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olivLaw · US equity research

TrueBlue, Inc. TBI

Services-Help Supply Services · SIC 7363 · Vertical: Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363)

12.36USD+25.61% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

TrueBlue provides specialized workforce solutions through three segments, PeopleReady, PeopleManagement and PeopleSolutions, connecting employers and talent in the United States and other markets. The company returned to growth at the end of 2025 and in the first half of 2026, with second quarter revenue of 443.0 million USD, but margins remain under pressure and the company still posts a net loss.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) stock was 12.36 USD (+25.61% on the day), with market capitalisation 376.8 m USD, beta 0.68, 52-week range 3.31–12.36 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 520.7 m USD (+20.7% YoY), net income of 9.2 m USD, diluted EPS 0.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
376.8 m USD
shares as of 25 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.54 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-12.48%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.68
Volatility (1y) 73%
52-week range
3.3112.36

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
79.6
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.46 – 11.11
above the upper band · %B 1.34 · band width 39.3%
SMA 50 / 200
9.41 / 6.90
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.39 / 0.13
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+37.8%−5.9%+43.7 pp—
3 months+21.2%−4.6%+25.8 pp—
6 months+105.7%+0.2%+105.4 pp—
Year to date+171.6%+7.4%+164.2 pp—
1 year+143.8%+8.2%+135.6 pp+18.6%
3 years−3.1%+68.4%−71.6 pp−39.5%
5 years−57.2%+56.5%−113.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−40.3%
22 Jan 2026 → 27 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−89.0%
21 Apr 2022 → 27 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−15.6%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
520.7 m USD
+20.7% YoY
Net income
9.2 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.28
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.8% / 2.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue386.0 m370.3 m396.3 m431.3 m418.2 m398.6 m443.0 m520.7 m
Cost of revenue283.4 m283.9 m302.7 m333.4 m328.1 m319.5 m351.4 m413.7 m
Gross profit102.5 m86.3 m93.6 m97.9 m90.0 m79.0 m91.6 m107.0 m
SG&A106.9 m94.6 m89.8 m91.7 m94.9 m87.3 m83.8 m89.1 m
Operating income-10.4 m-14.1 m-2.9 m-146.0 k-29.4 m-17.8 m-1.2 m12.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.9 m6.8 m7.5 m7.3 m7.2 m6.9 m5.9 m5.9 m
Pre-tax income-10.0 m-13.9 m-38.0 k-1.2 m-30.5 m-19.2 m-2.5 m10.3 m
Income tax1.7 m418.0 k122.0 k711.0 k1.1 m576.0 k887.0 k1.0 m
Net income-11.7 m-14.3 m-160.0 k-1.9 m-31.5 m-19.8 m-3.4 m9.2 m
Diluted EPS-0.40 ≈-0.48-0.01-0.06-1.05 ≈-0.66-0.110.28
Operating cash flow6.1 m-22.1 m-11.8 m ≈-19.8 m ≈-4.4 m-9.8 m-20.6 m ≈-26.1 m ≈
Capex5.3 m4.7 m4.3 m ≈3.6 m ≈3.1 m2.8 m3.4 m ≈2.2 m ≈
Share repurchases-8.0 k00 ≈0 ≈0———

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.5 bn2.4 bn1.8 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn1.9 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn
Revenue YoY−0.4%−5.2%−22.1%+17.7%+3.7%−15.4%−17.8%+3.1%
Net income65.8 m63.1 m-141.8 m61.6 m62.3 m-14.2 m-125.7 m-48.0 m
Net income YoY+18.6%−4.1%−324.9%unavailable+1.0%−122.8%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS1.631.61-4.011.741.86-0.45-4.17-1.61
Diluted EPS YoY+21.6%−1.2%−349.1%unavailable+6.9%−124.2%unavailableunavailable
net %2.6%2.7%-7.7%2.8%2.8%-0.7%-8.0%-3.0%
Free cash flow108.6 m65.4 m125.5 m-14.6 m89.9 m3.5 m-41.2 m-73.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
24.5 m USD
Financial debt
65.8 m USD
Net debt
41.3 m USD
Equity
274.6 m USD
Total assets
638.7 m USD
Debt / equity
0.24x
Current ratio
2.15x
ROE
-16.3%
ROA
-7.3%
FCF margin
-4.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
506.1 m
2024
406.4 m
2025
367.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
494.6 m
2024
410.9 m
2025
371.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-23.9 m
2024
-92.8 m
2025
-46.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
25.8 m
2024
29.6 m
2025
28.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.0 m ≈
2024
-63.2 m ≈
2025
-17.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-20.6 m
2024
-88.5 m
2025
-45.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-6.5 m
2024
37.2 m
2025
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-14.2 m
2024
-125.7 m
2025
-48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.45
2024
-4.17
2025
-1.61

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
31.3 m
2024
30.2 m
2025
29.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
61.9 m
2024
22.5 m
2025
24.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
252.5 m
2024
214.7 m
2025
241.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
355.0 m
2024
277.1 m
2025
297.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
104.9 m
2024
89.6 m
2025
73.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
84.1 m
2024
24.5 m
2025
42.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
10.5 m
2024
5.9 m
2025
18.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
899.4 m
2024
675.4 m
2025
638.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
56.4 m
2024
45.6 m
2025
36.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
0
2024
7.6 m
2025
65.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
204.1 m
2024
160.1 m
2025
138.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
441.5 m
2024
360.0 m
2025
364.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
457.9 m †
2024
315.4 m †
2025
274.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
34.8 m
2024
-17.1 m
2025
-58.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
31.3 m
2024
24.2 m
2025
15.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
3.5 m ≈
2024
-41.2 m ≈
2025
-73.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-32.3 m
2024
-2.5 m
2025
-16.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-37.6 m
2024
-17.1 m
2025
57.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
34.2 m
2024
21.3 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
-0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-15.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
-6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
-8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
-7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
82.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-60.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
11.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-72.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
59 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
376.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
459.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-19.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
4.02
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

12.36 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 376.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
376.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-15.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
-2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 25 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2743derived 147

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-8.7%33 (vs peers)24%
Net margin · Quality-2.6%38 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-10.5%0 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-19.2%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality35/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.1%; net margin -2.6%; ROE -15.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.3x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -10.5%
  • FCF yield: -19.2%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Help Supply Services (SIC 7363) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 16 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 9.9x
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.4x
below median (−42.2%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−18.8%)
ROE
-15.9%
vertical median 4.6%
below median (−447.6%)
Net margin
-2.6%
vertical median 0.3%
below median (−851.8%)
EBIT margin
-2.0%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−348.5%)
Revenue YoY
3.1%
vertical median -2.9%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.8x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
RHIRobert Half Inc.4.4 bn35.69.8%2.3%−7.2%+59% / −48%
MANManpowergroup Inc.2.2 bn18.25.8%0.6%+0.6%+61% / −38%
NSPInsperity, Inc.1.9 bn554.94.6%0.0%+3.5%+44% / −55%
AMNAmn Healthcare Services, Inc.1.8 bn17.715.6%3.1%−8.5%+185% / −30%
EFOREverforth, Inc.1.5 bn21.83.7%1.7%−2.9%−21% / −60%
KFRCKforce Inc997.7 m23.430.5%3.0%−5.4%+89% / −20%
BBSIBarrett Business Services, Inc.728.3 m24.213.9%2.4%+8.4%−13% / +11%
TBITrueBlue, Inc.376.8 m—-15.9%-2.6%+3.1%+144% / −3%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.239.2 m30.012.1%27.1%−11.4%+98% / +16%
RCMTRcm Technologies, Inc.226.3 m13.839.5%5.1%unavailable+63% / +18%
TTECTTEC Holdings, Inc.73.0 m—-108.2%-10.2%−3.2%−56% / −92%
DLHCDlh Holdings Corp.52.6 m—-20.8%-8.5%−13.0%−42% / −74%
BGSFBgsf, Inc37.5 m—-4.4%-2.3%−10.6%−24% / −64%
STRRStar Equity Holdings, Inc.35.0 m—-18.2%-4.3%+22.9%−6% / −40%
CIRCCircle8 Group Inc.23.5 m——-19.4%−1.5%−90% / −95%
YFORYY Group Holding Ltd.3.9 m—-94.1%-11.8%+29.4%−100% / unavailable
KELYAKelly Services, Inc.——-11.9%-3.1%−1.9%+63% / −32%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TBI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    TrueBlue provides specialized workforce solutions through three segments, PeopleReady, PeopleManagement and PeopleSolutions, connecting employers and talent in the United States and other markets. The company returned to growth at the end of 2025 and in the first half of 2026, with second quarter revenue of 443.0 million USD, but margins remain under pressure and the company still posts a net loss.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The national branch network and proprietary mobile platforms give an advantage in quickly recruiting personnel.
    • Industry expertise and proprietary technology such as Stafftrack and Affinix support differentiation from competitors.
    • Liquidity remained adequate in the first half of 2026, with a revolving credit facility available to fund operations.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has reported net losses in recent years and gross margin contracted in fiscal 2025.
    • Collateral requirements for workers' compensation insurance can call for additional financial resources.
    • Debt rose in the first half of 2026, which reduces the company's financial flexibility.

    Opportunities

    • Expansion in energy, commercial driving and healthcare could bring steadier, less cyclical revenue.
    • Greater automation in recruiting could lower operating costs if the technology proves effective.
    • A return of on-site and permanent hiring activity could support growth in the PeopleSolutions segment.

    Threats

    • An economic slowdown or recession could quickly reduce demand for contingent workers.
    • Artificial intelligence and automation could reduce clients' need for external labor.
    • Competition from digital platforms and local firms could press prices lower.

    Risks

    • Sensitivity to the economic cyclehigh

      Demand for the company's services depends heavily on the state of the economy, and a slowdown could quickly affect revenue and profitability.

    • Recurring net losseshigh

      The company reported net losses in fiscal 2025 and in the first half of 2026, and if these losses persist they could affect its funding capacity.

    • Workers' compensation costsmedium

      A rise in the frequency or severity of accidents could generate costs higher than those estimated in the accounting reserves.

    • Client concentrationmedium

      The loss of a large client or a major industry could have a significant impact on revenue and collections.

    • Technological transformationmedium

      If investments in technology and artificial intelligence do not deliver the expected return, the company could lose relevance against competitors.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 and the return to growth in on-demand activity suggest that demand could recover, especially in skilled sectors.
    • Cost reduction measures could support a recovery in profitability if volumes rise, and the leaner structure becomes an advantage.
    • Proprietary technology platforms and expansion into sectors with steady demand could strengthen the company's long-term position.

    What would break the thesis

    • Gross margin fell to 20.7% in the second quarter of 2026, and if this pressure persists, profitability could remain weak.
    • Rising debt and lower available liquidity could limit financial flexibility in the event of an economic slowdown.
    • Automation and digital competition could reduce demand for traditional recruiting and staffing services.

    What to watch

    • Trend in gross margin and workers' compensation costsQ3 2026
    • Recovery of on-site and permanent hiring activity in PeopleManagement and PeopleSolutions2026
    • Level of debt and available liquidity under the revolving credit facilitynext 10-Q
    • Fiscal 2026 guidance compared with actual results2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    TrueBlue, Inc. began operations in 1989 and presents itself as a leading provider of workforce solutions that connect employers with talent. In fiscal 2025 it connected approximately 291,000 people with work and served approximately 53,000 clients 1. Operations are organized into three business segments, each with its own model and client base.

    The company says its services rely on proprietary digital platforms, including the JobStack mobile app, the Stafftrack software and the Affinix platform, which could lower recruiting costs and speed the matching of candidates with jobs. The strategy for fiscal 2026 aims to grow market share, expand into less cyclical markets and higher-value roles, and invest in sales and technology.

    Client concentration is moderate: the ten largest clients accounted for 26.2% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1, yet no single client exceeded 10% of total company revenue, according to the annual report. This structure could reduce concentration risk, although the loss of a major client could still weigh on results.

    Segments

    PeopleManagement

    PeopleManagement supplies and manages contingent associates at client facilities through the Staff Management | SMX, SIMOS and Centerline brands, the last one for commercial drivers. Revenue rose slightly in fiscal 2025 to 544.4 million USD, but fell 3.1% in the first half of 2026 amid weakness in on-site activity.

    PeopleSolutions

    PeopleSolutions covers recruitment process outsourcing, management of contingent workforce programs and healthcare staffing through the Healthcare Staffing Professionals brand, acquired in early 2025. The segment grew 19.8% in fiscal 2025 but dipped slightly in the first half of 2026 as clients reduced hiring volumes.

    Market context

    Demand for contingent staffing depends on the health of the economy and the labor market, and the industry is fragmented, with a few large listed firms and many regional or local players. According to the company, demand contracts during periods of economic uncertainty and recovers quickly when activity improves, which makes industry performance cyclical 1.

    The human resource outsourcing market, which includes RPO and MSP services, grows as companies transfer non-core functions to specialized providers. Recruiting demand nonetheless stayed volatile in 2025, and the shift toward automation and artificial intelligence could, in some cases, reduce the need for external labor and recruiting services.

    Trends

    • Recovery of demand in skilled industriestailwind

      Growth in energy and commercial driving, where the company has higher-margin segments, suggests that demand for specialized labor could support revenue. If this pace holds, the company could offset weakness in on-site and permanent hiring.

    • Automation and artificial intelligenceheadwind

      Clients increasingly use automation and artificial intelligence to reduce their reliance on labor, which could weaken demand for staffing services. The company must keep investing in technology to remain relevant, and those investments carry no guarantee of return.

    • Workers' compensation costsheadwind

      Workers' compensation costs weighed on gross margin in fiscal 2025, and the reserves for these claims are sensitive to medical trends and legislation. If these costs rise faster than the rates billed to clients, margins could remain under pressure.

    • Lower operating costsmixed

      Expense reduction and a simpler organizational structure have lowered selling, general and administrative costs, which could support profitability if demand improves. The effect depends on whether the company can keep a leaner cost base without affecting service quality.

    Competitive position

    The company competes mainly with local and regional firms, along with online and app-based platforms offering flexible workforce solutions. The decisive factors are price, the ability to fill orders quickly, the quality of technology tools and the handling of client service issues 1.

    In outsourced HR, the main competitors are firms specialized in RPO or broader outsourcing solutions, as well as clients who recruit in-house. According to the annual report, the company differentiates itself through the Affinix technology, employer branding services and a national presence in a fragmented competitive field.

    • Randstad N.V.

      Global staffing company cited in the analyzed sources as an industry reference, without comparative details in the texts provided.

    • Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd.

      Recruitment and HR outsourcing group, mentioned as a reference in the competitive analysis, without financial information in the sources provided.

    • Local and regional staffing firms

      Main competitors in the contingent segment according to the annual report, although the company does not name them individually.

    • Online and app-based platforms

      New entrants from the digital economy that attract candidates through mobile apps and compete on flexible work services.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / TrueBlue, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / TrueBlue, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / TrueBlue, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.