olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

WEC Energy Group, Inc. WEC

Electric & Other Services Combined · SIC 4931 · Vertical: Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931)

118.11USD+2.35% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

WEC Energy Group is a diversified holding company with natural gas and electric utility operations serving 4.8 million customers in Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan and Minnesota. It reported second-quarter 2026 net income attributed to common shareholders of $299.2 million and reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61. A $37.5 billion capital plan for 2026 to 2030 relies heavily on demand from data centers.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) stock was 118.11 USD (+2.35% on the day), with market capitalisation 38.9 bn USD, P/E 24.6 on diluted EPS of 4.81 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.18%, beta 0.04, 52-week range 100.78–118.85 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.3 bn USD (+8.9% YoY), net income of 390.3 m USD (+44.4% YoY).

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
38.9 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
24.6
Diluted EPS TTM 4.81 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
4.07%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
3.18%
DPS 12m 3.75
Beta (2y)
0.04
Volatility (1y) 17%
52-week range
100.78118.85

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
73.3
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
101.42 – 118.71
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.97 · band width 15.7%
SMA 50 / 200
106.43 / 111.65
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.11 / 2.26
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.6%−1.1%+17.7 pp—
3 months+9.1%−0.5%+9.6 pp—
6 months+3.7%+4.4%−0.7 pp—
Year to date+12.0%+12.3%−0.3 pp—
1 year+5.6%+13.5%−8.0 pp+2.6%
3 years+40.7%+76.4%−35.7 pp+33.5%
5 years+30.0%+63.7%−33.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.2%
26 Jun 2026 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−29.4%
24 May 2022 → 13 Feb 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+5.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.3 bn USD
+8.9% YoY
Net income
390.3 m USD
+44.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
unavailable
unavailable YoY
net / operating
17.0% / 24.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.3 bn3.1 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn2.5 bn3.4 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn
Cost of revenue738.4 m1.2 bn570.5 m608.1 m921.5 m1.4 bn555.6 m651.2 m
Operating income590.9 m937.5 m404.9 m449.6 m452.9 m980.0 m432.8 m563.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation344.0 m359.9 m368.9 m373.4 m376.3 m379.8 m384.9 m389.0 m
Interest expense218.5 m223.0 m220.8 m223.6 m227.7 m228.5 m228.9 m241.7 m
Pre-tax income514.2 m786.2 m262.5 m304.6 m320.2 m859.2 m328.0 m437.3 m
Income tax61.1 m60.7 m19.5 m34.4 m3.4 m53.1 m27.0 m47.0 m
Net income453.1 m725.5 m243.0 m270.2 m316.8 m806.1 m301.0 m390.3 m
Diluted EPS1.43 ≈2.27 ≈0.75 ≈0.83 ≈0.97 ≈———
Operating cash flow581.8 m1.2 bn853.3 m ≈938.9 m ≈424.6 m1.2 bn992.3 m ≈1.2 bn ≈
Capex—701.1 m829.4 m ≈1.6 bn ≈—817.9 m1.3 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈
Dividends paid265.0 m283.6 m285.1 m ≈288.7 m ≈290.4 m310.1 m310.2 m ≈310.5 m ≈
Share repurchases01.3 m0 ≈0 ≈0———

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 93 percentile of its own 41-quarter history (min 16.1, median 21.3, max 27.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue7.7 bn7.5 bn7.2 bn8.3 bn9.6 bn8.9 bn8.6 bn9.8 bn
Revenue YoY+0.4%−2.0%−3.7%+14.8%+15.4%−7.3%−3.3%+14.0%
Net income1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn
Net income YoY−12.0%+7.0%+5.9%+8.1%+8.6%−5.5%+14.5%+2.0%
Diluted EPS3.343.583.794.114.454.224.834.81
Diluted EPS YoY−11.9%+7.2%+5.9%+8.4%+8.3%−5.2%+14.5%−0.4%
net %13.8%15.1%16.6%15.6%14.7%15.0%17.7%15.9%
Free cash flow28.4 m-183.5 m-678.3 m-340.0 m-636.2 munavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
27.6 m USD
Financial debt
20.4 bn USD
Net debt
20.4 bn USD
Equity
14.1 bn USD
Total assets
51.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.45x
Current ratio
0.59x
ROE
11.6%
ROA
3.1%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.9 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.2 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
5.7 bn ≈
2024
5.9 bn ≈
2025
6.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
3.2 bn ≈
2024
3.5 bn ≈
2025
3.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
726.9 m
2024
815.3 m
2025
895.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
204.6 m
2024
222.0 m
2025
118.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.22
2024
4.83
2025
4.81

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
315.9 m
2024
316.5 m
2025
323.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
3.12
2024
3.34
2025
3.57

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
42.9 m
2024
9.8 m
2025
27.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
31.6 bn
2024
34.6 bn
2025
38.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
17.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Total assets
2023
43.9 bn
2024
47.4 bn
2025
51.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
896.6 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
15.4 bn
2024
17.2 bn
2025
18.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
5.1 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
12.1 bn
2024
12.8 bn
2025
14.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2023verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-3.6 bn
2024
-3.8 bn
2025
-4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
522.8 m
2024
467.7 m
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
984.2 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
16.6 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
5.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
65.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
38.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
23.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
78.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
21.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
96.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
106 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
38.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
60.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
24.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 42 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

118.11 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 38.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
38.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2554derived 220

Score by group

  • Balance sheet30
  • Valuation21
  • Quality85
  • Growth27
  • Returns67

Estimated value range

Low
63.62
USD per share
Mid
88.65
USD per share
High
100.53
USD per share
Price: 118.11 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -24.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -33.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 46.91 – 123.96 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Dividend discount (DDM)46.91 – 63.09 (Mid 53.81)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA63.62 – 100.53 (Mid 88.65)
    8 companies used · median multiple 12.8x · quartiles 10.7x – 13.8x
    AEE, CMS, DUK, EVRG, EXC, LNT, NI, XEL
  • Peers: P/E104.81 – 123.96 (Mid 110.68)
    10 companies used · median multiple 20.1x · quartiles 19.0x – 22.5x
    AEE, CMS, DUK, ED, EVRG, EXC, LNT, NI, PEG, XEL
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 42/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.5%90 (vs peers)6%
Net margin · Quality17.6%80 (vs peers)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.7%27 (on a fixed band)6%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth2.6%26 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.4x38 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.6x32 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.5x0 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.4x27 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation15.3x13 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returns3.2%73 (vs peers)15%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns78.0%53 (on a fixed band)6%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet30/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth27/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns67/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation21/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

WEC ENERGY GROUP, INC. (WEC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 9.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 14.0%; net margin 17.6%; ROE 12.5%; net debt/EBITDA 5.4x.

The estimated value range is 63.62–100.53 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 88.65 USD, the price of 118.11 USD leaves a potential of -24.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -33.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 42/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 6.5%
  • Net margin: 17.6%
  • Dividend yield: 3.2%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 2.6%
  • Current ratio: 0.5x
  • P/E (TTM): 21.4x
  • EV/EBITDA: 15.3x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Electric & Other Services Combined (SIC 4931) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 4.6 bn and 292.4 bn (within 8× of the company's); 6 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.4x
vertical median 19.9x
above median (+7.7%)
EV/EBITDA
15.3x
vertical median 12.8x
above median (+19.1%)
P/S
3.8x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+37.2%)
P/B
2.6x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+27.8%)
ROE
12.5%
vertical median 10.1%
above median (+24.3%)
Net margin
17.6%
vertical median 13.6%
above median (+29.5%)
EBIT margin
23.5%
vertical median 22.0%
above median (+6.8%)
Revenue YoY
14.0%
vertical median 9.6%
above median (+45.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.4x
vertical median 5.3x
at median
Dividend yield
3.2%
vertical median 2.9%
above median (+9.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DUKDuke Energy CORP101.0 bn19.89.8%15.8%+5.6%+5% / +40%
XELXcel Energy Inc51.7 bn18.811.4%—+1.2%−2% / +32%
EXCExelon Corporation47.3 bn16.99.8%11.2%+5.3%−2% / +20%
EDConsolidated Edison Inc44.3 bn20.38.7%12.5%+10.9%+20% / +34%
WECWec Energy Group, Inc.38.9 bn21.412.5%17.6%+14.0%+6% / +41%
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated36.5 bn18.211.8%16.0%+18.3%−12% / +17%
PCGPg&E Corp35.9 bn9.69.7%12.3%+2.1%−17% / −22%
AEEAmeren Corp31.3 bn19.912.1%17.9%+15.4%+6% / +46%
CMSCms Energy Corp22.3 bn21.311.3%11.6%+13.6%−6% / +25%
NINiSource Inc.21.7 bn23.110.1%8.2%+23.5%+3% / +77%
EVRGEvergy, Inc.19.9 bn22.98.8%14.6%+2.0%+11% / +69%
LNTAlliant Energy Corp19.1 bn23.111.3%18.6%+9.6%+6% / +46%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WEC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
67.15
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
118.94
Total return 4% · Per year 4%
179.46
Total return 56% · Per year 56%
3 years
60.28
Total return -41% · Per year -16%
120.60
Total return 13% · Per year 4%
200.50
Total return 84% · Per year 22%
5 years
54.12
Total return -42% · Per year -10%
122.30
Total return 22% · Per year 4%
224.00
Total return 114% · Per year 16%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 30.15
  • Net margin± 21.11
  • Annual revenue growth± 17.98
  • Annual dilution± 1.77

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

WEC Energy Group is a diversified holding company with natural gas and electric utility operations serving 4.8 million customers in Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan and Minnesota 3. It reported second-quarter 2026 net income attributed to common shareholders of $299.2 million and reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance of $5.51 to $5.61 3. A $37.5 billion capital plan for 2026 to 2030 relies heavily on demand from data centers 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A large regulated asset base and a substantial capital plan give visibility into planned investment growth.
  • A diversified generation mix across coal, gas, renewables and purchase contracts reduces reliance on any single fuel.
  • The ATC stake and non-utility activities add income streams complementary to the regulated utilities.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends on regulatory approvals to recover costs, and some recent decisions have led to impairments.
  • High debt levels and financing needs for the capital plan are sensitive to capital market conditions.
  • Illinois operations have faced cost recovery difficulties that weighed on regional profitability.

Opportunities

  • Data center demand could significantly expand the utility's load base if the projects proceed.
  • Investment in gas, renewables and battery storage could support growth in the regulated rate base.
  • Gas infrastructure replacement and modernization programs could create further approved investment opportunities.

Threats

  • Changes in emissions policy and regulation could raise compliance costs or affect retirement plans.
  • Political pressure over energy affordability could limit the ability to recover costs through rates.
  • Geopolitical risks and fuel price volatility could affect generation and purchased power costs.

Risks

  • Cost recovery in regulatory proceedingshigh

    Regulators may disallow costs judged imprudent or delay recovery, which could affect results and financial condition 1.

  • Environmental and compliance costshigh

    Compliance with environmental laws and emissions requirements can involve substantial costs, and early retirement of assets could produce losses 1.

  • Execution of the capital planmedium

    Delivering a very large capital plan depends on approvals, supply chains and construction, and delays could slow anticipated growth 2.

  • Concentrated data center demandmedium

    Reliance on a small number of very large customers could create volatility if projects change or are postponed 2.

  • Capital market and interest rate exposurelow

    Large funding needs through debt and equity could be affected by market conditions, potentially raising the cost of capital 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If data center demand materializes, the capital plan could support sustained growth in the regulated rate base.
  • First-half 2026 results and the reaffirmed guidance could indicate solid operational execution.
  • Asset diversification and the ATC stake could offer relative protection against shocks in any single segment.

What would break the thesis

  • Unfavorable regulatory decisions could limit cost recovery and lead to further asset impairments.
  • The large investment program could increase debt and financing costs, which could compress margins.
  • If data center projects are delayed or scaled back, expected sales growth could fall short of estimates.

What to watch

  • Update to 2026 EPS guidanceQ3 2026
  • Progress of data center projects in Port Washington and southeastern Wisconsin2026
  • ICC decision on the proposed QIP rider settlement for PGL2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

At December 31, 2025 the company had six reportable segments and owned 8,375 MWs of generation capacity, including jointly owned facilities 1. Its generation mix includes coal, combined-cycle gas, gas and oil peaking units, renewables and a nuclear power purchase contract 1. Electricity is also supplied through participation in MISO Energy Markets 1.

The strategy emphasizes reliability, operating efficiency, financial discipline, environmental stewardship, customer care and safety, and the capital plan is meant to support regional economic growth 2. The company aims to eliminate coal as an energy source by the end of 2032 and targets net carbon neutral electric generation by 2050 1.

Segments

Wisconsin segment

The Wisconsin segment includes the electric and natural gas utility operations of WE, WPS, WG and UMERC and was the largest contributor to 2025 net income 1. Planned regulated renewable investment in Wisconsin totals about $12.6 billion for 2026 to 2030, including utility-scale solar and battery storage 2.

Illinois segment

Illinois operations through PGL and NSG were affected by a 2023 ICC rate order that disallowed certain capital costs, leading to impairment losses 1. In the fourth quarter of 2025 the company recorded a charge tied to a proposed settlement of QIP rider proceedings, subject to ICC approval 1.

Non-utility and ATC

Non-utility energy infrastructure through We Power, Bluewater and WECI, together with the ATC equity stake, contributes to earnings 1. The company expects its share of ATC capital expenditures over the next five years to be about $4.1 billion 1.

Market context

The core market is the Milwaukee-to-Chicago corridor, where demand growth comes from industrial investment and data centers. The company expects up to 2.6 GWs of load growth in that corridor through 2030 2. Microsoft has announced plans to invest over $20 billion in data centers in southeastern Wisconsin 2.

For 2026 the company forecasts retail electric sales excluding the Tilden mine to increase 1.6% under normal weather 1. Excluding very large data center customers, sales are expected to be relatively flat for 2026 1.

Trends

  • Data center demandtailwind

    Large data center projects in Wisconsin, such as the Port Washington campus, could add significant demand, and VLC tariffs approved in May 2026 are designed to protect other customers 2. If these projects expand, planned investment could increase.

  • Shift from coal to gas and renewablesmixed

    Retiring coal plants and replacing them with gas and renewables reflects environmental requirements, but also compliance costs and the risk of impairments on retired assets 1.

  • Cost of capital and financingheadwind

    A very large capital plan implies extensive debt and equity financing, and higher long-term debt reflects that need 21. Higher financing costs could weigh on margins.

  • Environmental policy and deregulationmixed

    The EPA is pursuing broad deregulation, but greenhouse gas rules remain relevant, and recent federal orders keeping certain coal plants running could affect retirement plans 1.

Competitive position

The company operates in regulated territories where direct competition is limited by assigned service areas, but it competes on generation cost through MISO market participation 1. Its generation cost relative to other participants determines how often its units are dispatched and whether it buys or sells power 1.

Competitive pressure also comes from alternative electric suppliers in Michigan, which can attract customers, and from supply options in regional markets 12. The strategy relies on reliability and customer service to sustain long-term contracts 2.

  • Other regional utilities

    The company is compared with other regulated Midwest utilities that participate in the MISO market, though the source does not name specific companies.

  • Alternative electric suppliers in Michigan

    Alternative suppliers can attract customers in areas where the company operates, such as the Upper Peninsula, according to the annual report.

  • MISO market operator and its participants

    The cost of generation relative to other MISO market participants determines the company's dispatch and energy trading.

  • Renewable and storage developers

    Solar, wind and storage projects can compete for capacity approvals and for contracts with large customers.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / WEC Energy Group, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / WEC Energy Group, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / WEC Energy Group, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.