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olivLaw · US equity research

Grindr Inc. GRND

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

14.01USD+7.19% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Grindr runs the social mobile platform built for the gay, bisexual and sexually explorative community, with users in more than 190 countries and territories. The company combines a freemium model with subscriptions and advertising, and grew quickly in fiscal 2025 and the first half of 2026, with its 2026 guidance raised. Current interest comes from its shift toward AI-driven products and its push into a wider set of services for the LGBTQ community.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Grindr Inc. (GRND) stock was 14.01 USD (+7.19% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.4 bn USD, P/E 27.6 on diluted EPS of 0.51 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.67, 52-week range 9.85–17.94 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 138.1 m USD (+32.5% YoY), net income of 17.7 m USD (+6.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.10 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.4 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.51 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.63%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.67
Volatility (1y) 45%
52-week range
9.8517.94

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
50.4
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
12.15 – 15.74
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.52 · band width 25.8%
SMA 50 / 200
14.75 / 13.64
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.50 / -0.51
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+3.5%−1.1%+4.6 pp—
3 months−21.2%−0.5%−20.8 pp—
6 months+3.9%+4.4%−0.5 pp—
Year to date+3.5%+12.3%−8.8 pp—
1 year+6.1%+13.5%−7.4 pp−15.2%
3 years+138.7%+76.4%+62.3 pp+0.8%
5 years+37.9%+63.7%−25.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−35.1%
10 Nov 2025 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−87.3%
18 Nov 2022 → 28 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
138.1 m USD
+32.5% YoY
Net income
17.7 m USD
+6.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.10
+25.0% YoY
net / operating
12.8% / 23.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue89.3 m97.6 m93.9 m104.2 m115.8 m126.0 m129.9 m138.1 m
Cost of revenue22.9 m24.0 m24.5 m27.4 m28.9 m31.7 m32.6 m34.6 m
Research & development8.8 m10.5 m10.3 m12.9 m11.1 m14.6 m15.9 m20.3 m
SG&A25.0 m38.4 m30.2 m36.5 m29.3 m47.3 m37.7 m49.9 m
Operating income28.4 m20.4 m25.4 m24.3 m45.2 m31.3 m42.7 m32.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.2 m4.3 m3.5 m3.1 m1.3 m1.1 m983.0 k895.0 k
Pre-tax income30.3 m-124.4 m31.6 m21.3 m39.9 m25.8 m35.9 m22.9 m
Income tax5.6 m-527.0 k4.6 m4.7 m9.1 m5.6 m9.2 m5.1 m
Net income24.7 m-123.9 m27.0 m16.6 m30.8 m20.3 m26.8 m17.7 m
Diluted EPS0.09-0.70 ≈0.090.080.160.11 ≈0.140.10
Operating cash flow29.1 m ≈29.5 m23.8 m37.5 m ≈55.4 m ≈24.8 m33.5 m40.8 m ≈
Capex324.0 k ≈246.0 k124.0 k192.0 k ≈208.0 k ≈222.0 k32.0 k0 ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈0132.0 m158.7 m ≈159.8 m ≈000 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 25 percentile of its own 4-quarter history (min 24.8, median 29.6, max 3,473.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue145.8 m195.0 m259.7 m344.6 m439.9 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+33.7%+33.2%+32.7%+27.6%
Net income5.1 m852.0 k-55.8 m-131.0 m94.8 m
Net income YoYunavailable−83.2%−6,645.5%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.030.01-0.32-0.740.43
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−66.7%−3,300.0%unavailableunavailable
net %3.5%0.4%-21.5%-38.0%21.5%
Free cash flow34.2 m50.2 m35.6 m94.0 m140.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
87.0 m USD
Financial debt
395.9 m USD
Net debt
308.8 m USD
Equity
47.0 m USD
Total assets
531.0 m USD
Debt / equity
8.42x
Current ratio
1.96x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
18.8%
FCF margin
32.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
259.7 m
2024
344.6 m
2025
439.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
67.5 m
2024
87.6 m
2025
112.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
192.2 m ≈
2024
257.1 m ≈
2025
327.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
29.3 m
2024
32.8 m
2025
48.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
80.4 m
2024
114.7 m
2025
143.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
55.4 m
2024
92.6 m
2025
126.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
27.0 m
2024
16.9 m
2025
8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
82.5 m ≈
2024
109.5 m ≈
2025
135.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-51.7 m
2024
-118.3 m
2025
118.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
4.0 m
2024
12.7 m
2025
23.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-55.8 m
2024
-131.0 m
2025
94.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.32
2024
-0.74
2025
0.43

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
174.2 m
2024
175.9 m
2025
195.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
27.6 m
2024
59.2 m
2025
87.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
33.9 m
2024
49.6 m
2025
67.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
71.8 m
2024
117.0 m
2025
166.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.6 m
2024
1.7 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
275.7 m
2024
275.7 m
2025
275.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
82.3 m
2024
69.9 m
2025
65.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
444.6 m
2024
479.1 m
2025
531.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.5 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
15.0 m
2024
15.0 m
2025
20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
325.6 m
2024
275.6 m
2025
375.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
60.6 m
2024
67.8 m
2025
84.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
462.9 m
2024
610.7 m
2025
484.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
-18.3 m
2024
-131.6 m
2025
47.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
36.1 m
2024
95.0 m
2025
141.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
509.0 k
2024
945.0 k
2025
746.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
35.6 m ≈
2024
94.0 m ≈
2025
140.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.2 m
2024
-5.3 m
2025
-8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-13.0 m
2024
-58.9 m
2025
-105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
450.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
27.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
31.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
36.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
380.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
250.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
49.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
74.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
30.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
30.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
108.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
18.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
40.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
379.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
154.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
462.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
154.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
161.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
99.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
7 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
2.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
25.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
18.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
15.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 75 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.01 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
108.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
27.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 781derived 62

Score by group

  • Valuation65
  • Balance sheet18
  • Quality91
  • Growth95
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
2.33
USD per share
Mid
8.72
USD per share
High
18.10
USD per share
Price: 14.01 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -37.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -60.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.56 – 21.18 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.56 – 21.18 (Mid 6.19)
    16 companies used · median multiple 2.9x · quartiles 0.9x – 8.0x
    APP, BMBL, DOCN, FDS, GOOGL, LGCL, MGNI, MTCH, RXT, RZLV, SANG, SIFY, SST, TRIP, WB, ZIP
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA4.10 – 15.02 (Mid 11.24)
    8 companies used · median multiple 15.0x · quartiles 7.0x – 19.2x
    APP, DOCN, FDS, LGCL, MGNI, TRIP, WB, ZIP
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 75/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality74.9%87 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality29.8%86 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality30.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth31.1%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth27.6%85 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.4x18 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x18 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation5.5x39 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation6.3%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.6%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet18/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth95/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality91/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation65/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

Grindr Inc. (GRND). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 439.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 27.6%; net margin 18.7%; ROE 108.7%; net debt/EBITDA 2.4x.

The estimated value range is 2.33–18.10 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 8.72 USD, the price of 14.01 USD leaves a potential of -37.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -60.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 75/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 74.9%
  • EBIT margin: 29.8%
  • FCF margin: 30.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 31.1%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 27.6%
  • FCF yield: 6.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.6%

What contradicts it

  • Net debt / EBITDA: 2.4x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
27.6x
vertical median 21.9x
above median (+26.1%)
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
vertical median 15.0x
above median (+20.4%)
P/S
4.8x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+122.5%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.8x
ROE
108.7%
vertical median 2.8%
above median (+3,796.1%)
Net margin
18.7%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+738.6%)
EBIT margin
29.8%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+1,476.8%)
Revenue YoY
27.6%
vertical median 6.9%
above median (+303.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.4x
vertical median 0.1x
above median (+4,203.8%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.3,552.1 bn15.144.3%50.0%+15.1%−10% / +118%
APPAppLovin Corporation90.0 bn18.3210.1%65.9%+70.0%−55% / +625%
NBISNebius Group N.V.35.8 bn428.82.1%15.6%+479.0%+49% / unavailable
FDSFactset Research Systems Inc12.1 bn23.525.5%21.5%+6.7%+23% / −25%
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn281.35.1%3.1%+15.5%+89% / +184%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.9.1 bn13.7—20.7%+0.2%+21% / +24%
SOGPSound Group Inc.8.8 bn350.370.4%7.1%+59.4%−21% / +265%
SIFYSify Technologies Ltd5.8 bn—-4.1%-2.0%+9.0%+20% / +53%
WIXWix.com Ltd.4.4 bn91.5—2.5%+13.2%−16% / −21%
MGNIMagnite, Inc.3.3 bn19.920.4%23.6%+6.9%+55% / +182%
GRNDGrindr Inc.2.4 bn27.6108.7%18.7%+27.6%+6% / +139%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn34.05.8%8.2%+13.9%+29% / −59%
BZKanzhun Limited1.7 bn41.616.0%33.1%+17.3%−21% / +6%
WBWeibo Corporation1.6 bn3.812.1%25.6%+0.1%−35% / −36%
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.1.2 bn—-78.9%-28,867.7%+1.8%−61% / −74%
TRIPTripadvisor, Inc.1.2 bn332.10.8%0.3%+3.1%−31% / −43%
SMWBSimilarweb Ltd.766.1 m—-129.6%-11.7%+13.1%+13% / +75%
BMBLBumble Inc.718.8 m—-85.9%-61.8%−9.9%+69% / −57%
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc.716.2 m——-5.9%−1.9%+165% / +123%
NEXNNexxen International Ltd.513.3 m22.25.0%6.9%−0.2%+41% / +151%
RZLVRezolve AI plc460.8 m—-98.7%-216.7%+2,224.2%−55% / −87%
YALAYalla Group Limited413.9 m6.819.6%43.3%+0.7%−20% / −6%
ZIPZiprecruiter, Inc.321.9 m12.9—6.2%−5.3%−5% / −66%
BLNDBlend Labs, Inc.302.7 m——-3.3%+6.8%−59% / +1%
SSTSystem1, Inc.161.0 m—-581.6%-50.7%−22.6%−53% / −88%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GRND from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
9.91
Total return -29% · Per year -29%
17.44
Total return 24% · Per year 24%
26.15
Total return 87% · Per year 87%
3 years
11.75
Total return -16% · Per year -6%
23.06
Total return 65% · Per year 18%
37.66
Total return 169% · Per year 39%
5 years
13.94
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
30.50
Total return 118% · Per year 17%
54.23
Total return 287% · Per year 31%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 5.76
  • Net margin± 4.04
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.01
  • Annual dilution± 0.34

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Grindr runs the social mobile platform built for the gay, bisexual and sexually explorative community, with users in more than 190 countries and territories. The company combines a freemium model with subscriptions and advertising, and grew quickly in fiscal 2025 and the first half of 2026, with its 2026 guidance raised. Current interest comes from its shift toward AI-driven products and its push into a wider set of services for the LGBTQ community.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Grindr has a large, engaged user base, a brand well known in the LGBTQ community and a first-mover advantage in its niche. High margins and positive cash flow are supported by a subscription-based revenue model and low user acquisition costs.
  • Organic growth through word-of-mouth referrals reduces reliance on paid advertising. The company also has a global presence across many countries, which lets it test new products on a broad base.
  • Grindr has its own data infrastructure and a clear artificial intelligence strategy, which could allow it to deliver differentiated features compared with competitors.

Weaknesses

  • A significant part of revenue depends on subscriptions paid by a relatively small share of users, which makes the company sensitive to changes in paying-user behavior.
  • The company relies on the Apple App Store and Google Play Store for distribution and payments, which could limit its flexibility and margins.
  • The company's reputation has been affected by privacy inquiries and litigation, and handling illegal or inappropriate content remains an operational challenge.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into neighboring sectors such as health, travel or events could diversify revenue and deepen relationships with existing users.
  • Artificial intelligence could create new premium products that raise average revenue per paying user, if the market adopts them.
  • Fast-growing economies and untapped GBTQ communities in new regions offer potential for a larger user base, especially where local rules allow access.

Threats

  • Government restrictions and actions against the LGBTQ community in some countries could block or limit access to the app, reducing the user base.
  • Data protection rules, consumer protection laws and health requirements could raise costs and limit products.
  • Competition in social networks and dating apps is intense, and if a rival offers more attractive features, the company could lose users.

Risks

  • Dependence on app storeshigh

    Distribution and payments run largely through the Apple App Store and Google Play Store. If these platforms change their terms or restrict the app, revenue could be directly affected.

  • Privacy regulationhigh

    Data protection authorities in several countries have examined the company, and the legal framework is changing rapidly. Real or perceived breaches could lead to fines, product changes and loss of users.

  • Health products and compliancemedium

    The Woodwork service involves compounded medications and treatments that are strictly regulated. If compliance gaps arise, the company could face penalties or be forced to change its offering.

  • Execution risk of new productsmedium

    Investments in artificial intelligence and new products do not guarantee commercial success. If new features fail to attract users or paying customers, spending could outweigh the additional revenue.

  • Concentrated ownership and voting powerlow

    A concentrated shareholder base can limit other shareholders' influence over company decisions, and sales of shares by major shareholders could affect the share price.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If revenue and paying-user growth continue and the raised 2026 guidance is met, the company could keep combining growth with high margins.
  • If its AI-driven features and the Edge product are adopted, average revenue per paying user could rise and monetization could diversify.
  • If advertising keeps growing as a share of revenue, the company could reduce its dependence on subscriptions and attract brands interested in the GBTQ community.

What would break the thesis

  • If legal restrictions or anti-LGBTQ policies spread in more countries, access to the app could decline and the user base could stagnate.
  • If data and health regulation becomes stricter, compliance costs could rise and new products could be limited.
  • If competitors launch similar or more attractive features, Grindr could lose user engagement and conversion to paying users.

What to watch

  • Growth pace of paying users and average revenue per paying userQ3 2026
  • Delivery of the raised 2026 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance2026
  • User adoption of the Edge product and Grindr AI features2026
  • Outcome of the NLRB labor proceedings and the evolution of privacy inquiriesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Grindr operates the Grindr platform, a location-based social network where users create a profile, find people nearby or anywhere in the world, and chat. The app is free, while premium features are sold through the Grindr XTRA and Grindr Unlimited subscriptions and through pay-per-use add-ons. The company describes its digital 'gayborhood' as central to its users' social lives, and growth has been largely organic, driven by word-of-mouth referrals. In May 2025 Grindr launched Woodwork, a telehealth subscription service for health and wellness, as its first gayborhood expansion.

Revenue comes from two streams: direct revenue, paid by users for subscriptions and premium features, and indirect revenue, earned from advertising, both third-party and first-party. Direct revenue made up 83.3% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, against 16.7% from indirect revenue, with advertising's share growing over prior years. The company also reports average direct revenue per paying user of 24.25 dollars in fiscal 2025, showing that monetization relies mainly on paying users.

On the social side, Grindr runs the Grindr for Equality program, which funds campaigns for marriage equality, distributes HIV self-test kits and supports public health work. The company presents these activities as part of its mission and as a way to strengthen its brand within the community.

Segments

Direct revenue (subscriptions and add-ons)

Direct revenue was 83.3% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, slightly down from 84.4% in 2024. In the first half of 2026 the company reported app-based revenue at 82.0% of the total, indicating that advertising's share has been rising.

Indirect revenue (advertising)

Advertising revenue was 16.7% of the total in fiscal 2025 and includes both first-party and third-party advertising. The company sells in-app banners and full-screen interstitials, typically on a CPM basis, and advertising reached 18.0% of revenue in the first half of 2026.

Market context

Grindr targets the entire global GBTQ population, not only users of dating apps, and the company points to this community's substantial purchasing power as an attraction for brands and advertisers. A growing number of people identifying as GBTQ and broader social acceptance could, in the company's view, expand the market. The market remains limited, however, by legal restrictions in many countries that could reduce access to the app.

Of the more than 190 countries and territories where users are found, only a small number allow same-sex couples to marry, which underlines how varied the regulatory environment is. The company aims to grow its user base in regions with many potential users and fast-growing economies, but the pace of that expansion depends on local conditions.

Trends

  • Artificial intelligence in the productmixed

    The company is building a technical foundation called Grindr AI, with products such as A-List and Edge, aimed at improving the experience and monetization. If users accept these features, they could support growth in subscription revenue, but the investments may not deliver the expected results.

  • Growth in paying userstailwind

    Average paying users grew 16.9% in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 the company reported growth of 16.1% over the comparable period. If the conversion rate from free to paying users holds, subscription revenue could keep growing.

  • Data protection and health regulationheadwind

    Grindr has received inquiries from data protection authorities in several European countries and the United Kingdom, and expansion into health services adds further obligations. These requirements could raise compliance costs and could limit certain products.

Competitive position

Grindr describes itself as the most widely used social platform dedicated to the GBTQ community, and its advantage comes from being an early mover with a well-known brand. However, the landscape of social networks and dating apps is highly competitive, and rivals can quickly launch similar products or target the same audience.

The company notes that several early social networks and dating apps have since seen slower growth or declining user bases, which could affect Grindr if engagement falls. Competition plays out across products, partnerships and the recruitment of talent.

  • General-purpose social networks

    Global social networks compete for users' time and attention without focusing on the GBTQ community, as the company's annual report describes.

  • Dating and meeting apps

    Dating apps compete directly for users seeking relationships or casual connections, and many of them are named in the report as industry competitors.

  • Online telehealth and health services

    As Grindr expands Woodwork into health, it faces online medical providers offering similar treatments and prescription medications.

  • Digital advertising platforms

    Indirect revenue depends on other advertising platforms competing for brand budgets aimed at LGBTQ audiences.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 13 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report30 Sept 2026
    Acquisition or disposition of assets · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Other events
  • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report05 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Jun 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report08 May 2026
  • Current report07 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Grindr Inc. · 02 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Grindr Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Grindr Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.