotech plc (TRIB) stock was 6.43 USD (−2.03% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.4 bn USD, beta 1.46, 52-week range 5.69–38.40 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
E/P (TTM)
unavailable
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.46
Volatility (1y) 115%
52-week range
5.6938.40

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
41.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.77 – 8.29
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.26 · band width 35.9%
SMA 50 / 200
7.47 / 15.42
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.25 / -0.21
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+11.4%−1.1%+12.5 pp—
3 months−40.4%−0.5%−39.9 pp—
6 months−64.3%+4.4%−68.7 pp—
Year to date−72.9%+12.3%−85.2 pp—
1 year−78.6%+13.5%−92.1 pp−21.1%
3 years−90.7%+76.4%−167.1 pp−44.4%
5 years−97.8%+63.7%−161.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−85.2%
23 Dec 2025 → 02 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−98.2%
08 Nov 2021 → 02 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−53.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920202021202220232024
Revenue99.1 m97.0 m90.4 m102.0 m81.1 m62.5 m56.8 m61.6 m
Revenue YoY−0.5%−2.1%−6.8%+12.8%−20.4%−23.0%−9.1%+8.3%
Net income-40.3 m-22.1 m-28.9 m-6.4 m875.0 k-41.0 m-24.0 m-31.8 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−4,786.7%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-40.6%-22.8%-32.0%-6.3%1.1%-65.6%-42.3%-51.6%
Free cash flow4.4 m-299.0 k3.3 m20.6 m11.4 m-2.0 m-12.4 m-4.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2024 · 31 Dec 2024

Cash
5.2 m USD
Financial debt
210.0 k USD
Net debt
-5.0 m USD
Equity
-35.2 m USD
Total assets
103.3 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.28x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-39.1%
FCF margin
-7.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2022
62.5 m
2023
56.8 m
2024
61.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2022
45.3 m
2023
37.4 m
2024
40.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Gross profit
2022
17.3 m
2023
19.5 m
2024
21.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Research & development
2022
4.1 m
2023
4.4 m
2024
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Operating income
2022
-19.3 m
2023
-27.0 m
2024
-21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2022
0
2023
0
2024
204.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

EBITDA
2022
-19.3 m ≈
2023
-27.0 m ≈
2024
-21.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025derived

Interest expense
2022
24.7 m
2023
11.1 m
2024
9.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2022
-43.8 m
2023
-36.9 m
2024
-30.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Income tax
2022
-194.0 k
2023
-59.0 k
2024
486.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Net income
2022
-41.0 m
2023
-24.0 m
2024
-31.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2022
79.5 m
2023
—
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2023verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2022
6.6 m
2023
3.7 m
2024
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Receivables
2022
15.8 m
2023
13.9 m
2024
16.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Inventories
2022
22.5 m
2023
19.9 m
2024
19.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Current assets
2022
46.7 m
2023
39.0 m
2024
41.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2022
5.7 m
2023
1.9 m
2024
4.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Total assets
2022
92.1 m
2023
59.4 m
2024
103.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Accounts payable
2022
6.2 m
2023
3.9 m
2024
6.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Long-term debt
2022
210.0 k
2023
210.0 k
2024
210.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Current liabilities
2022
17.3 m
2023
15.0 m
2024
32.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Total liabilities
2022
94.3 m
2023
83.4 m
2024
138.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Equity
2022
-2.2 m
2023
-23.9 m
2024
-35.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2022
152.4 m
2023
153.3 m
2024
359.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2022
-921.0 k
2023
-11.6 m
2024
-4.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Capex
2022
1.1 m
2023
803.0 k
2024
405.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Free cash flow
2022
-2.0 m ≈
2023
-12.4 m ≈
2024
-4.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2022
-6.0 m
2023
24.8 m
2024
-23.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2022
-12.3 m
2023
-16.0 m
2024
28.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 May 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
34.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EBITDA margin
-34.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EBIT margin
-34.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net margin
-51.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
FCF margin
-7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
-39.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-29.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-5.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
-2.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Cash

Operating cash flow
-4.2 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Capital expenditure
405.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Free cash flow
-4.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
89 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Days inventory outstanding
179 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Days payables outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Cash conversion cycle
219 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Enterprise value
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
39.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
39.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

6.43 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
-51.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2024
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2024
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2024
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Apr 2026
verified 273

The data is older than the freshness threshold.

Score by group

33% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
0.11
USD per share
Mid
0.13
USD per share
High
0.16
USD per share
Price: 6.43 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -98.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -4,868.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.11 – 0.16 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)0.11 – 0.16 (Mid 0.13)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 3.4 m USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (SIC 2835)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-51.6%47 (vs peers)19%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.8%0 (on a fixed band)25%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.2x0 (on a fixed band)19%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x40 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-0.2%0 (on a fixed band)25%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet16/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial47/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TRINITY BIOTECH PLC (TRIB). Latest full fiscal year: 2024; data up to 2024-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 61.6 m USD in 2024; YoY growth 8.3%; net margin -51.6%.

The estimated value range is 0.11–0.16 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.13 USD, the price of 6.43 USD leaves a potential of -98.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -4,868.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 33.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.8%
  • Interest coverage: -2.2x
  • FCF yield: -0.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (SIC 2835) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 36.1x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.4x
P/S
39.1x
vertical median 6.6x
above median (+487.7%)
P/B
—
vertical median 2.2x
ROE
—
vertical median -32.5%
Net margin
-51.6%
vertical median -38.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-34.4%
vertical median -36.2%
at median
Revenue YoY
8.3%
vertical median -0.5%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IDXXIdexx Laboratories Inc55.0 bn47.168.9%25.4%+10.4%−7% / +50%
LNTHLantheus Holdings, Inc.6.6 bn24.522.2%17.7%+0.5%+72% / +41%
NEOGNeogen Corporation2.7 bn—-2.7%-6.3%−2.7%+108% / −27%
TRIBTrinity Biotech PLC2.4 bn——-51.6%+8.3%−79% / −91%
CLDXCelldex Therapeutics, Inc.2.4 bn—-43.9%-190,220.9%−78.0%+11% / −1%
NTLAIntellia Therapeutics, Inc.1.7 bn—-6,424.8%-672.2%+16.9%+37% / −58%
QDELQuidelortho Corp984.6 m—-19.3%-14.2%−1.9%−48% / −79%
ACHVAchieve Life Sciences, Inc.718.3 m—-845.0%—unavailable+43% / +21%
MYGNMyriad Genetics, Inc.575.8 m—-32.5%-14.0%−1.6%−21% / −68%
TKNOAlpha Teknova, Inc.395.7 m—-24.2%-38.4%+7.4%+57% / +261%
ICCCImmuCell Corporation94.2 m138.22.6%2.6%+4.3%+114% / +128%
IMDXInsight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.86.7 m——-2,955.6%+115.6%−57% / −30%
BMRABiomerica, Inc.8.0 m—-113.8%-115.5%−16.2%−27% / −77%
CDIOCardio Diagnostics Holdings, Inc.4.9 m—-75.4%-44,771.8%−57.5%−43% / −97%
QCLSQ/C Technologies, Inc.3.2 m—-155.0%—−5.3%−89% / −100%
VNRXVolitionRx Limited2.8 m——-1,043.1%+40.0%−97% / −99%
VRAXVirax Biolabs Group Ltd695.1 k—-109.6%-95,739.2%−96.0%−88% / −98%
NNNNAnbio Biotechnology—25.027.0%74.1%+5.6%−84% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for TRIB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (05 Oct 2026), 6-K (09 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Aug 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026), 6-K (14 Aug 2026).

    In brief

    Trinity Biotech is a biotechnology company developing and selling in vitro diagnostic tests, mainly for diabetes and infectious diseases, and is developing a CGM+ glucose biosensor. The company reported a net loss of 37.4 million USD in 2025, and its high debt and reliance on global HIV program funding make the current period one of transition. For management, liquidity pressure is a central topic.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a broad product base and a distribution network across many countries, including areas with high demand for HIV testing 1.
    • The Premier HbA1c platform has recent clinical recognition, which strengthens its competitive position in this segment 1.
    • The transformation programme reduced the fixed cost base and moved support functions to lower-cost jurisdictions 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has repeated net losses and negative operating cash flow, which leaves it dependent on external financing 1.
    • High indebtedness and financial covenants required waivers and deferrals from its principal lender 1.
    • Revenue is sensitive to order timing and external funding, which led to breaches of contractual thresholds 1.

    Opportunities

    • If the CGM+ platform meets its planned clinical milestones, the company could enter the continuous glucose monitoring market 1.
    • A recovery in HIV product demand could again support revenue from existing lines if global funding stabilises 1.
    • A data and AI-driven strategy could open new services in metabolic health 1.

    Threats

    • Reduced funding for global health programmes may continue to weigh on demand for HIV products 1.
    • Competition from large diagnostics groups and CGM producers could limit sales and pricing 1.
    • Tariff changes and geopolitical tensions could raise costs and disrupt supply 1.

    Risks

    • Liquidity and going concernhigh

      Management states that cash resources are sufficient for at least twelve months, but if negative operating cash flow persists, resources could become insufficient 1.

    • Debt and conversion into shareshigh

      The principal lender may convert part of its debt into ADSs at its discretion, which could significantly dilute existing shareholders 1.

    • Covenant breachhigh

      The company breached a minimum revenue covenant for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, and the waivers obtained depend on meeting revised conditions 1.

    • Dependence on external HIV programmesmedium

      Revenue can be affected by the timing of external funding and by exclusion from certain HIV testing algorithms, which could reduce demand 1.

    • CGM+ developmentmedium

      Clinical trials needed for regulatory approval are expensive, and the success of the platform is not assured 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If cost reductions and the move of production translate into better margins, the company could reach a more stable operating base 1.
    • The IFCC Gold Classification for the Premier Hb9210 could strengthen its competitive position in HbA1c testing 1.
    • If the CGM+ platform advances and attracts investors, it could open a revenue line distinct from traditional diagnostics 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Repeated net losses and negative operating cash flow suggest continued dependence on external financing 1.
    • High debt and the possibility of conversion into shares could dilute existing shareholders and limit financial flexibility 1.
    • If demand for HIV products does not stabilise, revenue could remain under pressure in the short term 1.

    What to watch

    • Covenant compliance and minimum cash balanceQ3 2026
    • Results of pivotal clinical trials for CGM+2026
    • Maturity of the principal term loan and refinancing arrangementsQ1 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (05 Oct 2026), 6-K (09 Sept 2026), 6-K (08 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Aug 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026), 6-K (14 Aug 2026).

    The business

    Trinity Biotech plc, incorporated in Ireland and listed on Nasdaq under the symbol TRIB, describes itself as a biotechnology company focused on human diagnostics and diabetes management, including wearable biosensors 1. Its products, developed, acquired, manufactured and marketed through subsidiaries, detect autoimmune, infectious and sexually transmitted diseases, liver and intestinal disorders, and markers for diabetes. The company markets several hundred products in approximately 100 countries through its own sales force and a network of international distributors 1. In 2024 it acquired the biosensor assets of Waveform Technologies, on which it is developing a CGM device that remains in development 1.

    Segments

    Point-of-care and clinical laboratory diagnostics

    The company supplies clinical laboratories and the point-of-care segment with rapid tests and instruments, including the Uni-Gold and TrinScreen HIV tests, whose manufacturing has moved to an outsourced offshore model 1. The Premier Hb9210 HbA1c analyser received the IFCC Gold Classification for 2026 in February 2026, which the company says makes it the only HbA1c analyser worldwide with this recognition 1. The range also includes infectious disease tests for syphilis and herpes and clinical chemistry reagents 1.

    Autoimmune diagnostics

    The Immco line serves the lower-throughput specialty segment of clinical and reference laboratories, mainly in the United States 1. It includes immunofluorescence, ELISA, Western Blot and line immunoassay formats for conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis, lupus and Crohn's disease 1.

    CGM biosensors and CGM+ platform

    The company is redeveloping a CGM system based on the Waveform technology, with needle-free insertion and a reusable transmitter, which management says could lower production costs and biological waste 1. Project costs for the CGM programme fell compared with the prior year, and pivotal clinical trials are planned for 2026, subject to funding 1.

    Market context

    According to the company, the global healthcare market is growing because of lifestyle changes and rising incidence of diabetes and autoimmune and infectious diseases, which increases demand for rapid and continuous monitoring tests 1. However, international funding for global health programmes, including HIV initiatives, contracted and was reprioritised in 2025, reducing demand for certain products 1.

    Management considers that signs of normalisation at the end of 2025 and in early 2026 could indicate a recovery in demand, although orders remain more variable in timing and payment 1. Tariffs and supply-chain changes are also sources of uncertainty 1.

    Trends

    • Continuous glucose monitoringmixed

      Growing need for continuous monitoring in clinical and consumer settings opens a market for CGM devices, but Trinity has not yet launched a commercial product 1.

    • Global health fundingheadwind

      Reduced and delayed funding for HIV programmes directly affected sales of legacy lines, and a recovery depends on external decisions the company does not control 1.

    • Digital health and artificial intelligencetailwind

      Management links the CGM+ strategy to longitudinal physiological data and AI-driven analysis, which could create future revenue if development succeeds 1.

    • Tariffs and supply chainsheadwind

      Trade changes and tariffs raised costs, and the company moved manufacturing away from its legacy sites to reduce exposure 1.

    Competitive position

    The diagnostics industry is very competitive, with competition based mainly on product reliability, customer service and price, and with emphasis on automation and new biomarkers 1. The company names several large competitors, including Abbott, Roche, Siemens and Thermo Fisher 1.

    In biosensors, competition includes established CGM producers, and Trinity has granted Dexcom a perpetual, non-exclusive licence to some acquired patents 1. For HbA1c products it competes with several laboratory analyser makers 1.

    • Abbott Diagnostics

      Competitor listed in the company's report in laboratory and point-of-care diagnostics 1.

    • DexcomDXCM

      Competitor in continuous glucose monitoring and licensee of some Trinity patents 1.

    • Roche Diagnostics

      Competitor listed in laboratory diagnostics and diabetes testing 1.

    • Thermo FisherTMO

      Competitor listed in the company's report, active in laboratory diagnostics 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 28 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 05 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Trinity Biotech plc · 30 Apr 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.