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olivLaw · US equity research

Caleres, Inc. CAL

Footwear, (No Rubber) · SIC 3140 · Vertical: Leather products (SIC 31xx)

14.71USD+11.69% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Caleres is a global footwear company that runs the Famous Footwear store chain and a portfolio of brands such as Sam Edelman, Stuart Weitzman and Vionic. It matters now because the Brand Portfolio segment is growing fast while store traffic weakens, against a backdrop of tariffs and refunds. The company reported consolidated net sales of 2757.9 million USD in fiscal 2025.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Caleres, Inc. (CAL) stock was 14.71 USD (+11.69% on the day), with market capitalisation 507.6 m USD, P/E 9.9 on diluted EPS of 1.49 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.90%, beta 1.61, 52-week range 8.86–14.73 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 695.5 m USD (+5.6% YoY), net income of 58.6 m USD (+773.6% YoY), diluted EPS 1.71 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
507.6 m USD
shares as of 28 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
9.9
Diluted EPS TTM 1.49 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
10.15%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.90%
DPS 12m 0.28
Beta (2y)
1.61
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
8.8614.73

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
69.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
11.79 – 14.16
above the upper band · %B 1.23 · band width 18.3%
SMA 50 / 200
12.57 / 12.50
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.35 / 0.22
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+20.1%−1.1%+21.2 pp—
3 months+2.7%−0.5%+3.2 pp—
6 months+9.0%+4.4%+4.7 pp—
Year to date+20.9%+12.3%+8.6 pp—
1 year+41.4%+13.5%+27.9 pp+12.4%
3 years−47.3%+76.4%−123.7 pp+12.1%
5 years−44.7%+63.7%−108.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−36.9%
21 Jan 2026 → 18 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−79.8%
23 Aug 2024 → 18 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
695.5 m USD
+5.6% YoY
Net income
58.6 m USD
+773.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.71
+755.0% YoY
net / operating
8.4% / 11.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue740.9 m639.2 m614.2 m658.5 m790.1 m695.1 m666.6 m695.5 m
Cost of revenue414.0 m364.1 m335.5 m372.7 m460.1 m404.7 m351.1 m314.5 m
Gross profit327.0 m275.1 m278.7 m285.8 m329.9 m290.3 m315.5 m381.0 m
SG&A268.7 m261.7 m266.5 m269.7 m311.3 m310.0 m293.7 m303.4 m
Operating income56.7 m7.9 m11.6 m9.3 m12.0 m-26.5 m23.9 m77.6 m
Pre-tax income53.8 m995.0 k8.5 m5.8 m6.2 m-32.6 m20.4 m77.7 m
Income tax12.7 m-2.9 m2.5 m-1.3 m4.7 m-8.3 m6.6 m18.3 m
Net income41.4 m4.9 m6.9 m6.7 m2.4 m-22.7 m14.3 m58.6 m
Diluted EPS1.190.15 ≈0.210.200.07-0.71 ≈0.421.71
Operating cash flow-39.8 m ≈28.7 m-5.7 m47.3 m ≈-1.2 m ≈62.7 m-27.8 m83.6 m ≈
Capex17.5 m ≈10.7 m20.5 m12.3 m ≈11.2 m ≈19.7 m11.2 m7.9 m ≈
Dividends paid2.4 m ≈2.4 m2.4 m2.4 m ≈2.4 m ≈2.3 m2.4 m2.4 m ≈
Share repurchases50.0 m ≈05.0 m5.0 k ≈2.0 k ≈-7.0 k3.1 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 80 percentile of its own 15-quarter history (min 4.9, median 6.6, max 19.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year⚠ 20142015201620172023202420252026
Revenue132.6 m114.4 m100.2 m91.4 m3.0 bn2.8 bn2.7 bn2.8 bn
Revenue YoY—−13.7%−12.4%−8.8%unavailable−5.1%−3.4%+1.3%
Net income38.1 m82.9 m81.5 m65.7 m181.7 m171.4 m107.3 m-6.7 m
Net income YoY—+117.6%−1.7%−19.4%unavailable−5.7%−37.4%−106.2%
Diluted EPS0.881.891.851.524.924.803.09-0.21
Diluted EPS YoY—+114.8%−2.1%−17.8%unavailable−2.4%−35.6%−106.8%
net %28.7%72.4%81.3%71.8%6.1%6.1%3.9%-0.2%
Free cash flow60.1 m73.9 m75.7 m133.1 m70.0 m155.6 m55.4 m39.4 m

The series breaks before 2014: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
29.8 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
609.0 m USD
Total assets
2.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.02x
ROE
-1.1%
ROA
-0.3%
FCF margin
1.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn
2026
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

SG&A
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2024
194.5 m
2025
149.9 m
2026
6.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
53.3 m
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2024verified

EBITDA
2024
247.7 m ≈
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2024derived

Interest expense
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Apr 2019verified

Pre-tax income
2024
181.3 m
2025
135.2 m
2026
-12.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2024
9.5 m
2025
29.1 m
2026
-2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2024
171.4 m
2025
107.3 m
2026
-6.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
4.80
2025
3.09
2026
-0.21

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
34.2 m
2025
33.5 m
2026
32.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
0.28
2025
0.28
2026
0.28

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
21.4 m
2025
29.6 m
2026
29.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Receivables
2024
140.4 m
2025
155.9 m
2026
147.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Inventories
2024
540.7 m
2025
565.2 m
2026
610.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2024
788.9 m
2025
836.5 m
2026
862.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
167.6 m
2025
175.2 m
2026
202.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
5.0 m
2025
5.0 m
2026
15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
198.4 m
2025
187.3 m
2026
188.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Total assets
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Dec 2017verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Sept 2016verified

Current liabilities
2024
743.0 m
2025
757.9 m
2026
845.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2024
567.6 m
2025
605.9 m
2026
609.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
200.2 m
2025
104.6 m
2026
103.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2024
44.6 m
2025
49.1 m
2026
63.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
155.6 m ≈
2025
55.4 m ≈
2026
39.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-49.6 m
2025
-51.7 m
2026
-161.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-163.0 m
2025
-44.5 m
2026
58.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
10.0 m
2025
9.7 m
2026
9.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
17.4 m
2025
65.0 m
2026
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-2.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
-95.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-106.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
-106.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-28.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
46.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
117.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
50.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
67.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
128.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
19 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days inventory outstanding
173 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
507.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
9.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
7.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
13.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.71 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 507.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
507.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
9.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Sept 2026
verified 2076derived 143

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
17.92
USD per share
Mid
25.74
USD per share
High
27.14
USD per share
Price: 14.71 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 75.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 42.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 17.92 – 27.14 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E17.92 – 27.14 (Mid 25.74)
    5 companies used · median multiple 17.2x · quartiles 12.0x – 18.2x
    CPRI, RCKY, SHOO, TPR, WWW
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate3.68 – 4.95 (Mid 4.22)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Leather products (SIC 31xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality1.8%33 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Quality128.1%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.4%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x26 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation9.9x100 (vs peers)19%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation13.3%100 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.5%35 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns14.1%100 (on a fixed band)8%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial26/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality67/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns61/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CALERES, INC (CAL). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.8 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 1.3%; net margin 1.8%; ROE 8.2%.

The estimated value range is 17.92–27.14 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 25.74 USD, the price of 14.71 USD leaves a potential of 75.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 42.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 128.1%
  • P/E (TTM): 9.9x
  • FCF yield: 13.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 14.1%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -2.4%
  • Current ratio: 1.1x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Leather products (SIC 31xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
9.9x
vertical median 17.7x
below median (−44.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.3x
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.8x
below median (−77.4%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 3.7x
below median (−79.4%)
ROE
8.2%
vertical median 14.9%
below median (−45.3%)
Net margin
1.8%
vertical median 5.5%
below median (−66.7%)
EBIT margin
3.1%
vertical median 7.5%
below median (−59.3%)
Revenue YoY
1.3%
vertical median 8.6%
below median (−85.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.9x
Dividend yield
1.9%
vertical median 1.7%
above median (+11.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TPRTapestry, Inc.25.0 bn17.2197.1%19.1%+14.2%+15% / +296%
SHOOSteven Madden, Ltd.3.4 bn22.916.7%5.4%+11.0%+12% / +24%
CPRICapri Holdings Limited2.2 bn12.0—6.1%−4.1%−16% / −56%
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.1.9 bn18.227.1%5.5%unavailable+45% / +174%
CALCaleres, Inc507.6 m9.98.2%1.8%+1.3%+41% / −47%
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.411.2 m12.013.2%6.6%+6.2%+80% / +89%
VRAVera Bradley, Inc.216.0 m—-7.4%-3.7%−15.4%+165% / +0%
TLFTandy Leather Factory, Inc18.6 m—-3.2%-2.1%+2.6%−17% / −45%
BIRKBirkenstock Holding plc——13.0%16.6%+16.2%−14% / −19%
FMFCKandal M Venture Limited—366.076.7%1.2%+23.0%−85% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for CAL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
8.26
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
14.65
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
22.13
Total return 53% · Per year 53%
3 years
6.94
Total return -49% · Per year -20%
13.95
Total return 0% · Per year 0%
23.29
Total return 65% · Per year 18%
5 years
5.83
Total return -54% · Per year -15%
13.28
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
24.51
Total return 79% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.49
  • Net margin± 2.44
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.15
  • Annual dilution± 0.21

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Caleres is a global footwear company that runs the Famous Footwear store chain and a portfolio of brands such as Sam Edelman, Stuart Weitzman and Vionic. It matters now because the Brand Portfolio segment is growing fast while store traffic weakens, against a backdrop of tariffs and refunds 123. The company reported consolidated net sales of 2757.9 million USD in fiscal 2025 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A diversified brand portfolio with retail and wholesale components that support each other 1.
  • Strong growth in the Brand Portfolio segment, with improving gross margins 3.
  • Solid liquidity, with a revolving credit facility and significant availability 2.

Weaknesses

  • Declining sales and store traffic at Famous Footwear 13.
  • Dependence on external suppliers and a few large branded suppliers without long-term contracts 1.
  • Administrative expenses rose after the Stuart Weitzman acquisition, diluting operating profitability 3.

Opportunities

  • If the shift toward fashion footwear holds, Famous Footwear could recover sales by adjusting its assortment 3.
  • International expansion of Brand Portfolio brands could grow sales outside North America 3.
  • Integrating Stuart Weitzman and optimising sourcing could support margins over the longer term 12.

Threats

  • New tariffs or changes in trade policy could cut margins and complicate sourcing 2.
  • Inflationary pressure and higher transport costs could weaken demand for discretionary footwear 12.
  • Retail consolidation and growth of private-label brands could reduce the company's bargaining power 1.

Risks

  • Tariff riskhigh

    New tariffs and trade measures could raise costs and reduce margins, and the final effect remains uncertain 12.

  • Supplier dependencehigh

    Losing one of the major branded suppliers could seriously affect the Famous Footwear segment 1.

  • Discretionary demandmedium

    If pressure on consumer income persists, footwear sales could fall further 12.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    Financial difficulties at large retailers could lead to unpaid receivables or reduced orders 1.

  • Acquisition integrationlow

    Integrating Stuart Weitzman could bring extra costs or delays compared with expectations 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If Brand Portfolio keeps growing organically, company margins could stay high even with a weak Famous Footwear 3.
  • The shift toward fashion footwear that management pointed to could return to favour the retail segment 3.
  • Liquidity and tariff refunds could support debt reduction and funding of the strategy 23.

What would break the thesis

  • If Famous Footwear keeps declining, gains in Brand Portfolio might not be enough to offset it 13.
  • Reinstated tariffs or new trade measures could erase the margin gains seen in the latest quarter 2.
  • If competitive and retailer pressure persists, the company's pricing power could remain limited 1.

What to watch

  • Famous Footwear comparable sales trend and the shift toward fashionQ3 2026
  • Gross margin and GAAP EPS guidance for fiscal 2026Q3 2026
  • Integration of Stuart Weitzman and its contribution to administrative costs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Caleres designs, develops, sources, manufactures and distributes footwear for people of all ages, operating as both a retailer and a wholesaler 1. The business has two segments: Famous Footwear, a store chain aimed at millennial families, and Brand Portfolio, which combines owned and acquired brands. Its stated strategy focuses on growing Brand Portfolio and deepening ties with the millennial family through Famous Footwear 12.

Segments

Famous Footwear

The Famous Footwear segment runs a North American store chain focused on trend-right fashion, casual and athletic footwear at accessible prices for millennial families 1. Segment sales fell in fiscal 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026, with comparable sales declining 13. Management said it is shifting the assortment toward fashion, which is outperforming lifestyle athletic 3.

Brand Portfolio

The Brand Portfolio segment includes brands such as Sam Edelman, Vionic, Naturalizer, Allen Edmonds, Dr. Scholl's Shoes, Stuart Weitzman and Vince, sold through owned stores, e-commerce and international partners 1. Sales grew in fiscal 2025 and continued to rise strongly in the second quarter of 2026, including organically 13. Gross margins improved markedly and the segment is the core of the company's strategy 3.

Market context

The footwear market is shaped by consumer preferences, fashion trends and economic conditions that can curb discretionary spending 1. Companies in the sector face retailer consolidation, pricing pressure and intense competition 12. The company reported that fashion is gaining ground over lifestyle athletic, a shift that could favour its fashion brands 3.

Demand also depends on trade policy: tariffs and import restrictions can change costs and the competitiveness of goods made abroad 12. If tariffs stay volatile, margins and prices could continue to be affected 2.

Trends

  • Tariff volatilitymixed

    US tariff policy has stayed unstable, and the Supreme Court invalidated IEEPA tariffs in February 2026 12. The company collected tariff refunds, but new measures could reinstate costs, so the net effect remains uncertain 23.

  • Pressure on discretionary spendingheadwind

    Elevated interest rates, persistent inflation and energy prices have reduced traffic in Famous Footwear stores 12. If these pressures persist, demand for fashion footwear could stay weak 2.

  • Shift toward fashion over lifestyle athletictailwind

    Management signalled a jump in demand for fashion footwear, which recently outpaced lifestyle athletic 3. If the trend holds, it could support margins in the Famous Footwear segment 3.

  • Retail consolidationheadwind

    Concentration among large customers and the growth of online shopping increase retailers' bargaining power and can reduce store counts 1. If this continues, pressure on commercial terms could grow 1.

Competitive position

Caleres operates in a highly competitive industry where pricing is pressed by both existing and new competitors 1. Retailers are increasingly developing private-label brands and sourcing directly from abroad, which could reduce the company's sales 1.

Competition also shows up in supplier relationships, since Famous Footwear depends on a few large branded suppliers without long-term contracts 1. The company differentiates through its own portfolio and vertical integration, but competitive pressure remains high 13.

  • NikeNKE

    Major supplier to Famous Footwear and a direct competitor in athletic footwear 1.

  • Skechers

    Key supplier to Famous Footwear that also competes in casual and athletic footwear 1.

  • adidas

    Important supplier to Famous Footwear and a competitor in athletic footwear 1.

  • private-label retailers

    Retailers building their own brands or sourcing directly, reducing reliance on wholesalers 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Caleres, Inc. · 02 Apr 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / Caleres, Inc. · 10 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Caleres, Inc. · 09 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.