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olivLaw · US equity research

Johnson & Johnson JNJ

Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 · Vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

276.32USD+3.81% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Johnson & Johnson is a healthcare group with two segments, Innovative Medicine and MedTech, aiming for long-term growth through new products in oncology and immunology. Worldwide sales reached 94.2 billion USD in 2025, and the company raised its 2026 guidance.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock was 276.32 USD (+3.81% on the day), with market capitalisation 665.2 bn USD, P/E 41.9 on diluted EPS of 6.59 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.91%, beta -0.02, 52-week range 186.00–278.43 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 25.4 bn USD (+5.9% YoY), net income of 210.0 m USD (−95.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
665.2 bn USD
shares as of 15 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.9
Diluted EPS TTM 6.59 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.39%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.91%
DPS 12m 5.28
Beta (2y)
-0.02
Volatility (1y) 21%
52-week range
186.00278.43

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.7
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
247.41 – 278.88
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.92 · band width 12.0%
SMA 50 / 200
265.53 / 247.77
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.76 / 1.24
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.2%−1.1%+10.3 pp—
3 months+7.3%−0.5%+7.7 pp—
6 months+23.0%+4.4%+18.6 pp—
Year to date+33.5%+12.3%+21.2 pp—
1 year+47.9%+13.5%+34.3 pp+28.1%
3 years+82.6%+76.4%+6.2 pp+50.7%
5 years+69.1%+63.7%+5.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−11.0%
02 Mar 2026 → 08 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−23.6%
25 Apr 2022 → 10 Jan 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
25.4 bn USD
+5.9% YoY
Net income
210.0 m USD
−95.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
−95.8% YoY
net / operating
0.8% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue22.5 bn21.9 bn23.7 bn24.0 bn24.6 bn24.1 bn25.3 bn25.4 bn
Cost of revenue7.1 bn7.4 bn7.6 bn7.3 bn8.0 bn8.1 bn8.1 bn8.1 bn
Gross profit15.4 bn14.5 bn16.1 bn16.7 bn16.6 bn16.0 bn17.3 bn17.3 bn
SG&A6.5 bn5.1 bn5.9 bn5.9 bn6.8 bn6.0 bn6.4 bn6.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation1.9 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn ≈1.8 bn ≈2.0 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn ≈2.1 bn ≈
Interest expense137.0 m204.0 m308.0 m245.0 m214.0 m272.0 m281.0 m217.0 m
Pre-tax income3.9 bn13.6 bn6.5 bn7.5 bn5.0 bn6.0 bn6.7 bn34.0 m
Income tax456.0 m2.6 bn954.0 m2.3 bn-150.0 m755.0 m1.2 bn-176.0 m
Net income3.4 bn11.0 bn5.5 bn5.2 bn5.1 bn5.2 bn5.5 bn210.0 m
Diluted EPS1.41 ≈4.542.292.122.09 ≈2.142.270.09
Operating cash flow7.0 bn4.2 bn3.9 bn ≈9.2 bn ≈7.3 bn2.5 bn8.6 bn ≈7.7 bn ≈
Capex1.6 bn795.0 m1.0 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈1.8 bn1.0 bn1.3 bn ≈1.4 bn ≈
Dividends paid3.0 bn3.0 bn3.1 bn ≈3.1 bn ≈3.1 bn3.1 bn3.2 bn ≈3.2 bn ≈
Share repurchases282.0 m2.1 bn0 ≈1.9 bn ≈1.9 bn4.0 bn221.0 m ≈1.7 bn ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 88 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 9.6, median 24.7, max 358.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920212022202320242025
Revenue76.5 bn81.6 bn82.1 bn82.6 bn78.7 bn85.2 bn88.8 bn94.2 bn
Revenue YoY+9.1%+6.7%+0.6%unavailable−4.7%+8.2%+4.3%+6.0%
Net income1.3 bn15.3 bn15.1 bn14.7 bn20.9 bn35.2 bn14.1 bn26.8 bn
Net income YoY−91.6%+1,076.7%−1.2%unavailable+41.9%+68.4%−60.0%+90.6%
Diluted EPS0.475.615.635.517.8113.725.7911.03
Diluted EPS YoY−91.4%+1,093.6%+0.4%unavailable+41.7%+75.7%−57.8%+90.5%
net %1.7%18.8%18.4%17.8%26.5%41.3%15.8%28.5%
Free cash flow17.8 bn18.5 bn19.9 bn20.2 bn19.8 bn18.2 bn19.8 bn19.7 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
19.7 bn USD
Financial debt
47.9 bn USD
Net debt
28.2 bn USD
Equity
81.5 bn USD
Total assets
199.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.59x
Current ratio
1.03x
ROE
35.0%
ROA
14.1%
FCF margin
20.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
85.2 bn
2024
88.8 bn
2025
94.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
26.6 bn
2024
27.5 bn
2025
30.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
58.6 bn
2024
61.4 bn
2025
63.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
483.0 m
2024
1.8 bn
2025
109.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
21.5 bn
2024
22.9 bn
2025
23.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
7.5 bn
2024
7.3 bn
2025
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
772.0 m
2024
755.0 m
2025
971.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
15.1 bn
2024
16.7 bn
2025
32.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.7 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
35.2 bn
2024
14.1 bn
2025
26.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
13.72
2024
5.79
2025
11.03

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
4.70
2024
4.91
2025
5.14

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
21.9 bn
2024
24.1 bn
2025
19.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
14.9 bn
2024
14.8 bn
2025
17.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
11.2 bn
2024
12.4 bn
2025
14.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
53.5 bn
2024
55.9 bn
2025
55.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
19.9 bn
2024
20.5 bn
2025
23.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
36.6 bn
2024
44.2 bn
2025
48.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
34.2 bn
2024
37.6 bn
2025
50.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
167.6 bn
2024
180.1 bn
2025
199.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
9.6 bn
2024
10.3 bn
2025
12.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
3.5 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
25.9 bn
2024
30.7 bn
2025
39.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
46.3 bn
2024
50.3 bn
2025
54.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
98.8 bn
2024
108.6 bn
2025
117.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
68.8 bn
2024
71.5 bn
2025
81.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
22.8 bn
2024
24.3 bn
2025
24.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
4.5 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
18.2 bn ≈
2024
19.8 bn ≈
2025
19.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
878.0 m
2024
-18.6 bn
2025
-23.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-15.8 bn
2024
-3.1 bn
2025
-5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
11.8 bn
2024
11.8 bn
2025
12.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
5.1 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
90.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
90.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
67.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
16.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
20.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
80.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
61.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
27.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
26.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
5.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
20.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
127.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
167 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
107 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
127 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
665.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
692.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
41.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
8.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
6.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
7.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
32.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 63 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

276.32 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 665.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
665.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
8.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
16.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 21 Oct 2026
verified 3152derived 189

Score by group

  • Balance sheet18
  • Valuation59
  • Quality81
  • Growth66
  • Returns60

Estimated value range

Low
113.71
USD per share
Mid
140.03
USD per share
High
181.81
USD per share
Price: 276.32 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -49.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -97.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 67.54 – 303.47 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)113.71 – 181.81 (Mid 140.03)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 21.5 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 37.6%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E283.36 – 303.47 (Mid 289.23)
    5 companies used · median multiple 43.9x · quartiles 43.0x – 46.0x
    ABBV, ABT, LLY, PFE, VRTX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)67.54 – 90.84 (Mid 77.48)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 63/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality16.2%63 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality127.9%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.2%51 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth12.2%81 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x18 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation41.9x75 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.1%39 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.1%44 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns61.8%83 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial18/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality81/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns60/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation59/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 94.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 6.0%; net margin 16.2%; ROE 20.0%.

The estimated value range is 113.71–181.81 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 140.03 USD, the price of 276.32 USD leaves a potential of -49.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -97.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 63/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 127.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 12.2%
  • P/E (TTM): 41.9x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 61.8%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.0x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Pharmaceutical Preparations (SIC 2834) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 80.5 bn and 5,153.8 bn (within 8× of the company's); 367 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
41.9x
vertical median 44.9x
below median (−6.8%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
6.7x
vertical median 6.7x
at median
P/B
8.2x
vertical median 6.7x
above median (+22.5%)
ROE
20.0%
vertical median 14.7%
above median (+36.5%)
Net margin
16.2%
vertical median 13.2%
above median (+22.9%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 23.6%
Revenue YoY
6.0%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−15.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
1.9%
vertical median 2.3%
below median (−17.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LLYEli Lilly And Company1,334.0 bn46.086.1%31.9%+44.7%+32% / +140%
JNJJohnson & Johnson665.2 bn41.920.0%16.2%+6.0%+48% / +83%
ONCBeone Medicines Ltd.558.4 bn869.914.7%10.7%+40.2%+11% / +102%
ABBVAbbVie Inc.521.1 bn50.7—15.7%+8.6%+29% / +107%
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.370.7 bn154.75.1%3.6%+1.3%+43% / +47%
ABTAbbott Laboratories200.1 bn43.09.2%9.7%+5.7%−10% / +11%
PFEPfizer Inc175.5 bn43.94.4%6.3%−1.6%+20% / +1%
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Inc139.2 bn35.320.8%30.7%+8.9%+27% / +55%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company131.2 bn14.244.1%18.5%−0.2%+30% / +30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for JNJ from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
168.36
Total return -38% · Per year -38%
297.42
Total return 10% · Per year 10%
447.67
Total return 64% · Per year 64%
3 years
168.88
Total return -34% · Per year -13%
335.16
Total return 28% · Per year 9%
553.12
Total return 108% · Per year 28%
5 years
169.40
Total return -31% · Per year -7%
377.68
Total return 48% · Per year 8%
683.41
Total return 163% · Per year 21%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 83.79
  • Net margin± 58.65
  • Annual revenue growth± 47.39
  • Annual dilution± 4.93

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Johnson & Johnson is a healthcare group with two segments, Innovative Medicine and MedTech, aiming for long-term growth through new products in oncology and immunology. Worldwide sales reached 94.2 billion USD in 2025 1, and the company raised its 2026 guidance 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a diversified portfolio in pharmaceuticals and medical technology, with operations across virtually all countries 1.
  • Heavy research investment and a broad patent base support the launch of new products 1.
  • Rapid growth in oncology products has partly offset declines in mature products 12.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a few large products, such as DARZALEX and STELARA, makes revenue sensitive to developments affecting them 1.
  • The company faces numerous lawsuits, including talc-based powder claims, which can result in significant expenses 13.
  • The company does not buy third-party product liability insurance and instead uses a captive insurer subject to limits 1.

Opportunities

  • Recent launches in oncology and neuroscience could open new markets if clinical adoption grows 23.
  • Separating the orthopaedics business could unlock value if the new structure proves effective 1.
  • Recent acquisitions and collaborations, such as Firefly Bio and Sail Biomedicines, could extend the portfolio in cell therapies 3.

Threats

  • Biosimilars and generics could significantly reduce sales of mature products if they gain market share 1.
  • Pricing regulation in the U.S. and Europe, including the Inflation Reduction Act, could pressure margins 1.
  • Manufacturing risks, supply chain disruption and counterfeit medicines could affect sales and reputation 1.

Risks

  • Talc litigationhigh

    The company is a defendant in numerous lawsuits over talc-based powder, and large payments or higher accruals could affect results 13.

  • Loss of product exclusivityhigh

    Loss of exclusivity can lead to rapid sales declines once generics or biosimilars enter the market 1.

  • Pricing pressuremedium

    Reforms in the U.S. and regulation in Europe, Japan and China could limit prices and market access 1.

  • Manufacturing interruptionsmedium

    The company runs many manufacturing sites and relies on third-party suppliers, and interruptions could cause product shortages 1.

  • Regulation and compliancemedium

    Growing regulatory requirements could delay approvals and lead to penalties 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If new oncology and neuroscience products keep gaining share, growth could offset the decline of STELARA 12.
  • Guidance for 2026 was raised, suggesting operational execution could be stronger than expected 3.
  • Innovation in MedTech, including the OTTAVA robotic system, could open a new phase of growth 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If biosimilars expand quickly into SIMPONI, immunology sales could fall more than expected 1.
  • An adverse outcome in the talc lawsuits could create large costs and weigh on investor confidence 13.
  • Pricing pressure from healthcare policy could reduce margins in key markets 1.

What to watch

  • Results of the fourth quarter of 2026 and final guidance for the yearQ4 2026
  • Development of STELARA and SIMPONI sales under biosimilar pressure2027
  • Progress and final structure of the orthopaedics business separation2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company with about 138,200 employees, operating in virtually all countries and focused on products related to human health and well-being 1. It has two segments, Innovative Medicine, which sells prescription medicines, and MedTech, which develops devices and solutions for surgery, orthopaedics, cardiovascular and vision care 1. Research and development spending was 14.7 billion USD in 2025 1.

Segments

Innovative Medicine

The Innovative Medicine segment recorded sales of 60.4 billion USD in 2025 1, covering oncology, immunology, neuroscience, pulmonary hypertension, infectious diseases and cardiovascular care. Key products include DARZALEX, CARVYKTI, ERLEADA and TREMFYA, while STELARA declines under biosimilar competition 12.

Competitive position

  • PfizerPFE

    U.S. pharmaceutical company cited as a global rival across the group's product lines, according to the risk discussion in the annual report.

  • Merck & Co.MRK

    Innovative medicines rival referred to indirectly through the change in European distribution rights in the source document.

  • Biosimilar producers

    Third parties filing for biosimilars of STELARA and SIMPONI, with no U.S. ticker identified in the sources.

  • Surgical and ophthalmic device makers

    Firms competing in the MedTech segment, identified generically in the reference source without specific names.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 06 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 21 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / Johnson & Johnson · 11 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-27 · SEC / Johnson & Johnson · 21 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Johnson & Johnson · 13 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.