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olivLaw · US equity research

Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. NXDR

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. · SIC 7370 · Vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

2.44USD+5.17% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Nextdoor is a neighborhood social network connecting verified neighbors to local information, safety alerts and hyperlocal advertising for businesses and public agencies. It matters now because after years of losses the company reported revenue growth and a positive adjusted EBITDA result in the second quarter of 2026, while weekly active users returned to growth. The detailed figures are in the figure lines above.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NXDR) stock was 2.44 USD (+5.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 934.4 m USD, 52-week range 2.23–2.63 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 74.6 m USD (+14.5% YoY), net income of -2.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.01 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
934.4 m USD
shares as of 05 Nov 2021
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.08 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-3.29%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
unavailable
52-week range
2.232.63

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
unavailable
Bollinger (20, 2)
unavailable – unavailable
SMA 50 / 200
unavailable / unavailable
MACD (12, 26, 9)
unavailable / unavailable

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 monthunavailable−1.1%unavailable—
3 monthsunavailable−0.5%unavailable—
6 monthsunavailable+4.4%unavailable—
Year to dateunavailable+12.3%unavailable—
1 yearunavailable+13.5%unavailable−19.9%
3 yearsunavailable+76.4%unavailable+3.2%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.2%
21 Oct 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−15.2%
21 Oct 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
74.6 m USD
+14.5% YoY
Net income
-2.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.01
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-2.8% / -7.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue65.6 m65.2 m54.2 m65.1 m68.9 m69.5 m61.7 m74.6 m
Cost of revenue11.1 m10.5 m9.4 m10.6 m10.4 m10.5 m11.0 m11.5 m
Research & development31.9 m33.6 m33.5 m34.6 m35.7 m31.4 m32.0 m33.0 m
Operating income-20.8 m-17.1 m-27.0 m-20.3 m-17.2 m-7.4 m-15.3 m-5.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation777.0 k ≈591.0 k544.0 k514.0 k ≈475.0 k ≈402.0 k356.0 k329.0 k ≈
Pre-tax income-14.7 m-12.1 m-21.8 m-15.1 m-12.7 m-2.9 m-11.3 m-1.8 m
Income tax168.0 k23.0 k141.0 k268.0 k131.0 k1.1 m137.0 k294.0 k
Net income-14.9 m-12.1 m-22.0 m-15.4 m-12.9 m-4.0 m-11.4 m-2.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.04-0.03 ≈-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01 ≈-0.03-0.01
Operating cash flow-13.0 m ≈11.8 m368.0 k2.9 m ≈-6.3 m ≈9.5 m1.2 m8.4 m ≈
Capex194.0 k ≈89.0 k28.0 k309.0 k ≈165.0 k ≈78.0 k70.0 k173.0 k ≈
Share repurchases19.8 m ≈2.2 m9.1 m5.4 m ≈0 ≈4.4 m28.7 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenue123.3 m192.2 m212.8 m218.3 m247.3 m257.6 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+55.9%+10.7%+2.6%+13.3%+4.2%
Net income-75.2 m-95.3 m-137.9 m-147.8 m-98.1 m-54.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.83-0.65-0.36-0.39-0.25-0.14
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-61.0%-49.6%-64.8%-67.7%-39.7%-21.0%
Free cash flow-46.6 m-60.1 m-63.7 m-59.5 m-20.6 m5.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
63.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
431.3 m USD
Total assets
486.8 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
14.03x
ROE
-12.3%
ROA
-10.8%
FCF margin
2.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
218.3 m
2024
247.3 m
2025
257.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
41.6 m
2024
41.9 m
2025
41.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
176.7 m ≈
2024
205.4 m ≈
2025
216.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
150.0 m
2024
127.9 m
2025
135.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-172.3 m
2024
-121.6 m
2025
-71.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.8 m
2024
3.9 m
2025
1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-166.5 m ≈
2024
-117.7 m ≈
2025
-70.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-147.0 m
2024
-97.4 m
2025
-52.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
756.0 k
2024
706.0 k
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-147.8 m
2024
-98.1 m
2025
-54.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.39
2024
-0.25
2025
-0.14

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
379.3 m
2024
385.1 m
2025
386.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
60.2 m
2024
45.6 m
2025
63.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
26.2 m
2024
31.2 m
2025
34.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
566.9 m
2024
466.7 m
2025
448.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
8.1 m
2024
2.7 m
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.2 m
2024
1.2 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.3 m
2024
257.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2025verified

Total assets
2023
654.6 m
2024
514.0 m
2025
486.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.9 m
2024
249.0 k
2025
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
35.4 m
2024
27.9 m
2025
31.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
96.0 m
2024
60.5 m
2025
55.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
558.6 m †
2024
453.5 m †
2025
431.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-59.3 m
2024
-20.2 m
2025
6.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
267.0 k
2024
404.0 k
2025
580.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-59.5 m ≈
2024
-20.6 m ≈
2025
5.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
66.5 m
2024
86.4 m
2025
42.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
8.9 m
2024
-81.0 m
2025
-34.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
75.5 m
2025
18.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
84.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-16.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
13.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
12.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
486.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
12.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
27 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
934.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
76.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.44 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 934.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
934.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 742derived 65

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality84.2%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality-16.6%25 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality4.5%18 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.6%26 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth4.2%32 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet13.3x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation1.3%26 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.5%92 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth28/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns92/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial26/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Nextdoor Holdings, Inc (NXDR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 257.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 4.2%; net margin -11.1%; ROE -7.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 84.2%
  • Current ratio: 13.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 3.5%

What contradicts it

  • EBIT margin: -16.6%
  • FCF margin: 4.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 6.6%
  • FCF yield: 1.3%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. (SIC 7370) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 19.9x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.9x
P/S
3.4x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+111.5%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+26.8%)
ROE
-7.2%
vertical median -0.6%
below median
Net margin
-11.1%
vertical median -0.8%
below median
EBIT margin
-16.6%
vertical median 0.1%
below median (−12,131.8%)
Revenue YoY
4.2%
vertical median 10.7%
below median (−60.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.2%

Companies in the vertical

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GOOGLAlphabet Inc.3,552.1 bn15.144.3%50.0%+15.1%−10% / +118%
APPAppLovin Corporation90.0 bn18.3210.1%65.9%+70.0%−55% / +625%
FLUTFlutter Entertainment plc14.2 bn—-14.3%-7.1%+16.6%−61% / −48%
SNAPSnap Inc10.2 bn—-15.6%-4.9%+10.6%−23% / −57%
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn281.35.1%3.1%+15.5%+89% / +184%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.9.1 bn13.7—20.7%+0.2%+21% / +24%
NIQNIQ Global Intelligence plc6.0 bn—-65.3%-8.0%+5.7%+29% / unavailable
SIFYSify Technologies Ltd5.8 bn—-4.1%-2.0%+9.0%+20% / +53%
WIXWix.com Ltd.4.4 bn91.5—2.5%+13.2%−16% / −21%
DVDoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn34.05.8%8.2%+13.9%+29% / −59%
BZKanzhun Limited1.7 bn41.616.0%33.1%+17.3%−21% / +6%
WBWeibo Corporation1.6 bn3.812.1%25.6%+0.1%−35% / −36%
HSTMHealthstream Inc949.7 m45.46.0%6.6%+4.3%+29% / +30%
NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc934.4 m—-7.2%-11.1%+4.2%unavailable / unavailable
CEVACeva, Inc.788.9 m—-3.6%-9.5%+2.5%+30% / +29%
BMBLBumble Inc.718.8 m—-85.9%-61.8%−9.9%+69% / −57%
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc.716.2 m——-5.9%−1.9%+165% / +123%
HUYAHUYA Inc.470.7 m—-1.9%-1.7%+11.6%−27% / −38%
BLNDBlend Labs, Inc.302.7 m——-3.3%+6.8%−59% / +1%
HCATHealth Catalyst, Inc.119.7 m—-118.1%-90.6%+1.5%−47% / −78%
JFJ & Friends Holdings Ltd68.4 m——-82.9%−66.8%−3% / −17%
GOAIEva Live Inc31.8 m—-58.5%-39.3%+82.6%unavailable / unavailable
HOLOMicroCloud Hologram Inc.27.2 m—-2.3%-12.4%+38.6%−66% / −100%
TEADTeads Holding Co.27.0 m—-196.2%-43.3%+46.1%−61% / −93%
IPDNProfessional Diversity Network, Inc.23.7 m—-95.7%-143.9%−2.7%−15% / −91%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NXDR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Nextdoor is a neighborhood social network connecting verified neighbors to local information, safety alerts and hyperlocal advertising for businesses and public agencies. It matters now because after years of losses the company reported revenue growth and a positive adjusted EBITDA result in the second quarter of 2026, while weekly active users returned to growth 123. The detailed figures are in the figure lines above.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The platform has a base of verified users with real identities, which builds trust and creates neighborhood data that is hard to replicate.
    • The hyperlocal advertising model gives advertisers geographic precision that many large platforms do not offer.
    • Cost discipline has moved the company from losses to a positive adjusted EBITDA result in recent reporting.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue depends almost entirely on advertising, and advertisers can cut spending quickly.
    • The number of weekly active users declined in some periods, linked to changes in notifications and engagement.
    • Experience monetizing international markets is limited, and markets outside the United States are less mature.

    Opportunities

    • Expanding news and alerts in the feed could attract more users and more time spent on the platform.
    • AI-built advertising tools could bring new local businesses and grow existing budgets.
    • International monetization, if executed carefully, could open a new growth segment.

    Threats

    • Tracking restrictions imposed by browsers and operating systems can reduce the measurability of campaigns.
    • Competition from large social and search platforms can put pressure on advertising prices.
    • Regulation of data, user-generated content and moderation can raise compliance costs.

    Risks

    • Dependence on advertisinghigh

      Almost all revenue comes from advertising, and advertisers have no long-term spending commitments, which makes revenue sensitive to quick budget changes 1.

    • Decline in active usersmedium

      If weekly active users fall again, advertising inventory and prices per ad could be affected 1.

    • Tracking and measurement restrictionsmedium

      Changes in browsers and operating systems may limit the company's ability to measure ad effectiveness and attract new budgets 1.

    • Data and content regulationmedium

      Privacy laws and platform liability for user content may impose extra costs or restrictions 1.

    • Limited operating history at current scalelow

      The company has a limited operating history at its current scale, which makes it hard to assess its ability to sustain long-term growth 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If revenue and active user growth hold after the second quarter of 2026, the company could show that its local advertising model can grow sustainably 23.
    • Cost discipline and a positive adjusted EBITDA result could support margin improvement, especially if the annual outlook is confirmed 3.
    • The base of verified neighbors and local data could become a hard-to-copy advantage if new products lift engagement 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Dependence on advertising, and advertiser spending that can be cut quickly in weaker economic conditions, could slow revenue growth 1.
    • If active users return to decline, monetization may not offset the gap and could pressure results 12.
    • Competition from large platforms and tracking restrictions could reduce advertising prices or the ability to prove results 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the third-quarter 2026 revenue guidance of 76 to 78 million dollarsQ3 2026
    • Trend in weekly active users after the second consecutive sequential increaseQ3 2026
    • Confirmation of the full-year outlook for low-teens revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 10%next 10-K
    • Trend in Platform ARPU and the effect of the new initiative on monetization2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Nextdoor runs a neighborhood network where users sign up with real names and addresses, giving the company a proprietary local data set used for both feed content and advertising 1. The feed combines neighbor posts with local news, real-time alerts and for sale and free listings, and artificial intelligence is used to personalize content 1. Revenue comes almost entirely from advertising, and most of it is generated in the United States 1.

    Monetization runs through self-serve advertising via Nextdoor Ads Manager and a dedicated global sales team for larger clients, with formats such as sponsored posts, lead forms and video ads 1. Free Business Pages serve as an entry point for local businesses that may later move to paid campaigns 1. The platform also uses alert partners such as weather and traffic services to increase daily utility 1.

    Monetization is measured through Platform ARPU, which is revenue divided by the average number of weekly active users, and this is the main growth lever for the company 12. The stated aim is to grow users and revenue per user at the same time, with a focus on the US market before international expansion 1.

    Segments

    Platform advertising

    Advertising accounts for almost all revenue, and in the second quarter of 2026 revenue rose to 74.6 million dollars, up 15% from a year earlier 2. Clients include small local businesses and global brands, through both the self-serve channel and the sales team 1.

    Users and engagement

    Weekly active users reached 22.9 million in the second quarter of 2026, after a 5% decline at the end of 2025 12. The company says the goal is high-quality engagement, not just higher notification volume 1.

    Content and partners

    More than 4,000 local publishers contribute about 7% of feed volume, and volunteer moderators are an important part of the model 1. This lowers moderation costs but depends on the quality of partnerships 1.

    Market context

    The target market is local digital advertising, where Nextdoor competes for budgets that follow precise neighborhoods rather than broad demographic audiences 1. The company operates in 11 countries, but most revenue comes from the United States, where the economy and advertising budgets directly affect results 1. Seasonality shows higher advertising spend from the second quarter onward, which helps explain the quarterly profile 1.

    The macroeconomic environment is a decisive factor, and tariffs and banking-system uncertainty could reduce advertising spend if they intensify 1. The international advertising market is less mature than the US market, which could make expansion slower and riskier 1.

    Trends

    • Engagement growth after the new initiativetailwind

      The new Nextdoor initiative extends the platform toward a dynamic feed with news and alerts, and in the second quarter of 2026 weekly active users rose to 22.9 million 12. If this growth holds, it could support future monetization.

    • Artificial intelligence in personalization and advertisingmixed

      AI and ML are used for content personalization and for advertising creation tools, which could improve ad performance 1. However, AI-driven changes in advertising formats could reduce demand for current products if the company does not adapt 1.

    • Browser and device tracking restrictionsheadwind

      Measures by Apple and Google that limit cookies and advertising identifiers could reduce the company's ability to demonstrate campaign results 1. If these restrictions expand, ad measurement and pricing could be affected.

    • Lower operating coststailwind

      Cost reductions in 2025 and 2023 lowered total expenses, and in the second quarter of 2026 costs fell from the prior year 12. This discipline could support margins if revenue keeps growing.

    Competitive position

    Nextdoor competes with social media companies that offer local products to advertisers and users, such as Meta and Alphabet, and also with classifieds, real estate, news, alert and search services 1. Competition for local advertising budgets is intense, and competitors may offer more attractive pricing 1. The company notes that new products may attract additional competitors 1.

    Competition also covers attracting and keeping users and highly skilled technical talent, especially software engineers and designers 1. Nextdoor's advantage lies in verified neighborhood data, but that advantage depends on keeping user trust 1.

    • Meta PlatformsMETA

      Offers local products for advertisers and users through Facebook and Instagram and is named as a most direct competitor.

    • AlphabetGOOGL

      Competes through Google, including search, news and local advertising products.

    • Classifieds and local advertising services

      Classifieds, real estate and home services companies compete with parts of the platform.

    • Alert and weather services

      Providers of traffic and weather alerts compete with the platform's alert component.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 09 Jun 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 01 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.