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olivLaw · US equity research

Golar LNG Limited GLNG

Water Transportation · SIC 4400 · Vertical: Water Transportation (SIC 4400)

42.57USD−5.15% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Golar LNG designs, converts, owns and operates marine infrastructure for natural gas liquefaction, as a leading FLNG-as-a-service provider, with Adjusted EBITDA of 264.6 million USD in fiscal 2025. The company is mid-transition, and its long-term contract portfolio could support growth if the projects are completed on schedule.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) stock was 42.57 USD (−5.15% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.3 bn USD, P/E 65.7 on diluted EPS of -1.99 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.82, 52-week range 35.33–57.36 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
65.7
Diluted EPS TTM -1.99 · TTM to 31 Dec 2016
E/P (TTM)
-4.67%
TTM to 31 Dec 2016
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
0.82
Volatility (1y) 28%
52-week range
35.3357.36

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
32.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
42.93 – 48.26
below the lower band · %B -0.07 · band width 11.7%
SMA 50 / 200
48.59 / 49.55
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.13 / -1.10
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−14.9%−1.1%−13.8 pp—
3 months−16.6%−0.5%−16.1 pp—
6 months−22.6%+4.4%−27.0 pp—
Year to date+14.4%+12.3%+2.1 pp—
1 year+7.4%+13.5%−6.1 pp+21.5%
3 years+85.9%+76.4%+9.5 pp+56.7%
5 years+213.5%+63.7%+149.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−25.8%
12 May 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−34.1%
25 Aug 2022 → 28 Jun 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+25.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019⚠ 202020212022202320242025
Revenue430.6 m448.8 m261.4 m260.3 m267.7 m298.4 m260.4 m393.5 m
Revenue YoY+200.0%+4.2%—−0.4%+2.9%+11.5%−12.8%+51.1%
Net income-231.4 m-212.0 m-273.6 m413.9 m787.8 m-46.8 m50.8 m65.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailable+90.4%−105.9%unavailable+29.2%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-53.7%-47.2%-104.7%159.0%294.2%-15.7%19.5%16.7%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

The series breaks before 2020: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.2 bn USD
Financial debt
2.8 bn USD
Net debt
1.6 bn USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
5.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.33x
Current ratio
2.55x
ROE
3.0%
ROA
1.4%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
298.4 m
2024
260.4 m
2025
393.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
39.1 m
2024
12.3 m
2025
19.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
15.8 m
2024
62.2 m
2025
99.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
49.8 m
2024
53.1 m
2025
48.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
65.6 m ≈
2024
115.2 m ≈
2025
148.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
0
2024
0
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-1.3 m
2024
80.8 m
2025
116.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.9 m
2024
-18.0 k
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-46.8 m
2024
50.8 m
2025
65.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
106.6 m
2024
105.3 m
2025
109.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2022verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
679.2 m
2024
566.4 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2023verified

Current assets
2023
815.6 m
2024
739.9 m
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
931.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
2.3 m
2025
2.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
7.5 m
2024
198.9 m
2025
123.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
342.6 m
2024
521.3 m
2025
301.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
874.2 m
2024
931.0 m
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
545.8 m
2024
841.5 m
2025
555.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.5 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
104.6 m
2024
104.5 m
2025
101.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2022verified

Investing cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2022verified

Financing cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2022verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
51.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
13.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
60.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
29.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-56.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
37.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
25.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
16.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
10.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
3.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
5.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
65.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
65.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
11.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
40.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
59.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
15.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 32 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

42.57 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
65.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
40.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
16.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
51.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 26 Mar 2026
verified 472

Score by group

  • Quality38
  • Growth100
  • Valuation6
  • Balance sheet27

Estimated value range

Low
5.26
USD per share
Mid
8.90
USD per share
High
11.91
USD per share
Price: 42.57 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -79.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -378.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.26 – 11.91 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: P/E5.26 – 11.91 (Mid 8.90)
    13 companies used · median multiple 13.7x · quartiles 8.1x – 18.4x
    CCL, DLNG, FLNG, INSW, KEX, KNOP, MATX, NCLH, RCL, RUBI, TDW, TNK, VIK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Water Transportation (SIC 4400)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 32/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.8%20 (vs peers)16%
Net margin · Quality16.7%68 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth13.7%100 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet10.9x0 (vs peers)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.0x24 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation65.7x13 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation40.0x0 (vs peers)16%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet27/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality38/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation6/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

GOLAR LNG LIMITED (GLNG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 393.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 51.1%; net margin 16.7%; ROE 3.4%; net debt/EBITDA 10.9x.

The estimated value range is 5.26–11.91 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 8.90 USD, the price of 42.57 USD leaves a potential of -79.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -378.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 32/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 13.7%
  • Current ratio: 2.5x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 2.8%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 10.9x
  • Interest coverage: 3.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 65.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 40.0x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Water Transportation (SIC 4400) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 21 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
65.7x
vertical median 14.2x
above median (+363.5%)
EV/EBITDA
40.0x
vertical median 8.9x
above median (+351.2%)
P/S
11.0x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+492.8%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 2.0x
above median (+20.0%)
ROE
3.4%
vertical median 11.6%
below median (−70.7%)
Net margin
16.7%
vertical median 11.0%
above median (+52.3%)
EBIT margin
25.3%
vertical median 18.4%
above median (+37.5%)
Revenue YoY
51.1%
vertical median -2.4%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
10.9x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+2,064.1%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd89.1 bn19.741.7%23.8%+8.8%+25% / +210%
CCLCarnival Corp Ltd.42.1 bn13.724.0%11.4%+6.4%+21% / +108%
BIPBrookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P.11.2 bn42.07.7%11.0%+9.8%+5% / +44%
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.8.2 bn9.831.2%8.2%+3.7%−4% / +16%
MATXMatson, Inc.6.4 bn14.317.2%13.4%−2.3%+96% / +123%
KEXKirby Corporation6.3 bn18.410.4%10.2%+3.0%+5% / +56%
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc.4.7 bn6.037.4%62.0%−11.4%+78% / +107%
GLNGGolar Lng Limited4.3 bn65.73.4%16.7%+51.1%+7% / +86%
TDWTidewater Inc3.4 bn14.019.5%18.3%+0.5%+28% / +15%
SEAL-PASeapeak LLC2.0 bn76.8—4.1%−10.4%−2% / −2%
FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.1.4 bn18.89.8%21.5%−2.4%+2% / −11%
NATNORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd1.4 bn108.82.6%4.2%−16.6%+79% / +68%
GLOP-PAGasLog Partners LP1.2 bn—-1.7%-7.2%−21.9%−2% / +5%
CMDBCostamare Bulkers Holdings Limited430.2 m—-11.2%-6.3%unavailable+8% / unavailable
KNOPKNOT Offshore Partners LP288.4 m12.4—6.4%+14.4%−15% / +58%
EDRYEurodry Ltd.102.6 m—-4.0%—+8.9%+173% / +79%
OMEXOdyssey Marine Exploration, Inc.26.0 m——-13,366.3%−54.0%+437% / +200%
USEAUnited Maritime Corp22.2 m—-11.0%-16.4%−16.8%+40% / −4%
RUBIRubico Inc.682.3 k0.06.6%11.2%−2.8%−100% / unavailable
DLNGDynagas Lng Partners LP—2.212.9%—−100.0%−16% / +16%
VIKViking Holdings Ltd—33.5263.5%17.7%+21.9%+29% / unavailable
TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd.—8.118.5%36.9%−22.6%+42% / +65%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GLNG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
27.49
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
48.40
Total return 14% · Per year 14%
72.64
Total return 71% · Per year 71%
3 years
31.84
Total return -25% · Per year -9%
62.57
Total return 47% · Per year 14%
102.34
Total return 140% · Per year 34%
5 years
36.88
Total return -13% · Per year -3%
80.88
Total return 90% · Per year 14%
144.19
Total return 239% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 15.64
  • Net margin± 10.95
  • Annual revenue growth± 8.26
  • Annual dilution± 0.92

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (19 Oct 2026), 6-K (07 Oct 2026), 6-K (24 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Sept 2026), 6-K (19 Aug 2026).

In brief

Golar LNG designs, converts, owns and operates marine infrastructure for natural gas liquefaction, as a leading FLNG-as-a-service provider, with Adjusted EBITDA of 264.6 million USD in fiscal 2025 1. The company is mid-transition, and its long-term contract portfolio could support growth if the projects are completed on schedule 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the only provider with a proven track record of FLNG as a service, giving it a distinctive market position 1.
  • Long-term contracts paid in US dollars and governed by English law provide revenue visibility 1.
  • The Adjusted EBITDA backlog is substantial, with contracts running for many years 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenues depend on a limited number of customers, and losing one could seriously affect results 1.
  • The company relies on a limited number of contractors and shipyards with FLNG conversion experience 1.
  • Debt is significant and much of it is secured against the FLNG units, limiting financial flexibility 1.

Opportunities

  • Developing a fourth FLNG and expanding the commercial pipeline could open new markets and customers 1.
  • The strategic review could accelerate growth and unlock value for shareholders 1.
  • Heightened interest in energy security could support demand for gas monetization through FLNG 1.

Threats

  • Delays or cost overruns in the MKII conversion or the FLNG Hilli redeployment could affect results 1.
  • New entrants into FLNG could intensify competition and pressure contract terms 1.
  • Geopolitical risks and sanctions affecting Chinese shipyards could raise costs and disrupt schedules 1.

Risks

  • MKII FLNG conversion executionhigh

    The project is the first of its kind and depends on a single shipyard, so delays or cost overruns could affect revenues and the value of the asset under development 1.

  • FLNG Hilli transitionhigh

    The LTA expiry in July 2026 and redeployment to Argentina involve export, refurbishment and local compliance risks 1.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    A small number of customers generate revenue, and losing one could have significant effects on cash flows 1.

  • Access to financing and covenantsmedium

    The company may need new financing, and breaching covenants could trigger early repayments 1.

  • Currency and interest rate exposurelow

    Currency movements and SOFR volatility can affect results, and hedging instruments can generate losses 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Its position as the only proven FLNG-as-a-service provider, combined with contracted backlog, could support growth if projects are delivered on time 1.
  • If MKII enters service and the SESA contract for FLNG Hilli proceeds as planned, revenues could become more stable and predictable 1.
  • The strategic review could result in a valuation of the FLNG platform that benefits shareholders, though no outcome is assured 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Reliance on a few contracts and a small customer base means any delay or non-payment could have outsized effects 1.
  • Shipyard execution risks and rising costs could reduce the profitability of projects under way 1.
  • Asset-backed debt and financial covenants could limit flexibility and the ability to fund new projects 1.

What to watch

  • Progress of the MKII FLNG conversion at CIMC against budget and schedule2027
  • Redeployment of FLNG Hilli after LTA expiry and start of the SESA contract2027
  • Outcome of the strategic alternatives reviewnext 10-K
  • FLNG Gimi revenue trends and compliance with the LOA obligationsQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (19 Oct 2026), 6-K (07 Oct 2026), 6-K (24 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Sept 2026), 6-K (19 Aug 2026).

The business

Golar LNG now operates exclusively in FLNG after exiting LNG shipping, completing the sale of its last carrier, Golar Arctic, for 24.8 million USD in March 2025 1. Its model converts existing LNG carriers into floating liquefaction units offered to customers as a service, so gas resource owners can monetize reserves without upfront capital outlay 1. The company says its capex per ton of liquefaction capacity can be up to approximately 40% lower than land-based developments 1. Contracts are governed by English law, paid in US dollars, and operating costs are either covered by Golar or reimbursed by the customer 1.

The current fleet comprises FLNG Hilli, operating offshore Cameroon under an LTA expiring in July 2026, and FLNG Gimi, which reached COD in June 2025 and operates under a 20-year LOA with bp in the GTA Project 1. A third unit, Fuji LNG, is being converted into the MKII FLNG at CIMC, with delivery expected at the end of 2027 1. In March 2026 Golar initiated a formal review of strategic alternatives, with Goldman Sachs International as financial advisor, though there is no assurance of any outcome 1.

Revenues depend on a limited number of customers under long-term contracts, so performance rests on a few contractual relationships and on the execution of conversion projects 1. The company notes that the temporary revenue gap during FLNG Hilli's transition could narrow once the SESA contract starts in 2027 and MKII operations begin in 2028 1.

Segments

FLNG as a service

This is the main segment, where Golar provides liquefaction under fixed tariffs plus components linked to commodity prices; FLNG Hilli and FLNG Gimi are the units in operation, with nameplate capacities of about 2.45 and 2.7 mtpa respectively 1.

Conversions and projects in development

This covers the MKII FLNG, whose conversion at CIMC has an estimated budget of about 2.2 billion USD excluding financing costs, and a 20-year SESA contract with a fixed tariff of 400 million USD per year 1. This activity exposes the company to shipyard execution risk, as only a limited number of contractors are available 1.

Corporate and other

After the exit from shipping, legacy shipping activities were folded into Corporate and other, and the company also sold holdings such as Avenir LNG for 39.1 million USD in January 2025 1.

Market context

The company states that demand for additional FLNG capacity is rising and supports a commercial pipeline of units from roughly 2 to 5 mtpa, although FLNG projects involve long timelines and regulatory approvals 1. In the LNG sector, attention shifted in early 2026 from the US supply wave to energy diversification and security amid the war in the Middle East 1. Golar stresses that, although it is the only proven FLNG-as-a-service provider, the industry is early-stage and faces no significant competition for now 1.

If the number of FLNG units grows, as management expects, competition could increase as well, which could influence commercial terms for new contracts 1.

Trends

  • Rising gas demand amid energy security concernstailwind

    Tensions in the Middle East have shifted focus to diversification, which could support demand for gas monetization solutions including FLNG 1.

  • The US LNG capacity wavemixed

    Anticipated growth in liquefaction capacity, especially in the United States, could pressure LNG prices and the attractiveness of new projects 1.

  • Tariffs linked to commodity pricesmixed

    Variable contract components linked to Brent and TTF prices could raise revenues when prices are high, but also introduce variability 1.

  • Supply chain risk at shipyardsheadwind

    Conversion projects are affected by rising costs and supply chain constraints, which could delay projects or inflate budgets 1.

Competitive position

Golar says it does not currently face significant competition in FLNG as a service and is the only provider with a proven track record 1. It nevertheless expects more participants to enter the industry over time, which could intensify competition 1.

Indirect competition comes from land-based LNG projects, which FLNG can outperform on capital cost and on its ability to monetize small or geographically isolated reserves 1.

  • Land-based liquefaction projects

    Indirect competition comes from onshore LNG facilities, which are compared with FLNG on capital cost and flexibility 1.

  • Other FLNG developers

    The company expects other participants to enter the FLNG industry, which could increase competitive pressure 1.

  • Specialized shipyards

    Only a limited number of shipyards have the experience needed for FLNG conversions, making them both partners and a source of risk 1.

  • US LNG operators

    The US supply wave is a market factor influencing demand and prices for other liquefaction solutions 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Golar LNG Limited · 26 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.