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olivLaw · US equity research

PFE PFE

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

30.79USD+2.63% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Pfizer is a research-based global biopharmaceutical company with total revenues of 62.6 billion USD in fiscal 2025. In the first six months of 2026, revenues rose 4% to 29.5 billion USD, and full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to a range of 60.5 to 62.5 billion USD. Patent and exclusivity expiries, with generic competition, could significantly reduce revenues from 2026 through 2030.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, PFE (PFE) stock was 30.79 USD (+2.63% on the day), with market capitalisation 175.5 bn USD, P/E 43.9 on diluted EPS of 0.70 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 5.59%, beta 0.38, 52-week range 23.67–30.79 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 16.6 bn USD (−0.4% YoY), net income of 3.2 bn USD (−8.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.56 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
175.5 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
43.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.70 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.28%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.59%
DPS 12m 1.72
Beta (2y)
0.38
Volatility (1y) 22%
52-week range
23.6730.79

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
27.98 – 31.21
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 10.9%
SMA 50 / 200
28.68 / 26.87
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.58 / 0.54
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.3%−5.9%+18.3 pp—
3 months+19.3%−4.6%+23.9 pp—
6 months+16.1%+0.2%+15.8 pp—
Year to date+23.7%+7.4%+16.2 pp—
1 year+26.7%+8.2%+18.5 pp+29.5%
3 years−1.5%+68.4%−69.9 pp+78.7%
5 years−36.7%+56.5%−93.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−17.1%
01 Apr 2026 → 25 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−64.8%
16 Dec 2021 → 10 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.7%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
16.6 bn USD
−0.4% YoY
Net income
3.2 bn USD
−8.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.56
−9.7% YoY
net / operating
19.6% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue17.8 bn13.7 bn14.7 bn16.7 bn17.6 bn14.5 bn15.0 bn16.6 bn
Cost of revenue5.9 bn2.8 bn3.8 bn4.2 bn5.3 bn3.5 bn4.1 bn4.0 bn
SG&A4.3 bn3.0 bn3.4 bn3.2 bn4.2 bn3.0 bn3.4 bn3.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation1.8 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn
Interest expense739.0 m654.0 m654.0 m652.0 m711.0 m668.0 m667.0 m662.0 m
Pre-tax income-10.0 m2.8 bn3.0 bn3.3 bn-1.6 bn3.2 bn-653.0 m3.4 bn
Income tax-421.0 m-189.0 m141.0 m-216.0 m-2.0 m461.0 m-407.0 m134.0 m
Net income410.0 m3.0 bn2.9 bn3.5 bn-1.6 bn2.7 bn-248.0 m3.2 bn
Diluted EPS0.07 ≈0.520.510.62-0.29 ≈0.47-0.040.56
Operating cash flow6.7 bn2.3 bn-582.0 m ≈4.6 bn ≈5.3 bn2.6 bn835.0 m ≈5.4 bn ≈
Capex917.0 m564.0 m618.0 m ≈602.0 m ≈845.0 m436.0 m533.0 m ≈573.0 m ≈
Dividends paid2.4 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn ≈2.4 bn ≈2.4 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn ≈2.5 bn ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 98 percentile of its own 42-quarter history (min 8.0, median 18.3, max 78.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue40.8 bn40.9 bn41.7 bn81.3 bn101.2 bn59.6 bn63.6 bn62.6 bn
Revenue YoY−22.3%+0.2%+1.8%+95.2%+24.5%−41.1%+6.8%−1.6%
Net income11.2 bn16.0 bn9.2 bn22.0 bn31.4 bn2.1 bn8.0 bn7.8 bn
Net income YoY−47.7%+43.7%−42.8%+140.0%+42.7%−93.2%+279.0%−3.2%
Diluted EPS1.872.821.633.855.470.371.411.36
Diluted EPS YoY−46.9%+50.8%−42.2%+136.2%+42.1%−93.2%+281.1%−3.5%
net %27.3%39.2%22.0%27.0%31.0%3.6%12.6%12.4%
Free cash flow13.8 bn10.5 bn12.2 bn29.9 bn26.0 bn4.8 bn9.8 bn9.1 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
64.8 bn USD
Net debt
63.7 bn USD
Equity
86.8 bn USD
Total assets
208.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.75x
Current ratio
1.16x
ROE
8.9%
ROA
3.7%
FCF margin
14.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
59.6 bn
2024
63.6 bn
2025
62.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
25.0 bn
2024
17.9 bn
2025
16.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
34.6 bn ≈
2024
45.8 bn ≈
2025
46.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
14.8 bn
2024
14.7 bn
2025
13.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
6.3 bn
2024
7.0 bn
2025
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
2.2 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-28.0 m
2025
-266.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.1 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
7.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.37
2024
1.41
2025
1.36

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
5.7 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.65
2024
1.69
2025
1.72

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.9 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
11.6 bn
2024
11.5 bn
2025
11.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
10.2 bn
2024
10.9 bn
2025
10.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
43.3 bn
2024
50.4 bn
2025
42.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
18.9 bn
2024
18.4 bn
2025
19.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
67.8 bn
2024
68.5 bn
2025
71.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
64.9 bn
2024
55.4 bn
2025
53.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
226.5 bn
2024
213.4 bn
2025
208.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
6.7 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
10.4 bn
2024
6.9 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
61.5 bn
2024
57.4 bn
2025
61.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
47.8 bn
2024
43.0 bn
2025
37.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
137.2 bn
2024
124.9 bn
2025
121.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
89.3 bn
2024
88.5 bn
2025
86.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
8.7 bn
2024
12.7 bn
2025
11.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
3.9 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
4.8 bn ≈
2024
9.8 bn ≈
2025
9.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-32.3 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
-1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
26.1 bn
2024
-17.1 bn
2025
-10.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
9.2 bn
2024
9.5 bn
2025
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-37.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-37.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
73.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
245.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
83.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
60.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
14.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
11.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
292.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
82 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
232 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
98 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
215 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
175.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
236.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
43.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
43.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
14.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 45 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

30.79 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 175.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
175.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
43.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2953derived 241

Score by group

  • Growth0
  • Returns69
  • Balance sheet52
  • Valuation61
  • Quality60

Estimated value range

Low
19.27
USD per share
Mid
25.93
USD per share
High
31.24
USD per share
Price: 30.79 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -15.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -18.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 12.37 – 37.94 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)19.27 – 37.94 (Mid 26.23)
    WACC 8.4% · starting FCFF 14.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -0.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E12.37 – 31.24 (Mid 24.80)
    11 companies used · median multiple 35.3x · quartiles 17.6x – 44.5x
    ABBV, ABT, ALNY, BMY, JNJ, LLY, REGN, RPRX, UTHR, VRTX, ZTS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)22.60 – 30.40 (Mid 25.93)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 45/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality6.3%20 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality292.2%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-14.8%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-37.1%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x52 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation43.9x43 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation6.7%84 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.6%80 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns83.1%53 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial52/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality60/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns69/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation61/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

PFIZER INC (PFE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 62.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.6%; net margin 6.3%; ROE 4.4%.

The estimated value range is 19.27–31.24 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 25.93 USD, the price of 30.79 USD leaves a potential of -15.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -18.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 45/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 292.2%
  • FCF yield: 6.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.6%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 6.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -14.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -37.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 21.7 bn and 1,387.1 bn (within 8× of the company's); 360 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
43.9x
vertical median 42.4x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 30.5x
P/S
2.8x
vertical median 7.3x
below median (−62.2%)
P/B
2.0x
vertical median 6.5x
below median (−69.8%)
ROE
4.4%
vertical median 17.0%
below median (−74.0%)
Net margin
6.3%
vertical median 18.5%
below median (−65.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 24.1%
Revenue YoY
-1.6%
vertical median 5.7%
below median (−129.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
5.6%
vertical median 2.0%
above median (+173.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,334.0 bn46.086.1%31.9%+44.7%+32% / +140%
JNJJohnson & Johnson665.2 bn41.920.0%16.2%+6.0%+34% / +79%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.558.4 bn869.914.7%10.7%+40.2%+11% / +102%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.521.1 bn50.7—15.7%+8.6%+29% / +107%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.370.7 bn154.75.1%3.6%+1.3%+43% / +47%
ABTAbbott Laboratories200.1 bn43.09.2%9.7%+5.7%−10% / +11%
PFEPfizer Inc175.5 bn43.94.4%6.3%−1.6%+27% / −2%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc139.2 bn35.320.8%30.7%+8.9%+27% / +55%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company131.2 bn14.244.1%18.5%−0.2%+30% / +30%
TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited48.8 bn97.46.6%3.6%+4.3%+56% / +326%
ZTSZoetis Inc.36.9 bn14.764.4%27.5%+2.3%−30% / −50%
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.27.6 bn—-6.2%-3,535.0%−71.6%+84% / +300%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc26.2 bn47.76.9%25.7%+5.1%+69% / +150%
UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation25.9 bn23.019.1%38.6%+10.6%+25% / +154%
ALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.21.6 bn8.1126.6%52.8%+65.2%−64% / −4%
REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.—20.614.9%28.5%+1.0%+19% / +13%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PFE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
16.59
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
29.48
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
44.61
Total return 48% · Per year 48%
3 years
13.18
Total return -53% · Per year -22%
26.61
Total return -7% · Per year -3%
44.61
Total return 53% · Per year 15%
5 years
10.46
Total return -59% · Per year -17%
24.01
Total return -12% · Per year -3%
44.61
Total return 58% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.65
  • Net margin± 4.66
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.21
  • Annual dilution± 0.39

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Pfizer is a research-based global biopharmaceutical company with total revenues of 62.6 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the first six months of 2026, revenues rose 4% to 29.5 billion USD 2, and full-year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to a range of 60.5 to 62.5 billion USD 3. Patent and exclusivity expiries, with generic competition, could significantly reduce revenues from 2026 through 2030 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A diverse portfolio of high-revenue products, including oncology treatments and vaccines, supports revenues 13.
  • Global presence in about 200 countries and territories with a broad revenue base outside the U.S. 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue concentration in a small number of products makes the company vulnerable to exclusivity losses and competitive pressure 1.
  • Significant intangible asset impairments and a net loss were reported in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting risks in recent acquisitions 3.

Opportunities

  • Pipeline development in oncology and obesity could create new revenue sources if programs reach clinical goals 13.
  • Productivity programs and AI adoption could lower costs and support long-term margins 12.
  • Licensing partnerships with Chinese companies could speed access to new molecules 2.

Threats

  • Patent expiries and generic competition could significantly reduce revenues in the coming period 12.
  • Pressure from payers and pharmacy benefit managers could lower U.S. prices 1.
  • Government regulation and agreements with the U.S. administration could change market conditions 1.

Risks

  • Product concentrationhigh

    A small number of products generate a major share of revenues, and loss of exclusivity or safety issues could have a significant impact 1.

  • Patent expirieshigh

    Loss of patent protection between 2026 and 2030 could significantly reduce revenues, and legal challenges could accelerate losses 12.

  • Asset impairmentsmedium

    Intangible asset impairments produced reported losses in the second quarter of 2026, and further impairments could follow if product expectations change 3.

  • U.S. pricing pressuremedium

    Pharmacy benefit managers and government policy could push prices lower, and voluntary agreements could reduce margins 1.

  • Research and developmentmedium

    Clinical trial outcomes are uncertain, and development setbacks could affect long-term growth 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth in launched and acquired products and raised revenue guidance could indicate solid commercial execution 3.
  • An extensive pipeline in oncology and obesity could produce new products if clinical results are favorable 13.
  • Cost reduction programs could support profitability during a period of changing revenues 23.

What would break the thesis

  • Patent expiries could reduce revenues faster than expected, especially if accelerating generic competition is confirmed 12.
  • Pressure from payers and U.S. regulation could limit margins and price increases 1.
  • Losses and asset impairments in the second quarter of 2026 could point to problems in recent acquisitions 3.

What to watch

  • Delivery of 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS guidanceQ3 2026
  • Results of key pipeline studies expected over the next 12 months2027
  • Realization of savings from productivity and manufacturing optimization programs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Pfizer Inc. is a research-based global biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, manufactures, markets and distributes medicines and vaccines, incorporated in Delaware in 1942 1. Its commercial activity is organized into the Biopharma segment, the only reportable one, alongside PC1, a contract development and manufacturing organization and supplier of specialty active pharmaceutical ingredients 12. Products are supplied to about 200 countries and territories, and revenues from outside the U.S. were 41% of total revenues in 2025 1.

Priorities for 2026 are maximizing the value of key transactions, delivering critical R&D milestones, investing to maximize growth after 2028 and scaling AI across the business 1. Pfizer builds its portfolio through acquisitions, such as Metsera in November 2025, and through licensing with Chinese partners, including an agreement with Innovent in May 2026 12.

The company has announced cost programs, including the realigning cost base program and the manufacturing optimization program, aiming for additional savings realized between 2027 and 2029 23. Pfizer Ignite, a service offering for biotech companies, is being wound down 1.

Segments

PC1

PC1 is the company's contract development and manufacturing organization and an important supplier of specialty active pharmaceutical ingredients 1. From 2026 PC1 is one of two operating segments alongside Biopharma, but it is not a reportable segment 2.

Market context

The U.S. pharmaceutical market is the largest for biopharmaceutical products, and managed care organizations and pharmacy benefit managers exert growing pressure on prices 1. Revenues from outside the U.S. were 41% of the total in 2025, with China the largest external market at 5% of revenues 1.

Revenue growth depends on a concentrated portfolio in which 12 products each earn over one billion USD and together make up 65% of the total in 2025 1. Loss of patent protection or regulatory exclusivity could significantly reduce revenues 1.

Trends

  • Patent expiriesheadwind

    Loss of exclusivity across several products, including through generic and biosimilar competition, could reduce revenues from 2026 through 2030 12. The estimated 2026 impact was revised to about 1.1 billion USD 2.

  • Growth in launched and acquired productstailwind

    Revenues from launched and acquired products grew 18% operationally in the second quarter of 2026, supported by Eliquis, Padcev and Lorbrena 3. If this trend holds, it could partly offset losses from patent expiries 3.

  • U.S. pricing pressuremixed

    The voluntary agreement with the U.S. administration from September 2025 and payer pressure could lower U.S. prices, although a tariff grace period applies if U.S. manufacturing investment continues 1. The effect on revenues could be mixed 1.

Competitive position

Pfizer competes with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies developing similar therapies, and with generic and biosimilar manufacturers, including from China 1. Competition is intense in oncology and obesity, areas where the company has expanded through acquisitions 1.

Competitive pressure shows up as lower prices, rebates and exclusionary contracts, and vaccine discounts are rising 1. Consolidation of pharmacy chains and wholesalers adds pressure on prices 1.

  • Bristol-Myers SquibbBMY

    partner on Eliquis, a major revenue product, and also a competitor in certain therapies 1.

  • MerckMRK

    competitor in oncology and vaccines, with products in similar therapeutic areas 1.

  • Innovent Biologics

    Chinese biopharmaceutical company, licensing and co-development partner in oncology and also a potential competitor 2.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / PFE · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / PFE · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / PFE · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.