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olivLaw · US equity research

Nextpower Inc. NXT

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

99.58USD−6.67% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Nextpower Inc. (Nasdaq: NXT), formerly known as Nextracker, is a global provider of solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants. It is the market leader in solar tracking systems, and fiscal 2026 revenue reached 3.6 billion USD, in a context of growing electricity demand driven by data centers and electrification.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Nextpower Inc. (NXT) stock was 99.58 USD (−6.67% on the day), with market capitalisation 15.0 bn USD, P/E 25.1 on diluted EPS of 3.97 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.42, 52-week range 76.48–156.40 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (+22.5% YoY), net income of 165.5 m USD (+12.7% YoY), diluted EPS 1.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
15.0 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.1
Diluted EPS TTM 3.97 · TTM to 02 Oct 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.99%
TTM to 02 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.42
Volatility (1y) 69%
52-week range
76.48156.40

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
63.7
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
69.01 – 100.33
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.98 · band width 37.0%
SMA 50 / 200
83.42 / 106.88
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.32 / 0.63
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.0%−5.9%+19.0 pp—
3 months+1.2%−4.6%+5.8 pp—
6 months−17.6%+0.2%−17.8 pp—
Year to date+14.3%+7.4%+6.9 pp—
1 year−11.0%+8.2%−19.2 pp+21.0%
3 years+168.0%+68.4%+99.6 pp+55.4%
5 yearsunavailable+56.5%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−51.1%
29 May 2026 → 26 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−51.1%
29 May 2026 → 26 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 02 Oct 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
+22.5% YoY
Net income
165.5 m USD
+12.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.08
+11.3% YoY
net / operating
14.9% / 18.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue679.4 m924.3 m864.3 m905.3 m909.4 m880.5 m935.2 m1.1 bn
Cost of revenue438.5 m618.7 m582.5 m612.4 m621.2 m583.1 m599.3 m764.0 m
Gross profit240.9 m305.7 m281.7 m292.9 m288.1 m297.4 m335.9 m345.3 m
Research & development20.1 m23.6 m21.6 m26.9 m29.3 m43.2 m44.5 m45.6 m
SG&A70.6 m86.8 m73.9 m84.6 m82.7 m100.6 m100.4 m92.2 m
Operating income150.2 m195.3 m186.2 m181.3 m176.1 m153.6 m190.9 m207.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.4 m ≈5.1 m5.8 m7.4 m ≈8.4 m ≈9.0 m8.8 m14.9 m ≈
Pre-tax income160.2 m198.7 m191.0 m182.7 m180.5 m159.6 m198.9 m215.1 m
Income tax42.8 m40.8 m33.8 m35.9 m49.3 m9.0 m33.6 m49.6 m
Net income115.3 m156.8 m157.2 m146.9 m131.2 m150.6 m165.4 m165.5 m
Diluted EPS0.791.05 ≈1.040.970.850.97 ≈1.071.08
Operating cash flow143.8 m ≈237.3 m81.3 m186.9 m ≈123.3 m ≈171.4 m121.1 m158.1 m ≈
Capex8.9 m ≈10.1 m11.3 m15.5 m ≈4.7 m ≈17.8 m15.9 m23.1 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 82 percentile of its own 11-quarter history (min 9.6, median 17.4, max 31.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.2 bn1.5 bn1.9 bn2.5 bn3.0 bn3.6 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+21.9%+30.5%+31.4%+18.4%+20.3%
Net income001.1 m306.2 m509.2 m585.9 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+26,692.7%+66.3%+15.1%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable0.023.373.473.84
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+16,750.0%+3.0%+10.7%
net %0.0%0.0%0.1%12.3%17.2%16.5%
Free cash flow91.8 m-153.0 m104.5 m422.8 m621.9 m513.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
2.3 bn USD
Total assets
4.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.45x
ROE
29.6%
ROA
16.1%
FCF margin
14.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
2.5 bn
2025
3.0 bn
2026
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.0 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
813.0 m
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Research & development
2024
42.4 m
2025
79.4 m
2026
120.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
183.6 m
2025
290.3 m
2026
341.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
587.1 m
2025
639.1 m
2026
697.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
4.4 m
2025
13.4 m
2026
30.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
591.5 m ≈
2025
652.5 m ≈
2026
727.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
608.0 m
2025
648.0 m
2026
713.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
111.8 m
2025
130.8 m
2026
127.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
306.2 m
2025
509.2 m
2026
585.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.37
2025
3.47
2026
3.84

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
147.3 m
2025
149.3 m
2026
152.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
474.1 m
2025
766.1 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
382.7 m
2025
472.5 m
2026
417.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
201.7 m
2025
209.4 m
2026
262.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn
2026
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
9.2 m
2025
60.4 m
2026
78.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
265.2 m
2025
371.0 m
2026
489.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
1.5 m
2025
53.2 m
2026
78.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
2.5 bn
2025
3.2 bn
2026
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
456.6 m
2025
585.3 m
2026
533.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
3.8 m
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 May 2025verified

Long-term debt
2024
144.0 m
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 May 2025verified

Current liabilities
2024
891.5 m
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
992.0 m
2025
1.6 bn
2026
2.3 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
429.0 m
2025
655.8 m
2026
562.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
6.2 m
2025
33.9 m
2026
49.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
422.8 m ≈
2025
621.9 m ≈
2026
513.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-6.7 m
2025
-186.1 m
2026
-186.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-78.3 m
2025
-177.6 m
2026
-47.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
0
2026
395.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 19 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
20.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
23.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
24.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
9.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
700.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
476.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-17.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
33.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
EBITDA margin
20.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
EBIT margin
19.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Net margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
FCF margin
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Returns

ROE
26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROA
14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
22.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
573.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Capital expenditure
61.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Free cash flow
512.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
FCF conversion
83.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Cash conversion
74.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Days payables outstanding
85 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
15.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
24.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Earnings yield
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/B
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/S
3.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
29.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
FCF yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

99.58 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 15.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
15.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/B
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Net margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
20.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 02 Oct 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 02 Oct 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 730derived 73

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality33.0%0 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality19.0%62 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality13.4%53 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth23.2%93 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth20.3%47 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x84 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.4%68 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.1%51 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial84/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth78/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality36/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns51/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial68/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Nextpower Inc. (NXT). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-10-02.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.6 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 20.3%; net margin 16.0%; ROE 26.5%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 23.2%
  • Current ratio: 2.2x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 33.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
25.1x
vertical median 42.8x
below median (−41.5%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.4x
P/S
3.9x
vertical median 6.3x
below median (−37.9%)
P/B
5.7x
vertical median 5.0x
above median (+12.4%)
ROE
26.5%
vertical median 12.2%
above median (+116.4%)
Net margin
16.0%
vertical median 11.2%
above median (+43.2%)
EBIT margin
19.0%
vertical median 12.3%
above median (+54.4%)
Revenue YoY
20.3%
vertical median 23.3%
below median (−13.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.0x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited9,156.8 bn259.629.3%40.0%+25.0%+21% / +263%
NVDANvidia Corp4,376.6 bn23.0117.2%63.7%+65.5%+3% / +288%
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,391.7 bn37.244.2%42.9%+23.9%−28% / +215%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.742.7 bn8.888.3%63.8%+256.3%+178% / +762%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc663.3 bn88.011.8%16.8%+34.3%+86% / +234%
INTCIntel Corporation277.7 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+29% / +17%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc254.2 bn36.039.7%34.3%+13.0%+65% / +82%
AMATApplied Materials Inc253.4 bn27.541.1%30.1%+4.4%+27% / +113%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc174.9 bn42.812.2%29.8%+16.9%+36% / +97%
UMCUnited Microelectronics Corporation168.4 bn111.513.3%21.0%−2.5%+79% / +72%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc117.1 bn44.116.5%27.9%+42.1%+49% / +140%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.61.6 bn19.229.2%23.4%−2.7%+25% / +20%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.55.2 bn62.425.1%23.9%+26.4%+22% / +106%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Inc35.3 bn47.212.6%15.0%+7.1%+21% / −22%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.31.4 bn71.628.2%29.6%+115.1%+14% / unavailable
IMOSChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.29.7 bn676.05.6%6.3%−0.8%+55% / +64%
ONOn Semiconductor Corp24.5 bn36.68.9%10.8%−15.3%+25% / −12%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.23.0 bn38.97.6%11.5%+9.7%+36% / unavailable
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd21.1 bn40.030.7%33.8%+205.7%−37% / +527%
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.21.0 bn11.318.7%37.1%+24.1%−28% / +24%
NXTNextpower Inc.15.0 bn25.126.5%16.0%+20.3%−11% / +168%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.14.5 bn60.917.2%20.7%+32.6%+9% / +127%
SITMSiTime Corporation10.7 bn373.71.2%3.9%+61.2%+19% / +221%
SLABSilicon Laboratories Inc.7.4 bn—-3.6%-4.6%unavailable+73% / +110%
VIAVViavi Solutions Inc.6.5 bn106.76.5%4.0%+40.0%+47% / +225%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NXT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
66.63
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
117.26
Total return 18% · Per year 18%
175.89
Total return 77% · Per year 77%
3 years
79.03
Total return -21% · Per year -7%
155.07
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
253.28
Total return 154% · Per year 37%
5 years
93.75
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
205.09
Total return 106% · Per year 16%
364.72
Total return 266% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 38.77
  • Net margin± 27.14
  • Annual revenue growth± 20.24
  • Annual dilution± 2.28

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Nextpower Inc. (Nasdaq: NXT), formerly known as Nextracker, is a global provider of solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants. It is the market leader in solar tracking systems, and fiscal 2026 revenue reached 3.6 billion USD 1, in a context of growing electricity demand driven by data centers and electrification 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Global leadership in solar trackers, with a broad customer base and delivery experience across six continents 1.
  • Integrated platform combining hardware, software and services, which could increase project yield for customers 1.
  • Growing order backlog and expanding gross margins in recent quarters 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on a relatively small number of large customers could affect revenue if one of them reduces orders 1.
  • Revenue varies from quarter to quarter, which makes performance difficult to forecast 1.
  • The company relies on external suppliers and complex supply chains, and disruptions can affect deliveries 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand from data centers and electrification could open new markets for integrated solutions 1.
  • Expansion into energy storage and power conversion could diversify revenue 23.
  • Middle East and African markets, where tracker adoption is growing, could offer further growth 1.

Threats

  • Pricing pressure from competitors and EPC firms could reduce margins 1.
  • Changes in incentive policies or trade tariffs could affect demand and costs 1.
  • Technological progress in other energy sources could make current systems less competitive 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on solar demandhigh

    Demand depends on public policy, financing and economic conditions that the company does not control 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of customers generates a significant share of revenue, and losing one could affect results 1.

  • International trademedium

    Tariffs and trade restrictions can change costs and the timing of revenue 1.

  • Acquisitions and integrationmedium

    Integrating several recent acquisitions may divert management attention and delay the expected benefits 12.

  • Supply chainmedium

    Problems at suppliers or logistics disruptions can delay projects and deliveries 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for solar and storage keeps growing, leadership in trackers and platform expansion could support revenue growth 13.
  • Growth in backlog and gross margin in the quarter ended July 2026 could indicate solid operational execution 3.
  • Integrating eBOS and power conversion could increase customer value and revenue per project 13.

What would break the thesis

  • If pricing pressure intensifies, margins could decline, especially on contracts with large customers 1.
  • Dependence on incentive policies and U.S. demand could expose the company to regulatory change 12.
  • Recent acquisitions carry integration risk, and the announced benefits could be delayed or not fully realized 12.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the fiscal 2027 revenue outlook2027
  • Development of backlog and eBOS ordersQ2 2027
  • Integration of the Prevalon and Apex Power acquisitionsnext 10-Q
  • Status of the Zimmermann PV-Steel Group acquisition and government approvals2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Nextpower designs, manufactures and delivers solar tracking systems, together with foundations, steel frames, electrical balance of systems equipment and software solutions for optimizing plant performance 1. The company was founded in 2013 and has shipped more than 160 GW of tracking systems to projects on six continents 1. Its main customers are EPC firms, developers and solar project owners, and contracts are usually negotiated separately for each project 1.

The platform integrates trackers with electrical infrastructure, software, controls and emerging technologies, transforming the company from a pure tracker supplier into an energy technology platform 13. Its strategy has been extended through acquisitions in 2025 and 2026, including Bentek, OnSight, Origami and Fracsun, as well as the Prevalon battery storage acquisition 12.

Revenue is generated mainly from the sale of trackers and yield management systems, and contract values range from a few hundred thousand dollars to over one hundred million dollars 1. The U.S. accounted for 83% of revenue in the quarter ended July 3, 2026 2.

Segments

Solar tracking systems

The core segment includes the NX Horizon tracker and variants such as NX Horizon-XTR, which can follow uneven terrain 1. The company regards it as the main sales driver, although eBOS, foundations and steel frames are growing in importance 13.

Electrical, software and new technologies

This includes eBOS, power conversion products, energy storage systems and software and robotics services 123. The company presents these as expansion directions, and eBOS revenue is expected to exceed well over 100 million dollars this year 3.

Market context

Demand for solar energy is supported by cost competitiveness and global electrification, and the cost of solar generation fell by 84% between 2009 and 2025, according to Lazard as cited by the company 1. Trackers can generate up to 25% more energy than fixed systems 1, but the market is fragmented and price competition remains intense 1.

Rising electricity demand from data centers and artificial intelligence could support the solar market, although transmission limits, permitting and grid access may slow projects 1. Integrated suppliers could benefit if these trends persist 1.

Trends

  • Electrification and data center demandtailwind

    Growing electricity demand from data centers and artificial intelligence could support demand for utility-scale solar, according to the company 1.

  • Lower solar coststailwind

    Falling solar generation costs make solar competitive with natural gas and wind, which could support broader adoption 1.

  • Grid and permitting constraintsheadwind

    Transmission limits, permitting procedures and a lack of grid infrastructure can delay projects and reduce demand for equipment 1.

  • Policy and trade tariffsmixed

    Tax incentives such as IRA 45X credits and tariffs can influence both revenue and margins, and their net effect may vary from quarter to quarter 13.

Competitive position

The solar tracker market is fragmented, and competitors may have lower costs, stronger brand recognition or greater economies of scale 1. The company also faces competition from conventional energy and other renewable sources such as natural gas, wind and energy storage 1.

The company says it maintains its global tracker leadership, based on market share data cited from Wood Mackenzie, while extending its offering to higher value-added products 3. Pricing pressure from panel suppliers and EPC firms may however reduce margins 1.

  • Regional solar tracker suppliers

    Companies in this group compete on price and local delivery, especially in emerging markets, as described in the company's risk factors 1.

  • Fixed-tilt racking manufacturers

    Fixed-tilt systems compete directly with trackers and can become more attractive when panel prices fall, according to the company 1.

  • Conventional and renewable power producers

    Gas, coal, nuclear and wind compete on price and predictability, which may limit solar growth 1.

  • Energy storage and inverter suppliers

    As the company extends into storage and inverters, it meets specialized suppliers in these fields 12.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report02 Nov 2026
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report19 Aug 2026
    Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report03 Aug 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement07 Jul 2026
  • Current report22 Jun 2026
    Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 May 2026
    Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Annual report19 May 2026
  • Current report12 May 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Nextpower Inc. · 19 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / Nextpower Inc. · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Nextpower Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.