olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Tronox Holdings plc TROX

Industrial Inorganic Chemicals · SIC 2810 · Vertical: Industrial Inorganic Chemicals (SIC 2810)

3.55USD+4.41% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Tronox is the world's leading vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment, with titanium-bearing mineral sand mines in Australia and South Africa. Revenue fell under price pressure in 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 sales recovered, with 868 million USD of revenue and an 8.4% Adjusted EBITDA margin.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) stock was 3.55 USD (+4.41% on the day), with market capitalisation 566.9 m USD, dividend yield 5.63%, beta 1.86, 52-week range 2.88–10.48 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 868.0 m USD (+18.7% YoY), net income of -171.0 m USD, diluted EPS -1.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
566.9 m USD
shares as of 20 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.46 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-97.45%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.63%
DPS 12m 0.20
Beta (2y)
1.86
Volatility (1y) 74%
52-week range
2.8810.48

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.26 – 3.77
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.56 · band width 14.5%
SMA 50 / 200
4.08 / 6.62
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.16 / -0.21
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.2%−1.1%−8.1 pp—
3 months−39.3%−0.5%−38.9 pp—
6 months−64.9%+4.4%−69.3 pp—
Year to date−14.9%+12.3%−27.2 pp—
1 year+11.3%+13.5%−2.3 pp+22.1%
3 years−69.6%+76.4%−146.0 pp+24.2%
5 years−86.0%+63.7%−149.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−68.9%
05 May 2026 → 21 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−88.8%
12 Jan 2022 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−32.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
868.0 m USD
+18.7% YoY
Net income
-171.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-1.07
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-19.7% / -2.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue804.0 m676.0 m738.0 m731.0 m699.0 m730.0 m760.0 m868.0 m
Gross profit128.0 m117.0 m99.0 m79.0 m52.0 m39.0 m44.0 m55.0 m
SG&A74.0 m69.0 m74.0 m72.0 m70.0 m74.0 m71.0 m72.0 m
Operating income54.0 m48.0 m-61.0 m-35.0 m-43.0 m-114.0 m-41.0 m-21.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation70.0 m ≈71.0 m71.0 m74.0 m ≈75.0 m ≈82.0 m75.0 m76.0 m ≈
Interest expense42.0 m41.0 m42.0 m45.0 m48.0 m54.0 m53.0 m56.0 m
Pre-tax income1.0 m15.0 m-106.0 m-81.0 m-92.0 m-179.0 m-104.0 m-67.0 m
Income tax26.0 m45.0 m5.0 m4.0 m8.0 m-2.0 m0106.0 m
Net income-25.0 m-30.0 m-111.0 m-84.0 m-99.0 m-176.0 m-103.0 m-171.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.16-0.19 ≈-0.70-0.53-0.63-1.11 ≈-0.65-1.07
Operating cash flow87.0 m ≈82.0 m-32.0 m28.0 m ≈-57.0 m ≈121.0 m-68.0 m105.0 m ≈
Capex101.0 m ≈117.0 m110.0 m83.0 m ≈80.0 m ≈68.0 m67.0 m45.0 m ≈
Dividends paid20.0 m ≈19.0 m020.0 m ≈20.0 m ≈8.0 m8.0 m8.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.8 bn2.6 bn2.8 bn3.6 bn3.5 bn2.9 bn3.1 bn2.9 bn
Revenue YoY+7.1%+45.2%+4.4%+29.5%−3.3%−17.5%+7.9%−5.7%
Net income-7.0 m-109.0 m969.0 m286.0 m497.0 m-316.0 m-48.0 m-470.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−70.5%+73.8%−163.6%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.06-0.786.691.813.16-2.02-0.31-2.97
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−72.9%+74.6%−163.9%unavailableunavailable
net %-0.4%-4.1%35.1%8.0%14.4%-11.1%-1.6%-16.2%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailable160.0 m468.0 m170.0 m-77.0 m-70.0 m-281.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
199.0 m USD
Financial debt
51.0 m USD
Net debt
-148.0 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
6.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.04x
Current ratio
2.46x
ROE
-29.0%
ROA
-7.7%
FCF margin
-9.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
462.0 m
2024
515.0 m
2025
269.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
12.0 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
276.0 m
2024
296.0 m
2025
290.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
186.0 m
2024
219.0 m
2025
-253.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
275.0 m
2024
285.0 m
2025
302.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
461.0 m ≈
2024
504.0 m ≈
2025
49.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
158.0 m
2024
167.0 m
2025
189.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
49.0 m
2024
73.0 m
2025
-458.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
363.0 m
2024
127.0 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-316.0 m
2024
-48.0 m
2025
-470.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-2.02
2024
-0.31
2025
-2.97

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
156.4 m
2024
157.8 m
2025
158.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.50
2024
0.50
2025
0.35

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
273.0 m
2024
151.0 m
2025
199.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
290.0 m
2024
266.0 m
2025
289.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
243.0 m
2024
244.0 m
2025
214.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.1 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
461.0 m
2024
499.0 m
2025
481.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
11.0 m
2024
65.0 m
2025
51.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
753.0 m
2024
874.0 m
2025
919.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
184.0 m
2024
300.0 m
2025
60.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
261.0 m
2024
370.0 m
2025
341.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-77.0 m ≈
2024
-70.0 m ≈
2025
-281.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-255.0 m
2024
-343.0 m
2025
-328.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
176.0 m
2024
-71.0 m
2025
321.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
89.0 m
2024
80.0 m
2025
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-215.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-18.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
-126.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
101.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
260.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-159.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
113.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
39 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
566.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
440.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-97.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-28.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
0.67
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 38 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

3.55 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 566.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
566.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-18.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2295derived 164

Score by group

  • Balance sheet60
  • Valuation44
  • Quality0
  • Growth0
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
4.04
USD per share
Mid
5.28
USD per share
High
6.19
USD per share
Price: 3.55 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 48.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 32.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.06 – 10.08 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)2.06 – 2.77 (Mid 2.33)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 18.2 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 21.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA4.04 – 10.08 (Mid 7.14)
    4 companies used · median multiple 11.4x · quartiles 5.8x – 16.7x
    LIN, LXFR, LXU, VHI
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)4.60 – 6.19 (Mid 5.28)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial Inorganic Chemicals (SIC 2810)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 38/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-12.8%0 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality-18.0%0 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.7%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.4x80 (vs peers)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1.0x0 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.0x80 (vs peers)15%
FCF yield · Valuation-28.0%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet60/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation44/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TRONOX HOLDINGS PLC (TROX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.7%; net margin -18.0%; ROE -39.1%; net debt/EBITDA -1.4x.

The estimated value range is 4.04–6.19 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 5.28 USD, the price of 3.55 USD leaves a potential of 48.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 32.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 38/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.4x
  • Current ratio: 2.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 5.0x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.8%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -12.8%
  • Net margin: -18.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.7%
  • Interest coverage: -1.0x
  • FCF yield: -28.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial Inorganic Chemicals (SIC 2810) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 34.9x
EV/EBITDA
5.0x
vertical median 15.5x
below median (−68.1%)
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−84.9%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−62.3%)
ROE
-39.1%
vertical median -4.1%
below median
Net margin
-18.0%
vertical median -1.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-7.2%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−244.4%)
Revenue YoY
-5.7%
vertical median -0.9%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.4x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−221.0%)
Dividend yield
5.6%
vertical median 2.3%
above median (+149.5%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LINLinde plc240.9 bn34.918.0%19.3%+3.0%+28% / +27%
APDAir Products And Chemicals, Inc.71.0 bn—-0.3%-0.4%−0.5%+22% / +18%
MTXMinerals Technologies Inc.2.0 bn—-4.1%-3.1%−2.2%+12% / +5%
KROKronos Worldwide, Inc.890.9 m—-13.7%-5.6%−1.5%+53% / −11%
LXULSB Industries, Inc.766.1 m17.18.7%7.0%+17.8%+19% / +24%
TROXTronox Holdings PLC566.9 m—-39.1%-18.0%−5.7%+11% / −70%
LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLC463.2 m76.32.7%1.7%−1.9%+38% / +110%
VHIValhi, Inc.430.8 m—-4.8%-2.4%−1.3%+20% / +12%
NLNli Holdings, Inc.359.9 m—-6.7%-15.8%+8.5%+30% / +44%
LTBRLightbridge Corporation172.9 m—-14.1%—unavailable−73% / +39%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TROX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Tronox is the world's leading vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment, with titanium-bearing mineral sand mines in Australia and South Africa. Revenue fell under price pressure in 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 sales recovered, with 868 million USD of revenue and an 8.4% Adjusted EBITDA margin.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Vertical integration, from mining to pigment, gives a cost and supply advantage over many competitors.
    • Global presence with seven pigment facilities and a broad base of TiO2 customers.
    • A strong position in co-products such as zircon, where demand in certain high-value segments remains durable.

    Weaknesses

    • Gross margins compressed in 2025, and the net loss was significant because of restructuring and production costs.
    • High debt and limited liquidity restrict the company's financial flexibility.
    • Dependence on energy and imported raw materials, notably from China, exposes costs to external shocks.

    Opportunities

    • Anti-dumping and US duties could support TiO2 prices and volumes for producers outside China.
    • The cost improvement program could lift margins if the annualized savings target is reached by the end of 2026.
    • Building a rare earths position could diversify revenue, if financing and feasibility are confirmed.

    Threats

    • Excess capacity in China and low-priced exports could keep pressure on prices.
    • Volatile energy and raw material prices, including from the Middle East, could hit margins.
    • Removal or reduction of anti-dumping duties could weaken the company's competitive advantage.

    Risks

    • High indebtednesshigh

      Total debt and the high ratio of net debt to Adjusted EBITDA could limit financing capacity and dividend payments.

    • TiO2 price volatilityhigh

      Pigment and zircon prices are volatile, and a prolonged decline could weigh on cash flow.

    • Chinese competitionmedium

      Low-priced Chinese exports could compete aggressively with Tronox products in several regions.

    • South African energy costsmedium

      Operational problems at the South African state energy supplier could raise costs or disrupt mining operations.

    • Rare earths projectlow

      Financing and development of a rare earth supply chain are not assured and could require additional capital.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the recovery in TiO2 volumes holds and price increases stick, margins could gradually return toward pre-downturn levels.
    • Vertical integration and control over feedstock could provide a durable cost advantage if the savings program reaches its target.
    • Anti-dumping duties and trade restrictions could ease pressure from Chinese imports in key markets in Europe and South America.

    What would break the thesis

    • If TiO2 prices fall again under the pressure of Chinese overcapacity, margins could stay weak and cash generation could be insufficient.
    • High indebtedness could limit investment and make the company vulnerable to revenue shocks.
    • Removal of anti-dumping duties or trade measures could reduce the competitive advantage of producers outside China.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the Adjusted EBITDA guidance for the third quarterQ3 2026
    • Evolution of TiO2 and zircon prices after the announced increasesQ3 2026
    • Reaching the annualized cost savings target of 125-175 million USD2026
    • Progress of the feasibility study for the rare earths facilityQ3 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Tronox produces its feedstock from mineral sand mines and beneficiation and smelting operations in Australia and South Africa, and converts it into TiO2 pigment at seven pigment facilities in the United States, Australia, Brazil, the UK, France and Saudi Arabia. Its stated strategy is vertical integration, which could allow it to be as self-sufficient as possible and keep costs low. It serves approximately 1,200 TiO2 customers worldwide.

    The company is listed on the New York Stock Exchange and is registered under the laws of England and Wales. Mining also yields co-products such as zircon, high purity pig iron and monazite, a rare earth bearing mineral.

    During 2025 Tronox launched a cost improvement program and closed the Botlek and Fuzhou plants, which generated significant restructuring charges. The company continued to develop a rare earths position, but its progress depends on financing and on returns criteria.

    Segments

    TiO2

    TiO2 pigment is the main revenue source, at 2.3 billion USD in 2025, roughly three quarters of total sales. The pigment is used in paints, plastics and paper, and Tronox also produces ultrafine TiO2 for specialty NOx emission control applications.

    Zircon and other products

    Zircon, with revenue of 274 million USD in 2025, and other products such as pig iron and titanium tetrachloride, with 326 million USD, complete the portfolio. Zircon volumes grew in 2026 but average prices were lower, while pig iron sales rose in the second quarter.

    Market context

    The TiO2 market is driven by demand from paint, plastics and construction, and prices are volatile and influenced by Chinese production capacity. Chinese producers have expanded capacity and exports, which led to anti-dumping duties in the European Union, Brazil and Saudi Arabia, along with duties in the United States.

    Zircon depends on the ceramics and construction industries, and China accounts for a large share of demand. Rising Chinese zircon output from mineral sands could pressure prices outside China if domestic Chinese demand stays weak.

    Trends

    • Recovery in TiO2 volumestailwind

      TiO2 volumes rose 18% year on year in the second quarter of 2026, to the highest level since the second quarter of 2022, which suggests better demand across the industry.

    • Anti-dumping duties on Chinese importstailwind

      Duties imposed by the EU, Brazil, India and Saudi Arabia on Chinese TiO2 could support prices for producers outside China, if they remain in force.

    • Energy and raw material costsheadwind

      Rising energy costs, especially electricity in South Africa, and volatility in the Middle East increase production costs and could weigh on margins.

    • Price recovery against cost pressuremixed

      TiO2 and zircon prices rose sequentially in the second quarter of 2026, but higher input costs could partly offset the benefit of higher prices.

    Competitive position

    Tronox competes with large international pigment producers and smaller regional producers, and Chinese producers are the most important competitors through capacity and exports. In zircon, competition comes from many mining companies, and customers can switch easily to competing or substitute products.

    Tronox's advantage is vertical integration, which secures its own feedstock, but production costs and lower-priced exports have pressured margins. Competition turns on price, quality, logistics and reliability of supply.

    • Chinese TiO2 producers

      Main competitors through expanded capacity and lower-priced exports, which are the target of anti-dumping duties.

    • Large international pigment producers

      Global competitors in the TiO2 pigment industry, competing on quality, price and service for paint and plastics customers.

    • Zircon mining companies

      Several companies that mine mineral sands containing zircon, competing on price, quality and supply consistency.

    • Regional feedstock producers

      Smaller producers of feedstock and pigment that compete in regional or niche markets.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Tronox Holdings plc · 20 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Tronox Holdings plc · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Tronox Holdings plc · 06 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.