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olivLaw · US equity research

Qwest Corporation CTGG

Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) · SIC 4813 · Vertical: Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) (SIC 4813)

13.31USD−0.37% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Qwest Corporation is a subsidiary of Lumen Technologies providing digital networking services to enterprise customers, amid a shift from legacy services toward high-speed connectivity aimed at the AI economy. Operating revenue fell to 4.748 bn USD in 2025 after the sale of its consumer fiber business to AT&T.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Qwest Corporation (CTGG) stock was 13.31 USD (−0.37% on the day), with market capitalisation 0 USD, 52-week range 13.31–18.89 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (−14.0% YoY), net income of -226.0 m USD (−179.6% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
0 USD
shares as of 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
E/P (TTM)
unavailable
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
unavailable
Volatility (1y) 24%
52-week range
13.3118.89

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
31.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
12.87 – 14.93
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.22 · band width 14.9%
SMA 50 / 200
15.25 / unavailable
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.56 / -0.58
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−12.4%−1.1%−11.3 pp—
3 months−18.5%−0.5%−18.0 pp—
6 monthsunavailable+4.4%unavailable—
Year to dateunavailable+12.3%unavailable—
1 yearunavailable+13.5%unavailable−12.5%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+11.8%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−29.5%
17 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−29.5%
17 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
−14.0% YoY
Net income
-226.0 m USD
−179.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-21.5% / 4.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
Revenue1.4 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn
Cost of revenue373.0 m389.0 m373.0 m354.0 m363.0 m379.0 m353.0 m294.0 m
SG&A118.0 m111.0 m81.0 m104.0 m96.0 m156.0 m100.0 m93.0 m
Operating income530.0 m498.0 m528.0 m388.0 m377.0 m243.0 m-2.0 bn47.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation187.0 m183.0 m196.0 m191.0 m174.0 m162.0 m158.0 m150.0 m
Pre-tax income518.0 m497.0 m520.0 m383.0 m378.0 m247.0 m-2.0 bn62.0 m
Income tax140.0 m132.0 m129.0 m99.0 m101.0 m71.0 m81.0 m288.0 m
Net income378.0 m365.0 m391.0 m284.0 m277.0 m176.0 m-2.1 bn-226.0 m
Operating cash flow548.0 m ≈627.0 m ≈548.0 m453.0 m480.0 m ≈427.0 m ≈402.0 m264.0 m
Capex268.0 m ≈231.0 m ≈271.0 m203.0 m204.0 m ≈175.0 m ≈242.0 m115.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

EPS unavailable in the issuer's structured filings (e.g. a partnership reports per unit, not per share).

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue8.4 bn8.1 bn7.3 bn7.0 bn6.4 bn5.9 bn5.5 bn4.7 bn
Revenue YoY−1.8%−4.1%−9.2%−5.0%−7.2%−8.3%−6.9%−13.8%
Net income1.7 bnunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable-831.0 m1.5 bn-1.3 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−189.2%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %19.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable-14.0%27.0%-27.9%
Free cash flow2.8 bn2.3 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn1.8 bn1.3 bn1.1 bn938.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
39.0 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-39.0 m USD
Equity
10.9 bn USD
Total assets
15.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
6.90x
ROE
-11.5%
ROA
-8.0%
FCF margin
19.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.9 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
4.3 bn ≈
2024
4.0 bn ≈
2025
3.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
478.0 m
2024
438.0 m
2025
456.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-195.0 m
2024
2.1 bn
2025
-1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
823.0 m
2024
753.0 m
2025
685.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
628.0 m ≈
2024
2.8 bn ≈
2025
-324.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
95.0 m
2024
62.0 m
2025
91.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-270.0 m
2024
2.0 bn
2025
-975.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
561.0 m
2024
527.0 m
2025
352.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-831.0 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
-1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
10.0 m
2024
26.0 m
2025
39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
261.0 m
2024
227.0 m
2025
199.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
415.0 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
8.7 bn
2024
8.9 bn
2025
7.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
7.0 bn
2024
7.0 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
103.0 m
2024
84.0 m
2025
111.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
16.3 bn
2024
17.4 bn
2025
15.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
362.0 m
2024
221.0 m
2025
152.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
1.0 m
2024
239.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
933.0 m
2024
966.0 m
2025
653.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
10.8 bn †
2024
12.2 bn †
2025
10.9 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
824.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
938.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-466.0 m
2024
-1.9 bn
2025
-1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.9 bn
2024
-287.0 m
2025
-238.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
2.0 bn
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-149.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-189.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
69.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
EBITDA margin
-15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
EBIT margin
-29.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
-40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF margin
18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Returns

ROE
-15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROA
-11.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROIC
-9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROCE
-9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-55.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Interest coverage
-14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
7.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Capital expenditure
736.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Free cash flow
837.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
16 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
33 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Enterprise value
-55.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
-0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/FCF
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
FCF yield
unavailable
insufficient data
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
insufficient data

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

13.31 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 0 USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
0 USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
-40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Mar 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Mar 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Mar 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 May 2026
verified 1738derived 139

Score by group

40% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) (SIC 4813)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-9.7%15 (vs peers)26%
Net margin · Quality-40.1%5 (vs peers)16%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-9.7%0 (on a fixed band)21%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-14.8x0 (on a fixed band)16%
Current ratio · Balance sheet7.0x100 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)11%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality11/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

QWEST CORP (CTGG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-03-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -13.8%; net margin -40.1%; ROE -15.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 39.6% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 7.0x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -9.7%
  • Net margin: -40.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -9.7%
  • Interest coverage: -14.8x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) (SIC 4813) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 11.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.8x
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−100.0%)
P/B
0.0x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−100.0%)
ROE
-15.8%
vertical median 10.7%
below median (−248.1%)
Net margin
-40.1%
vertical median 8.4%
below median (−575.9%)
EBIT margin
-29.5%
vertical median 7.3%
below median (−504.4%)
Revenue YoY
-13.8%
vertical median 2.7%
below median (−602.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMXAmerica Movil Sab De Cv1,508.4 bn1,107.56.8%3.2%−11.2%+8% / +38%
VZVerizon Communications Inc.191.4 bn11.815.4%11.8%+2.5%+12% / +20%
TAt&T Inc.147.1 bn11.810.5%10.2%+2.7%−16% / +32%
LUMNLumen Technologies, Inc.4.6 bn——-5.8%−5.4%−45% / +241%
TDSTelephone And Data Systems, Inc.4.1 bn11.48.2%33.2%−5.3%−11% / +83%
ATEXAnterix Inc.1.5 bn22.227.9%933.0%+7.8%+278% / +138%
UNITUniti Group Inc.1.3 bn1.7666.9%30.4%+91.5%−14% / −41%
SHENShenandoah Telecommunications Company575.2 m—-4.4%-10.2%+9.1%−5% / −53%
ATNIAtn International, Inc.397.3 m2.432.2%23.2%−0.2%+22% / −15%
CXDOCrexendo, Inc.174.7 m43.65.6%4.5%+12.0%−25% / +78%
NXPLNextPlat Corp21.8 m—-43.1%-17.8%−17.8%+34% / −47%
IQSTIQSTEL Inc.9.0 m—-56.0%-2.2%+11.9%−80% / −94%
SURGSurgepays, Inc.8.2 m——-47.9%−6.4%−92% / −98%
PHIPLDT Inc.——29.3%14.9%+2.8%−19% / −22%
CTGGQwest Corp0—-15.8%-40.1%−13.8%unavailable / unavailable
KTKT Corporation——2.8%1.7%+0.4%+1% / +41%
BCEBce Inc.——32.5%26.6%+0.2%−10% / −46%
IDTIDT Corporation—24.325.4%6.7%+5.4%+69% / +186%
TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A S——10.8%11.7%+14.6%−15% / −5%
TEOTelecom Argentina SA——-2.4%-2.0%+53.0%−17% / +26%
TIMBTim S.A.——17.1%16.2%+4.6%−22% / +3%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CTGG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
input data missing
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Qwest Corporation is a subsidiary of Lumen Technologies providing digital networking services to enterprise customers, amid a shift from legacy services toward high-speed connectivity aimed at the AI economy. Operating revenue fell to 4.748 bn USD in 2025 after the sale of its consumer fiber business to AT&T.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company runs a highly interconnected fiber network, which management regards as one of its most critical assets for high-speed services 1.
    • Proceeds from the sale of the fiber business to AT&T could support investment in strategic services and debt reduction, depending on how they are used 12.
    • The Grow and Nurture portfolio provides a base of optical and Ethernet connectivity for enterprise customers 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue has declined for years because of legacy services, and many newer offerings carry lower margins than the older ones 1.
    • The company recorded a significant goodwill impairment and a net loss in 2025, pointing to pressure on asset values 1.
    • Dependence on the Lumen group's cash management and cost allocation structure limits financial autonomy 1.

    Opportunities

    • Demand for AI-related network services could open growth for high-speed connectivity 1.
    • Federal broadband programs and monetization of excess conduit and fiber could create new revenue if execution succeeds 1.
    • The existing network could support services for wireless operators and data centers that need low latency 1.

    Threats

    • Competition from providers with newer networks and from cable and wireless operators could continue to compress prices 1.
    • Cyber-attacks, including those by state-sponsored actors, pose a major risk to critical infrastructure 1.
    • Regulatory uncertainty over universal service funding and broadband classification could materially change operating conditions 1.

    Risks

    • Decline in legacy revenuehigh

      Continued loss of voice and copper broadband customers could reduce revenue faster than newer services grow 12.

    • Cyber riskhigh

      The company acknowledges that cyber-attacks could disrupt operations, expose data and lead to remediation costs and litigation 1.

    • Execution of systems transformationmedium

      Integration and modernization of systems could run late or over budget, affecting service and the expected efficiencies 1.

    • Regulation and USF fundingmedium

      Court challenges and legislative proposals on the universal service fund and broadband classification remain unresolved, with uncertain impact 1.

    • Dependence on the Lumen groupmedium

      The group-wide cash management and financing structure could limit financial flexibility if the parent's situation changes 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If demand for secure, high-speed connectivity grows as management expects, strategic services could gradually offset the decline in legacy services 1.
    • Proceeds from the fiber sale could provide resources for network investment and easing financial pressure if used effectively 12.
    • Interconnected network assets could generate new revenue from custom solutions for enterprise customers and carriers if commercial execution succeeds 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue has declined steadily, including in the first quarter of 2026, and if the decline persists the company could struggle to meet growth targets 12.
    • The goodwill impairment and net losses in 2025 and the first quarter of 2026 suggest asset values could remain under pressure 12.
    • Pricing pressure and competition could limit margins even for newer services, which typically earn less than legacy ones 1.

    What to watch

    • Trend in revenue from strategic services and the Grow and Nurture categoriesQ2 2026
    • Results after completion of the AT&T fiber sale, including effects on operating costs2026
    • Developments in USF funding litigation and broadband classification2026
    • Progress of systems transformation and network modernizationnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Qwest Corporation describes itself as a digital networking services company that aims to connect people, data and applications in an AI-first multi-cloud market, using one of the most interconnected communications networks in the world 1. It operates within the Lumen Technologies group, with most of its cash managed centrally through intercompany arrangements 1. On 2 February 2026 it completed the sale of its Mass Markets fiber-to-the-home business in 11 states to AT&T for gross cash proceeds of 5.75 bn USD before adjustments 1.

    The company reports one segment and had approximately 9,100 employees at 31 December 2025, about 43% of whom are members of the CWA or IBEW unions 1. Its portfolio includes Grow, Nurture and Harvest services for business customers, and broadband and voice services for mass market and affiliate customers 1.

    According to the 31 March 2026 quarterly report, operating revenue for the quarter was 1.051 bn USD, down 14% from the same period a year earlier, reflecting in particular the effect of the fiber divestiture 2.

    Segments

    Business (Grow, Nurture, Harvest)

    Business services include newer offerings such as optical and Ethernet connectivity, alongside legacy voice and private line services that are managed for cash flow 1. Harvest revenue fell 11% in 2025, while Nurture and Grow declined less 1.

    Mass Markets (broadband and voice)

    The consumer segment covers lower-speed copper broadband, voice services and, until the sale, fiber-to-the-home, all declining as subscribers leave 12. The company says broadband will be a significantly smaller part of its strategy after the sale 1.

    Affiliate services

    Services provided to Lumen affiliates fell 14% in 2025, mainly because of lower wavelength services, and dropped a further 8% in the first quarter of 2026 12.

    Market context

    Demand for secure, high-speed connectivity is growing, particularly for high bandwidth and low latency, driven by enterprise digital transformation and government broadband programs 1. The market remains highly competitive, while legacy voice and copper broadband services continue to shrink 1.

    Federal broadband funding of about 65 bn USD, enacted in 2021, could intensify competition for broadband customers if it reaches eligible applicants 1.

    Trends

    • Decline of legacy servicesheadwind

      Continued shrinkage of voice, private line and copper broadband reduces revenue, and newer services often carry lower margins 12.

    • Demand from AI and high-speed connectivitytailwind

      AI development raises demand for speed, bandwidth and low latency, which could support growth in strategic services if that demand materialises 1.

    • Inflation and supply pressuresheadwind

      Labor, materials and energy costs are rising, and component shortages have at times slowed network expansion, with Middle East conflict adding uncertainty 12.

    • Monetizing network assetsmixed

      The company aims to earn revenue from custom connectivity solutions using excess conduit and fiber, an opportunity that could be significant if demand and regulation support it 1.

    Competitive position

    Competition comes from global communications providers, systems integrators, hyperscalers, cloud providers, cable companies, wireless operators and niche providers, which often offer more integrated or lower-cost services 1. Pricing pressure is significant, and rivals with newer or faster networks are gaining ground in business segments 1.

    In local markets, CLECs compete by reselling ILEC services, using unbundled network elements or operating their own facilities, while wireless, municipal fiber networks and low-earth-orbit satellites compete for consumer customers 1.

    • Global communications providers

      Competitors with greater financial and technical resources that offer broader communications portfolios to enterprise customers 1.

    • Hyperscalers and cloud providers

      Companies competing through cloud and connectivity services, putting pricing pressure on business customers 1.

    • Cable companies

      Broadband competitors for mass market customers, with continuing improvements to cable-based services 1.

    • Wireless and fixed wireless providers

      Fixed wireless and satellite services are alternatives to the company's wireline broadband offerings 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Qwest Corporation · 20 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Qwest Corporation · 05 May 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.