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olivLaw · US equity research

Columbia Sportswear Company COLM

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl · SIC 2300 · Vertical: Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl (SIC 2300)

70.93USD+1.24% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops and distributes outdoor, active and lifestyle apparel, footwear and equipment through four brands, and is a global leader in the category. The company matters now because it is recovering from a difficult U.S. period, with fiscal 2025 net sales of 3397.351 million USD, while IEEPA tariff refunds have sharply shifted quarterly results.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) stock was 70.93 USD (+1.24% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.6 bn USD, P/E 18.4 on diluted EPS of 3.85 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.69%, beta 0.88, 52-week range 49.87–71.12 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 614.4 m USD (+1.5% YoY), net income of 26.6 m USD, diluted EPS 0.52 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.6 bn USD
shares as of 24 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.4
Diluted EPS TTM 3.85 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.43%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.69%
DPS 12m 1.20
Beta (2y)
0.88
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
49.8771.12

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
75.9
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
52.78 – 70.83
above the upper band · %B 1.01 · band width 29.2%
SMA 50 / 200
59.10 / 60.06
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.97 / 1.79
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+24.6%−1.1%+25.7 pp—
3 months+24.0%−0.5%+24.5 pp—
6 months+11.8%+4.4%+7.4 pp—
Year to date+28.8%+12.3%+16.4 pp—
1 year+41.4%+13.5%+27.9 pp+6.7%
3 years−8.6%+76.4%−85.0 pp+16.8%
5 years−32.2%+63.7%−95.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−19.5%
04 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.0%
09 Nov 2021 → 10 Oct 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
614.4 m USD
+1.5% YoY
Net income
26.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.52
unavailable YoY
net / operating
4.3% / 5.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue931.8 m1.1 bn778.5 m605.2 m943.4 m1.1 bn779.0 m614.4 m
Cost of revenue464.2 m536.0 m382.4 m308.1 m471.6 m518.5 m384.1 m255.9 m
Gross profit467.6 m560.5 m396.1 m297.1 m471.8 m551.7 m395.0 m358.4 m
SG&A361.2 m430.6 m354.5 m325.6 m380.9 m441.5 m357.1 m332.2 m
Operating income112.5 m137.3 m46.5 m-23.6 m67.4 m116.7 m42.0 m30.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation13.0 m13.8 m13.5 m14.5 m14.2 m14.7 m13.7 m13.8 m
Pre-tax income119.2 m139.8 m54.9 m-16.6 m71.0 m120.3 m47.3 m36.3 m
Income tax29.0 m37.3 m12.6 m-6.4 m19.0 m27.2 m13.0 m9.7 m
Net income90.2 m102.6 m42.2 m-10.2 m52.0 m93.2 m34.3 m26.6 m
Diluted EPS1.561.80 ≈0.75-0.190.951.73 ≈0.650.52
Operating cash flow-185.5 m ≈567.7 m-32.0 m-30.8 m ≈-270.6 m ≈616.3 m-77.5 m115.0 m ≈
Capex13.9 m ≈18.1 m15.6 m14.5 m ≈16.6 m ≈19.5 m12.4 m13.4 m ≈
Dividends paid17.2 m ≈16.9 m16.6 m16.4 m ≈16.4 m ≈16.1 m15.6 m15.4 m ≈
Share repurchases128.2 m ≈86.9 m101.4 m30.3 m ≈40.0 m ≈29.4 m150.0 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 31 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 12.6, median 21.1, max 54.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.8 bn3.0 bn2.5 bn3.1 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn3.4 bn3.4 bn
Revenue YoY+13.6%+8.6%−17.8%+25.0%+10.8%+0.7%−3.4%+0.9%
Net income268.3 m330.5 m108.0 m354.1 m311.4 m251.4 m223.3 m177.2 m
Net income YoY+155.2%+23.2%−67.3%+227.8%−12.0%−19.3%−11.2%−20.6%
Diluted EPS3.814.831.625.334.954.093.823.24
Diluted EPS YoY+155.7%+26.8%−66.5%+229.0%−7.1%−17.4%−6.6%−15.2%
net %9.6%10.9%4.3%11.3%9.0%7.2%6.6%5.2%
Free cash flow223.9 m161.9 m247.3 m319.7 m-83.7 m581.7 m431.2 m216.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
442.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.7 bn USD
Total assets
2.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.59x
ROE
10.2%
ROA
6.0%
FCF margin
6.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
310.3 m
2024
270.7 m
2025
207.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
58.1 m
2024
55.9 m
2025
56.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
368.3 m ≈
2024
326.7 m ≈
2025
263.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
326.2 m
2024
298.2 m
2025
229.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
74.8 m
2024
74.9 m
2025
52.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
251.4 m
2024
223.3 m
2025
177.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.09
2024
3.82
2025
3.24

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
61.4 m
2024
58.5 m
2025
54.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.20
2024
1.20
2025
1.20

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
350.3 m
2024
531.9 m
2025
442.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
423.1 m
2024
417.5 m
2025
403.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
746.3 m
2024
690.5 m
2025
689.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
287.3 m
2024
282.9 m
2025
279.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
26.7 m
2024
26.7 m
2025
5.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
79.9 m
2024
79.2 m
2025
71.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
235.9 m
2024
385.7 m
2025
385.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Nov 2023verified

Current liabilities
2023
596.6 m
2024
766.5 m
2025
760.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.7 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
636.3 m
2024
491.0 m
2025
282.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
54.6 m
2024
59.8 m
2025
66.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
581.7 m ≈
2024
431.2 m ≈
2025
216.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-461.8 m
2024
87.3 m
2025
-120.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-254.8 m
2024
-386.2 m
2025
-267.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
73.4 m
2024
69.7 m
2025
65.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
184.0 m
2024
317.8 m
2025
201.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-23.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-17.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-15.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-49.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
52.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
9.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
31.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
19.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
383.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
61.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
321.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
155.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
122.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
30 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
202 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
107 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
125 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
17.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
11.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 58 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

70.93 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 24 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2681derived 232

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation65
  • Quality78
  • Growth0
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
29.33
USD per share
Mid
39.68
USD per share
High
75.89
USD per share
Price: 70.93 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -44.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -78.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 15.77 – 130.57 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E42.89 – 130.57 (Mid 61.27)
    11 companies used · median multiple 15.9x · quartiles 11.1x – 33.9x
    AS, BRIA, CRI, FIGS, GIII, GIL, JRSH, LEVI, LULU, NCI, SGC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)15.77 – 21.21 (Mid 18.09)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl (SIC 2300)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 58/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality6.0%56 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality155.9%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.6%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.2%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation18.4x36 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation8.8%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.8%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns19.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality78/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation65/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR COMPANY (COLM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.9%; net margin 6.0%; ROE 12.7%.

The estimated value range is 29.33–75.89 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 39.68 USD, the price of 70.93 USD leaves a potential of -44.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -78.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 58/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 155.9%
  • Current ratio: 2.5x
  • FCF yield: 8.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 19.8%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -13.2%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl (SIC 2300) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 16 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
18.4x
vertical median 15.9x
above median (+15.8%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.3x
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+106.1%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+54.6%)
ROE
12.7%
vertical median 9.0%
above median (+40.3%)
Net margin
6.0%
vertical median 4.9%
above median (+22.3%)
EBIT margin
7.5%
vertical median 8.4%
below median (−10.6%)
Revenue YoY
0.9%
vertical median 2.6%
below median (−67.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median 2.7%
below median (−37.5%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ASAmer Sports, Inc.17.9 bn42.27.9%6.5%+26.7%−14% / unavailable
LULUlululemon athletica inc.11.8 bn9.230.9%12.8%+4.9%−39% / −75%
GILGildan Activewear Inc.8.0 bn16.615.9%11.0%+10.7%−22% / +19%
COLMColumbia Sportswear Company3.6 bn18.412.7%6.0%+0.9%+41% / −9%
GIIIG III Apparel Group Ltd1.4 bn10.87.7%4.8%−7.0%+14% / +15%
CRICarter’s, Inc.1.2 bn5.522.9%7.4%unavailable+5% / −51%
LEVILevi Strauss & Co894.9 m15.925.8%8.8%+4.1%+8% / +54%
SGCSuperior Group Of Companies, Inc.224.5 m25.64.3%1.4%+0.1%+45% / +18%
JRSHJerash Holdings (US), Inc.73.8 m15.37.6%2.8%+14.0%+87% / +103%
PASWPing An Biomedical Co., Ltd.60.1 m—-28.4%-37.6%unavailable+541% / unavailable
BRIABrilliA Inc34.5 m11.521.5%4.4%+15.1%−23% / unavailable
NCINeo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited12.8 m63.10.6%0.2%−41.9%−93% / unavailable
UAUnder Armour, Inc.——-29.8%-10.0%−3.8%+26% / −27%
FIGSFIGS, Inc.067.014.8%8.7%+13.6%+124% / +202%
ZGNErmenegildo Zegna N.V.——10.1%5.1%−1.5%+39% / +30%
LANVLanvin Group Holdings Limited——-200.4%-50.3%−22.9%−60% / −79%
GOOSCanada Goose Holdings Inc.——19.8%7.0%+1.1%−36% / −20%

1- and 3-year price returns: for COLM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
41.51
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
73.58
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
111.10
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
36.23
Total return -45% · Per year -18%
72.63
Total return 8% · Per year 2%
120.98
Total return 77% · Per year 21%
5 years
31.62
Total return -50% · Per year -13%
71.70
Total return 10% · Per year 2%
131.74
Total return 97% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 18.16
  • Net margin± 12.71
  • Annual revenue growth± 10.98
  • Annual dilution± 1.07

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops and distributes outdoor, active and lifestyle apparel, footwear and equipment through four brands, and is a global leader in the category. The company matters now because it is recovering from a difficult U.S. period, with fiscal 2025 net sales of 3397.351 million USD 1, while IEEPA tariff refunds have sharply shifted quarterly results 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A four-brand portfolio with global recognition and a balance sheet with no borrowings in mid-2026 3.
  • Flexible sourcing model built on contract manufacturers, without large investment in factories 1.
  • Solid international presence, with sales in over 100 countries and international segments that grew 13.

Weaknesses

  • The Columbia brand has been under pressure in the U.S. and local demand has stayed weak 13.
  • Selling and administrative costs rose, eroding operating margins in 2025 1.
  • Reliance on a few large wholesale customers and a few manufacturers can create exposure to cancelled or delayed orders 1.

Opportunities

  • The ACCELERATE strategy could attract younger consumers and grow market share if positive trends hold 13.
  • Columbia footwear performed well in the second quarter of 2026, which could open a growth direction 3.
  • Growing direct-to-consumer and e-commerce channels could improve margins if promotions are controlled 1.

Threats

  • U.S. tariffs and trade policy remain uncertain and could raise costs or reduce demand 12.
  • Geopolitical conflicts could affect transport, supply and consumption in the second half of 2026 2.
  • Competition from athleisure brands and private-label retailers could limit pricing power 1.

Risks

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Changes in tariffs could raise import costs and affect U.S. consumer demand 1.

  • Volatile consumer demandhigh

    Sales depend on discretionary spending and weather, and lower demand could reduce revenue 1.

  • Supply chainmedium

    Manufacturer delays or logistics congestion could delay receipt of inventory for the fall 2026 season 2.

  • Financially weak wholesale customersmedium

    Retailer financial difficulties can lead to cancelled orders and credit losses 1.

  • Asset impairmentlow

    The company may record impairments for stores or brands that underperform, as it did in 2025 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the ACCELERATE strategy brings younger consumers into the Columbia brand, growth could become more sustainable over the long term 13.
  • A debt-free balance sheet and tariff refunds could support investment and the share repurchase program 3.
  • Margin improvement after cutting excessive promotions could lift operating profitability over the medium term 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If weakness in the U.S. persists, the Columbia brand could lose market share to competitors 13.
  • Tariff refunds are a one-off effect, and without them results could be much weaker 3.
  • Higher marketing spending and store costs could pressure operating margins if sales do not grow enough 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in U.S. sales and wholesale ordersQ3 2026
  • Processing and remaining amount of IEEPA tariff refundsQ3 2026
  • Delivery against the 2026 sales and profit guidance2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Founded in 1938 in Portland, Oregon, the company grew from a regional hat distributor into a global player with the Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear and prAna brands 1. It owns no factories and relies on contract manufacturers, mostly outside the U.S., with sales weighted toward the third and fourth quarters 1. Products are sold in 115 countries through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels, and the company had no borrowings at June 30 2026 13.

Segments

U.S.

The U.S. is the largest segment, covering Columbia, Mountain Hardwear and prAna plus SOREL footwear, with nearly 1950 wholesale customers 1. It is also the segment most affected by weakness in the Columbia brand and lower Spring 2026 orders 3.

Columbia brand

The Columbia brand accounts for most of sales and grew slightly in 2025, supported by footwear in the second quarter of 2026 13. SOREL, prAna and Mountain Hardwear saw declining sales 1.

Market context

The outdoor, active and lifestyle market is highly competitive, with large companies, small local brands and retailers selling private labels 1. Demand depends on discretionary spending and weather, and U.S. inflation and Middle East conflict could shift demand in the second half of 2026 12.

The company sells in 122 countries, and demand is shaped by retail traffic and the financial health of wholesale customers 2. Athleisure and emerging outdoor brands have gained ground, pushing the market toward style and versatility 1.

Trends

  • IEEPA tariff recoverymixed

    Refunds of IEEPA tariffs inflated 2026 profit, but the effect is one-off and does not reflect operating performance 23. If refunds do not recur, results could fall back to a lower level.

  • ACCELERATE strategytailwind

    The Columbia brand is trying to attract younger consumers through new products and campaigns, and early signs are encouraging, especially in footwear 13. Long-term effect depends on changing perception in the U.S.

  • Macroeconomic and geopolitical pressureheadwind

    The Middle East conflict raised transport and energy costs, and discretionary spending was hit 2. If tensions persist, second-half demand could stay weak.

  • U.S. trade policyheadwind

    Uncertainty over new tariffs and trade policy may lead to price increases and lower demand for imported products 1. The company is monitoring tariff changes for coming seasons.

Competitive position

Competition includes large companies with significant financial resources, small brands with strong local markets, and emerging brands with a strong direct online presence 1. Retailers that are also customers compete through their own private labels 1.

Key differentiating factors are brand strength, innovation, quality, value and marketing effectiveness 1. The company says new products and campaigns can improve positioning, but competition in athleisure remains intense 12.

  • Large outdoor apparel companies

    Competitors among large outdoor brands, referenced in general terms in the source.

  • Athleisure and sportswear brands

    Brands that gained from the casualization and style trend for everyday wear.

  • Emerging outdoor brands with direct online presence

    New brands selling direct to consumers, competing especially in digital.

  • Private-label retailers

    Wholesale customers that produce and distribute similar products under their own labels.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report16 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report30 Apr 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement24 Apr 2026
  • Current report20 Mar 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Annual report25 Feb 2026
  • Current report03 Feb 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Columbia Sportswear Company · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Columbia Sportswear Company · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Columbia Sportswear Company · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.