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olivLaw · US equity research

Taboola.com Ltd. TBLA

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

2.74USD−19.41% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Taboola is a technology company that places performance ads on publisher sites, mobile apps and connected devices, outside the Google, Meta and Amazon ecosystems. For a company that closed 2025 with revenues of about 1912 million USD, the launch of the Realize platform and whether it can support growth as the performance market expands are the key questions now. Guidance for 2026 could reflect this transition.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) stock was 2.74 USD (−19.41% on the day), with market capitalisation 921.2 m USD, P/E 21.1 on diluted EPS of 0.13 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.93, 52-week range 2.74–5.58 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 462.3 m USD (−6.9% YoY), net income of 18.4 m USD (+250.2% YoY), diluted EPS 60.00 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
921.2 m USD
shares as of 31 Oct 2024
P/E (TTM)
21.1
Diluted EPS TTM 0.13 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
4.74%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.93
Volatility (1y) 61%
52-week range
2.745.58

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
22.4
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.09 – 3.73
below the lower band · %B -0.55 · band width 18.8%
SMA 50 / 200
3.53 / 4.00
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.09 / -0.05
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−16.2%−1.1%−15.1 pp—
3 months−28.6%−0.5%−28.1 pp—
6 months−42.3%+4.4%−46.7 pp—
Year to date−40.6%+12.3%−52.9 pp—
1 year−17.7%+13.5%−31.3 pp−21.0%
3 years−28.5%+76.4%−104.9 pp+0.8%
5 years−69.9%+63.7%−133.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.9%
09 Jul 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−83.9%
09 Nov 2021 → 08 Nov 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−21.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
462.3 m USD
−6.9% YoY
Net income
18.4 m USD
+250.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
60.00
+200.0% YoY
net / operating
4.0% / 5.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue491.0 m427.5 m465.5 m496.8 m522.3 m466.4 m476.8 m462.3 m
Cost of revenue313.4 m308.2 m329.9 m357.7 m346.7 m336.8 m337.3 m309.9 m
Gross profit177.6 m119.3 m135.6 m139.0 m175.6 m129.6 m139.5 m152.3 m
Research & development36.2 m36.0 m37.5 m37.9 m36.7 m39.6 m38.4 m36.7 m
Operating income47.2 m-6.3 m44.0 k6.5 m43.8 m69.4 m7.3 m26.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation-38.6 m20.7 m23.7 m ≈20.4 m ≈-35.6 m16.1 m10.8 m ≈9.7 m ≈
Pre-tax income39.0 m-10.8 m-2.4 m7.0 m39.0 m69.1 m7.3 m24.2 m
Income tax5.8 m-2.0 m1.9 m1.8 m—10.1 m3.0 m5.8 m
Net income33.1 m-8.8 m-4.3 m5.2 m50.1 m59.1 m4.3 m18.4 m
Diluted EPS—-0.03-0.0120.00—0.200.0160.00
Operating cash flow61.9 m48.1 m47.4 m ≈53.2 m ≈59.7 m108.7 m31.3 m ≈35.6 m ≈
Capex10.0 m12.0 m13.2 m ≈6.9 m ≈12.7 m18.4 m13.9 m ≈15.2 m ≈
Share repurchases9.1 m49.3 m100.7 m ≈34.6 m ≈70.8 m22.7 m41.5 m ≈30.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 1-quarter history (min 35.5, median 35.5, max 35.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.1 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+8.7%+15.9%+1.6%+2.8%+22.7%+8.3%
Net income-28.0 m8.5 m-24.9 m-12.0 m-82.0 m-3.8 m42.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−393.7%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-1.11-0.36-0.26-0.05-0.24-0.010.13
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-2.6%0.7%-1.8%-0.9%-5.7%-0.2%2.2%
Free cash flow-26.3 m121.3 m24.5 m18.6 m52.2 m149.2 m163.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
120.9 m USD
Financial debt
102.3 m USD
Net debt
-18.6 m USD
Equity
907.2 m USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.11x
Current ratio
1.07x
ROE
4.3%
ROA
2.5%
FCF margin
8.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
425.6 m
2024
534.2 m
2025
569.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
136.3 m
2024
142.4 m
2025
148.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-63.7 m
2024
25.9 m
2025
44.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
32.6 m
2024
37.3 m
2025
29.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-31.1 m ≈
2024
63.3 m ≈
2025
73.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-76.5 m
2024
13.9 m
2025
32.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
5.5 m
2024
17.7 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2025verified

Net income
2023
-82.0 m
2024
-3.8 m
2025
42.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.24
2024
-0.01
2025
0.13

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2023verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
176.1 m
2024
226.6 m
2025
120.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
306.3 m
2024
370.1 m
2025
360.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
559.4 m
2024
656.0 m
2025
558.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
72.2 m
2024
69.4 m
2025
95.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
555.9 m
2024
555.9 m
2025
555.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
125.3 m
2024
65.1 m
2025
13.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
116.5 m
2025
102.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
424.0 m
2024
485.6 m
2025
521.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.1 bn †
2024
1.1 bn †
2025
907.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2022verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
84.4 m
2024
184.3 m
2025
208.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
32.1 m
2024
35.2 m
2025
44.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
52.2 m ≈
2024
149.2 m ≈
2025
163.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
59.6 m
2024
-30.1 m
2025
-40.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-134.6 m
2024
-100.0 m
2025
-277.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
55.5 m
2024
73.6 m
2025
255.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
70.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
37.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
9.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
31.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
15.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
13.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-50.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
235.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
60.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
174.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
132.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
158.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
921.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
871.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
7.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
5.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
19.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
18.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 59 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.74 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 921.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
921.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Oct 2024
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 706derived 57

Score by group

  • Valuation96
  • Returns100
  • Quality33
  • Balance sheet45
  • Growth44

Estimated value range

Low
3.81
USD per share
Mid
8.14
USD per share
High
24.55
USD per share
Price: 2.74 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 196.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 66.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.44 – 38.14 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales5.18 – 38.14 (Mid 10.05)
    14 companies used · median multiple 1.7x · quartiles 0.9x – 6.6x
    APP, BMBL, DOCN, FLUT, GOOGL, HCAT, LGCL, MTCH, NIQ, RXT, SIFY, SNAP, TEAD, WB
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA2.44 – 10.97 (Mid 6.22)
    6 companies used · median multiple 13.8x · quartiles 5.2x – 24.5x
    APP, DOCN, FLUT, LGCL, NIQ, WB
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 59/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality31.0%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality7.6%69 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality9.1%36 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.9%44 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth8.3%45 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x73 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x17 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation0.5x93 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation19.0%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns18.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet45/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth44/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality33/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation96/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

TABOOLA.COM LTD. (TBLA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.3%; net margin 6.8%; ROE 14.3%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 3.81–24.55 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 8.14 USD, the price of 2.74 USD leaves a potential of 196.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 66.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 59/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.3x
  • EV/Sales: 0.5x
  • FCF yield: 19.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 18.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 31.0%
  • Current ratio: 1.1x

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
7.0x
vertical median 21.5x
below median (−67.5%)
EV/EBITDA
5.9x
vertical median 14.9x
below median (−60.7%)
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−73.9%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−47.0%)
ROE
14.3%
vertical median -2.1%
above median
Net margin
6.8%
vertical median -1.8%
above median
EBIT margin
7.6%
vertical median -0.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
8.3%
vertical median 10.3%
below median (−20.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−117.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.3,552.1 bn15.144.3%50.0%+15.1%−10% / +118%
APPAppLovin Corporation90.0 bn18.3210.1%65.9%+70.0%−55% / +625%
FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc14.2 bn—-14.3%-7.1%+16.6%−61% / −48%
SNAPSnap Inc10.2 bn—-15.6%-4.9%+10.6%−23% / −57%
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn281.35.1%3.1%+15.5%+89% / +184%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.9.1 bn13.7—20.7%+0.2%+21% / +24%
NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plc6.0 bn—-65.3%-8.0%+5.7%+29% / unavailable
SIFYSify Technologies Ltd5.8 bn—-4.1%-2.0%+9.0%+20% / +53%
WIXWix.com Ltd.4.4 bn91.5—2.5%+13.2%−16% / −21%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn34.05.8%8.2%+13.9%+29% / −59%
BZKanzhun Limited1.7 bn41.616.0%33.1%+17.3%−21% / +6%
WBWeibo Corporation1.6 bn3.812.1%25.6%+0.1%−35% / −36%
HSTMHealthstream Inc949.7 m45.46.0%6.6%+4.3%+29% / +30%
NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc934.4 m—-7.2%-11.1%+4.2%unavailable / unavailable
TBLATaboola.com Ltd.921.2 m7.014.3%6.8%+8.3%−18% / −28%
CEVACeva, Inc.788.9 m—-3.6%-9.5%+2.5%+30% / +29%
BMBLBumble Inc.718.8 m—-85.9%-61.8%−9.9%+69% / −57%
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc.716.2 m——-5.9%−1.9%+165% / +123%
HUYAHUYA Inc.470.7 m—-1.9%-1.7%+11.6%−27% / −38%
BLNDBlend Labs, Inc.302.7 m——-3.3%+6.8%−59% / +1%
HCATHealth Catalyst, Inc.119.7 m—-118.1%-90.6%+1.5%−47% / −78%
JFJ & Friends Holdings Ltd68.4 m——-82.9%−66.8%−3% / −17%
GOAIEva Live Inc31.8 m—-58.5%-39.3%+82.6%unavailable / unavailable
HOLOMicroCloud Hologram Inc.27.2 m—-2.3%-12.4%+38.6%−66% / −100%
TEADTeads Holding Co.27.0 m—-196.2%-43.3%+46.1%−61% / −93%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TBLA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
1.72
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
3.04
Total return 11% · Per year 11%
4.57
Total return 67% · Per year 67%
3 years
1.90
Total return -31% · Per year -12%
3.74
Total return 36% · Per year 11%
6.14
Total return 124% · Per year 31%
5 years
2.09
Total return -24% · Per year -5%
4.60
Total return 68% · Per year 11%
8.24
Total return 201% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 0.93
  • Net margin± 0.65
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.51
  • Annual dilution± 0.05

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Taboola is a technology company that places performance ads on publisher sites, mobile apps and connected devices, outside the Google, Meta and Amazon ecosystems. For a company that closed 2025 with revenues of about 1912 million USD, the launch of the Realize platform and whether it can support growth as the performance market expands are the key questions now. Guidance for 2026 could reflect this transition.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large network of digital property partners and a proprietary data set on user behavior that competitors find hard to replicate.
  • Multi-year partner contracts and high retention make the advertising supply relatively predictable.
  • Growth in adjusted EBITDA and ex-TAC gross profit points to improving operating efficiency.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends on a limited number of partners for a significant portion of revenue, which raises concentration risk.
  • Minimum guarantees per thousand impressions could reduce gross profit if performance under contracts falls short of thresholds.
  • Revenues have fluctuated significantly from quarter to quarter, which makes results hard to forecast.

Opportunities

  • Realize could attract performance budgets from clients dissatisfied with social networks.
  • Expansion into display and new formats could increase revenue per publisher partner.
  • If Realize gains traction, the company could convert more inventory into bid-based sales with better margins.

Threats

  • Privacy regulation and restrictions on cookies could limit targeting capability.
  • Competitors with far greater resources could offer solutions perceived as superior.
  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could reduce advertising spending by clients.

Risks

  • Dependence on major partnershigh

    A significant share of revenue comes from a limited number of partners, and losing them could affect results.

  • Success of Realizehigh

    If Realize fails to gain client adoption or deliver the expected financial benefits, the growth strategy could be affected.

  • Minimum guarantees to publishersmedium

    If performance under contracts with guarantees falls short of thresholds, gross profit could decline.

  • Data regulationmedium

    Regulatory changes and browser practices could limit access to data and targeting efficiency.

  • Volatility of resultslow

    Quarterly results vary strongly because of seasonality and client spending, which makes forecasting difficult.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If Realize expands successfully, the company could open new performance budgets and could improve its margins.
  • Improving adjusted EBITDA and the raised 2026 guidance could signal better operating discipline.
  • Its first-party data and publisher network could make the company hard to replace as cookie restrictions tighten.

What would break the thesis

  • Competition with Google and Meta, which have far greater resources, could limit revenue growth.
  • Guarantees to publishers and pressure on revenue shares could compress margins.
  • If tariffs and economic uncertainty reduce client budgets, results could weaken.

What to watch

  • Development of revenue and ex-TAC gross profit against the 2026 guidanceQ3 2026
  • Adoption of Realize and its contribution to revenue2026
  • Number of publisher partners and their retentionnext 10-K
  • Announced legal settlement gain and its effect on resultsQ1 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Taboola helps businesses grow by placing ads on the digital properties of its partners, which numbered about 14000 in 2025. The company earns revenue when consumers click, buy or in some cases view ads, and then shares that revenue with the publishers who display them. The model is B2B, with no competing consumer interests against its partners.

The company's AI engine predicts which content and ads will interest each user, without relying on search queries or social profiles. Management says its data on what people read and buy is its main competitive advantage.

Realize, launched in February 2025, is the performance platform through which the company extends beyond native advertising into standard display and other formats. Management describes this as a strategic shift that could open new performance budgets for publisher partners.

Segments

Native advertising and recommendations on digital properties

This is the main revenue generator, where the company does not bid for placements but sees all users who visit partner pages. Multi-year contracts and high retention make the supply relatively stable and predictable.

Realize and performance advertising

This is the growing segment, where the company bids for placements, especially on sites where it has a first-party data advantage. The company expects a growing share of its business to be tied to this inventory, but the margin effect is not yet clear.

E-commerce through Connexity

The Connexity subsidiary provides publishers with access to over 500 million product listings and monetizes clicks and actions through CPC or CPA. The company says real-time feedback and network effects make the solution hard to replicate.

Market context

The company estimates a 55 billion USD opportunity for Realize, but this is an internal and external industry estimate, not a confirmed figure. The market follows the shift of advertising budgets from traditional media to digital, where a significant share of spending still sits within the Google, Meta and Amazon ecosystems.

Growth in online shopping is a supportive factor, and privacy rules and the removal of third-party cookies favor players with first-party data. These trends could increase the value of direct partnerships with publishers.

Trends

  • Shift of budgets to digitaltailwind

    Advertising continues to move from traditional media to digital channels, and connected TV and digital audio extend this trend. The company says this has become a lasting movement.

  • Privacy regulation and cookiesmixed

    Browsers and Google Chrome limit third-party cookies, while GDPR and CCPA increase regulatory pressure. Companies with first-party data could gain, while those without it may lose ground.

  • Concentration of budgets in walled gardensmixed

    More than half of digital ad budgets flow into the Google, Meta and Amazon ecosystems, which limits room for independent platforms. The company says saturation of social advertising could open opportunities for alternatives.

  • Growth of online shoppingtailwind

    The company expects online shopping to grow faster than physical retail, which could support customer acquisition budgets. A risk is that advertising sales remain sensitive to economic cycles.

Competitive position

Competition for advertising budgets is intense, and the company acknowledges rivals with far greater resources, such as Google and Facebook. Rivals have greater visibility, larger client bases and better access to premium inventory.

Competition on the publisher side could force the company to increase revenue shares or accept less favorable pricing models. This pressure could reduce revenues and margins if not offset by innovation.

  • Google (Alphabet)GOOGL

    Search and display platform with access to user intent, cited by the company as its main rival.

  • Meta PlatformsMETA

    Social platform with detailed user profiles, named as a competitor for performance budgets.

  • AmazonAMZN

    Closed ecosystem that attracts digital ad budgets and competes for the attention of online shoppers.

  • Fragmented DSP platforms

    Programmatic buying platforms that the company says focus too much on branding rather than performance.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Taboola.com Ltd. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Taboola.com Ltd. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Taboola.com Ltd. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.