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olivLaw · US equity research

Exelon Corporation EXC

Electric & Other Services Combined · SIC 4931 · Vertical: Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931)

46.24USD+1.63% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Exelon is a utility holding company that operates, through six fully regulated transmission and distribution utilities, serving almost 11 million customers across the eastern US. The company matters now because of heavy grid investment, rate adjustments and 2026 earnings guidance, shaped by rising energy demand, regulatory constraints and the cost of capital. In the second quarter of 2026 adjusted earnings were 0.43 dollars per share.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Exelon Corporation (EXC) stock was 46.24 USD (+1.63% on the day), with market capitalisation 47.3 bn USD, P/E 16.9 on diluted EPS of 2.74 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.50%, beta -0.08, 52-week range 40.20–50.29 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2026): revenue of 7.2 bn USD (+7.9% YoY), net income of 919.0 m USD (+1.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.90 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
47.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.9
Diluted EPS TTM 2.74 · TTM to 31 Mar 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.92%
TTM to 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
3.50%
DPS 12m 1.62
Beta (2y)
-0.08
Volatility (1y) 20%
52-week range
40.2050.29

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
67.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
40.79 – 47.06
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 14.3%
SMA 50 / 200
42.97 / 45.63
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.01 / 0.73
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.3%−1.1%+14.4 pp—
3 months+1.0%−0.5%+1.5 pp—
6 months+2.7%+4.4%−1.7 pp—
Year to date+6.1%+12.3%−6.2 pp—
1 year−0.3%+13.5%−13.8 pp+4.6%
3 years+14.0%+76.4%−62.4 pp+40.4%
5 years+19.7%+63.7%−43.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.1%
16 Mar 2026 → 24 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−33.1%
20 Apr 2022 → 05 Feb 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+3.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Revenue
7.2 bn USD
+7.9% YoY
Net income
919.0 m USD
+1.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.90
0.0% YoY
net / operating
12.7% / 22.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
Revenue5.4 bn6.2 bn5.5 bn6.7 bn5.4 bn6.7 bn5.4 bn7.2 bn
Operating income913.0 m1.2 bn1.1 bn1.5 bn927.0 m1.5 bn1.2 bn1.6 bn
Depreciation & amortisation894.0 m ≈909.0 m ≈913.0 m905.0 m901.0 m ≈913.0 m ≈924.0 m953.0 m
Pre-tax income494.0 m757.0 m696.0 m1.1 bn461.0 m1.0 bn721.0 m1.1 bn
Income tax46.0 m50.0 m49.0 m170.0 m70.0 m155.0 m127.0 m200.0 m
Net income448.0 m707.0 m647.0 m908.0 m391.0 m875.0 m594.0 m919.0 m
Diluted EPS0.450.700.64 ≈0.900.390.860.59 ≈0.90
Operating cash flow1.5 bn ≈1.7 bn ≈1.4 bn1.2 bn1.5 bn ≈2.3 bn ≈1.2 bn1.7 bn
Capex1.7 bn ≈1.7 bn ≈1.9 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn ≈2.1 bn ≈2.4 bn2.4 bn
Dividends paid380.0 m ≈381.0 m ≈382.0 m403.0 m405.0 m ≈404.0 m ≈405.0 m430.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 74 percentile of its own 35-quarter history (min 7.1, median 15.0, max 29.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019⚠ 202020212022202320242025
Revenue36.0 bn34.4 bn16.7 bn17.9 bn19.1 bn21.7 bn23.0 bn24.3 bn
Revenue YoY+7.2%−4.3%—+7.7%+6.4%+13.9%+6.0%+5.3%
Net income2.1 bn3.0 bn2.0 bn1.8 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.5 bn2.8 bn
Net income YoY−46.3%+45.6%—−6.4%+18.7%+7.2%+5.7%+12.5%
Diluted EPS2.073.012.011.74unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoY−48.0%+45.4%—−13.4%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %5.8%8.8%11.7%10.2%11.4%10.7%10.7%11.4%
Free cash flow1.1 bn-589.0 m-3.8 bn-5.0 bn-2.3 bn-2.7 bn-1.5 bn-2.3 bn

The series breaks before 2020: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
626.0 m USD
Financial debt
48.0 bn USD
Net debt
47.4 bn USD
Equity
28.8 bn USD
Total assets
116.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.67x
Current ratio
0.92x
ROE
9.9%
ROA
2.5%
FCF margin
-9.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
21.7 bn
2024
23.0 bn
2025
24.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
7.5 bn ≈
2024
7.9 bn ≈
2025
8.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2021verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
374.0 m
2024
207.0 m
2025
523.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
997.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.44
2024
1.52
2025
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
445.0 m
2024
357.0 m
2025
626.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
8.1 bn
2024
8.4 bn
2025
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
73.6 bn
2024
78.2 bn
2025
84.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
6.6 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2023verified

Total assets
2023
101.9 bn
2024
107.8 bn
2025
116.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2023verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.5 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
612.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
39.7 bn
2024
42.9 bn
2025
47.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
9.9 bn
2024
9.6 bn
2025
10.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
76.1 bn
2024
80.9 bn
2025
87.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
25.8 bn
2024
26.9 bn
2025
28.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
4.7 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
7.4 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-2.7 bn ≈
2024
-1.5 bn ≈
2025
-2.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-7.4 bn
2024
-7.0 bn
2025
-8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
2.7 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
19.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
12.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
35.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
EBIT margin
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
11.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF margin
-8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Returns

ROE
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROA
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROIC
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROCE
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
59.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
47.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Debt / equity
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
6.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Capital expenditure
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Free cash flow
-2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF conversion
-77.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Cash conversion
76.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
47.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Enterprise value
95.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
17.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Earnings yield
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBIT
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/Sales
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 71 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

46.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 47.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
47.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
ROE
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Mar 2026
Net margin
11.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Mar 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Mar 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Mar 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 May 2026
verified 2568derived 164

Score by group

  • Balance sheet45
  • Growth100
  • Quality30
  • Returns89
  • Valuation89

Estimated value range

Low
54.17
USD per share
Mid
56.80
USD per share
High
61.58
USD per share
Price: 46.24 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 22.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 18.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 21.03 – 82.44 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Dividend discount (DDM)21.03 – 28.28 (Mid 24.12)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA64.82 – 82.44 (Mid 71.62)
    7 companies used · median multiple 13.6x · quartiles 12.8x – 14.8x
    AEE, CMS, DUK, EVRG, LNT, WEC, XEL
  • Peers: P/E54.17 – 61.58 (Mid 56.80)
    10 companies used · median multiple 20.8x · quartiles 19.8x – 22.5x
    AEE, CMS, DUK, ED, EVRG, LNT, NI, PEG, WEC, XEL
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 71/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality5.8%50 (vs peers)8%
Net margin · Quality11.2%10 (vs peers)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.4x50 (vs peers)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x30 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation16.9x91 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.7x88 (vs peers)13%
Dividend yield · Returns3.5%91 (vs peers)18%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns59.2%85 (on a fixed band)8%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet45/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality30/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns89/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation89/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

EXELON CORPORATION (EXC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-03-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 24.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.3%; net margin 11.2%; ROE 9.8%; net debt/EBITDA 5.4x.

The estimated value range is 54.17–61.58 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 56.80 USD, the price of 46.24 USD leaves a potential of 22.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 18.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 71/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 8.3%
  • P/E (TTM): 16.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 10.7x
  • Dividend yield: 3.5%
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 59.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 11.2%
  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 5.7 bn and 367.1 bn (within 8× of the company's); 6 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
16.9x
vertical median 20.3x
below median (−16.5%)
EV/EBITDA
10.7x
vertical median 13.5x
below median (−21.0%)
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−36.5%)
P/B
1.6x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−23.4%)
ROE
9.8%
vertical median 11.3%
below median (−13.5%)
Net margin
11.2%
vertical median 15.2%
below median (−26.3%)
EBIT margin
21.0%
vertical median 23.1%
below median (−8.8%)
Revenue YoY
5.3%
vertical median 10.9%
below median (−51.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.4x
vertical median 5.4x
at median
Dividend yield
3.5%
vertical median 2.9%
above median (+20.5%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DUKDuke Energy CORP101.0 bn19.89.8%15.8%+5.6%+5% / +40%
XELXcel Energy Inc51.7 bn18.811.4%—+1.2%−2% / +32%
EXCExelon Corporation47.3 bn16.99.8%11.2%+5.3%−0% / +14%
EDConsolidated Edison Inc44.3 bn20.38.7%12.5%+10.9%+20% / +34%
WECWec Energy Group, Inc.38.9 bn21.412.5%17.6%+14.0%+5% / +41%
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated36.5 bn18.211.8%16.0%+18.3%−12% / +17%
PCGPg&E Corp35.9 bn9.69.7%12.3%+2.1%−17% / −22%
AEEAmeren Corp31.3 bn19.912.1%17.9%+15.4%+6% / +46%
CMSCms Energy Corp22.3 bn21.311.3%11.6%+13.6%−6% / +25%
NINiSource Inc.21.7 bn23.110.1%8.2%+23.5%+3% / +77%
EVRGEvergy, Inc.19.9 bn22.98.8%14.6%+2.0%+11% / +69%
LNTAlliant Energy Corp19.1 bn23.111.3%18.6%+9.6%+6% / +46%

1- and 3-year price returns: for EXC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
28.19
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
49.74
Total return 11% · Per year 11%
74.80
Total return 66% · Per year 66%
3 years
29.50
Total return -27% · Per year -10%
58.38
Total return 39% · Per year 11%
96.09
Total return 123% · Per year 31%
5 years
30.89
Total return -18% · Per year -4%
68.52
Total return 70% · Per year 11%
123.42
Total return 196% · Per year 24%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 14.60
  • Net margin± 10.22
  • Annual revenue growth± 8.09
  • Annual dilution± 0.86

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Exelon is a utility holding company that operates, through six fully regulated transmission and distribution utilities, serving almost 11 million customers across the eastern US. The company matters now because of heavy grid investment, rate adjustments and 2026 earnings guidance, shaped by rising energy demand, regulatory constraints and the cost of capital. In the second quarter of 2026 adjusted earnings were 0.43 dollars per share 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has six fully regulated transmission and distribution utilities and a large customer base, giving it predictable revenue and broad regional reach 3.
  • Quarterly and half-year results show disciplined operational execution, with top quartile reliability reported across the utilities 3.
  • The company has largely executed its 2026 financing plan, which supports investment without depending on favorable market conditions 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on regulatory decisions can delay cost recovery, and approval processes are described as lengthy and contestable 1.
  • Interest and depreciation costs rose in some segments, reducing utility-level earnings 23.
  • Some quarterly results were weaker than the prior year, showing sensitivity of profit to operating factors 2.

Opportunities

  • Rising energy demand could support new grid investment and solutions such as storage, if regulators approve them 3.
  • New rate requests could add revenue in the future, especially if investments are recognized as necessary 3.
  • Federal infrastructure funding programs offer possibilities, although timing and success of funding remain uncertain 1.

Threats

  • Regulatory proceedings can lead to rates lower than those requested, affecting cost recovery 1.
  • Cyber and physical threats to energy infrastructure are rising, and an incident could generate large costs 1.
  • Changes in energy policy and reduced federal funding could alter investment plans 13.

Risks

  • Regulatory decisionshigh

    Rate decisions may fall short of requests and approvals may be delayed, affecting recovery of investments.

  • Cybersecurity and physical securityhigh

    Attacks on networks and information systems could cause outages, revenue losses and remediation costs.

  • Compliance with reliability standardsmedium

    Failure to meet mandatory reliability standards could bring additional costs and financial penalties.

  • Litigation and reputationmedium

    Legal proceedings and public criticism could lead to harsher regulatory decisions and increased oversight.

  • Tax and federal fundingmedium

    Tax changes and cancelled federal grants could affect investment plans and financial results.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If approved rates keep supporting grid investment, adjusted earnings could move toward the upper end of the long-term growth range.
  • Growing energy demand may justify new regulated investment, expanding the company's rate base.
  • Solid financing execution and high grid reliability could reduce execution risk in the coming period.

What would break the thesis

  • If regulators approve rates lower than those requested, cost recovery could be delayed and profit affected.
  • High interest costs could reduce profit margins, especially if financing becomes more expensive.
  • A cyber or physical security incident could generate unexpected costs and lost revenue.

What to watch

  • Maryland commission decision on the BGE electric distribution rate request2027
  • Approval of the Pepco Maryland rate increase requestQ3 2026
  • Trend in interest costs and the planned debt issuanceQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Exelon Corporation, listed on Nasdaq as EXC, is a utility services holding company focused on electricity transmission and distribution and natural gas distribution. Its activity is organized into six reportable segments: ComEd, PECO, BGE, Pepco, DPL and ACE 12. Revenue is driven mainly by rates approved by regulatory commissions, and the company earns a regulated return on its grid investments 1. According to the results release, the company serves almost 11 million customers through six fully regulated utilities 3.

Market context

Exelon operates in regulated transmission and distribution markets, where revenue depends on rates approved by state and federal authorities 1. Energy demand is growing, according to the release, which makes grid investment a priority 3. Management tracks results against a regulated return on invested capital 1.

The regulatory environment remains central: if approved rates fall short of actual costs, cost recovery could be affected 1. Pending rate requests, such as the one in Maryland, show that the approval process remains a key variable for the coming period 23.

Trends

  • Rising energy demandtailwind

    The results release indicates that energy demand keeps growing, supporting the grid investment plan and solutions such as storage 3. If demand stays high, investments could be easier to justify before regulators.

  • Approved rate increasestailwind

    Approved rates at ComEd, BGE and PHI supported quarterly and half-year earnings in 2026 23. The effect, however, depends on future approvals, and new requests have uncertain timing.

  • Cost of debtheadwind

    Higher interest expense at PECO, PHI and the holding company emerged as a pressure on 2026 profitability 2. If interest rates stay high, profit margins could be thinner.

  • Regulatory and tax uncertaintymixed

    Results can be affected by regulatory decisions and tax reconciliations, including possible reductions in EDIT liabilities if the IRS methodology applies 1. The effect is mixed and depends on final decisions.

Competitive position

Exelon operates in regulated distribution zones, where direct competition between networks is limited by law. Real competition comes mainly from regulatory policy and from energy alternatives such as distributed solutions, which may change how customers use energy 1.

Comparison with other utilities depends on approved rates and service quality, and the release highlights top quartile reliability as an operational differentiator 3. The sources do not describe specific market competitors.

  • Other regulated US utilities

    The sources do not name direct competitors; comparison runs mainly through rates and network quality.

  • Distributed energy and storage solution providers

    The release mentions storage and virtual power plants as alternatives but names no specific firms.

  • Regional transmission operators

    Transmission activity is regulated; competition is limited by the legal framework.

  • Other natural gas providers in served areas

    The sources mention gas distribution in Pennsylvania, Maryland and Delaware, without other names.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 16 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Exelon Corporation · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Exelon Corporation · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Exelon Corporation · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.