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olivLaw · US equity research

Ameresco, Inc. AMRC

Construction - Special Trade Contractors · SIC 1700 · Vertical: Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700)

21.25USD−4.62% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ameresco is an energy infrastructure solutions provider in North America and Europe that reduces customer costs, improves resilience and supports decarbonization through efficiency projects, owned renewable assets and O&M services. The timing matters because data center power demand has driven a sharp rise in its project portfolio, with total backlog at a record level of 6.73 billion USD at June 30, 2026.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) stock was 21.25 USD (−4.62% on the day), with P/E 19.9 on diluted EPS of 1.07 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.89, 52-week range 18.32–37.44 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 515.5 m USD (+9.1% YoY), net income of 9.7 m USD (−24.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.18 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
19.9
Diluted EPS TTM 1.07 · TTM to 31 Dec 2024
E/P (TTM)
5.04%
TTM to 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.89
Volatility (1y) 68%
52-week range
18.3237.44

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.7
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
18.08 – 22.25
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.76 · band width 20.7%
SMA 50 / 200
21.53 / 26.35
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.14 / -0.50
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.1%−1.1%−0.0 pp—
3 months−17.2%−0.5%−16.7 pp—
6 months−32.6%+4.4%−37.0 pp—
Year to date−27.4%+12.3%−39.8 pp—
1 year−41.4%+13.5%−55.0 pp−55.4%
3 years−28.7%+76.4%−105.1 pp−8.3%
5 years−78.2%+63.7%−141.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−51.1%
05 Nov 2025 → 26 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−91.1%
12 Nov 2021 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−26.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
515.5 m USD
+9.1% YoY
Net income
9.7 m USD
−24.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.18
−25.0% YoY
net / operating
1.9% / 8.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue438.0 m500.9 m532.7 m352.8 m472.3 m526.0 m401.5 m515.5 m
Cost of revenue372.8 m423.7 m465.9 m300.9 m398.9 m441.7 m345.0 m424.2 m
Gross profit65.2 m77.1 m66.8 m51.9 m73.4 m84.3 m56.5 m91.3 m
SG&A44.2 m42.1 m47.8 m38.5 m45.7 m43.4 m46.3 m47.6 m
Operating income21.0 m35.2 m44.6 m13.7 m27.8 m42.4 m10.2 m44.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation20.4 m23.5 m26.5 m23.9 m25.2 m27.2 m29.3 m30.1 m
Pre-tax income5.2 m13.7 m21.2 m-4.4 m12.6 m18.2 m-17.6 m20.0 m
Income tax0-3.3 m-16.7 m1.2 m-2.9 m-3.7 m-3.2 m137.0 k
Net income5.0 m17.6 m37.1 m-5.5 m12.9 m18.5 m-18.3 m9.7 m
Diluted EPS0.090.330.70 ≈-0.100.240.35-0.350.18
Operating cash flow53.3 m ≈25.1 m ≈18.4 m-28.3 m-26.9 m ≈17.7 m ≈35.4 m-107.2 m ≈
Capex1.1 m ≈987.0 k ≈1.2 m422.0 k147.0 k ≈-352.0 k ≈542.0 k862.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 28 percentile of its own 36-quarter history (min 10.4, median 26.2, max 60.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920202021202220232024
Revenue717.2 m787.1 m866.9 m1.0 bn1.2 bn1.8 bn1.4 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+10.1%+9.8%+10.1%+19.1%+17.8%+50.1%−24.7%+28.8%
Net income37.5 m38.0 m44.4 m54.1 m70.5 m94.9 m62.5 m56.8 m
Net income YoY+211.6%+1.3%+17.0%+21.6%+30.4%+34.7%−34.2%−9.1%
Diluted EPS0.820.810.931.101.351.781.171.07
Diluted EPS YoY+215.4%−1.2%+14.8%+18.3%+22.7%+31.9%−34.3%−8.5%
net %5.2%4.8%5.1%5.2%5.8%5.2%4.5%3.2%
Free cash flow-138.4 m-57.1 m-203.0 m-104.8 m-177.2 m-343.6 m-75.7 m113.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2024 · 31 Dec 2024

Cash
108.5 m USD
Financial debt
149.4 m USD
Net debt
40.8 m USD
Equity
1.0 bn USD
Total assets
4.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.14x
Current ratio
1.46x
ROE
5.8%
ROA
1.4%
FCF margin
6.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2022
1.8 bn
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2022
1.5 bn
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Gross profit
2022
290.8 m
2023
246.4 m
2024
256.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

SG&A
2022
159.5 m
2023
162.1 m
2024
173.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Operating income
2022
133.0 m
2023
82.2 m
2024
108.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2022
54.3 m
2023
65.9 m
2024
89.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

EBITDA
2022
187.3 m ≈
2023
148.1 m ≈
2024
198.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025derived

Interest expense
2022
17.8 m
2023
26.9 m
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2022
105.7 m
2023
38.3 m
2024
33.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Income tax
2022
7.2 m
2023
-25.6 m
2024
-20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Net income
2022
94.9 m
2023
62.5 m
2024
56.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2022
1.78
2023
1.17
2024
1.07

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2022
53.3 m
2023
53.2 m
2024
53.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2022
115.5 m
2023
79.3 m
2024
108.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Inventories
2022
14.2 m
2023
13.6 m
2024
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Current assets
2022
1.0 bn
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2022
15.7 m
2023
17.4 m
2024
11.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Goodwill
2022
70.6 m
2023
75.6 m
2024
66.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2022
4.7 m
2023
6.8 m
2024
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Total assets
2022
2.9 bn
2023
3.7 bn
2024
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Accounts payable
2022
349.1 m
2023
402.8 m
2024
529.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Short-term debt
2022
331.5 m
2023
322.2 m
2024
149.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Long-term debt
2022
—
2023
—
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2020verified

Current liabilities
2022
812.1 m
2023
901.5 m
2024
889.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Equity
2022
873.0 m
2023
925.9 m
2024
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2022
-338.3 m
2023
-70.0 m
2024
117.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Capex
2022
5.3 m
2023
5.7 m
2024
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Free cash flow
2022
-343.6 m ≈
2023
-75.7 m ≈
2024
113.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2022
-328.4 m
2023
-566.9 m
2024
-386.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2022
730.2 m
2023
640.8 m
2024
313.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2025verified

Share repurchases
2022
0
2023
—
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
28.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue CAGR 3Y
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
EBIT growth (YoY)
32.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net income growth (YoY)
-9.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net income CAGR 3Y
-7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
Net income CAGR 5Y
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
EPS growth (YoY)
-8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EPS CAGR 3Y
-7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
EPS CAGR 5Y
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
EBITDA margin
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
EBIT margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
Net margin
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
FCF margin
-1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025

Returns

ROE
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
26.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-19.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
Capital expenditure
1.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
Free cash flow
-20.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
FCF conversion
-32.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
Cash conversion
-8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
3 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
124 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
Earnings yield
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

21.25 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
28.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2024
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 2433derived 168

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.5%86 (vs peers)19%
Net margin · Quality3.3%78 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Quality-32.6%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth13.3%100 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-7.5%0 (on a fixed band)15%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.1x100 (on a fixed band)19%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.7x73 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet92/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality60/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC). Latest full fiscal year: 2024; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2024; YoY growth 28.8%; net margin 3.3%; ROE 5.5%; net debt/EBITDA 0.1x.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 8.5%
  • Net margin: 3.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 13.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.1x
  • Current ratio: 1.7x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -32.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -7.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Construction - Special Trade Contractors (SIC 1700) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 22.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.8x
P/S
—
vertical median 0.9x
P/B
—
vertical median 2.5x
ROE
5.5%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
Net margin
3.3%
vertical median -4.7%
above median
EBIT margin
6.8%
vertical median -13.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
28.8%
vertical median 8.1%
above median (+256.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.1x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−93.4%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AGXArgan Inc4.1 bn23.039.8%15.1%+8.1%−26% / +523%
BBUCBrookfield Business Corporation2.7 bn—2.4%1.4%−32.4%−11% / +70%
RUNSunrun Inc.2.1 bn4.416.2%14.0%+45.1%−57% / −32%
LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.681.6 m22.716.0%4.2%+24.7%−18% / +52%
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.510.5 m59.83.9%2.4%−7.7%+61% / +36%
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Limited401.7 m—-25.9%-16.7%−2.2%+32% / unavailable
MTRXMatrix Service Company258.3 m—-1.8%-0.3%+13.6%−22% / −8%
MSGYMasonglory Limited66.8 m7.0-135.4%-34.0%+1.0%−82% / unavailable
SPWRSunpower Inc.50.5 m——-3.8%+175.9%−86% / −79%
FGLFounder Group Limited24.7 m—-31.9%-5.6%unavailable−100% / unavailable
SMXTSolarMax Technology, Inc.19.5 m——-7.9%+295.8%−63% / unavailable
PMAMing Shing Group Holdings Limited16.9 m——-39.4%−56.8%−23% / unavailable
WXMWF International Limited14.4 m—-71.9%-24.5%−13.7%−62% / unavailable
CETXCemtrex, Inc.1.7 m—-152.4%-38.4%+14.4%−97% / −100%
AMRCAmeresco, Inc.——5.5%3.3%+28.8%−41% / −29%
LGNLegence Corp.——-7.5%-1.2%+21.5%−30% / unavailable
ZEOZeo Energy Corp.0——-15.4%−5.3%−83% / −98%
KAZRSkyline Builders Group Holding Limited——20.6%18.1%+8.9%−54% / unavailable
PBKPOWERBANK Corp——-174.4%-74.7%−28.9%−90% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for AMRC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Ameresco is an energy infrastructure solutions provider in North America and Europe that reduces customer costs, improves resilience and supports decarbonization through efficiency projects, owned renewable assets and O&M services. The timing matters because data center power demand has driven a sharp rise in its project portfolio, with total backlog at a record level of 6.73 billion USD at June 30, 2026 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large and growing backlog, including a record level of awards in the second quarter of 2026 3. It has a broad presence in North America and Europe and a diversified service portfolio.
  • Recurring revenue from O&M and owned energy assets is growing, offering visibility over long periods 3.
  • Experience with behind the meter solutions for data centers positions the company as a trusted partner for large, complex projects 3.

Weaknesses

  • A major share of revenue depends on government customers, which exposes the company to budget delays and contract termination clauses 1.
  • Sales cycles are long and variable, and costs are committed before revenue is collected, which can pressure cash flow 13.
  • Liabilities under the SCE agreement, including possible liquidated damages for delays, remain in dispute and could affect results 1.

Opportunities

  • Data center demand could expand the backlog significantly, since the company has added several such projects and has further opportunities in its pipeline 3.
  • If Ameresco grows its portfolio of owned energy assets, it could earn additional recurring revenue 3.
  • Rapid growth in Europe suggests further geographic expansion could be possible if demand continues 1.

Threats

  • Changes to tax credit legislation could reduce the appeal of solar and storage offerings if FEOC requirements are not met 2.
  • Tariffs and supply chain disruptions could raise costs and delay projects 2.
  • If Ameresco fails to reach agreement with SCE, it could be required to pay significant liquidated damages 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on government customershigh

    Government customers make up most revenue, and budget decisions or administrative shutdowns could delay contracts or lead to termination 1.

  • SCE disputehigh

    Delays on the SCE storage projects could lead to liquidated damages, and the dispute remains open 1.

  • Tax credit policymedium

    Changes to tax credits could reduce eligibility for incentives and affect demand for solar and storage solutions 2.

  • Supply chain and costsmedium

    Tariffs and disruptions can raise equipment and logistics costs, and projects may exceed cost estimates 21.

  • Leverage and asset financingmedium

    Debt tied to energy assets is significant, and financing on favorable terms could become harder if conditions worsen 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Total backlog rose year over year and reached a record level, providing visibility for coming years 3.
  • Growth in O&M and energy asset revenue could improve margins over the long term if this pattern continues 3.
  • The Neogenyx partnership with HASI could provide capital to grow the portfolio without overly burdening the balance sheet 2.

What would break the thesis

  • Operating cash flow was negative in the second quarter of 2026, which could limit internal funding of growth 3.
  • Most revenue depends on governments, and budget delays could quickly affect contract timing 1.
  • Part of the expected earnings growth for 2026 depends on tax benefits, which could make results more volatile 3.

What to watch

  • Conversion of data center awards into contracted backlogQ3 2026
  • Outcome of negotiations with SCE on liquidated damages2026
  • Effect of the new accounting policy for transferable tax creditsQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Ameresco presents itself as an energy infrastructure solutions provider that combines efficiency projects, infrastructure upgrades and the development, construction and operation of distributed energy resources 1. It uses budget-neutral contracts such as ESPCs and PPAs to reduce the financial barriers to projects 1. From 2026 its structure rests on two pillars: Power Infrastructure and Buildings & Public Infrastructure 2. The company has sourced about 7.0 billion USD in project financing and delivered energy solutions worth 18.1 billion USD since inception 1.

Customers include federal, state and local governments, utilities, data centers, educational and healthcare institutions, housing authorities and commercial and industrial clients in North America and Europe 1. The company operated 227 small-scale renewable plants with a combined capacity of 838 MWe and had 853 MWe of assets in development and construction 1. Long-term O&M contracts add recurring revenue 1.

Segments

North America Regions

This is the largest segment by share, at 45.8% of 2025 revenues 1. It covers efficiency projects, renewable solutions and O&M services for customers in the United States and Canada 1.

Market context

The company describes the energy efficiency and renewable energy market as growing, and its plans assume rising penetration 1. Electricity demand, rising utility rates and grid instability are cited as forces driving demand for energy infrastructure 21.

The company sees rising demand from data centers, where behind the meter power solutions are becoming a preferred route for projects without grid access 3. Higher demand, however, could intensify competition and raise execution risk on larger, more complex projects 1.

Trends

  • Federal policy and tax creditsmixed

    The OBBB law changed clean energy tax credits, imposing new deadlines for solar-only projects and domestic content and FEOC compliance requirements. If Ameresco cannot meet these requirements, its eligibility for incentives could decline 2.

  • Data center demandtailwind

    In the second quarter of 2026 the company added new awards of 1.8 billion USD, largely for data center projects, which visibly expanded its backlog over the medium term 3.

  • Supply chains and tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs, trade restrictions and geopolitical tensions have raised costs for equipment such as electrical components, steel, aluminum and BESS systems, and these difficulties could persist 2.

  • Seasonality and government delaysmixed

    Revenues are typically higher in the third and fourth quarters and lower in the first, and the government shutdown from October to November 2025 delayed converting awards into contracts 1. Extreme weather could make this pattern harder to predict 1.

Competitive position

The submitted sources do not name direct competitors, but they note that growing demand may attract more rivals and that larger projects require stronger execution capacity 1. Competition appears to come from U.S. and European construction and energy service firms.

  • U.S. energy service and construction firms

    The sources do not identify specific competitors; the company notes only that growing demand may attract more rivals in energy project markets 1.

  • European energy efficiency firms

    The sources do not name them; the growth in Europe suggests local players are active in the same market 1.

  • Renewable energy developers

    The sources do not identify them; they appear as alternatives for solar and storage projects where demand depends on federal incentives 2.

  • BESS storage equipment suppliers

    The sources do not name them; supply of storage equipment is affected by tariffs and sourcing, which could shift competitive positions 2.

News & filings

SEC filings

  • Current report10 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report19 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report19 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 May 2026
    Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ameresco, Inc. · 03 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ameresco, Inc. · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ameresco, Inc. · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.