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olivLaw · US equity research

Comcast Corporation CMCSA

Cable & Other Pay Television Services · SIC 4841 · Vertical: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (SIC 4841)

24.85USD+4.99% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Comcast is a global media and technology group that combines connectivity (broadband, wireless, cable television and Sky) with content (NBCUniversal, Peacock, Studios and Universal parks). In the first nine months of 2026 revenue stayed nearly flat, while the group prepares the separation of NBCUniversal and Sky into a new company, which could change the investment profile. Annual revenue in fiscal 2025 was 123.7 billion USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) stock was 24.85 USD (+4.99% on the day), with market capitalisation 51.3 bn USD, P/E 7.9 on diluted EPS of 3.16 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 5.31%, beta 0.45, 52-week range 20.66–32.48 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 29.3 bn USD (−6.1% YoY), net income of 3.4 bn USD (+3.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.97 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
51.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2009
P/E (TTM)
7.9
Diluted EPS TTM 3.16 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
12.70%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.31%
DPS 12m 1.32
Beta (2y)
0.45
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
20.6632.48

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
68.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
20.01 – 24.33
above the upper band · %B 1.12 · band width 19.5%
SMA 50 / 200
23.23 / 26.02
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.30 / -0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+15.2%−1.1%+16.3 pp—
3 months+0.4%−0.5%+0.9 pp—
6 months−6.0%+4.4%−10.4 pp—
Year to date−11.3%+12.3%−23.6 pp—
1 year−3.4%+13.5%−16.9 pp−16.0%
3 years−38.6%+76.4%−115.0 pp−32.1%
5 years−50.8%+63.7%−114.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−36.4%
11 Feb 2026 → 09 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−59.3%
10 Nov 2021 → 09 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−13.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
29.3 bn USD
−6.1% YoY
Net income
3.4 bn USD
+3.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.97
+7.8% YoY
net / operating
11.8% / 18.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue31.9 bn29.9 bn30.3 bn31.2 bn32.3 bn31.5 bn29.9 bn29.3 bn
Operating income5.0 bn5.7 bn6.0 bn5.5 bn3.5 bn4.1 bn5.2 bn5.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation3.8 bn3.8 bn4.2 bn ≈4.0 bn ≈4.2 bn3.9 bn3.7 bn ≈3.7 bn ≈
Interest expense1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn962.0 m
Pre-tax income3.6 bn4.5 bn14.6 bn4.5 bn2.2 bn2.7 bn4.6 bn4.4 bn
Income tax-1.1 bn1.2 bn3.6 bn1.2 bn89.0 m706.0 m1.2 bn1.1 bn
Net income4.8 bn3.4 bn11.1 bn3.3 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn3.5 bn3.4 bn
Diluted EPS1.24 ≈0.892.980.900.60 ≈0.600.990.97
Operating cash flow8.1 bn8.3 bn7.8 bn ≈8.7 bn ≈8.8 bn6.9 bn8.1 bn ≈7.9 bn ≈
Capex3.9 bn2.3 bn2.7 bn ≈3.1 bn ≈3.7 bn2.4 bn2.9 bn ≈3.1 bn ≈
Dividends paid1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈
Share repurchases2.2 bn2.2 bn1.8 bn ≈1.6 bn ≈1.5 bn1.5 bn1.0 bn ≈10.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 20 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 4.9, median 12.7, max 27.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue94.5 bn108.9 bn103.6 bn116.4 bn121.4 bn121.6 bn123.7 bn123.7 bn
Revenue YoY+11.1%+15.3%−4.9%+12.4%+4.3%+0.1%+1.8%−0.0%
Net income11.7 bn13.1 bn10.5 bn14.2 bn5.4 bn15.4 bn16.2 bn20.0 bn
Net income YoY−48.4%+11.3%−19.3%+34.4%−62.1%+186.6%+5.2%+23.5%
Diluted EPS2.532.832.283.041.213.714.145.39
Diluted EPS YoY−46.7%+11.9%−19.4%+33.3%−60.2%+206.6%+11.6%+30.2%
net %12.4%12.0%10.2%12.2%4.4%12.7%13.1%16.2%
Free cash flow14.5 bn15.7 bn15.6 bn20.0 bn15.8 bn16.3 bn15.5 bn21.9 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
9.5 bn USD
Financial debt
6.0 bn USD
Net debt
-3.5 bn USD
Equity
97.2 bn USD
Total assets
272.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.06x
Current ratio
0.88x
ROE
21.8%
ROA
7.4%
FCF margin
17.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
121.6 bn
2024
123.7 bn
2025
123.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
23.3 bn
2024
23.3 bn
2025
20.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
14.3 bn
2024
14.8 bn
2025
16.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
37.7 bn ≈
2024
38.1 bn ≈
2025
36.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
20.5 bn
2024
18.7 bn
2025
25.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
5.4 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
6.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
15.4 bn
2024
16.2 bn
2025
20.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.71
2024
4.14
2025
5.39

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
4.1 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.16
2024
1.24
2025
1.32

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
6.2 bn
2024
7.3 bn
2025
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
13.8 bn
2024
13.7 bn
2025
13.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
24.0 bn
2024
26.8 bn
2025
29.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
59.7 bn
2024
62.5 bn
2025
65.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
59.3 bn
2024
58.2 bn
2025
61.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
264.8 bn
2024
266.2 bn
2025
272.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
12.4 bn
2024
11.3 bn
2025
11.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.1 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
40.2 bn
2024
39.6 bn
2025
33.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
83.2 bn
2024
86.0 bn
2025
97.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
28.5 bn
2024
27.7 bn
2025
33.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
12.2 bn
2024
12.2 bn
2025
11.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
16.3 bn ≈
2024
15.5 bn ≈
2025
21.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-7.2 bn
2024
-15.7 bn
2025
-16.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-19.9 bn
2024
-10.9 bn
2025
-14.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
4.8 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
11.3 bn
2024
9.1 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-11.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
23.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
55.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
13.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
30.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
64.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
18.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
41.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
27.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
41.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
24.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-4.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
31.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
12.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
19.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
173.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
94.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
51.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
47.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
4.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
38.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
17.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 74 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

24.85 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 51.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
51.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2009
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 22 Oct 2026
verified 2650derived 198

Score by group

  • Valuation86
  • Balance sheet60
  • Quality77
  • Growth53
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
57.28
USD per share
Mid
101.88
USD per share
High
135.83
USD per share
Price: 24.85 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 310.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 75.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 13.85 – 498.46 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)140.85 – 216.62 (Mid 170.06)
    WACC 9.0% · starting FCFF 23.0 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA97.22 – 498.46 (Mid 280.32)
    4 companies used · median multiple 17.1x · quartiles 5.9x – 30.5x
    CABO, CHTR, PAAI, WBD
  • Peers: P/E13.85 – 55.03 (Mid 33.71)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.7x · quartiles 4.4x – 17.4x
    ADEA, CCZ, CHTR, PAAI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)17.35 – 23.33 (Mid 19.90)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (SIC 4841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 74/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality15.5%72 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality9.2%63 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality173.8%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.6%5 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth64.5%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.1x94 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.3x43 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x2 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation7.9x60 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation1.4x100 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation38.4%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns17.3%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns24.5%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet60/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth53/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality77/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation86/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

COMCAST CORPORATION (CMCSA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 123.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.0%; net margin 9.2%; ROE 11.9%; net debt/EBITDA -0.1x.

The estimated value range is 57.28–135.83 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 101.88 USD, the price of 24.85 USD leaves a potential of 310.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 75.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 74/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 15.5%
  • FCF conversion: 173.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 64.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 1.4x
  • FCF yield: 38.4%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 17.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 24.5%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.6%
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Cable & Other Pay Television Services (SIC 4841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
7.9x
vertical median 16.6x
below median (−52.4%)
EV/EBITDA
1.4x
vertical median 17.1x
below median (−91.8%)
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 0.6x
below median (−30.4%)
P/B
0.6x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−76.6%)
ROE
11.9%
vertical median 4.9%
above median (+142.6%)
Net margin
9.2%
vertical median 4.1%
above median (+125.1%)
EBIT margin
14.7%
vertical median 5.0%
above median (+191.8%)
Revenue YoY
-0.0%
vertical median 1.5%
below median (−101.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.1x
vertical median 6.1x
below median (−102.0%)
Dividend yield
5.3%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+175.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.77.7 bn—-9.2%-8.8%−5.1%unavailable / unavailable
CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.32.6 bn3.129.7%9.1%−0.6%−40% / −70%
ROKURoku, Inc.24.1 bn48.218.2%9.3%+15.2%+68% / +56%
ADEAAdeia Inc.1.9 bn16.625.9%25.0%+17.9%+37% / +84%
OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.188.1 m——-58.1%−4.1%−64% / −70%
PAAIThe Arena Group Holdings, Inc.43.8 m4.8—9.3%+698.2%−78% / −60%
CABOCable One, Inc.29.8 m—-126.2%-72.8%−4.9%−96% / −99%
GLIBALiberty Capital Corp——-21.0%-32.5%+3.0%−31% / unavailable
LBTYALiberty Global Ltd.——-22.3%-44.4%+12.4%−16% / +16%
CCZComcast Corporation—20.111.9%9.2%−0.0%+1% / +17%
RCIRogers Communications Inc.——49.0%31.8%+5.4%−12% / −20%
AMCXAMC Global Media Inc.——-2.1%-0.9%−4.5%−5% / −44%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CMCSA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
24.53
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
43.46
Total return 84% · Per year 84%
65.57
Total return 175% · Per year 175%
3 years
21.99
Total return 8% · Per year 3%
44.00
Total return 105% · Per year 27%
73.15
Total return 230% · Per year 49%
5 years
19.71
Total return 11% · Per year 2%
44.55
Total return 126% · Per year 18%
81.61
Total return 291% · Per year 31%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.00
  • Net margin± 7.70
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.56
  • Annual dilution± 0.65

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Comcast is a global media and technology group that combines connectivity (broadband, wireless, cable television and Sky) with content (NBCUniversal, Peacock, Studios and Universal parks). In the first nine months of 2026 revenue stayed nearly flat, while the group prepares the separation of NBCUniversal and Sky into a new company, which could change the investment profile 12. Annual revenue in fiscal 2025 was 123.7 billion USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The group has a broad connectivity customer base and an extensive HFC network, which gives it an advantage in distribution. Mobile lines and premium services keep growing, and Business Services Connectivity sustains high margins.
  • The content portfolio includes NBC, Universal, Peacock and Sky, allowing integration of production, distribution and theme parks. The success of Universal films and the growth of Peacock are concrete examples.
  • The group generates strong free cash flow and has kept its investment capacity even in periods of volatility.

Weaknesses

  • The number of broadband and television customers is falling, and video revenue is in continuous decline, which weakens the subscription model.
  • Programming costs remain the largest expense of the residential segment, and the ability to offset them through pricing is limited.
  • Theme parks and the content segment are sensitive to economic cycles, which can cause fluctuations in revenue and EBITDA.

Opportunities

  • Enterprise offerings and cybersecurity solutions could increase revenue in Business Services, where margins are high.
  • Extending fiber and premium mobile plans could generate additional revenue per customer.
  • Separating NBCUniversal and Sky could let each company follow its own growth strategy with more financial flexibility.

Threats

  • Competition from streaming providers and social platforms could reduce audiences and advertising on linear channels.
  • Fiber-based wireline operators and satellite internet providers could slow the growth of the broadband customer base.
  • Negotiating sports rights and programming contracts can reach high costs, with no guarantee that revenue will cover them.

Risks

  • Loss of television and broadband customershigh

    Continued decline in customers could reduce subscription revenue and affect the profitability of the residential segment.

  • Pressure from programming costshigh

    Content and retransmission costs are rising per subscriber, and if they cannot be offset through rates, margins could narrow.

  • Risks tied to the separation of companiesmedium

    The separation of NBCUniversal and Sky could bring transition costs and timing uncertainty, and it is not certain to take place.

  • Lower demand for parks and advertisingmedium

    Theme parks and advertising are sensitive to economic cycles, which could reduce revenue in difficult periods.

  • Regulation and public fundinglow

    Broadband subsidy programs and regulation can impose operational constraints and bring new competitors into served areas.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If Peacock and Studios sustain their growth, the group could offset the decline in linear television with streaming and production revenue.
  • Growth in mobile lines and premium plans could support residential revenue over the medium term.
  • The Business Services segment, with high margins and steady growth, could become an important driver of profitability.

What would break the thesis

  • If losses of broadband and video customers continue, residential revenue could fall more than expected.
  • High costs for sports rights and content could compress margins, especially if revenue does not grow at the same pace.
  • The separation of the companies could create additional costs and could unsettle investors in the short term.

What to watch

  • Trend in broadband and video customer numbers in the residential segmentQ4 2026
  • Progress of the NBCUniversal and Sky separation and any changes to its timetable2027
  • Development of Peacock EBITDA and paid subscriber numbersQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Comcast organizes its activity into two primary businesses: Connectivity & Platforms, covering broadband, wireless, video and voice services in the United States, United Kingdom and Italy, and Content & Experiences, covering production and distribution of entertainment, sports and news, as well as theme parks 1. In fiscal 2025 Connectivity & Platforms had revenue of 80.9 billion USD, and total Adjusted EBITDA was 37.4 billion USD 1. On January 2, 2026 the separation of Versant, an independent company that took over several cable networks, was completed 1.

The reporting structure shows growing reliance on content segments: Peacock reached positive EBITDA of 261 million USD in the third quarter of 2026, and Universal passed 5 billion USD in global box office in 2026 3. To check the accounting detail, readers could compare these figures with later quarterly reports, since the group's situation changed with the sale of Sky operations in Germany 2.

Market context

The US connectivity market is increasingly competitive, with wireline operators extending fiber, wireless operators offering fixed wireless internet and satellite providers entering 1. In content, competition comes from direct-to-consumer streaming services, social platforms and tools that produce content automatically 1. In advertising, spending is shifting toward digital channels, which could reduce linear television revenue 1.

The number of US broadband customers fell to 28.3 million at the end of the third quarter of 2026, while wireless lines rose to 10.6 million 3. If the migration from cable television to streaming continues, demand for traditional packages could keep falling 1.

Trends

  • Competitive pressure on pricingmixed

    Competitors offer aggressive packages and bundles, and Comcast simplified broadband pricing and offered free wireless lines for one year, which lowered average revenue per customer 1. In the short term this could weigh on margins.

  • Separation of NBCUniversal and Skymixed

    In June 2026 the group announced its intention to separate NBCUniversal and Sky through a spin-off, with completion expected in mid-2027 2. If the separation goes ahead, the two companies could pursue independent strategies.

Competitive position

In broadband, competitors include wireline operators with fiber such as AT&T, Lumen and Verizon, and wireless operators offering fixed wireless internet such as AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon 1. In video, competition comes from direct-to-consumer streaming providers and aggregators, while in content it comes from social platforms and other producers 1.

Competition is intensifying through cooperation among rivals, who can offer bundled packages, free streaming subscriptions or unlimited data plans 1. Companies with greater scale and lighter regulation could hold pricing advantages 1.

  • AT&TT

    Wireline and wireless operator extending its fiber network into areas where Comcast offers services.

  • VerizonVZ

    Wireless operator and fiber provider, and also the MVNO partner for Comcast mobile services.

  • T-Mobile USTMUS

    Wireless operator offering fixed wireless internet, which from 2026 will provide network access for Comcast business customers.

  • Lumen TechnologiesLUMN

    Telecommunications company with fiber networks that competes with Comcast Business.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Comcast Corporation · 03 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Comcast Corporation · 22 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Comcast Corporation · 22 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.