olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ALNY

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

161.08USD+0.74% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on RNAi therapeutics, which reported its first profitable year in 2025 with total revenues of 3713.9 million USD. In the second quarter of 2026 product revenues reached 1172.1 million USD, but the company lowered its 2026 TTR guidance to 4200-4500 million USD, suggesting the ATTR-CM launch could progress more slowly than expected.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY) stock was 161.08 USD (+0.74% on the day), with market capitalisation 21.6 bn USD, P/E 69.1 on diluted EPS of 2.33 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.86, 52-week range 158.00–473.29 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.5 bn USD (+16.7% YoY), net income of 2.2 bn USD (+640.5% YoY), diluted EPS 15.72 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
21.6 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
69.1
Diluted EPS TTM 2.33 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
1.45%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.86
Volatility (1y) 58%
52-week range
158.00473.29

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
23.0
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
155.45 – 268.91
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.05 · band width 53.5%
SMA 50 / 200
231.83 / 282.50
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-18.73 / -11.43
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−26.7%−1.1%−25.6 pp—
3 months−29.6%−0.5%−29.1 pp—
6 months−46.8%+4.4%−51.2 pp—
Year to date−59.5%+12.3%−71.8 pp—
1 year−62.0%+13.5%−75.5 pp+25.9%
3 years−3.7%+76.4%−80.2 pp+82.1%
5 years−14.0%+63.7%−77.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−66.6%
03 Dec 2025 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−67.8%
20 Oct 2025 → 02 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.5 bn USD
+16.7% YoY
Net income
2.2 bn USD
+640.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
15.72
+634.6% YoY
net / operating
148.6% / 23.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue593.2 m594.2 m773.7 m1.2 bn1.1 bn—1.3 bn1.5 bn
Cost of revenue102.6 m70.2 m142.0 m197.2 m267.7 m—298.3 m361.8 m
Research & development300.2 m265.1 m323.6 m358.8 m372.2 m—413.1 m408.5 m
SG&A295.3 m239.9 m323.3 m322.1 m325.4 m—347.9 m342.0 m
Operating income-105.2 m18.1 m-16.2 m368.0 m131.7 m—231.4 m345.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation14.2 m14.4 m13.9 m ≈13.8 m ≈13.5 m——14.5 m ≈
Interest expense39.0 m58.3 m61.5 m67.5 m65.4 m—82.1 m84.4 m
Pre-tax income-194.0 m-2.4 m-41.3 m280.6 m86.3 m—177.8 m295.8 m
Income tax-110.2 m15.9 m30.9 m-12.1 m-25.3 m—13.3 m-1.9 bn
Net income-83.8 m-18.3 m-72.2 m292.7 m111.5 m206.0 m164.5 m2.2 bn
Diluted EPS-0.65 ≈-0.14-0.552.140.82 ≈—1.2115.72
Operating cash flow-94.7 m-118.3 m127.8 m ≈296.9 m ≈217.7 m——341.0 m ≈
Capex9.1 m9.0 m14.3 m ≈12.1 m ≈23.3 m——69.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 2-quarter history (min 175.3, median 372.2, max 569.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2018⚠ 2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue74.9 m219.8 m492.9 m844.3 m1.0 bn1.8 bn2.2 bn3.7 bn
Revenue YoY−16.7%—+124.3%+71.3%+22.9%+76.2%+23.0%+65.2%
Net income-761.5 m-886.1 m-858.3 m-852.8 m-1.1 bn-440.2 m-278.2 m313.7 m
Net income YoYunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-8.11-7.46-7.20-9.30-3.52-2.182.33
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-1,016.6%-403.2%-174.1%-101.0%-109.0%-24.1%-12.4%8.4%
Free cash flow-689.5 m-418.6 m-685.3 m-718.1 m-613.3 m41.9 m-42.6 m465.4 m

The series breaks before 2019: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.7 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
789.2 m USD
Total assets
5.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.76x
ROE
73.3%
ROA
6.8%
FCF margin
12.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
268.2 m
2024
306.5 m
2025
677.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.6 bn ≈
2024
1.9 bn ≈
2025
3.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
795.6 m
2024
975.5 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-282.2 m
2024
-176.9 m
2025
501.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
54.1 m
2024
56.7 m
2025
55.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-228.1 m ≈
2024
-120.2 m ≈
2025
557.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
121.2 m
2024
141.9 m
2025
252.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-433.5 m
2024
-377.4 m
2025
323.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
6.7 m
2024
-99.2 m
2025
9.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-440.2 m
2024
-278.2 m
2025
313.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-3.52
2024
-2.18
2025
2.33

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
124.9 m
2024
127.7 m
2025
134.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
812.7 m
2024
966.4 m
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
327.8 m
2024
405.3 m
2025
777.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
89.1 m
2024
78.5 m
2025
82.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
526.1 m
2024
502.8 m
2025
513.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
55.5 m
2024
88.4 m
2025
115.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
967.8 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
-220.6 m †
2024
67.1 m †
2025
789.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
104.2 m
2024
-8.3 m
2025
524.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
62.2 m
2024
34.3 m
2025
58.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
41.9 m ≈
2024
-42.6 m ≈
2025
465.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-336.4 m
2024
-116.8 m
2025
436.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
172.1 m
2024
294.2 m
2025
-305.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
65.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
53.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
49.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
77.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
19.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
52.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
126.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
955.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
149.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
806.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
30.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
92.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
29 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
63 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
21.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
26.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

161.08 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 21.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
21.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
126.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
52.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
65.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 1992derived 175

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
377.59
USD per share
Mid
576.55
USD per share
High
854.41
USD per share
Price: 161.08 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 257.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 72.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 377.59 – 854.41 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E377.59 – 854.41 (Mid 576.55)
    8 companies used · median multiple 29.1x · quartiles 19.1x – 43.2x
    ABT, BMY, PFE, REGN, RPRX, UTHR, VRTX, ZTS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality52.8%100 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality30.4%1 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth53.0%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.2x27 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8.1x100 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.7%47 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet56/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality50/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation76/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ALNYLAM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (ALNY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 65.2%; net margin 52.8%; ROE 126.6%.

The estimated value range is 377.59–854.41 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 576.55 USD, the price of 161.08 USD leaves a potential of 257.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 72.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 52.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 53.0%
  • Current ratio: 2.5x
  • P/E (TTM): 8.1x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 30.4%
  • Interest coverage: 3.2x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.8 bn and 243.3 bn (within 8× of the company's); 363 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8.1x
vertical median 35.3x
below median (−77.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 20.2x
P/S
4.3x
vertical median 4.1x
at median
P/B
6.0x
vertical median 5.6x
above median (+6.8%)
ROE
126.6%
vertical median 8.1%
above median (+1,468.2%)
Net margin
52.8%
vertical median 14.1%
above median (+274.5%)
EBIT margin
19.5%
vertical median 13.8%
above median (+41.5%)
Revenue YoY
65.2%
vertical median 3.3%
above median (+1,876.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ABTAbbott Laboratories200.1 bn43.09.2%9.7%+5.7%−10% / +11%
PFEPfizer Inc175.5 bn43.94.4%6.3%−1.6%+20% / +1%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc139.2 bn35.320.8%30.7%+8.9%+27% / +55%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company131.2 bn14.244.1%18.5%−0.2%+30% / +30%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited48.8 bn97.46.6%3.6%+4.3%+56% / +326%
ZTSZoetis Inc.36.9 bn14.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−30% / −50%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.27.6 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+84% / +300%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc26.2 bn47.76.9%25.7%+5.1%+69% / +150%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.9 bn23.019.1%38.6%+10.6%+25% / +154%
INSMInsmed Inc24.1 bn—-72.5%-39.9%+66.7%−47% / +340%
VTRSViatris Inc.22.1 bn—-23.6%-23.9%−3.0%+80% / +109%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.6 bn8.1126.6%52.8%+65.2%−62% / −4%
REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.—20.614.9%28.5%+1.0%+19% / +13%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ALNY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
105.26
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
185.24
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
277.86
Total return 73% · Per year 73%
3 years
124.86
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
244.98
Total return 52% · Per year 15%
400.12
Total return 148% · Per year 35%
5 years
148.10
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
323.99
Total return 101% · Per year 15%
576.18
Total return 258% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 61.25
  • Net margin± 42.87
  • Annual revenue growth± 31.97
  • Annual dilution± 3.60

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a global commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on RNAi therapeutics, which reported its first profitable year in 2025 with total revenues of 3713.9 million USD 1. In the second quarter of 2026 product revenues reached 1172.1 million USD 3, but the company lowered its 2026 TTR guidance to 4200-4500 million USD 3, suggesting the ATTR-CM launch could progress more slowly than expected.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company became profitable in 2025 and has six approved RNAi medicines, giving it a solid financial and technological base 1.
  • The TTR franchise holds a leading position with AMVUTTRA approved for the full spectrum of the disease, and sales have grown quickly in recent quarters 3.
  • GalNAc, LNP and C16 delivery platforms allow targeting of the liver, central nervous system and other tissues 1.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on a single major product is significant, since a large share of revenues comes from AMVUTTRA 1.
  • The company has incurred substantial cumulative losses since its founding and may not sustain profitability 1.
  • Cost of goods sold rises with royalties paid to Sanofi, which could reduce margins 1.

Opportunities

  • If the ATTR-CM launch continues, the company could significantly expand the patient base it treats 3.
  • Phase 3 studies of nucresiran and zilebesiran could open new therapeutic markets if results are favorable 2.
  • AI partnerships and expansion in China could accelerate molecule discovery and access to new markets 3.

Threats

  • The emergence of competing therapies or generic versions could reduce AMVUTTRA's market share 1.
  • Price controls and reimbursement rules could reduce the net price obtained 1.
  • Failure of a development stage or delayed approvals could affect long-term plans 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on AMVUTTRAhigh

    If AMVUTTRA revenues do not sustain or grow, the business could be significantly affected 1.

  • Reduced TTR guidancehigh

    The reduction of 2026 guidance shows the launch pace may be slower than expected 3.

  • Pricing and reimbursement pressuremedium

    Price control measures in the US and other countries could reduce net prices and patient access 1.

  • Indebtedness and convertible notesmedium

    The convertible notes and any cash settlement of conversions could affect liquidity 1.

  • Clinical development riskmedium

    Early-stage and Phase 3 programs may fail or be delayed, postponing future launches 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rapid TTR sales growth in recent quarters shows solid demand for AMVUTTRA, and if the trend continues the company could reach its 2030 strategy targets 3.
  • Profitability achieved in 2025 and revenues from collaborations and royalties provide a more stable financial base than before 1.
  • A portfolio of Phase 2 and Phase 3 programs, including hypertension and next-generation ATTR, could extend activity beyond TTR 2.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on one product and the reduced 2026 guidance could signal a slowdown in growth 3.
  • Rising royalties to Sanofi could limit margin improvement, especially if AMVUTTRA sales grow faster than expected 1.
  • Competition and price pressure could reduce market share or revenue per patient in the coming years 1.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and the 2026 TTR guidanceQ3 2026
  • FDA decision on cemdisiran in generalized myasthenia gravisNovember 2026
  • Phase 1 results of ALN-HTT02 in Huntington's diseaseOctober 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

Alnylam develops medicines based on RNA interference (RNAi), which silence messenger RNA implicated in disease and prevent the corresponding protein from being made. The company has obtained approval for six such medicines, including AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, OXLUMO, Leqvio and Qfitlia, two of which are commercialized by partners 1. The Alnylam 2030 strategy aims to grow total revenues at a compound annual rate above 25 percent through year-end 2030 and reach a non-GAAP operating margin of about 30 percent 1.

The cost structure is shaped by royalties paid to Sanofi on AMVUTTRA sales, which rise as sales grow 1. Cost of goods sold was 22.7 percent of product revenues in 2025 1, and the company expects this ratio to increase in 2026 as AMVUTTRA sales advance 1.

Market context

Alnylam's core market is TTR amyloidosis, where AMVUTTRA is presented as the only product approved for the full spectrum of the disease 3. The company notes that after the initial phase of the ATTR-CM launch, growth in second-line volume has normalized as pent-up demand was satisfied 3.

Over the longer term the company is pursuing zilebesiran for hypertension and nucresiran for ATTR, with an ATTR-CM launch targeted by 2030 if data and approval are favorable 2. These programs depend on the outcomes of ongoing Phase 3 trials.

Trends

  • Growing demand in ATTR-CMtailwind

    Demand for AMVUTTRA in cardiomyopathy grew quickly after the March 2025 approval 13. If diagnosis and treatment of ATTR-CM keep expanding, this demand could support revenues.

  • Normalization of second-line growthheadwind

    The company lowered its 2026 TTR guidance and explained that part of the pent-up patient demand has been satisfied 3. Growth could slow as a result.

  • Sanofi royalty pressureheadwind

    Royalties paid to Sanofi rise in tiers as AMVUTTRA sales advance 1. Higher sales could therefore compress product gross margin.

  • International expansion and regional partnershipsmixed

    New launches such as Spain and the BeOne partnership for China extend access to AMVUTTRA 3. The effect depends on regulatory approvals and reimbursement conditions in each country.

Competitive position

The company states that the pharmaceutical market is intensely competitive and that existing therapies, including generic versions, could affect AMVUTTRA sales 1. Competitors may develop similar platforms or emerging technologies 1.

In TTR amyloidosis Alnylam differentiates itself with AMVUTTRA approved for both polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy 3. Direct competition from other ATTR-CM therapies is cited as a factor that could influence future growth 1.

  • Other therapies for ATTR-CM and hATTR-PN

    The sources mention competing therapies, including generic versions, without naming them.

  • Sanofi (Genzyme), partner and licensor

    Sanofi commercializes Qfitlia and receives royalties on AMVUTTRA sales, and is also a relevant player in hemophilia.

  • Novartis, partner for Leqvio

    Novartis commercializes Leqvio, a product that generates royalties for Alnylam.

  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

    Regeneron develops cemdisiran together with Alnylam and is a potential competitor in complement-mediated diseases.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 23 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.