olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Fluent, Inc. FLNT

Services-Advertising · SIC 7310 · Vertical: Services-Advertising (SIC 7310)

3.39USD−2.31% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Fluent, Inc. is a commerce media solutions provider that connects brands with engaged consumers through performance-based customer acquisition campaigns. The company is shifting its focus from its owned sites to Commerce Media Solutions, which now brings in most of its revenue, at a time when quarterly revenue has returned to growth while a going-concern warning remains in place.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Fluent, Inc. (FLNT) stock was 3.39 USD (−2.31% on the day), with market capitalisation 107.1 m USD, beta 0.54, 52-week range 1.72–4.27 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 48.4 m USD (+8.4% YoY), net income of -6.2 m USD, diluted EPS -0.20 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
107.1 m USD
shares as of 10 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.78 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-22.88%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.54
Volatility (1y) 75%
52-week range
1.724.27

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.34 – 3.50
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.90 · band width 39.9%
SMA 50 / 200
3.11 / 3.26
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.08 / -0.02
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+19.4%−1.1%+20.5 pp—
3 months−2.9%−0.5%−2.4 pp—
6 months+16.1%+4.4%+11.7 pp—
Year to date+41.3%+12.3%+28.9 pp—
1 year+69.5%+13.5%+56.0 pp−54.7%
3 years+2.7%+76.4%−73.7 pp−77.4%
5 years−77.4%+63.7%−141.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−48.6%
27 Jan 2026 → 29 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−90.1%
12 Nov 2021 → 23 May 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−25.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
48.4 m USD
+8.4% YoY
Net income
-6.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.20
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-12.7% / -10.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue64.5 m65.4 m55.2 m44.7 m47.0 m61.8 m44.9 m48.4 m
Cost of revenue48.9 m51.5 m43.8 m34.4 m36.2 m43.2 m34.8 m34.4 m
Research & development4.1 m3.6 m3.4 m2.3 m2.6 m2.9 m2.8 m3.0 m
Operating income-3.9 m-5.4 m-7.1 m-7.1 m-6.3 m163.0 k-3.9 m-5.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation2.4 m2.4 m2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m2.3 m1.7 m1.7 m
Interest expense1.3 m1.0 m880.0 k702.0 k711.0 k781.0 k605.0 k637.0 k
Pre-tax income-8.0 m-5.3 m-8.0 m-7.3 m-7.6 m-4.2 m-5.4 m-6.2 m
Income tax-35.0 k-1.9 m233.0 k-107.0 k-12.0 k-116.0 k3.0 k5.0 k
Net income-7.9 m-3.4 m-8.3 m-7.2 m-7.6 m-4.1 m-5.4 m-6.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.48-0.17 ≈-0.39-0.30-0.27-0.14 ≈-0.17-0.20
Operating cash flow1.2 m ≈-2.1 m2.1 m935.0 k ≈-7.3 m ≈2.8 m5.1 m-4.8 m ≈
Capex1.0 k ≈12.0 k031.0 k ≈17.0 k ≈21.0 k57.0 k31.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue250.3 m281.7 m310.7 m329.3 m361.1 m298.4 m254.6 m208.8 m
Revenue YoY+18.2%+12.5%+10.3%+6.0%+9.7%−17.4%−14.7%−18.0%
Net income-17.9 m-1.7 m2.2 m-10.1 m-123.3 m-63.2 m-29.3 m-27.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−555.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.020.03-0.13-1.51-4.59-1.80-1.05
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−533.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-7.2%-0.6%0.7%-3.1%-34.2%-21.2%-11.5%-13.0%
Free cash flow23.2 m23.9 m20.2 m12.4 m1.9 m8.1 m-14.1 m-1.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
12.9 m USD
Financial debt
34.6 m USD
Net debt
21.6 m USD
Equity
18.2 m USD
Total assets
89.1 m USD
Debt / equity
1.90x
Current ratio
1.04x
ROE
-125.9%
ROA
-29.7%
FCF margin
-0.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
298.4 m
2024
254.6 m
2025
208.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
219.9 m
2024
193.8 m
2025
157.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
78.5 m ≈
2024
60.8 m ≈
2025
51.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
18.5 m
2024
17.3 m
2025
11.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-60.1 m
2024
-23.7 m
2025
-20.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
10.9 m
2024
9.9 m
2025
9.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-49.3 m ≈
2024
-13.7 m ≈
2025
-10.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
3.2 m
2024
4.7 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-63.3 m
2024
-31.1 m
2025
-27.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-116.0 k
2024
-1.8 m
2025
-2.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-63.2 m
2024
-29.3 m
2025
-27.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-4.59
2024
-1.80
2025
-1.05

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
13.8 m
2024
16.3 m
2025
26.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
15.8 m
2024
9.4 m
2025
12.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
33.2 m
2024
26.1 m
2025
28.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
78.4 m
2024
66.0 m
2025
67.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
591.0 k
2024
304.0 k
2025
104.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.3 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
26.8 m
2024
21.8 m
2025
17.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
93.6 m
2024
93.6 m
2025
89.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.0 m
2024
8.8 m
2025
7.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
5.0 m
2024
31.6 m
2025
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
25.5 m
2024
4.0 m
2025
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
49.2 m
2024
64.7 m
2025
65.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
77.5 m
2024
68.7 m
2025
70.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
34.4 m †
2024
25.0 m †
2025
18.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
8.1 m
2024
-14.1 m
2025
-1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
25.0 k
2024
13.0 k
2025
69.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
8.1 m ≈
2024
-14.1 m ≈
2025
-1.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-7.1 m
2024
-6.2 m
2025
-6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-10.8 m
2024
15.2 m
2025
10.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-18.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-16.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-170.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-31.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-35.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-97.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
25.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-4.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
126.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-4.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
52 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
21 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
107.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
132.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-22.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
13.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

3.39 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 107.1 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
107.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
13.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-170.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-18.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 10 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1859derived 135

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Advertising (SIC 7310)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-35.7%40 (vs peers)24%
Net margin · Quality-11.5%38 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-16.7%0 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-5.5x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x7 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-4.0%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet3/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality39/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Fluent, Inc. (FLNT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 208.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -18.0%; net margin -11.5%; ROE -170.5%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -16.7%
  • Interest coverage: -5.5x
  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • FCF yield: -4.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Advertising (SIC 7310) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 13 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+35.3%)
P/B
13.2x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+2,678.4%)
ROE
-170.5%
vertical median -27.3%
below median
Net margin
-11.5%
vertical median -8.6%
below median
EBIT margin
-7.4%
vertical median -11.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
-18.0%
vertical median 4.7%
below median (−481.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CCOClear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.1.2 bn——-6.3%+6.6%unavailable / unavailable
MNTNMNTN, Inc.170.5 m13.919.7%18.0%+28.6%−24% / unavailable
EDHLEverbright Digital Holding Ltd.161.3 m—-70.8%-120.6%−32.6%−56% / unavailable
NCMINational Cinemedia, Inc.147.7 m—-2.2%-3.1%unavailable−64% / −61%
FLNTFluent, Inc.107.1 m—-170.5%-11.5%−18.0%+70% / +3%
THRYThryv Holdings, Inc.57.8 m—-7.6%-2.3%−4.7%−77% / −93%
TZOOTravelzoo54.5 m191.4—0.5%+9.3%−25% / −47%
IZEAIZEA Worldwide, Inc.40.8 m—-5.1%-9.4%−12.9%−53% / −3%
TNMGTNL Mediagene8.2 m—-155.9%-175.3%+35.3%−93% / −100%
INUVInuvo, Inc.7.3 m—-43.9%-8.6%+2.9%−85% / −85%
PSQHPSQ Holdings, Inc.6.5 m—-269.3%-132.7%+81.1%−90% / −98%
STFSStar Fashion Culture Holdings Limited6.3 m—-39.9%-13.7%+83.7%−8% / unavailable
IBTAIbotta, Inc.0—-5.7%-4.5%−6.8%+164% / unavailable
ANGIAngi Inc.——-27.3%-23.8%−13.0%−40% / −70%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FLNT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Fluent, Inc. is a commerce media solutions provider that connects brands with engaged consumers through performance-based customer acquisition campaigns. The company is shifting its focus from its owned sites to Commerce Media Solutions, which now brings in most of its revenue, at a time when quarterly revenue has returned to growth while a going-concern warning remains in place 123.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a proprietary database of self-declared user information and a technology platform built for performance marketing, which it describes as hard to replicate.
    • Commerce Media Solutions has grown quickly and now brings in most revenue, without Fluent bearing media inventory risk, thanks to exclusive long-term contracts.
    • Experience in buying media and producing content allows many campaigns at acceptable margins, according to the company.

    Weaknesses

    • The company carries a going-concern warning, and its funding depends on a receivables facility without a firm commitment from the lender.
    • Revenue from the O&O Sites is falling, and the segment's gross margin has been hit by high traffic acquisition costs.
    • The company has in the past struggled to meet its forecasts, which casts doubt on the accuracy of its growth plans.

    Opportunities

    • Extending Commerce Media into physical stores and new verticals such as travel, lifestyle and home services could open new revenue streams.
    • Margin gains as newer placements mature could improve profitability if the trend is confirmed.
    • Demand for advertising built on first-party data and closed-loop measurement could support long-term growth in the commerce media segment.

    Threats

    • A lender that can stop buying receivables could force the company to find alternative funding or reduce activity.
    • Competition in commerce media is intense, and established players could limit the company's growth.
    • Dependence on the app-based gaming industry exposes the company to regulatory or budget changes among a significant share of its clients.

    Risks

    • Doubt about going concernhigh

      Management and the auditor have flagged substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern. If funding is not available, the company could be unable to meet its obligations.

    • Reliance on a lender without a firm commitmenthigh

      The receivables facility depends on the lender's decision, which is not obliged to advance funds against every receivable. A reduction in availability could seriously affect liquidity.

    • Declining traffic on owned sitesmedium

      Fewer registrations and high traffic acquisition costs could keep eroding revenue and profitability in the traditional segment.

    • Concentration in the gaming industrymedium

      A significant part of revenue comes from advertisers in app-based gaming. Regulatory, preference or app store policy changes could reduce their budgets.

    • Data privacy and telemarketing regulationmedium

      Laws on privacy, telemarketing and text messaging may limit how the company and its clients use consumer data, affecting demand and legal exposure.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If Commerce Media Solutions keeps growing and margins hold, the company could show that its new model can support steadier revenue than the traditional segment.
    • Consolidated revenue returning to growth in the second quarter and improving gross margin could suggest the transition strategy is starting to work.
    • Entry into commerce media in physical stores could open a new revenue stream if it can be scaled in the second half of the year.

    What would break the thesis

    • The going-concern warning and dependence on a lender with no obligation to advance funds could seriously limit the company's flexibility.
    • Continued decline in O&O Sites revenue and a history of missing forecasts could mean growth plans prove too optimistic.
    • Concentration on Commerce Media, a relatively new segment with established rivals, could be harder to sustain if competitive pressure increases.

    What to watch

    • Evolution of the receivables facility with Bay View and whether funding stays availableQ3 2026
    • Growth rate and gross margin of Commerce Media Solutions after the second quarterQ3 2026
    • Launch and first results of the in-store commerce media offering2026
    • Delivery of the guidance for full-year double-digit revenue growth and improved adjusted EBITDAnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Fluent provides customer acquisition services through digital marketing campaigns, mainly priced per click, per lead or per action. The business rests on two channels: Commerce Media Solutions, which places ads in the transaction flow of partner sites and apps under exclusive long-term contracts, and its owned and operated sites (O&O Sites), where the company bears the cost of traffic. The Call Solutions business was sold on January 31, 2026, and AdParlor, now known as Trevant, is a non-core activity 12.

    The revenue model has changed noticeably in recent years. In fiscal 2025 Commerce Media Solutions represented approximately 39% of consolidated revenue, up from approximately 16% the year before, and the company expects it to make up a majority of revenue in 2026 1. The O&O Sites have declined as traffic sourcing became harder and as compliance measures followed the FTC Consent Order 1.

    The company points to its proprietary technology, its database of self-declared user information and its experience in buying media as its main strengths. For clients in app-based gaming, the company relies heavily on app-install advertising, which makes the mix of its client base an important factor to watch 1.

    Segments

    Commerce Media Solutions

    This is the main and fastest-growing segment. Revenue in the first half of 2026 rose 96% to 56.4 million USD, and in the second quarter it rose 90% to 30.5 million USD, representing 63% of consolidated revenue. Gross margin in the second quarter was 27% 23.

    Owned and operated sites (O&O Sites)

    Revenue from this segment fell in 2026, mainly because of lower availability of quality traffic and the strategic shift toward Commerce Media. The company describes it as a declining channel with high traffic acquisition costs 13.

    Trevant (AdParlor)

    This non-core business offers managed services for creator marketing and media buying on social platforms. Its share of revenue is not detailed in the sources provided, and the company treats it as a secondary activity 2.

    Market context

    According to forecasts cited by the company, US digital advertising spend is expected to reach about 381.99 billion USD in 2026, growing 10.6% from the prior year 1. Commerce media is growing faster than the overall market, from about 68 billion USD in 2025 to nearly 117 billion USD in 2029 1.

    Trends

    • Shift of budgets toward commerce mediatailwind

      Advertisers are moving budgets toward channels that offer measurable results and access to first-party data. If this trend holds, it could support demand for Commerce Media Solutions 1.

    • Privacy constraints and the end of third-party cookiesmixed

      Data regulation and the phase-out of third-party cookies limit the signals available to advertisers. The company sees this as favourable to first-party data, but it also reduces measurement visibility across the sector 1.

    • Unstable traffic on owned sitesheadwind

      Changes in traffic sources, regulatory constraints and a shortage of media supply have reduced registrations, and the company does not expect volumes to return to earlier levels 1. This is the main pressure on the traditional segment.

    • Improving margins in Commerce Mediatailwind

      Margins improved as newer placements matured and early-term incentives ended. If this continues, it could support a return to profitability, but the change is still recent 23.

    Competitive position

    The company says it operates in an intensely competitive industry where rivals include digital marketing firms, online media and traditional media companies. Commerce media already has established players, which makes entry and expansion more difficult for Fluent 1.

    The sources provided do not name competitors with market shares or comparable financial results. The company does note, however, that restrictions following the FTC order have put it at a disadvantage against rivals with broader access to traffic 1.

    • Established commerce media players (not named in the source)

      The company mentions established players in commerce media without naming them in the documents provided.

    • Performance marketing firms

      Direct competitors in performance marketing are described generically in the company's documents, without named identification.

    • Online and traditional media companies

      The company compares itself with publishers and media agencies that compete for the same advertising budgets.

    • Rivals with broader access to traffic

      The company states that traffic restrictions created a competitive disadvantage against rivals not subject to the same constraints.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Fluent, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Fluent, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Fluent, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.