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olivLaw · US equity research

Vir Biotechnology, Inc. VIR

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · SIC 2836 · Vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

11.77USD+4.90% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Vir Biotechnology is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing medicines for serious viral infections and cancer, with a focus on hepatitis delta, a liver disease with no approved treatment in the US. On August 5, 2026, the company reported total revenue of 238.9 million USD in the second quarter, driven by the upfront payment from Astellas, while the ECLIPSE registrational studies are ongoing.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Vir Biotechnology, Inc. (VIR) stock was 11.77 USD (+4.90% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.0 bn USD, beta 1.63, 52-week range 5.12–11.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of -188.0 k USD (−178.3% YoY), net income of -96.3 m USD, diluted EPS -0.57 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.0 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.26 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-10.69%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.63
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
5.1211.93

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.86 – 12.11
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.85 · band width 20.5%
SMA 50 / 200
11.02 / 9.59
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.17 / 0.11
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−0.1%−1.1%+1.0 pp—
3 months+29.2%−0.5%+29.7 pp—
6 months+14.4%+4.4%+10.0 pp—
Year to date+95.2%+12.3%+82.9 pp—
1 year+124.2%+13.5%+110.6 pp+8.1%
3 years+34.4%+76.4%−42.1 pp+3.1%
5 years−62.3%+63.7%−126.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−25.6%
20 Apr 2026 → 10 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−92.1%
16 Dec 2021 → 11 Aug 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−17.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
-188.0 k USD
−178.3% YoY
Net income
-96.3 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.57
unavailable YoY
net / operating
51,197.9% / 55,669.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue12.4 m3.0 m1.2 m240.0 k64.1 m-29.0 k238.9 m-188.0 k
Cost of revenue684.0 k011.0 k———0—
Research & development106.1 m118.6 m97.5 m151.5 m88.3 m108.9 m135.3 m80.0 m
SG&A26.7 m23.9 m22.3 m22.2 m23.6 m23.3 m30.2 m24.4 m
Operating income-117.2 m-139.5 m-118.4 m-173.4 m-47.9 m-132.3 m73.5 m-104.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation2.9 m2.9 m2.9 m ≈3.0 m ≈2.9 m2.8 m2.8 m ≈2.8 m ≈
Pre-tax income-104.7 m-120.9 m-110.8 m-163.0 m-43.1 m-125.5 m80.3 m-96.4 m
Income tax-86.0 k16.0 k170.0 k168.0 k-137.0 k170.0 k179.0 k-143.0 k
Net income-104.6 m-121.0 m-111.0 m-163.1 m-42.9 m-125.7 m80.1 m-96.3 m
Diluted EPS-0.76 ≈-0.88-0.80-1.17-0.31 ≈-0.850.47-0.57
Operating cash flow-87.6 m-78.1 m-120.2 m ≈-167.6 m ≈-25.9 m-132.4 m123.3 m ≈-106.1 m ≈
Capex2.0 m1.6 m2.5 m ≈317.0 k ≈348.0 k390.0 k32.0 k ≈34.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue10.7 m8.1 m76.4 m1.1 bn1.6 bn86.2 m74.2 m68.6 m
Revenue YoY+293.9%−24.2%+843.9%+1,334.4%+47.5%−94.7%−13.9%−7.6%
Net income-115.9 m-174.7 m-298.7 m528.6 m515.8 m-615.1 m-522.0 m-438.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−2.4%−219.2%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-5.76-2.513.963.83-4.59-3.83-3.16
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−3.3%−219.8%unavailableunavailable
net %-1,086.3%-2,159.0%-391.1%48.3%31.9%-713.7%-703.4%-638.9%
Free cash flow-102.3 m-138.6 m-197.5 m-69.4 m1.6 bn-800.4 m-453.7 m-396.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
232.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
765.3 m USD
Total assets
1.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
5.54x
ROE
-45.7%
ROA
-36.5%
FCF margin
-578.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
86.2 m
2024
74.2 m
2025
68.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.8 m
2024
845.0 k
2025
26.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
83.4 m ≈
2024
73.4 m ≈
2025
68.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
579.7 m
2024
506.5 m
2025
456.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
174.4 m
2024
119.0 m
2025
92.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-684.3 m
2024
-587.2 m
2025
-479.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
19.5 m
2024
14.6 m
2025
11.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-664.9 m ≈
2024
-572.6 m ≈
2025
-467.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-628.2 m
2024
-523.1 m
2025
-437.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-13.1 m
2024
-1.1 m
2025
217.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-615.1 m
2024
-522.0 m
2025
-438.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-4.59
2024
-3.83
2025
-3.16

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
134.1 m
2024
136.2 m
2025
138.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
241.6 m
2024
222.9 m
2025
232.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Current assets
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
514.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
96.0 m
2024
63.2 m
2025
55.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
16.9 m
2024
16.9 m
2025
16.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
22.6 m
2024
8.1 m
2025
7.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
6.3 m
2024
5.1 m
2025
9.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
175.4 m
2024
119.7 m
2025
92.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
328.8 m
2024
248.4 m
2025
237.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
765.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-778.8 m
2024
-446.4 m
2025
-391.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
21.6 m
2024
7.3 m
2025
4.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-800.4 m ≈
2024
-453.7 m ≈
2025
-396.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
164.6 m
2024
499.4 m
2025
310.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
7.5 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-65.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
100.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
-66.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-69.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-61.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-46.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-21.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-17.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-20.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
6.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-141.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
804.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-141.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
221,081 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
6.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

11.77 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-21.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-61.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 1134derived 93

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-61.0%69 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-65.1%0 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet6.3x100 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-7.0%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial69/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Vir Biotechnology, Inc. (VIR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 68.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -7.6%; net margin -61.0%; ROE -21.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 6.3x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -65.1%
  • FCF yield: -7.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 27.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 18.0x
P/S
6.7x
vertical median 9.4x
below median (−29.2%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−25.5%)
ROE
-21.8%
vertical median -52.7%
above median
Net margin
-61.0%
vertical median -199.5%
above median
EBIT margin
-69.8%
vertical median -200.7%
above median
Revenue YoY
-7.6%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−289.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMGNAmgen Inc.258.8 bn27.778.4%24.1%+10.0%+39% / +77%
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.216.4 bn—-22.3%-12.5%+2.4%+39% / +128%
MRNAModerna, Inc.103.2 bn—-39.0%-141.4%−39.9%+895% / +233%
ARGXArgenx Se57.6 bn47.620.2%—+254.4%+2% / +107%
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.43.2 bn—-93.6%-946.8%unavailable+157% / +756%
BIIBBiogen Inc.37.6 bn108.81.9%3.4%+2.2%+40% / +9%
EXELExelixis, Inc.17.8 bn21.744.3%35.5%+7.0%+65% / +234%
TECHBio-Techne Corp11.4 bn62.79.0%15.0%−0.4%+13% / +16%
QGENQiagen N.V.11.0 bn26.211.6%20.3%+5.7%+6% / +20%
IBRXImmunitybio, Inc.9.5 bn——-598.6%+668.3%+278% / +143%
BEAMBeam Therapeutics Inc.2.9 bn—-11.3%-73.9%+120.0%+10% / −1%
RXRXRecursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.2.4 bn—-48.7%-697.1%+26.9%−16% / −43%
VIRVir Biotechnology, Inc.2.0 bn—-21.8%-61.0%−7.6%+124% / +34%
NVAXNovavax Inc1.8 bn——-59.9%+64.7%+51% / +94%
TSHATaysha Gene Therapies, Inc.1.4 bn—-47.1%-2,728.0%+17.3%−8% / +148%
INBXInhibrx Biosciences, Inc.1.3 bn—-1,773.6%—+550.0%+3% / unavailable
EVAXEvaxion A1.2 bn—-100.2%-102.4%+125.1%−50% / −93%
GLUEMonte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc.923.1 m—-42.7%-560.9%+63.5%−33% / +249%
PRMEPrime Medicine, Inc.901.4 m—-373.3%-4,056.4%+55.3%+30% / −32%
SLDBSolid Biosciences Inc.727.7 m—-76.9%—−40.6%+20% / +131%
CCCCC4 Therapeutics, Inc.383.8 m—-48.1%-289.4%+1.0%+15% / +91%
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics plc367.3 m—-133.0%-238.7%+644.9%−2% / −68%
AGENAgenus Inc313.8 m2.6—69.3%+10.4%+53% / −55%
SABSSab Biotherapeutics, Inc.289.3 m—-11.3%—−100.0%−19% / −67%
FATEFate Therapeutics Inc250.4 m—-60.7%-1,941.1%−51.2%+83% / −16%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VIR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    Vir Biotechnology is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing medicines for serious viral infections and cancer, with a focus on hepatitis delta, a liver disease with no approved treatment in the US. On August 5, 2026, the company reported total revenue of 238.9 million USD in the second quarter, driven by the upfront payment from Astellas, while the ECLIPSE registrational studies are ongoing.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Proprietary technology platforms and a portfolio with regulatory designations for chronic hepatitis delta.
    • Partnerships with large companies that bring funding and commercialization experience.
    • Phase 2 data with high rates of durable viral suppression.

    Weaknesses

    • The company reports net losses and has no significant revenue from approved products.
    • Dependence on the results of a small number of registrational studies raises risk.
    • Some agreements give up important rights over development and commercialization.

    Opportunities

    • Approval of the combination for hepatitis delta could set a new standard of treatment.
    • Expansion of the VIR-5500 program in prostate cancer could bring new collaborations.
    • Masking platforms could be applied to other oncology targets.

    Threats

    • Final study results could be weaker than the preliminary data.
    • Competitors could develop similar or more effective treatments.
    • Manufacturing difficulties or supply shortages could delay the launch.

    Risks

    • Additional fundinghigh

      The company could need extra capital before generating product revenue, which could dilute shareholders.

    • Uncertain registrational resultshigh

      If ECLIPSE does not confirm the benefit of the combination, development in CHD could be delayed or stopped.

    • Dependence on partnersmedium

      A breach or termination of license agreements could affect development.

    • Leadership changesmedium

      Departures from key roles, including the finance chief, could disrupt execution of the strategy.

    • Cybersecuritylow

      IT system failures or security breaches could interrupt development programs.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If ECLIPSE confirms the Phase 2 data, the combination could become a new standard for a disease with few good options.
    • The Astellas collaboration brings funding and commercial experience that could speed up the VIR-5500 program.
    • Proprietary discovery platforms could generate new candidates across several therapeutic areas.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company has no approved products, and net losses could continue until commercialization, if it occurs.
    • Second-quarter revenue came mostly from a one-time payment that may not recur.
    • Final study results could fail to confirm the preliminary data, and delays could raise costs.

    What to watch

    • ECLIPSE 1 topline resultsQ4 2026
    • ECLIPSE 2 and 3 topline resultsQ1 2027
    • Appointment of a new finance chiefnext quarterly report

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    Vir Biotechnology, Inc. describes itself as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that aims to 'power the immune system' to treat serious infections and cancer 1. Its main program targets chronic hepatitis delta, where the tobevibart and elebsiran combination is being tested in the ECLIPSE registrational studies; the company says there is no approved treatment for this disease in the US 1. Its proprietary dAIsY and PRO-XTEN platforms are used for antibody discovery and masked T-cell engagers 1.

    The financial picture is still one of development: the company reported a net loss of 438.0 million USD for 2025 and expects no significant product sales until regulatory approvals 1. In the second quarter of 2026, revenue and profit were supported by the Astellas payment, and the company says its cash could fund operations into the second half of 2028 3.

    The company is headquartered in San Francisco and works with contract manufacturers for clinical supply across three modalities: monoclonal antibodies, masked T-cell engagers and siRNA 1. Collaborations with Norgine, Brii Bio, Astellas and GSK define an important part of its business model 12.

    Segments

    Chronic hepatitis delta (CHD)

    The ECLIPSE program includes three randomized trials, and ECLIPSE 1 and 3 have completed enrollment; topline results for ECLIPSE 1 are expected in the fourth quarter of 2026 13.

    Solid tumors (T-cell engagers)

    VIR-5500, which targets PSMA, is being developed with Astellas for prostate cancer, with pivotal Phase 3 trials planned for 2027 23.

    Other programs

    The company is developing HIV cure candidates based on broadly neutralizing antibodies with Gates Foundation support, and has preclinical programs in solid tumors 1.

    Market context

    The World Health Organization estimates that 254 million people live with chronic hepatitis B, and current approved therapies have limited functional cure rates 1. For hepatitis delta, options are limited or unavailable in many regions, which creates an unmet need 1.

    The T-cell engager oncology market is competitive, but the need for new therapies remains high, and industry partnerships could influence the pace of development 12.

    Trends

    • Regulatory designations for CHDtailwind

      The combination has received Breakthrough Therapy and Fast Track designations from the FDA, and PRIME and orphan designations from the EMA, which could speed review if the data are favorable 1.

    • Durable Phase 2 resultsmixed

      Week 96 SOLSTICE data show sustained response, but the registrational studies are still ongoing and final results could differ 23.

    • Industry partnershipsmixed

      Agreements with Astellas and Norgine could fund development and commercialization, but they also give up some rights and future revenue 13.

    • Development cost pressureheadwind

      Manufacturing and clinical costs rise as the company prepares for launch, which could weigh on net results 3.

    Competitive position

    For hepatitis delta, bulevirtide is the reference therapy in several regions and is used as a comparator in the ECLIPSE studies 12. In oncology, the company competes with other T-cell engager platforms for solid tumors 1.

    Competition will depend on registrational data and the ability to secure reimbursement access, and the technological edge of PRO-XTEN masking could matter if results are confirmed 13.

    • Bulevirtide

      Therapy used as the reference treatment and comparator in the ECLIPSE studies for hepatitis delta 12.

    • Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY

      Licensor of elebsiran, with a profit-sharing option on this agent 23.

    • Astellas Pharma

      Partner in the VIR-5500 collaboration and holder of ex-US commercialization rights 13.

    • Norgine

      Partner holding exclusive commercial license for the CHD combination in Europe, Australia and New Zealand 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Vir Biotechnology, Inc. · 23 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Vir Biotechnology, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Vir Biotechnology, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.