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Methanex Corporation MEOH

Industrial Organic Chemicals · SIC 2860 · Vertical: Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860)

65.22USD−6.68% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Methanex Corporation is a Canadian company that produces and markets methanol globally, with shares listed on the TSX and Nasdaq. In 2025 it completed the acquisition of OCI's global methanol business, a step that widens its industrial footprint and strengthens its relevance in energy and chemicals markets.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Methanex Corporation (MEOH) stock was 65.22 USD (−6.68% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.0 bn USD, P/E 70.1 on diluted EPS of 0.93 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.13%, beta 0.79, 52-week range 34.03–71.57 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.0 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
70.1
Diluted EPS TTM 0.93 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
1.43%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.13%
DPS 12m 0.74
Beta (2y)
0.79
Volatility (1y) 50%
52-week range
34.0371.57

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
53.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
58.93 – 69.59
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.59 · band width 16.6%
SMA 50 / 200
61.72 / 56.79
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.79 / 1.44
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.5%−1.1%+8.6 pp—
3 months+25.6%−0.5%+26.0 pp—
6 months+4.6%+4.4%+0.2 pp—
Year to date+64.2%+12.3%+51.9 pp—
1 year+81.5%+13.5%+68.0 pp−5.5%
3 years+50.1%+76.4%−26.3 pp−33.8%
5 years+38.4%+63.7%−25.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.3%
05 May 2026 → 06 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.2%
25 Mar 2022 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 8-quarter history (min 6.5, median 17.5, max 42.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year⚠ 20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.5 bn3.3 bn2.6 bn4.4 bn4.3 bn3.7 bn3.7 bn3.6 bn
Revenue YoY—−26.8%−19.3%+66.6%−2.3%−13.6%−0.1%−3.5%
Net income658.0 m116.4 m-125.3 m555.9 m462.3 m284.1 m250.2 m144.8 m
Net income YoY—−82.3%−207.7%unavailable−16.8%−38.5%−11.9%−42.1%
Diluted EPS6.921.01-2.066.134.862.572.390.93
Diluted EPS YoY—−85.4%−304.0%unavailable−20.7%−47.1%−7.0%−61.1%
net %14.7%3.5%-4.7%12.6%10.7%7.6%6.7%4.0%
Free cash flow789.6 m307.0 m332.3 m890.9 m841.6 m481.8 m635.9 m916.6 m

The series breaks before 2018: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
425.3 m USD
Financial debt
2.8 bn USD
Net debt
2.3 bn USD
Equity
2.7 bn USD
Total assets
7.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.01x
Current ratio
2.06x
ROE
5.7%
ROA
2.1%
FCF margin
25.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
925.7 m ≈
2024
1.0 bn ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Operating income
2023
263.6 m
2024
362.0 m
2025
431.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
391.8 m
2024
385.7 m
2025
446.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
655.4 m ≈
2024
747.7 m ≈
2025
877.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
117.4 m
2024
132.6 m
2025
219.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
285.6 m
2024
280.1 m
2025
203.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.5 m
2024
29.8 m
2025
58.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
284.1 m
2024
250.2 m
2025
144.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.57
2024
2.39
2025
0.93

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
67.8 m
2024
67.6 m
2025
72.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.73
2024
0.73
2025
0.74

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
458.0 m
2024
891.9 m
2025
425.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
533.6 m
2024
473.3 m
2025
463.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
426.8 m
2024
453.5 m
2025
494.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.4 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
771.9 m
2024
546.3 m
2025
541.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
314.7 m
2024
13.7 m
2025
41.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
729.6 m
2025
721.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
67.4 m
2024
67.4 m
2025
77.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
660.3 m
2024
737.2 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
178.5 m
2024
101.3 m
2025
99.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
481.8 m ≈
2024
635.9 m ≈
2025
916.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-508.6 m
2024
-99.7 m
2025
-1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-551.4 m
2024
-203.5 m
2025
-125.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
49.4 m
2024
49.9 m
2025
53.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
86.4 m
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-42.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-32.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-61.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-42.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
44.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
35.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
24.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
25.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
6.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
79.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
2.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
99.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
916.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
633.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
115.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
86 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion cycle
37 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
7.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
34.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
70.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
17.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
2.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
5.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
18.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

65.22 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
70.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Mar 2026
verified 320

Score by group

  • Valuation53
  • Returns49
  • Quality66
  • Balance sheet36
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
18.54
USD per share
Mid
35.70
USD per share
High
77.50
USD per share
Price: 65.22 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -45.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -82.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 6.44 – 300.28 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)155.58 – 300.28 (Mid 206.44)
    WACC 7.5% · starting FCFF 1.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA27.37 – 141.92 (Mid 60.25)
    6 companies used · median multiple 8.0x · quartiles 5.1x – 15.2x
    ALTO, GPRE, LYB, NEU, SXT, WLK
  • Peers: P/E6.44 – 12.82 (Mid 9.77)
    7 companies used · median multiple 10.5x · quartiles 6.9x – 13.8x
    ALTO, GPRE, LNZA, LYB, NEU, REX, WLKP
  • Dividend discount (DDM)9.72 – 13.08 (Mid 11.15)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.9%50 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality4.0%58 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality633.0%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.9%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-42.4%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.7x29 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.0x7 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.1x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation70.1x11 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.4x57 (vs peers)10%
FCF yield · Valuation18.2%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.1%15 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns5.8%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet36/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality66/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns49/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

METHANEX CORPORATION (MEOH). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.5%; net margin 4.0%; ROE 6.4%; net debt/EBITDA 2.7x.

The estimated value range is 18.54–77.50 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 35.70 USD, the price of 65.22 USD leaves a potential of -45.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -82.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 633.0%
  • Current ratio: 2.1x
  • FCF yield: 18.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 5.8%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -42.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 2.7x
  • Interest coverage: 2.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 70.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.1%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Industrial Organic Chemicals (SIC 2860) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
70.1x
vertical median 12.9x
above median (+444.6%)
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
vertical median 10.8x
below median (−22.2%)
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−10.2%)
P/B
2.1x
vertical median 1.2x
above median (+78.2%)
ROE
6.4%
vertical median -4.9%
above median
Net margin
4.0%
vertical median -3.9%
above median
EBIT margin
12.0%
vertical median -4.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
-3.5%
vertical median -5.2%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
2.7x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+142.0%)
Dividend yield
1.1%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−63.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances Inc22.0 bn122.11.3%1.6%−5.2%+26% / +16%
LYBLyondellbasell Industries N.V.20.4 bn15.611.9%4.1%−9.7%+29% / −34%
WLKWestlake Corporation8.7 bn—-4.9%-3.9%−8.0%+2% / −47%
NEUNewmarket Corporation6.7 bn14.725.3%16.5%−2.2%−5% / +37%
SXTSensient Technologies Corp5.4 bn31.713.7%9.7%+3.5%+29% / +117%
MEOHMethanex Corporation5.0 bn70.16.4%4.0%−3.5%+82% / +50%
REXRex American Resources Corporation1.3 bn10.522.5%20.9%+1.2%+20% / +62%
GPREGreen Plains Inc.957.5 m8.615.4%6.8%−14.9%+32% / −45%
WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LP761.8 m12.9—4.8%+2.7%+14% / −5%
GEVOGevo, Inc.316.5 m—-57.0%-119.9%+849.3%−40% / +13%
ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.271.5 m5.322.2%5.5%−4.9%+37% / +43%
FFFuturefuel Corp.246.5 m—-18.3%-19.9%−60.7%+70% / −5%
CDXSCodexis, Inc.118.3 m—-69.4%-39.6%+18.6%−38% / −54%
LODEComstock Inc.113.3 m—-38.2%-3,680.5%−48.5%−58% / −68%
AMTXAemetis, Inc90.2 m——-27.4%−26.2%−28% / −72%
TANHTantech Holdings Ltd90.1 m—-25.7%-80.9%−10.7%−76% / −100%
LNZALanzaTech Global, Inc.69.2 m0.4146.4%295.7%+12.6%−63% / −99%
SAFXXcf Global, Inc.41.0 m—-246.1%—unavailable−87% / unavailable
TOMZTomi Environmental Solutions, Inc.18.2 m—-168.8%-49.8%−27.2%−6% / −26%
CNEYCn Energy Group. Inc.2.5 m—-11.2%-31.3%−30.2%−65% / −99%
BAKBraskem SA———-14.6%+9.7%−61% / −86%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MEOH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
70.20
Total return 9% · Per year 9%
124.73
Total return 93% · Per year 93%
188.74
Total return 192% · Per year 192%
3 years
55.74
Total return -10% · Per year -4%
112.57
Total return 79% · Per year 21%
188.74
Total return 197% · Per year 44%
5 years
44.26
Total return -26% · Per year -6%
101.59
Total return 66% · Per year 11%
188.74
Total return 203% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 28.14
  • Net margin± 19.70
  • Annual revenue growth± 17.79
  • Annual dilution± 1.66

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (29 Oct 2026), 6-K (22 Sept 2026), 6-K (01 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Aug 2026).

In brief

Methanex Corporation is a Canadian company that produces and markets methanol globally, with shares listed on the TSX and Nasdaq. In 2025 it completed the acquisition of OCI's global methanol business, a step that widens its industrial footprint and strengthens its relevance in energy and chemicals markets.1

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a global asset base and recently expanded capacity through the acquisition of a major methanol business.
  • Reporting is subject to an integrated audit with a separate opinion on internal control, which supports the credibility of the information.
  • The dual listing in Toronto and on Nasdaq gives access to several capital markets and a well-structured governance framework.

Weaknesses

  • The recent acquisition brings new entities that were not included in the internal control assessment for 2025.
  • IFRS reporting differs in some respects from US standards, which can make comparisons harder.
  • Exposure to the exchange rate between the US and Canadian dollars complicates interpreting results for local investors.

Opportunities

  • Full integration of the OCI business could produce operational synergies and a more efficient cost structure.
  • Strengthening internal controls after integration could reduce long-term reporting risks.
  • Expanding global capacity could support new contracts with customers in the chemical and energy industries.

Threats

  • Rising sustainability reporting requirements could add compliance costs and regulatory pressure.
  • Exchange rate swings can affect reported results for a Canadian company that publishes in US dollars.
  • Difficulties integrating a large acquisition could delay financial and operational targets.

Risks

  • Integration of the OCI businesshigh

    The acquisition completed in June 2025 is still being integrated, and the acquired entities were not included in the 2025 internal control assessment. If integration is delayed, controls and results could be affected.

  • Internal control over reportingmedium

    Management concluded internal control was effective, but excluding the new entities leaves a point of attention until full integration.

  • Exchange ratemedium

    Reporting in US dollars with a Toronto listing means results read by Canadian holders are exposed to moves between the Canadian and US dollar.

  • Reporting differenceslow

    IFRS financial statements can differ from US ones, which could limit comparability with other producers.

  • Sustainability requirementslow

    Advisory work on sustainability reporting compliance shows regulation is evolving, and compliance costs could rise.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If integration of the OCI business proceeds as planned, the company could capture synergies that support margins over the longer term.
  • An integrated audit with a separate opinion on internal control points to a solid level of discipline in reporting.
  • Dual listing on two exchanges gives access to capital and a broad investor base, which can support financial flexibility.

What would break the thesis

  • If integration is delayed, the new business could underperform expectations and costs could stay high.
  • Excluding the acquired entities from the internal control assessment leaves a visibility gap for 2025.
  • Exchange rate moves could reduce the value of reported US dollar results for Canadian investors.

What to watch

  • Progress of OCI business integration and inclusion of acquired entities in the internal control assessment2026
  • Trend in audit costs and non-audit services, including sustainability reporting advisory2026
  • Consolidated financial results after inclusion of the new global methanol businessnext 10-K
  • USD/CAD exchange rate movements and their effect on reporting2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (29 Oct 2026), 6-K (22 Sept 2026), 6-K (01 Sept 2026), 6-K (21 Aug 2026).

The business

Methanex is a Canadian public company, registered as a foreign private issuer, with shares traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange under MX and on Nasdaq under MEOH.1 It reports its financial statements under IFRS, and fiscal 2025 ended on December 31, 2025.1 The company completed the acquisition of OCI's global methanol business on June 27, 2025, and the internal controls of the acquired entities were excluded from management's assessment for that year.1

The company applied additional controls over acquisition accounting under IFRS 3 during 2025 and is working to integrate the new business into its internal control over financial reporting.1 The independent auditor is KPMG LLP of Vancouver, which issued an attestation report on internal control as of December 31, 2025.1

Governance includes an Audit, Finance and Risk Committee and a Human Resources Committee that administers the policy for recovering erroneously awarded incentive-based compensation, in line with Nasdaq rules.1

Segments

Global methanol business

The acquisition of OCI's global methanol business, completed on June 27, 2025, added new activities to the company's structure, and the integration process was still under way at the end of 2025.1

Reporting and audit services

Total KPMG fees were 3,670 thousand USD in 2025, compared with 3,337 thousand USD in 2024, and part of the increase came from advisory work on sustainability reporting compliance.1

Market context

The company reports in US dollars, and the exchange rate on December 31, 2025 was 1.3706 Canadian dollars per US dollar, which affects how results are read by investors in Canada.1 Its activity spans global markets and it is listed in both Toronto and New York through Nasdaq.1

Methanex operates in a global methanol market where exposure to currency movements and cross-border logistics matters for reported results.1

Trends

  • Acquisition integrationmixed

    Integrating the OCI business could bring synergies but also widens the area that internal controls must cover.

  • Sustainability reportingheadwind

    Demand for advisory work on sustainability reporting compliance has grown, pointing to rising regulatory pressure on the company.

  • Extended internal controlstailwind

    If integration goes well, the extended controls could strengthen confidence in reporting.

  • Currency exposuremixed

    Reporting in US dollars for a Canadian audience means currency moves matter for interpreting results.

Competitive position

Methanex operates in a methanol industry where competition turns on cost, access to feedstock and global logistics, and the official source does not detail its position relative to other producers.1

The source does not name specific competitors, so any comparison with other players in the sector would need to rely on separate reports.1

  • Global methanol producers

    The source does not name direct competitors, so this line is general and does not identify a specific company.

  • Integrated chemical operators

    Companies producing methanol derivatives may compete indirectly for the same feedstock and contracts.

  • Regional methanol suppliers

    Regional producers can influence prices in local markets, depending on gas costs and logistics.

  • Industrial asset acquirers

    Other players consolidating similar assets could change the competitive dynamics, as the OCI acquisition did.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 40-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Methanex Corporation · 05 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.