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olivLaw · US equity research

Tripadvisor, Inc. TRIP

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

10.20USD+8.05% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Tripadvisor Group is a global travel platform connecting travelers with experiences, accommodations and restaurants, with a focus on the Viator experiences marketplace. In 2026 the company is simplifying its portfolio, including the pending sale of TheFork to American Express Travel for 700.0 million USD, while quarterly revenue fell to 441.9 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Tripadvisor, Inc. (TRIP) stock was 10.20 USD (+8.05% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn USD, P/E 332.1 on diluted EPS of 0.03 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.57, 52-week range 8.04–15.85 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 441.9 m USD (−7.2% YoY), net income of 22.4 m USD (−37.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.19 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
332.1
Diluted EPS TTM 0.03 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.30%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.57
Volatility (1y) 58%
52-week range
8.0415.85

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
67.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
8.53 – 9.95
above the upper band · %B 1.18 · band width 15.4%
SMA 50 / 200
9.05 / 10.96
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.14 / 0.05
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.0%−2.0%+18.0 pp—
3 months−27.1%−2.2%−24.9 pp—
6 months−8.8%+4.3%−13.0 pp—
Year to date−29.9%+10.6%−40.5 pp—
1 year−31.1%+10.5%−41.6 pp−12.5%
3 years−35.2%+73.7%−108.9 pp−13.4%
5 years−70.9%+61.7%−132.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−49.3%
12 Nov 2025 → 23 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.9%
08 Nov 2021 → 23 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−21.9%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
441.9 m USD
−7.2% YoY
Net income
22.4 m USD
−37.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.19
−32.1% YoY
net / operating
5.1% / 8.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue532.0 m411.0 m398.2 m476.0 m553.0 m411.0 m382.4 m441.9 m
Cost of revenue40.0 m28.0 m26.8 m36.5 m41.0 m35.0 m32.8 m33.0 m
SG&A———14.1 m———13.1 m
Operating income70.0 m0-15.5 m57.9 m70.0 m-34.0 m-25.2 m37.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation21.0 m22.0 m21.3 m17.7 m24.0 m24.0 m24.6 m18.5 m
Interest expense13.0 m11.0 m11.7 m17.3 m17.0 m16.0 m15.7 m15.0 m
Pre-tax income66.0 m-1.0 m-20.3 m44.9 m63.0 m-45.0 m-31.6 m28.1 m
Income tax27.0 m-2.0 m-9.3 m8.4 m10.0 m-7.0 m800.0 k5.3 m
Net income39.0 m1.0 m-11.0 m36.0 m53.0 m-38.0 m-32.4 m22.4 m
Diluted EPS0.270.01 ≈-0.080.280.43-0.31 ≈-0.280.19
Operating cash flow-43.0 m ≈-3.0 m101.7 m201.8 m ≈44.5 m ≈-103.0 m117.8 m143.7 m ≈
Capex20.0 m ≈23.0 m19.0 m15.3 m ≈28.7 m ≈19.0 m16.5 m6.0 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈0——0 ≈50.0 m——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 87 percentile of its own 23-quarter history (min 25.5, median 61.7, max 874.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.6 bn1.6 bn604.0 m902.0 m1.5 bn1.8 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn
Revenue YoY+3.8%−3.4%−61.3%+49.3%+65.4%+19.8%+2.6%+3.1%
Net income113.0 m126.0 m-289.0 m-148.0 m20.0 m10.0 m5.0 m40.0 m
Net income YoYunavailable+11.5%−329.4%unavailableunavailable−50.0%−50.0%+700.0%
Diluted EPS0.810.89-2.14-1.080.140.080.040.31
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+9.9%−340.4%unavailableunavailable−42.9%−50.0%+675.0%
net %7.0%8.1%-47.8%-16.4%1.3%0.6%0.3%2.1%
Free cash flow344.0 m341.0 m-249.0 m54.0 m344.0 m172.0 m70.0 m163.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
978.0 m USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
194.2 m USD
Equity
644.9 m USD
Total assets
2.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.82x
Current ratio
1.29x
ROE
5.0%
ROA
1.5%
FCF margin
8.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
119.0 m
2024
128.0 m
2025
145.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.7 bn ≈
2024
1.7 bn ≈
2025
1.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
126.0 m
2024
92.0 m
2025
80.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
87.0 m
2024
85.0 m
2025
92.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
213.0 m ≈
2024
177.0 m ≈
2025
172.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
44.0 m
2024
46.0 m
2025
63.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
125.0 m
2024
87.0 m
2025
45.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
115.0 m
2024
82.0 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
10.0 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
40.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.08
2024
0.04
2025
0.31

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
144.8 m
2024
145.0 m
2025
131.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.00
2024
0.00
2025
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
978.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2023
192.0 m
2024
207.0 m
2025
174.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
191.0 m
2024
200.0 m
2025
164.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
829.0 m
2024
814.0 m
2025
724.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
43.0 m
2024
36.0 m
2025
33.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
28.0 m
2024
49.0 m
2025
16.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
5.0 m
2025
353.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
839.0 m
2024
831.0 m
2025
819.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
572.0 m
2024
628.0 m
2025
998.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Equity
2023
871.0 m †
2024
942.8 m †
2025
644.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
235.0 m
2024
144.0 m
2025
245.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
63.0 m
2024
74.0 m
2025
82.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
172.0 m ≈
2024
70.0 m ≈
2025
163.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-63.0 m
2024
-73.0 m
2025
-84.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-127.0 m
2024
-63.0 m
2025
-197.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
100.0 m
2024
25.0 m
2025
90.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
700.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
26.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
675.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
30.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
132.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
92.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-18.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
203.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
70.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
132.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
2,656.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
145.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
53 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
200 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
239.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
332.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
24.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
9.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 67 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

10.20 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
332.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2174derived 141

Score by group

  • Balance sheet65
  • Growth35
  • Quality64
  • Returns100
  • Valuation94

Estimated value range

Low
12.20
USD per share
Mid
19.78
USD per share
High
40.81
USD per share
Price: 10.20 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 93.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 48.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 12.14 – 51.46 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)28.89 – 51.46 (Mid 36.84)
    WACC 7.6% · starting FCFF 186.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales12.20 – 40.81 (Mid 19.78)
    16 companies used · median multiple 1.3x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.7x
    BMBL, CDLX, FDS, FLUT, GMM, GOOGL, GRND, HCAT, MGNI, NIQ, PPLI, SABR, SANG, SNAP, WB, ZIP
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA12.14 – 21.67 (Mid 18.03)
    9 companies used · median multiple 15.0x · quartiles 10.1x – 18.0x
    APP, FDS, FLUT, GMM, GRND, MGNI, NIQ, SABR, WB
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 67/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality92.1%100 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality2.7%54 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality7.4%30 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.2%33 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth3.1%39 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.1x86 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x45 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation0.7x89 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation11.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.2%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet65/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth35/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation94/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

TRIPADVISOR, INC. (TRIP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.1%; net margin 0.3%; ROE 0.8%; net debt/EBITDA -0.1x.

The estimated value range is 12.20–40.81 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 19.78 USD, the price of 10.20 USD leaves a potential of 93.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 48.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 67/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 92.1%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.1x
  • EV/Sales: 0.7x
  • FCF yield: 11.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 4.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF margin: 7.4%

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
332.1x
vertical median 21.2x
above median (+1,469.0%)
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
vertical median 15.3x
below median (−44.8%)
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 1.5x
below median (−54.8%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+6.4%)
ROE
0.8%
vertical median -1.9%
above median
Net margin
0.3%
vertical median 0.1%
above median (+145.7%)
EBIT margin
2.7%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+39.7%)
Revenue YoY
3.1%
vertical median 6.2%
below median (−50.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.1x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−107.2%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 0.4%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.3,442.7 bn14.644.3%50.0%+15.1%−13% / +111%
APPAppLovin Corporation82.3 bn18.9203.7%64.6%+70.0%−59% / +555%
FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc14.2 bn—-9.1%-5.0%+16.6%−61% / −48%
FDSFactset Research Systems Inc12.1 bn23.525.5%21.5%+6.7%+23% / −25%
SNAPSnap Inc10.2 bn—-15.6%-4.9%+10.6%−23% / −57%
NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plc6.0 bn—-65.3%-8.0%+5.7%+29% / unavailable
SIFYSify Technologies Ltd5.8 bn—-4.1%-2.0%+9.0%+20% / +53%
WIXWix.com Ltd.4.4 bn91.5—2.5%+13.2%−16% / −21%
MGNIMagnite, Inc.3.3 bn21.919.6%22.5%+6.9%+55% / +182%
GRNDGrindr Inc.2.4 bn27.6108.7%18.7%+27.6%+9% / +108%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn34.05.8%8.2%+13.9%+29% / −59%
BZKanzhun Limited1.7 bn41.616.0%33.1%+17.3%−21% / +6%
WBWeibo Corporation1.6 bn3.812.1%25.6%+0.1%−35% / −36%
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.1.2 bn—-78.9%-28,867.7%+1.8%−61% / −74%
TRIPTripadvisor, Inc.1.2 bn332.10.8%0.3%+3.1%−31% / −35%
HSTMHealthstream Inc949.7 m45.46.0%6.6%+4.3%+29% / +30%
NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc934.4 m—-7.2%-11.1%+4.2%unavailable / unavailable
CEVACeva, Inc.788.9 m—-3.6%-9.5%+2.5%+30% / +29%
BMBLBumble Inc.718.8 m—-94.7%-58.0%−9.9%+69% / −57%
SABRSabre Corporation702.2 m1.1—25.1%+1.0%+8% / −51%
YALAYalla Group Limited413.9 m6.819.6%43.3%+0.7%−20% / −6%
ZIPZiprecruiter, Inc.321.9 m12.9—6.2%−5.3%−5% / −66%
MFMindForge Inc.172.5 m—-167.2%-222.9%−49.9%−83% / unavailable
SANGSangoma Technologies Corp150.7 m—-1.9%-2.1%−4.3%−13% / +55%
HCATHealth Catalyst, Inc.119.7 m—-118.1%-90.6%+1.5%−47% / −78%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TRIP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
8.69
Total return -15% · Per year -15%
15.33
Total return 50% · Per year 50%
23.06
Total return 126% · Per year 126%
3 years
9.08
Total return -11% · Per year -4%
17.96
Total return 76% · Per year 21%
29.56
Total return 190% · Per year 43%
5 years
9.48
Total return -7% · Per year -1%
21.03
Total return 106% · Per year 16%
37.90
Total return 272% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.49
  • Net margin± 3.14
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.49
  • Annual dilution± 0.26

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Tripadvisor Group is a global travel platform connecting travelers with experiences, accommodations and restaurants, with a focus on the Viator experiences marketplace. In 2026 the company is simplifying its portfolio, including the pending sale of TheFork to American Express Travel for 700.0 million USD, while quarterly revenue fell to 441.9 million USD 23.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A globally recognized brand, extensive user-generated content and a large experiences inventory give the company scale and trust advantages 1.
  • Marketplaces have grown their share of revenue and adjusted EBITDA, suggesting a more favorable profit structure 1.
  • The company retains meaningful liquidity after repaying its 2026 notes, although its cash balance declined 2.

Weaknesses

  • Hotels and Other revenue declined sharply in 2026 and the segment depends on search traffic the company does not control 31.
  • The company relies on a few large advertising partners, and losing one could quickly affect revenue 1.
  • Marketing costs rose as a share of revenue in the second quarter, which could compress margins 3.

Opportunities

  • The TheFork sale could provide capital for investment in experiences or for debt reduction 23.
  • The shift of experiences online leaves room for growth in a fragmented market, and AI integration could improve personalization 1.
  • Expansion in Europe and growth in operator supply could support booking volumes 1.

Threats

  • Changes to search engine algorithms and AI answers could reduce organic traffic to the platform 1.
  • Better-resourced competitors could intensify competition for experiences and advertising 1.
  • An unstable macro environment and geopolitical tensions could reduce travel demand 2.

Risks

  • Dependence on online searchhigh

    The company relies on search engines and metasearch for traffic, and algorithm changes could reduce platform visibility 1.

  • Concentration of partnershigh

    Two large partners account for a significant share of revenue, and cuts in their advertising spend could have a rapid impact 1.

  • Liability for experiencesmedium

    As the experiences marketplace grows, the company may face safety incidents and liability tied to third-party operators 1.

  • Completion of the TheFork salemedium

    The transaction depends on regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, and delays could affect capital allocation plans 23.

  • Macroeconomic and geopolitical factorsmedium

    Geopolitical events, currency fluctuations and policy changes can affect travel spending and results 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the experiences market keeps digitizing, the Viator marketplace could benefit from higher demand and a larger share of revenue 13.
  • The TheFork sale could simplify the portfolio and free resources for investment in experiences 23.
  • Announced cost savings could improve margins as they are realized in 2026 and 2027 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If Hotels and Other revenue keeps declining, the company could struggle to offset the segment's decline 3.
  • Dependence on online search and a few large partners could make revenue vulnerable to rapid changes 1.
  • If the macro environment stays weak, experiences demand could slow and quarterly results could remain under pressure 23.

What to watch

  • Completion of the TheFork sale to American Express Travel and use of the proceedsend of 2026
  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA trends in Hotels and OtherQ3 2026
  • Realized benefits of the cost savings program2026-2027
  • Growth in experience bookings and GBV, including EuropeQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Tripadvisor Group operates online platforms that connect travelers with experiences, accommodations and restaurants through three brands: Viator, Tripadvisor and TheFork. The group aims to be the most trusted source for travel and experiences, and user-generated content supports search and planning 1. The experiences platform uses a shared supply infrastructure covering more than 425000 bookable experiences from 70000 operators 1.

Revenue models differ by segment: experiences earn commissions on completed transactions, while Hotels and Other relies on click-based and impression-based advertising 1. The company says marketplaces reached about 60% of consolidated revenue in 2025, up from about 50% in 2023, a shift toward marketplace models 1.

In November 2025 the company reorganized its segments into Experiences, Hotels and Other and TheFork after combining the Viator and Tripadvisor experiences operations and announcing cost savings 1. From August 2026 TheFork is presented as discontinued operations, leaving Experiences and Hotels and Other as continuing segments 3.

Segments

Experiences

The Experiences segment includes Viator, a pure-play experiences OTA, and the Tripadvisor points of sale that serve the discovery phase. Revenue grew 3% in the second quarter of 2026 to 278.6 million USD, and bookings rose about 5% to 6.5 million 3. The company names this its highest strategic priority 1.

Hotels and Other

Hotels and Other includes hotel metasearch and advertising for hotels, restaurants and cruises. Revenue fell 21% in the second quarter of 2026 to 163.3 million USD, and the company manages the segment for profitability 3.

Market context

The company estimates the global experiences market could reach about 365 billion USD by 2028, with roughly 30% online penetration in 2025, according to Arival 1. Online restaurant reservations in Europe and travel advertising are adjacent markets the company considers relevant 1.

The market is highly fragmented and many bookings still happen offline, leaving room for online platforms with broad inventory and trusted reviews 12.

Trends

  • Digitization of experiencestailwind

    As experiences move online, travelers and suppliers could favor large trusted platforms, which could support the Experiences segment 1.

  • Shifts in online searchheadwind

    Search engines have increased the prominence of their own products, and AI overviews can displace top-ranked links, reducing organic traffic to Hotels and Other 12.

  • Volatile macro environmentheadwind

    The company noted that geopolitical tensions and macro conditions in early 2026 pressured travel demand, and quarterly results reflected this 23.

  • Experiences-focused portfoliomixed

    Exiting TheFork and focusing on experiences could simplify the structure and free capital for marketplace investment 23.

Competitive position

The company competes with general OTAs such as Expedia, Booking, Airbnb and Trip.com, experiences OTAs such as GetYourGuide and Klook, hotel metasearch providers such as trivago and Kayak, and advertising platforms such as Google and Facebook 1. Some of these rivals have more customers, data and financial resources 1.

Competition is intense and constantly changing, and relationships with major partners such as Booking and Expedia, which together account for about 21% of consolidated revenue, are a risk factor 1.

  • Expedia GroupEXPE

    Nasdaq-listed general OTA with hotel and experiences businesses, named by the company as both competitor and partner.

  • Booking HoldingsBKNG

    General OTA with major accommodation revenue, named as both partner and competitor and as the largest single advertising partner.

  • GetYourGuide

    Tours and experiences platform named as an experiences OTA competing directly with Viator.

  • trivago

    Hotel metasearch engine named in the company's competitor list for hotel metasearch.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 01 Jul 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Tripadvisor, Inc. · 13 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Tripadvisor, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Tripadvisor, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.