Infers intent from observable activity patterns.
Purpose
When actors hide statements but cannot hide activity (financial transfers, logistics movements, procurements), ABI correlates seemingly disparate events to reconstruct intent.
Body
ABI rests on the principle that activity precedes declaration. Three pillars: (1) georeferencing — every event has a place and a time; (2) data integration — joining heterogeneous sources (customs, AIS for ships, ADS-B for aircraft, exchanges, corporate registries); (3) intent inference — a repeated pattern of costly activity implies an objective. olivLaw applies ABI to BVB + Eurostat + AIS-derived signals to detect supply-chain fragmentation.
Core concepts
- Behavioral anomalies
- Activity correlation
- Sequence analysis
- Pattern emergence
- Geo-temporal joining
Use cases
- Abnormal market behavior
- Logistics patterns
- Sanctions evasion
- Supply-chain shifts
- Corporate movements