olivLaw · US equity research
NIQ Global Intelligence plc NIQ
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)
At the close of 04 Nov 2026, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) stock was 20.27 USD (+1.30% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.0 bn USD, beta 0.66, 52-week range 7.97–20.37 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (+8.0% YoY), net income of -30.5 m USD, diluted EPS -0.10 USD.
Data as of · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.
Price history
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Technical reading
- RSI (14)
- 66.6
- strong (55–70)
- Bollinger (20, 2)
- 17.63 – 20.88
- in the upper half of the band · %B 0.81 · band width 16.9%
- SMA 50 / 200
- 18.52 / 13.30
- uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
- MACD (12, 26, 9)
- 0.63 / 0.59
- MACD above signal
Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).
Performance
| Company | S&P 500 | vs S&P 500 | Vertical median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +17.0% | −1.1% | +18.1 pp | — |
| 3 months | +73.8% | −0.5% | +74.3 pp | — |
| 6 months | +93.6% | +4.4% | +89.2 pp | — |
| Year to date | +22.9% | +12.3% | +10.6 pp | — |
| 1 year | +65.5% | +13.5% | +51.9 pp | −21.0% |
| 3 years | unavailable | +76.4% | unavailable | −20.6% |
| 5 years | unavailable | +63.7% | unavailable | — |
Price returns, dividends excluded.
Quarterly results
Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026
Quarterly margins
Quarterly statements · USD
| Fiscal year | Q3 '24 | Q4 '24 | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 | Q2 '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 982.1 m | 1.0 bn | 965.9 m | 1.0 bn | 1.1 bn | 1.1 bn | 1.1 bn | 1.1 bn |
| Cost of revenue | 439.4 m | 453.3 m | 430.8 m | 449.2 m | 466.9 m | 515.2 m | 475.0 m | 500.0 m |
| SG&A | 396.1 m | 403.9 m | 371.7 m | 403.1 m | 454.9 m | 368.0 m | 396.1 m | 401.3 m |
| Operating income | -15.9 m | -24.5 m | 15.7 m | 39.4 m | -34.7 m | 65.0 m | -10.2 m | 65.3 m |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 154.4 m | 149.1 m | 148.5 m | 153.8 m | 166.9 m | 163.3 m | 153.7 m | 154.5 m |
| Pre-tax income | -197.4 m | -136.1 m | -94.6 m | 23.0 m | -162.7 m | 24.5 m | -63.1 m | 9.4 m |
| Income tax | 19.7 m | 33.3 m | 23.3 m | 23.8 m | 34.2 m | 54.2 m | 25.6 m | 37.6 m |
| Net income | -214.7 m | -172.9 m | -119.8 m | -2.7 m | -198.6 m | -32.2 m | -90.1 m | -30.5 m |
| Diluted EPS | -0.88 | -0.71 ≈ | -0.49 | -0.01 | -0.70 | -0.11 ≈ | -0.31 | -0.10 |
| Operating cash flow | 128.2 m ≈ | 68.3 m | -153.6 m | -8.6 m ≈ | 272.2 m ≈ | 188.7 m | -63.6 m | 140.1 m ≈ |
| Capex | 12.4 m ≈ | 14.1 m | 3.1 m | 8.7 m ≈ | 7.4 m ≈ | 15.5 m | 3.2 m | 4.9 m ≈ |
≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)
E/P over time
E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.
Fiscal years
| Fiscal year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.3 bn | 4.0 bn | 4.2 bn |
| Revenue YoY | unavailable | +18.9% | +5.7% |
| Net income | -577.4 m | -798.0 m | -353.3 m |
| Net income YoY | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| Diluted EPS | -2.35 | -3.26 | -1.32 |
| Diluted EPS YoY | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| net % | -17.3% | -20.1% | -8.4% |
| Free cash flow | -36.0 m | 38.5 m | 264.0 m |
Reported results vs expectations
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Balance sheet & financial health
Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025
- Cash
- 518.8 m USD
- Financial debt
- 3.6 bn USD
- Net debt
- 3.1 bn USD
- Equity
- 1.2 bn USD
- Total assets
- 6.8 bn USD
- Debt / equity
- 2.95x
- Current ratio
- 1.03x
- ROE
- -46.4%
- ROA
- -5.4%
- FCF margin
- 6.3%
Financial statements (source on every figure)
Revenue and net income (USD)
Margins
Income statement · USD
| Line | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.3 bn | 4.0 bn | 4.2 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Cost of revenue | 1.5 bn | 1.8 bn | 1.9 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Gross profit | 1.8 bn ≈ | 2.2 bn ≈ | 2.3 bn ≈ | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived |
| SG&A | 1.4 bn | 1.6 bn | 1.6 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Operating income | -108.7 m | -99.8 m | 85.4 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 460.9 m | 596.7 m | 632.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| EBITDA | 352.2 m ≈ | 496.9 m ≈ | 717.9 m ≈ | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived |
| Pre-tax income | -512.8 m | -690.5 m | -209.8 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Income tax | 51.8 m | 113.7 m | 135.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Net income | -577.4 m | -798.0 m | -353.3 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Diluted EPS | -2.35 | -3.26 | -1.32 | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Weighted average diluted shares | 245.0 m | 245.0 m | 266.9 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
≈ computed by olivLaw from the reported lines of the same year: Revenue − Cost of revenue; Operating income + Depreciation & amortisation.
Balance sheet · USD
| Line | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 283.0 m | 266.2 m | 518.8 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Receivables | — | 644.9 m | 695.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Current assets | — | 1.2 bn | 1.5 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Property, plant & equipment, net | — | 208.0 m | 208.2 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Goodwill | 2.4 bn | 2.2 bn | 2.4 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Intangibles (excl. goodwill) | — | 2.3 bn | 2.2 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Total assets | — | 6.4 bn | 6.8 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Accounts payable | — | 217.1 m | 224.4 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Short-term debt | — | 121.0 m | 107.5 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Long-term debt | — | 4.0 bn | 3.5 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Current liabilities | — | 1.4 bn | 1.4 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Total liabilities | — | 6.1 bn | 5.6 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Equity | 1.2 bn | 298.6 m | 1.2 bn | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
Cash flow · USD
| Line | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -11.8 m | 73.9 m | 298.7 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Capex | 24.2 m | 35.4 m | 34.7 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Free cash flow | -36.0 m ≈ | 38.5 m ≈ | 264.0 m ≈ | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived |
| Investing cash flow | -1.7 bn | 9.6 m | -235.6 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
| Financing cash flow | 1.9 bn | -65.3 m | 177.3 m | SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified |
≈ computed by olivLaw from the reported lines of the same year: Operating cash flow − Capex.
Computed indicators
Growth
Profitability
Returns
Balance sheet
Liquidity
Cash
Efficiency
Market and valuation
4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.
Valuation
olivLaw classification
Score: 49 / 100
A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.
Closing price
04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series
Market cap: 6.0 bn USD
Key indicators
Coverage and freshness
Score by group
- Balance sheet17
- Growth41
- Valuation68
- Quality46
Estimated value range
The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.00 – 112.08 USD.
Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.
Method ranges (USD per share)
— — Mid · ▏ Price
Valuation methods
- DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
- Peers: EV/Sales0.00 – 112.08 (Mid 8.06)15 companies used · median multiple 1.3x · quartiles 0.6x – 8.2xAPP, CDLX, DOCN, FDS, FLUT, GMM, GOOGL, PPLI, RXT, RZLV, SIFY, TBLA, TEAD, WB, ZIP
- Peers: EV/EBITDA1.82 – 60.56 (Mid 26.09)8 companies used · median multiple 15.0x · quartiles 5.1x – 29.0xAPP, DOCN, FDS, FLUT, GMM, TBLA, WB, ZIP
Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.
Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)
- Risk-free rate
- 4.3%
- Equity risk premium
- 5.0%
- Beta (default)
- 1.00
- Cost of equity
- 9.3%
- Terminal growth
- 2.5%
Factor scorecard
Neutral profile · Score 49/100
| Factor | Value | Score | Weight used |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross margin · Quality | 55.4% | 39 (on a fixed band) | 14% |
| EBIT margin · Quality | 1.9% | 57 (vs peers) | 11% |
| FCF margin · Quality | 11.5% | 46 (on a fixed band) | 11% |
| Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth | 5.7% | 41 (vs peers) | 11% |
| Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet | 4.3x | 17 (vs peers) | 8% |
| Current ratio · Balance sheet | 1.1x | 17 (on a fixed band) | 8% |
| EV/Sales · Valuation | 2.1x | 44 (vs peers) | 22% |
| FCF yield · Valuation | 8.5% | 100 (on a fixed band) | 16% |
| Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns | unavailable | unavailable | — |
Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.
Score groups
- Balance sheet17/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
- Growth· partial41/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
- Quality46/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
- Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
- Valuation68/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.
Memo
NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.
Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.7%; net margin -8.0%; ROE -65.3%; net debt/EBITDA 4.3x.
The estimated value range is 0.91–86.32 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 17.08 USD, the price of 20.27 USD leaves a potential of -15.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -18.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.
olivLaw score 49/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.
Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.
What supports the thesis
- FCF yield: 8.5%
What contradicts it
- Net debt / EBITDA: 4.3x
- Current ratio: 1.1x
- The valuation methods diverge
Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Revenue CAGR 3Y, Shareholder yield (distributions).
Versus the vertical median
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies
Multiples and returns vs the median
Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)
Companies in the vertical
| Market cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Revenue YoY | 1A / 3A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | 3,552.1 bn | 15.1 | 44.3% | 50.0% | +15.1% | −10% / +118% |
| APPAppLovin Corporation | 90.0 bn | 18.3 | 210.1% | 65.9% | +70.0% | −55% / +625% |
| FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc | 14.2 bn | — | -14.3% | -7.1% | +16.6% | −61% / −48% |
| FDSFactset Research Systems Inc | 12.1 bn | 23.5 | 25.5% | 21.5% | +6.7% | +23% / −25% |
| DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | 9.9 bn | 281.3 | 5.1% | 3.1% | +15.5% | +89% / +184% |
| SOGPSound Group Inc. | 8.8 bn | 350.3 | 70.4% | 7.1% | +59.4% | −21% / +265% |
| NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plc | 6.0 bn | — | -65.3% | -8.0% | +5.7% | +65% / unavailable |
| SIFYSify Technologies Ltd | 5.8 bn | — | -4.1% | -2.0% | +9.0% | +20% / +53% |
| DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. | 2.1 bn | 34.0 | 5.8% | 8.2% | +13.9% | +29% / −59% |
| BZKanzhun Limited | 1.7 bn | 41.6 | 16.0% | 33.1% | +17.3% | −21% / +6% |
| WBWeibo Corporation | 1.6 bn | 3.8 | 12.1% | 25.6% | +0.1% | −35% / −36% |
| DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp. | 1.2 bn | — | -78.9% | -28,867.7% | +1.8% | −61% / −74% |
| HSTMHealthstream Inc | 949.7 m | 45.4 | 6.0% | 6.6% | +4.3% | +29% / +30% |
| NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc | 934.4 m | — | -7.2% | -11.1% | +4.2% | unavailable / unavailable |
| TBLATaboola.com Ltd. | 921.2 m | 7.0 | 14.3% | 6.8% | +8.3% | −33% / −21% |
| CEVACeva, Inc. | 788.9 m | — | -3.6% | -9.5% | +2.5% | +30% / +29% |
| RXTRackspace Technology, Inc. | 716.2 m | — | — | -5.9% | −1.9% | +165% / +123% |
| NEXNNexxen International Ltd. | 513.3 m | 22.2 | 5.0% | 6.9% | −0.2% | +41% / +151% |
| HUYAHUYA Inc. | 470.7 m | — | -1.9% | -1.7% | +11.6% | −27% / −38% |
| RZLVRezolve AI plc | 460.8 m | — | -98.7% | -216.7% | +2,224.2% | −55% / −87% |
| ZIPZiprecruiter, Inc. | 321.9 m | 12.9 | — | 6.2% | −5.3% | −5% / −66% |
| MFMindForge Inc. | 172.5 m | — | -167.2% | -222.9% | −49.9% | −83% / unavailable |
| GOAIEva Live Inc | 31.8 m | — | -58.5% | -39.3% | +82.6% | unavailable / unavailable |
| HOLOMicroCloud Hologram Inc. | 27.2 m | — | -2.3% | -12.4% | +38.6% | −66% / −100% |
| TEADTeads Holding Co. | 27.0 m | — | -196.2% | -43.3% | +46.1% | −61% / −93% |
1- and 3-year price returns: for NIQ from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.
olivLaw engine forecast
The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.
The engine has no published run for this company yet.
Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)
Illustrative scenarios
Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.
Estimated price (USD)
| Estimated price | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 years | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable |
| 3 years | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable |
| 5 years | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable | insufficient data Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable |
AI analysis
The qualitative analysis has not been written for this company yet.
Products, market & competition
The qualitative analysis has not been written for this company yet.
Links, dependencies and risks
Who the company is tied to, from its own SEC filings (customers, suppliers, production, partners, competitors, countries, regulation), from the 5 %+ holders' statements (13D/13G) and from what other companies say about it. Click a node for its evidence; on a listed company the graph moves to it.
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News & filings
In the press
No news in our archive over the last 180 days.
SEC filings
- Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
- Current report10 Aug 2026Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
- Current report26 May 2026Shareholder vote
- Quarterly report14 May 2026
- Current report14 May 2026Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
- Proxy statement09 Apr 2026
- Annual report27 Feb 2026
- Current report27 Feb 2026Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
- Current report02 Feb 2026Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
- Quarterly report13 Nov 2025
Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.