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olivLaw · US equity research

Vroom, Inc. VRM

Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations · SIC 5500 · Vertical: Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations (SIC 5500)

7.00USD−3.85% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Vroom, Inc. (VRM) is a holding company whose main operating businesses are UACC, a non-prime auto finance lender working through dealers, and CarStory, an AI-based analytics platform for the auto industry. After exiting Chapter 11 in 2025 and winding down online sales, the company says it posted its first positive net income in the second quarter of 2026, with 63.9 million USD of total available liquidity.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Vroom, Inc. (VRM) stock was 7.00 USD (−3.85% on the day), with market capitalisation 36.5 m USD, beta 0.87, 52-week range 6.90–26.33 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): net income of 628.0 k USD, diluted EPS -0.01 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
36.5 m USD
shares as of 12 May 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -11.12 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-158.91%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.87
Volatility (1y) 101%
52-week range
6.9026.33

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
32.0
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
6.92 – 9.60
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.03 · band width 32.5%
SMA 50 / 200
9.12 / 11.53
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.54 / -0.42
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−22.4%−2.0%−20.4 pp—
3 months−26.6%−2.2%−24.4 pp—
6 months−41.4%+4.3%−45.7 pp—
Year to date−64.8%+10.6%−75.4 pp—
1 year−69.3%+10.5%−79.7 pp+0.3%
3 yearsunavailable+73.7%unavailable+8.9%
5 yearsunavailable+61.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−73.8%
18 Dec 2025 → 30 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−82.7%
23 Apr 2025 → 30 Jul 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
unavailable USD
unavailable YoY
Net income
628.0 k USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.01
unavailable YoY
net / operating
unavailable / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Depreciation & amortisation7.1 m7.1 m575.0 k742.0 k998.0 k1.0 m1.3 m1.5 m
Interest expense1.6 m1.3 m480.0 k698.0 k706.0 k913.0 k1.2 m1.1 m
Pre-tax income-37.6 m-36.3 m-6.3 m-8.9 m-27.0 m-11.6 m-18.9 m531.0 k
Income tax124.0 k463.0 k150.0 k59.0 k144.0 k-59.0 k192.0 k-24.0 k
Net income-39.7 m-36.6 m-6.4 m-8.5 m-26.8 m-11.4 m-19.1 m628.0 k
Diluted EPS-21.99-19.77 ≈-1.23-1.65-5.15-2.19 ≈-3.77-0.01
Operating cash flow-31.7 m ≈-22.1 m16.8 m17.7 m ≈19.4 m ≈21.2 m18.4 m18.6 m ≈
Capex1.2 m ≈1.4 m1.5 m1.7 m ≈2.2 m ≈1.7 m1.5 m1.3 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue855.4 m1.2 bn1.4 bn3.2 bn1.9 bn893.2 munavailableunavailable
Revenue YoYunavailable+39.3%+13.9%+134.5%−38.8%−54.2%unavailableunavailable
Net income-85.2 m-143.0 m-202.8 m-370.9 m-451.9 m-364.6 m-165.1 m-53.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-2.76-2.72-262.15-209.17-91.07-10.24
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-10.0%-12.0%-14.9%-11.6%-23.2%-40.8%unavailableunavailable
Free cash flow-67.0 m-219.2 m-366.6 m-597.1 m-133.3 m-536.3 m-100.5 m68.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
10.4 m USD
Financial debt
423.2 m USD
Net debt
412.8 m USD
Equity
116.6 m USD
Total assets
937.4 m USD
Debt / equity
3.63x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-5.3%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
893.2 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Cost of revenue
2023
731.3 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Gross profit
2023
161.9 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

SG&A
2023
340.7 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Operating income
2023
-270.2 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
29.1 m
2024
29.1 m
2025
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-241.1 m ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024derived

Interest expense
2023
45.4 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-84.5 m
2024
-137.4 m
2025
-53.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
642.0 k
2024
856.0 k
2025
294.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-364.6 m
2024
-165.1 m
2025
-53.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-209.17
2024
-91.07
2025
-10.24

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.7 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
135.6 m
2024
29.3 m
2025
10.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
9.1 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Inventories
2023
163.3 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Current assets
2023
952.6 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
5.0 m
2024
4.1 m
2025
6.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
131.9 m
2024
104.9 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
937.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
26.8 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Short-term debt
2023
172.4 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
454.2 m
2024
381.4 m
2025
423.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
856.8 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2024verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
820.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
127.7 m †
2024
-30.9 m †
2025
116.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-533.7 m
2024
-97.0 m
2025
75.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.6 m
2024
3.5 m
2025
7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-536.3 m ≈
2024
-100.5 m ≈
2025
68.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
173.2 m
2024
132.6 m
2025
-108.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
97.3 m
2024
-166.0 m
2025
37.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-54.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2023
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2018 → FY 2023
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
unavailable
input data missing
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-45.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
473.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
77.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
6.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
70.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
36.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
509.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-158.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
194.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 2 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 16.7% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

7.00 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 36.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
36.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-45.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue growth (YoY)
-54.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2023
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 12 May 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 1034derived 99

Score by group

17% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
195.48
USD per share
Mid
338.22
USD per share
High
800.81
USD per share
Price: 7.00 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 4,731.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 97.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 195.48 – 800.81 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)195.48 – 800.81 (Mid 338.22)
    WACC 5.3% · starting FCFF 74.2 m USD · terminal value share of EV 87%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations (SIC 5500)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 2 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 16.7% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.0%0 (on a fixed band)50%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation194.6%100 (on a fixed band)50%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

VROOM, INC. (VRM). Latest full fiscal year: 2023; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 893.2 m USD in 2023; YoY growth -54.2%; ROE -45.0%.

The estimated value range is 195.48–800.81 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 338.22 USD, the price of 7.00 USD leaves a potential of 4,731.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 97.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 2 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 16.7% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF yield: 194.6%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -13.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net margin, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations (SIC 5500) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 14.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 6.0x
P/S
—
vertical median 0.3x
P/B
0.4x
vertical median 1.1x
below median (−65.6%)
ROE
-45.0%
vertical median 12.4%
below median (−462.1%)
Net margin
—
vertical median 2.3%
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 4.0%
Revenue YoY
-54.2%
vertical median 4.4%
below median (−1,327.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.6%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CPRTCopart, Inc.28.8 bn20.016.2%31.8%+0.4%−20% / −38%
CASYCasey’s General Stores, Inc.24.6 bn32.020.0%4.1%+10.2%+17% / +142%
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.13.9 bn15.515.5%2.8%−0.2%+31% / +42%
MUSAMurphy USA Inc.9.1 bn14.199.0%2.9%−4.2%+30% / +36%
KMXCarmax, Inc.7.8 bn26.94.7%1.1%−1.8%+43% / −14%
LADLithia Motors, Inc.6.8 bn9.111.8%2.1%+4.0%−1% / +18%
ANAutonation, Inc.5.9 bn8.830.2%2.6%+3.2%−13% / +36%
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.4.5 bn24.513.4%9.7%+8.2%+44% / +151%
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.3.8 bn8.311.8%2.7%+4.7%−10% / −0%
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc3.3 bn8.612.4%1.7%+13.2%−32% / −3%
NXXTNextnrg, Inc.427.3 m——-61.3%+194.7%+108% / −43%
VRMVroom, Inc.36.5 m—-45.0%—−54.2%−69% / unavailable
KXINKaixin Holdings12.2 m—-307.2%-41,788.4%unavailable−96% / −100%
CRMTAmerica’s Car-Mart, Inc.10.5 m—-43.0%-18.6%−7.9%−94% / −98%
JZXNJiuzi Holdings Inc.1.4 m—-90.7%-353.5%+105.9%−86% / −100%
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.—14.011.8%3.7%−4.7%+33% / +75%
CVNACarvana Co.00.051.5%6.2%+48.6%+4% / +1,138%
CWHCamping World Holdings, Inc.0—-33.2%-1.6%+4.4%−52% / −74%
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.—10.319.4%1.3%+6.5%+2% / +25%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VRM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Vroom, Inc. (VRM) is a holding company whose main operating businesses are UACC, a non-prime auto finance lender working through dealers, and CarStory, an AI-based analytics platform for the auto industry. After exiting Chapter 11 in 2025 and winding down online sales, the company says it posted its first positive net income in the second quarter of 2026, with 63.9 million USD of total available liquidity 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • UACC has a long history in auto finance and a broad dealer network, with automated underwriting and contract servicing capabilities.
  • CarStory holds a large vehicle database and patented pricing models, giving it a technology edge in analytics.
  • The post-reorganization capital structure carries no large debt at parent level, which provides flexibility.

Weaknesses

  • The company has a history of losses over many years and depends on UACC results, which carry high losses because of the non-prime profile.
  • CarStory revenue has fallen and is concentrated in a small number of customers, with limited investment in growing the base.
  • Liquidity is tight and warehouse facilities have short renewal dates, which puts pressure on funding.

Opportunities

  • If UACC losses decline, profitability could become sustained, and new data and models could improve risk precision.
  • Expanding the dealer program and near-prime products could open new customer segments.
  • Adoption of AI in pricing and auto marketing could raise demand for CarStory services if the company modernizes its products.

Threats

  • Rising interest rates and inflation could reduce borrowers' ability to pay and increase credit losses.
  • Tighter access to securitization or warehouse funding could limit the ability to finance new loans.
  • Consumers searching through AI tools could reduce online traffic and CarStory revenue if the company does not adapt.

Risks

  • Losses in the non-prime portfoliohigh

    UACC's customers present higher delinquency and loss levels than traditional lenders, and a weaker economy could hurt profitability.

  • Reliance on funding facilitieshigh

    UACC's lending depends on warehouse facilities and securitizations; expiry or lower advance rates could block new origination.

  • Higher-cost debtmedium

    New notes and SOFR-linked preferred distributions expose the company to interest rate risk and payment obligations that could reduce liquidity.

  • Track record of lossesmedium

    The company was not profitable from inception until the recent quarter, and a weak future quarter could revive investor concern.

  • CarStory customer concentrationlow

    CarStory revenue depends on a small number of customers, and losing one could significantly affect the division's revenue.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The first quarter with positive net income and adjusted net income in company history suggests that better scoring models at UACC could lead to durable profitability if the trend holds.
  • The debt restructuring and notes exchange extended the funding runway, which could give time to execute the strategic plan.
  • The CarStory data base and AI investments could become a recurring revenue source if the company expands its client base.

What would break the thesis

  • Interest income has declined and credit losses remain high, so second-quarter profit could prove to be a one-off.
  • Liquidity of 63.9 million USD is limited relative to the funding needs of a loan portfolio, and facility terms could tighten.
  • CarStory revenue has fallen sharply, and if online traffic keeps declining because of AI, the division could struggle to recover.

What to watch

  • Trend in realized and unrealized losses at UACCQ3 2026
  • Available liquidity level and use of the new 2032 notes facilityQ3 2026
  • Renewal of warehouse facilities expiring in 2026 and 2027next 10-K
  • CarStory revenue trend and number of active clients2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Vroom, Inc. is a holding company that operates through its subsidiaries. Until 2024 it ran an ecommerce platform for used vehicles, but under a value maximization plan it wound that business down and focused on UACC and CarStory 1. The company emerged from its Chapter 11 case on January 14, 2025, after about 290 million USD of unsecured convertible notes were discharged and the old equity was cancelled 1.

The Long-Term Strategic Plan rests on four initiatives: lending models and analytics at UACC, a dealer sales and marketing program, operational efficiency in originations, and digital servicing for account holders 1. According to the filings, UACC launched an automated underwriting decision engine in June 2025 and a redeveloped credit-scoring model in September 2025 1.

In August 2026 the company reported that the notes exchange and delayed draw facilities extended its funding runway, but results remain sensitive to losses in the UACC portfolio and to fixed costs, which management says it is tightly managing 23.

Segments

UACC

UACC is an indirect lender that provides auto loans to consumers through independent and franchised dealers in 49 states. As of June 30, 2026 its portfolio covered about 75,000 contracts with roughly 925 million USD of principal outstanding 2. Its main revenue is interest income; in the second quarter of 2026 interest income was 43.6 million USD, down 4.7% 3.

Market context

Auto financing for consumers with weaker credit is a large but highly competitive market, with banks, captive lenders, credit unions and fintech companies all active 1. Sensitivity to interest rates, inflation and collateral quality is high, and advance rates on warehouse facilities directly affect liquidity 1.

The market for used-vehicle data and analytics is smaller but growing as AI tools spread into auto pricing and marketing. The company says its data covers an estimated 80% of US consumer vehicles 1.

Trends

  • Cost of credit and fundingheadwind

    Higher interest rates and rising losses in non-prime portfolios have reduced advance rates, and if conditions worsen, securitization and warehouse funding could become more expensive 1.

  • AI adoption in auto analyticsmixed

    AI tools could lower processing costs and improve valuation estimates, but consumers searching with AI tools have reduced website traffic to CarStory, which the company flags as a risk 1.

  • Debt refinancing and restructuringtailwind

    After the Chapter 11 case the company rebalanced its debt through new notes; if these are converted or extended, the capital structure could become more stable 23.

  • Easing auto credit conditionsmixed

    If the auto market improves, dealer origination volumes could rise, but losses on weaker portfolios remain a risk to results 1.

Competitive position

Competition in auto finance includes banks, captive lenders, credit unions and fintech companies, many of them larger with cheaper access to capital 1. Many competitors have long-standing dealer relationships and offer floor plan financing, which Vroom does not currently offer 1.

In auto pricing and vehicle data, CarStory competes with data providers and digital platforms with broader reach; its differentiation rests on its pricing algorithm and a VIN database the company describes as very large 1.

  • Banks and captive finance companies

    Compete with UACC for auto loans and have access to cheaper capital and deposits, plus long relationships with dealers.

  • Credit unions

    Offer auto loans and may provide lower-cost financing to borrowers with stronger credit profiles.

  • Fintech auto lenders

    Compete through digital approval processes and offers in segments close to those UACC targets.

  • Vehicle data and analytics providers

    Compete with CarStory through vehicle valuation models and digital services for dealers.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 30 May 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 15 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Vroom, Inc. · 26 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Vroom, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Vroom, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Vroom, Inc. (VRM): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw