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olivLaw · US equity research

Cannae Holdings, Inc. CNNE

Retail-Eating & Drinking Places · SIC 5810 · Vertical: Retail-Eating & Drinking Places (SIC 5810)

18.27USD+3.51% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cannae Holdings is a holding company that acquires and actively manages stakes in operating companies, with a notable component in casual dining restaurants. In the second quarter of 2026, total operating revenues were 102.2 million USD, and the company is reviewing strategic alternatives for its restaurant group.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cannae Holdings, Inc. (CNNE) stock was 18.27 USD (+3.51% on the day), with market capitalisation 792.4 m USD, dividend yield 3.28%, beta 0.86, 52-week range 10.64–18.27 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 102.2 m USD (−7.3% YoY), net income of 37.5 m USD, diluted EPS 0.86 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
792.4 m USD
shares as of 07 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.02 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-16.53%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
3.28%
DPS 12m 0.60
Beta (2y)
0.86
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
10.6418.27

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
81.0
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
15.00 – 17.92
above the upper band · %B 1.12 · band width 17.7%
SMA 50 / 200
15.89 / 14.23
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.55 / 0.37
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+17.2%−1.1%+18.3 pp—
3 months+22.7%−0.5%+23.2 pp—
6 months+33.1%+4.4%+28.7 pp—
Year to date+16.1%+12.3%+3.8 pp—
1 year+3.2%+13.5%−10.4 pp−16.8%
3 years+2.8%+76.4%−73.6 pp+10.5%
5 years−48.9%+63.7%−112.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−40.2%
05 Nov 2025 → 24 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.6%
23 Dec 2021 → 24 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−12.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
102.2 m USD
−7.3% YoY
Net income
37.5 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.86
unavailable YoY
net / operating
36.7% / -55.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue138.1 m236.6 m103.2 m110.2 m106.9 m103.3 m96.2 m102.2 m
Cost of revenue93.0 m91.9 m91.0 m90.8 m88.6 m87.6 m83.9 m85.3 m
Operating income-18.1 m-22.0 m-21.4 m-60.9 m-13.2 m-24.1 m-22.1 m-56.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.3 m3.3 m3.1 m3.0 m2.9 m2.9 m2.6 m2.4 m
Interest expense2.9 m4.1 m3.8 m3.3 m3.3 m1.5 m2.3 m1.2 m
Pre-tax income2.9 m-48.1 m-16.6 m-135.6 m-6.5 m-31.8 m-29.5 m28.3 m
Income tax-6.4 m-10.9 m20.2 m-1.8 m-3.8 m-1.6 m500.0 k1.7 m
Net income-13.6 m-46.1 m-113.0 m-238.8 m-68.4 m-93.0 m-32.1 m37.5 m
Diluted EPS-0.22-0.74 ≈-1.81-3.93-1.25-1.93 ≈-0.700.86
Operating cash flow-31.9 m ≈-12.0 m9.1 m-21.6 m ≈-21.6 m ≈16.0 m-21.2 m-5.2 m ≈
Capex1.7 m ≈2.4 m1.9 m2.0 m ≈2.5 m ≈4.0 m1.8 m3.1 m ≈
Dividends paid7.4 m ≈7.5 m7.6 m7.8 m ≈8.0 m ≈7.1 m6.9 m6.6 m ≈
Share repurchases-200.0 k ≈200.0 k0112.9 m ≈119.7 m ≈87.1 m14.7 m32.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.3 bn1.4 bn3.0 bn452.5 m483.4 m499.7 m452.5 m423.6 m
Revenue YoY+13.2%+9.3%+105.4%−84.7%+6.8%+3.4%−9.4%−6.4%
Net income27.6 m77.3 m1.8 bn-287.0 m-428.1 m-313.4 m-304.6 m-513.2 m
Net income YoY−74.6%+180.1%+2,210.7%−116.1%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.391.0720.79-3.19-5.25-4.27-4.73-9.08
Diluted EPS YoY−74.7%+174.4%+1,843.0%−115.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %2.1%5.4%60.2%-63.4%-88.6%-62.7%-67.3%-121.2%
Free cash flow-38.5 m-112.5 m-136.2 m-189.8 m-219.4 m-97.8 m-97.1 m-28.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
182.0 m USD
Financial debt
70.8 m USD
Net debt
-111.2 m USD
Equity
979.1 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.07x
Current ratio
1.98x
ROE
-36.7%
ROA
-29.0%
FCF margin
-6.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
499.7 m
2024
452.5 m
2025
423.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
474.9 m
2024
371.2 m
2025
358.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
24.8 m ≈
2024
81.3 m ≈
2025
65.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Operating income
2023
-118.9 m
2024
-103.7 m
2025
-119.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
19.0 m
2024
13.3 m
2025
11.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-99.9 m ≈
2024
-90.4 m ≈
2025
-107.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
17.9 m
2024
11.6 m
2025
11.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-200.4 m
2024
-251.6 m
2025
-190.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-71.5 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
13.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-313.4 m
2024
-304.6 m
2025
-513.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-4.27
2024
-4.73
2025
-9.08

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
73.4 m
2024
64.4 m
2025
56.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
106.2 m
2024
131.5 m
2025
182.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
177.3 m
2024
196.9 m
2025
256.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
58.7 m
2024
61.8 m
2025
49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
53.4 m
2024
53.4 m
2025
53.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
16.8 m
2024
15.1 m
2025
13.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
27.0 m
2024
16.6 m
2025
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.5 m
2024
61.0 m
2025
6.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
102.5 m
2024
120.0 m
2025
64.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
107.5 m
2024
146.5 m
2025
129.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
377.5 m
2024
413.6 m
2025
329.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.3 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
979.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-87.8 m
2024
-90.1 m
2025
-18.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
10.0 m
2024
7.0 m
2025
10.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-97.8 m ≈
2024
-97.1 m ≈
2025
-28.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
53.1 m
2024
298.3 m
2025
518.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-106.8 m
2024
-182.9 m
2025
-449.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
22.4 m
2025
30.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
113.2 m
2024
231.4 m
2025
319.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-32.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-28.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-38.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-13.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
-500.0 k USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-14.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-32.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
11.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-43.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
94 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
792.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
791.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

18.27 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 792.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
792.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-13.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-38.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 07 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 1511derived 127

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Eating & Drinking Places (SIC 5810)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-8.2%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Net margin · Quality-38.2%0 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.3%0 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-14.0x0 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x37 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-5.5%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns35.6%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet15/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Cannae Holdings, Inc. (CNNE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 423.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -6.4%; net margin -38.2%; ROE -13.3%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 35.6%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -8.2%
  • Net margin: -38.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.3%
  • Interest coverage: -14.0x
  • FCF yield: -5.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Eating & Drinking Places (SIC 5810) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 62.2x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 21.3x
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+46.9%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 8.5x
below median (−90.3%)
ROE
-13.3%
vertical median 10.3%
below median (−229.9%)
Net margin
-38.2%
vertical median 4.9%
below median (−878.1%)
EBIT margin
-28.4%
vertical median 7.8%
below median (−466.2%)
Revenue YoY
-6.4%
vertical median 9.1%
below median (−170.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.9x
Dividend yield
3.3%
vertical median 7.2%
below median (−54.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SBUXStarbucks Corporation125.1 bn63.2—5.2%+2.8%+26% / +10%
BROSDutch Bros Inc.6.8 bn61.312.9%4.9%+27.9%−25% / +65%
CHAChagee Holdings Ltd.2.4 bn14.516.0%9.1%unavailable−15% / unavailable
WENWendy's Co1.5 bn11.6108.0%5.7%−3.1%−9% / −59%
CNNECannae Holdings, Inc.792.4 m—-13.3%-38.2%−6.4%+3% / +3%
SDOTSadot Group Inc.7.8 m—-486.7%-24.1%−64.8%−90% / −99%
SHAKShake Shack Inc.—77.27.7%2.6%+15.4%−17% / +20%
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.—190.72.8%0.7%+24.5%−52% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNNE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Cannae Holdings is a holding company that acquires and actively manages stakes in operating companies, with a notable component in casual dining restaurants. In the second quarter of 2026, total operating revenues were 102.2 million USD, and the company is reviewing strategic alternatives for its restaurant group.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The diversified portfolio of stakes, from football and financial services to restaurants, provides several sources of value and flexibility in capital allocation 1.
    • The company follows a long-term holding strategy with no preset sale deadlines, which allows it to actively manage its stakes 1.
    • The disposal of the Dun & Bradstreet stake brought significant liquidity that can be reinvested in new assets or used for dividends 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Operating results remained at a loss in the first half of 2026, and restaurant revenues declined compared with the prior year 2.
    • Many stakes are accounted for under the equity method, so their performance is not directly visible in consolidated figures 1.
    • The company recorded repeated impairments, including on the Alight stake and goodwill, reflecting difficulties in valuing assets 2.

    Opportunities

    • If the strategic review of the restaurant group leads to a transaction, the company could redirect capital to assets with better returns 2.
    • Rising football media rights could support revenues of clubs in the Black Knight Football portfolio 1.
    • JANA's activist strategy could generate additional returns if assets under management grow 1.

    Threats

    • Rising labor and commodity costs could further reduce margins of casual dining restaurants 1.
    • A decline in the fair value of the Alight stake could lead to further impairments if the company's results deteriorate 2.
    • Macroeconomic uncertainty and changes in trade policy could affect consumer spending and investments in the portfolio 2.

    Risks

    • Related-party contractsmedium

      The management contract was negotiated between related parties, and the fees paid to the manager could be less favorable than terms agreed with an unrelated third party 1.

    • Restaurant competitionhigh

      Casual dining restaurants face intense competition, and changes in consumer preferences could reduce customer counts and margins 1.

    • Commodity costshigh

      Higher prices for meat, seafood, poultry and dairy could affect the restaurant group's margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

    • Impairment of stakesmedium

      The fair value of the Alight stake remains below its book value, and further impairments could arise if results deteriorate 2.

    • Management conflicts of interestlow

      Members of management may pursue other business activities, which could create conflicts in allocating time and in decisions about portfolio companies 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the portfolio transformation strategy succeeds, the company could redirect capital from underperforming assets to stakes with better returns 2.
    • Rising media rights in European football could support the long-term value of the Black Knight Football stake 1.
    • The company has strengthened some stakes through acquisitions, such as raising its JANA stake to 50.0%, which could bring more influence over results 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Persistent operating losses and declining restaurant revenues could signal difficulty in sustaining the performance of the consolidated group 2.
    • Repeated impairments of stakes, including Alight, could show that some investments may not recover their book values 2.
    • The complex structure with affiliated stakes and related-party contracts could make it harder for investors to assess the company's true value 1.

    What to watch

    • Outcome of the strategic review of the restaurant groupQ3 2026
    • Restaurant revenues and the trend in labor and commodity costsQ3 2026
    • Contribution of Black Knight Football after integrating FC Lorient2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The financial structure combines consolidated stakes and stakes accounted for under the equity method. Alight, Black Knight Football and JANA are accounted for under the equity method, so their results are not consolidated into Cannae's figures, while the restaurant group is consolidated 1. In 2025, the company received 540.3 million USD from disposing of its Dun & Bradstreet stake, and in May 2025 it raised its JANA Partners stake to 50.0% 1.

    The company declared quarterly dividends in 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 it published its results through a shareholder letter with a dedicated conference call 3. Recent developments also include Black Knight Football acquiring full ownership of FC Lorient in January 2026, though this is not consolidated in Cannae's results 1.

    Segments

    Alight

    Alight is a technology-enabled services company for human capital management, in which Cannae holds a 7.7% stake accounted for under the equity method 1. At June 30, 2026, the book value of the investment was 71.1 million USD and the fair value 22.7 million USD, meaning the stake was below its book value 2.

    Market context

    Cannae operates in a heterogeneous market, and for casual dining restaurants competition is intense while labor and commodity costs face high pressure 1. Because of uncertain macroeconomic conditions, including consumer spending, inflation and trade policy, the company states it cannot predict how long the current environment will last 2.

    In European football, domestic and international Premier League media rights are growing, and demand for live content could support the value of sports assets if these trends continue 1. In financial services and insurance, the market is consolidated, and companies such as CSI and AmeriLife operate in specialized segments 1.

    Trends

    • Restaurant cost inflationheadwind

      Costs for beef, seafood, poultry and dairy rose in recent years, and higher minimum wages pressured casual dining margins, though menu price increases partly offset this 12.

    • Demand for live sports contenttailwind

      Media rights of European football leagues are rising because sport remains content consumed live, which could support revenues of the Black Knight Football clubs 1.

    • Macroeconomic uncertaintymixed

      The company anticipates that factors such as consumer spending, inflation, tariffs and supply chain disruptions will continue to create instability during 2026 2.

    • Capital market conditionsmixed

      Fair values of listed stakes depend on capital markets; if volatility eases, impairments could be less likely, but the decline in the Alight share price shows the risk remains 2.

    Competitive position

    The restaurant operations face direct and indirect competition from operators with greater financial resources, as well as from supermarkets, fast-casual chains and online delivery services 1. Competition for skilled staff and attractive sites is also intense 1.

    In the Alight segment, larger competitors may have greater resources, larger customer bases and stronger technology capabilities, including in artificial intelligence, which could reduce the company's market share if it does not respond quickly enough 1.

    • Other casual dining operators

      Competing restaurant operators with greater financial resources and national brand recognition that can attract the restaurant group's customers 1.

    • Supermarkets and prepared food retailers

      Improved convenient meals in supermarket deli and prepared food sections create pressure on casual dining restaurants 1.

    • Quick-service, fast-casual and online delivery services

      Quick-service models and online delivery compete for the same customers and can reduce visits to casual dining restaurants 1.

    • Human capital management and employee benefits providers

      Alight's competitors include large companies with advanced technology that can offer more aggressive pricing and AI-based solutions 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cannae Holdings, Inc. · 02 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cannae Holdings, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cannae Holdings, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.